A MASCOTTE-based characterization of MCSs over Spain, 2000–2002     

R. García-Herrera  E. Hernndez  D. Paredes  D. Barriopedro  J.F. Correoso  L. Prieto 《Atmospheric Research》2005,73(3-4):261-282

A 3-year Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) database, which extends from 2000 to 2002, has been built for the Iberian Peninsula and the Balearic Islands using the objective method MASCOTTE (MAximum Spatial COrrelation Technique). It was originally developed to track the evolution of convective systems over the Amazon region; after modifications, it is able to track MCS evolution even with an hour and a half of missed images and provides essential information of both dynamical and morphological characteristics of MCSs. MASCOTTE is tested against a visual and subjective method, and is found to offer advantages such as automation and a simple and efficient operation that make it very useful for building large MCS databases.Thirty-five MCSs were found between June and October, most of them originated along the Mediterranean coast and near the Pyrenees, showing an increasing occurrence from June to September, when the maximum is found. The regions most influenced by MCS occurrences are Balearic Islands, Valencia, Catalonia, Murcia and the Basque Country. The MCSs tend to be small, short-lived and linear, usually moving eastward or northeastward with low velocities.The MCSs-associated precipitation presents high variability, ranging from 80 to 0 mm h⁻¹ as maximum hourly records. Two different convective regions are identified based on MCS behavior in extreme precipitation events: Northern Spain (the Basque Country) with abundant and continuous precipitation regime but little MCS influence, and the Mediterranean coast, where precipitation is sporadic but much more intense.  相似文献   

Simulations of strong ground motion in SW Iberia for the 1969 February 28 (M_s= 8.0) and the 1755 November 1 (M∼ 8.5) earthquakes – II. Strong ground motion simulations     

Raphaël Grandin  José Fernando Borges  Mourad Bezzeghoud  Bento Caldeira  Fernando Carrilho 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,171(2):807-822

This is the second paper of a series of two concerning strong ground motion in SW Iberia due to earthquakes originating from the adjacent Atlantic area. The aim of this paper is to use the velocity model that was proposed and validated in the companion paper for seismic intensity modelling of the 1969 ( M _s= 8.0) and 1755 ( M = 8.5–8.7) earthquakes.
First, we propose a regression to convert simulated values of Peak Ground Velocity (PGV) into Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) in SW Iberia, and using this regression, we build synthetic isoseismal maps for a large ( M _s= 8.0) earthquake that occurred in 1969. Based on information on the seismic source provided by various authors, we show that the velocity model effectively reproduces macroseismic observations in the whole region. We also confirm that seismic intensity distribution is very sensitive to a small number of source parameters: rupture directivity, fault strike and fault dimensions. Then, we extrapolate the method to the case of the great ( M = 8.5–8.7) 1755 earthquake, for a series of hypotheses recently proposed by three authors about the location of the epicentral region. The model involving a subduction-related rupture in the Gulf of Cádiz results in excessive ground motion in northern Morocco, suggesting that the source of the 1755 earthquake should be located further west. A rupture along the western coast of Portugal, compatible with an activation of the passive western Iberian margin, would imply a relatively low average slip, which, alone, would could not