A cascade approach to continuous rainfall data generation at point locations   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Bellie Sivakumar  Ashish Sharma 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2008,22(4):451-459

High-resolution temporal rainfall data sequences serve as inputs for a range of applications in planning, design and management of small (especially urban) water resources systems, including continuous flow simulation and evaluation of alternate policies for environmental impact assessment. However, such data are often not available, since their measurements are costly and time-consuming. One alternative to obtain high-resolution data is to try to derive them from available low-resolution information through a disaggregation procedure. This study evaluates a random cascade approach for generation of high-resolution rainfall data at a point location. The approach is based on the concept of scaling in rainfall, or, relating the properties associated with the rainfall process at one temporal scale to a finer-resolution scale. The procedure involves two steps: (1) identification of the presence of scaling behavior in the rainfall process; and (2) generation of synthetic data possessing same/similar scaling properties of the observed rainfall data. The scaling identification is made using a statistical moment scaling function, and the log–Poisson distribution is assumed to generate the synthetic rainfall data. The effectiveness of the approach is tested on the rainfall data observed at the Sydney Observatory Hill, Sydney, Australia. Rainfall data corresponding to four different successively doubled resolutions (daily, 12, 6, and 3 h) are studied, and disaggregation of data is attempted only between these successively doubled resolutions. The results indicate the presence of multi-scaling behavior in the rainfall data. The synthetic data generated using the log–Poisson distribution are found to exhibit scaling behaviors that match very well with that for the observed data. However, the results also indicate that fitting the scaling function alone does not necessarily mean reproducing the broader attributes that characterize the data. This observation clearly points out the extreme caution needed in the application of the existing methods for identification of scaling in rainfall, especially since such methods are also prevalent in studies of the emerging satellite observations and thus in the broader spectrum of hydrologic modeling.  相似文献   

岩溶沉积物的古气候记录研究     

王丽  汪勇  王建力 《热带地理》2004,24(1):1-5

从测年方法和石笋年代学的研究入手,分别论述了国内外在这一领域的研究进展,继而揭示了其特有的代用指标,如微层结构、稳定碳氧同位素以及微量元素等所蕴含的古气候与古生态环境信息.并进一步指出各代用指标在实际应用中存在的一些问题.  相似文献   

21世纪全球油气资源形势和海上多波地震技术展望     

朱光明  李庆春  王玉贵 《地球科学与环境学报》2000,22(1)

首先综述了现在对全球油气资源量的估计和对 2 1世纪全球油气资源发展形势的预测。表明2 1世纪全球油气资源不会枯竭。未来 10 0年 ,不是世界上有没有油气可供开采 ,而是环境允不允许和在多大程度上允许以及用多大的成本开采的问题。在所有情况下 ,技术进步都起着关键的作用。然后从油气勘探角度对技术进步中的一项主要技术———多分量地震的历史、现状和发展作了评述 ,并结合国家 86 3项目关于海上多波地震技术研究的状况提出了进一步实施的设想  相似文献   

河北冬奥赛区一次夜间增温过程的数值模拟及诊断     

章鸣  连志鸾  平凡  祝善友 《大气科学》2022,46(1):168-180

夜间增温是河北冬奥赛区冬季频发的天气现象,对其进行准确的模拟与预报对赛区建设及比赛保障至关重要。本文针对河北冬奥赛区2020年2月8日夜间至9日凌晨发生的一次夜间增温过程,通过引入高分辨率地形数据,利用中尺度区域数值模式WRF4.1.5精细化再现了此次夜间增温过程,并探究了此次过程的气象特征及成因。研究结果表明:此次夜间增温过程受东北冷涡影响,中高空冷平流显著,高低层风切变较强,有明显的平流差异,同时,近地面气象要素变化特征明显,包括相对湿度降低、风速增大、海平面气压降低、地表热通量及长波辐射增强等;增温发生时,强冷平流在范围及强度上均明显增加,导致强烈的下沉运动,使得低层大气温度升高,并且高低层强风切变以及平流差异容易产生垂直混合,等熵面波动明显,湍流加强,进一步加强湍流垂直混合运动,运动热通量输送增强,产生夜间温度异常升高现象。  相似文献   

中国区域高分辨率多源降水观测产品的融合方法试验   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

潘旸  谷军霞  宇婧婧  沈艳  师春香  周自江 《气象学报》2018,76(5):755-766

高质量、高分辨率降水产品研制对于数值天气模式检验、水文陆面模拟、山洪地质灾害监测有着重要意义。利用中国近4万自动气象站逐时降水资料、中国雷达定量降水估计和CMORPH卫星反演降水产品,开展0.05°×0.05°和0.01°×0.01°两种高分辨率下的三源降水融合方法研究试验,探讨如何有效引入雷达高分辨率信息来提高降水产品质量。一方面,在0.05°分辨率上,先以自动气象站观测降水数据为基准,采用概率密度函数（PDF）匹配法订正雷达和卫星估测降水产品的系统偏差,将雷达降水产品的偏差从-0.05 mm/h降至-0.008 mm/h;再采用贝叶斯模型平均（BMA）方法融合雷达和卫星降水产品,形成0.05°分辨率的中国区域覆盖完整且最优的联合降水背景场。此外,在0.01°分辨率上,以0.05°分辨率的卫星-雷达贝叶斯模型平均联合降水产品为背景,采用1 km雷达估测降水的空间结构信息进行降尺度,亦能有效提高0.01°分辨率背景场的质量。然后,分别以不同分辨率的卫星-雷达联合降水产品为背景,采用统计方法量化误差估计,再采用最优插值方法融入地面观测。通过2419个中国国家级气象台站的独立样本检验,评估了多种类型的降水资料及融合试验产品在中国地区的质量。结果表明,两种分辨率的三源融合试验产品的精度均优于任何单一来源的降水产品,特别是在站点稀疏地区,降水精度均较融合前有显著提高,达到了较好的融合效果,其中在0.05°分辨率上采用“概率密度函数+贝叶斯模型平均+最优插值”方法的三源融合降水产品整体质量最好,而0.01°分辨率上基于“概率密度函数+贝叶斯模型平均+降尺度+最优插值”方法的三源融合降水产品在强降水监测上更有优势。   相似文献   

Segmentation and classification of high spatial resolution images based on Hölder exponents and variance     

Debasish Chakraborty  Sourabh Singh  Dibyendu Dutta 《地球空间信息科学学报》2017,20(1):39-45

Pixel-based or texture-based classification technique individually does not yield an appropriate result in classifying the high spatial resolution remote sensing imagery since it comprises textured and non-textured regions. In this study, Hölder exponents (HE) and variance (VAR) are used together to transform the image for measuring texture. A threshold is derived to segment the transformed image into textured and non-textured regions. Subsequently, the original image is extracted into textured and non-textured regions using this segmented image mask. Afterward, extracted textured region is classified using ISODATA classification algorithm considering HE, VAR, and intensity values of individual pixel of textured region. And extracted non-textured region of the image is classified using ISODATA classification algorithm. In case of non-textured region, HE and VAR value of individual pixel is not considered for classification for significant textural variation is not found among different classes. Consequently, the classified outputs of non-textured and textured regions that are generated independently are merged together to get the final classified image. IKONOS 1 m PAN images are classified using the proposed algorithm, and the classification accuracy is more than 88%.  相似文献   

浅层地震勘探在滇西第三系盆地探查铀矿床的应用及效果     

董兆麟 《铀矿地质》1990,6(5):291-296

通过对方法可行性试验,确认在滇西第三系盆地中应用浅层地震反射波方法,探查100—400m深度的基底形态、构造及对盖层分层的有效性。试验采用McSEIS-1500地震仪,选择合适的激发条件,根据工作区有效波和干扰波的特点,研究并采取了有效的野外技术措施,达到提高S/N比,突出有效波的目的。  相似文献   

Sediment velocity estimation using iterative 3-D migrations of short offset seismic reflection data in deep water     

Shipley  Thomas H.  Bangs  Nathan L.  Henning  Alison T. 《Marine Geophysical Researches》1998,20(6):479-494

In deep ocean settings where water depth greatly exceeds the source-to-receiver length, the geometry is insufficient for accurate determinations of velocity from reflection-moveout. However, velocities are crucial for estimates of physical properties and image processing. Focusing analyses with conventional post-stack two-dimensional migration improves images, but does not produce geologically meaningful velocities except in the special case of a two-dimensional earth. For the more general case of the three-dimensional earth there is no a priori method to determine the degree of geometrical complexity. We present a technique using a short-offset three-dimensional (3-D) data set over the 5 km deep trench west of the Lesser Antilles. These data illustrate highly sensitive post-stack 3-D focusing analyses (± 20 m s^–1 interval velocities), and the relationship of these seismically derived velocities to rock velocities. In our Barbados example we were able to establish the presence of a widespread 80-160 m thick low-velocity zone at and above the main low-angle fault. This observation suggests the water-rich décollement leaks water into the overlying sections. Also evident is a low-velocity section associated with turbidite sands. These results are confirmed with sparse logging data and well samples. Deep-water short offset 3-D experiments provide a potentially effective approach for velocity estimation, replacing the operational complexity of long-offsets with simpler short-offset techniques. In areas of structural complications and abundant diffracted energy, it is a surprisingly accurate method, utilizing the high fidelity 3-D wavefield and the information carried in zero-offset diffraction ellipsoids. The velocity used to properly collapse a diffraction ellipsoid is explicitly the velocity of propagation in the media since the travel path is known exactly. Thus, the derived velocities should closely represent rock velocities, unlike the 2-D case where the propagation geometry is not known.  相似文献   

Marine seismics with a pulsed combustion source and Pseudo Noise codes     

Bjørn Askeland  Halvor Hobæk  Rolf Mjelde 《Marine Geophysical Researches》2007,28(2):109-117

There has been a long-standing debate concerning how dangerous seismic surveys are with respect to marine life. Marine seismic work today is dominated by airgun technology, where high energy is generated by a release of compressed air into the water. The objective of the “Time coded impulse seismic technique” project is to examine whether a new low energy acoustic source can be used for seismic purposes. If the method turns out to be successful, the low output energy and continuous operation will make the source suitable in environmental sensitive areas. The Low level Acoustic Combustion Source (LACS) is a petrol driven pulsed underwater acoustic source. It operates at a few meters depth, and each shot can be digitally controlled from the surface by a computer located in the mother vessel. A presentation of the recorded LACS signal characteristics, the modulation, the Pseudo Noise coding/decoding principles and field test results, is given. The importance of using an optimized code with fine resolution and of using the near field recording as a correlator sequence is demonstrated. Clear correlation peaks could then be seen from the bottom and sub bottom reflectors.  相似文献   

The ocean/continent transition along a profile through the Lofoten basin,Northern Norway     

Andreas Goldschmidt-Rokita  Knut J. F. Hansch  Hans B. Hirschleber  Takaya Iwasaki  Toshihiko Kanazawa  Hideki Shimamura  Markvard A. Sellevoll 《Marine Geophysical Researches》1994,16(3):201-224

The Cenozoic margins of the Norwegian-Greenland Sea offer ideal conditions for passive margin studies. A series of structural elements, first observed on these margins, led to the concept of volcanic passive margins. Questions still remain about the development of such features and the location of the boundary between oceanic and continental crust. Despite the thin sediment cover of the margins, seismic reflection data are not able to image the deeper structures due to the occurrence of igneous rocks at shallow depth.This paper presents a 320-km long profile perpendicular to the strike of the main structural units of the Lofoten Margin in Northern Norway. A geological model is proposed, based on observations made with ocean bottom seismographs, which recorded seismic refraction data and wide angle reflections, along with a seismic reflection profile covering the same area. Ray-tracing was used to calculate a geophysical model from the shelf area into the Lofoten basin. The structures typical of a volcanic passive margin were found, showing that the Lofoten Margin was influenced by increased volcanic activity during its evolution. The ocean/continent transition is located in a 30-km wide zone landwards of the Vøring Plateau escarpment.The whole margin is underlain by a possibly underplated, high velocity layer. Evidence for a pre-rift sediment basin landwards of the escarpment, overlain by basalt flows, was seen. These structural features, related to extensive volcanism on the Lofoten Margin, are not as distinct as further south along the Norwegian Margin. Viewed in the light of the hot-spot theory of White and McKenzie (1989) the Lofoten Margin can be interpreted as a transitional type between volcanic and non-volcanic passive margin.  相似文献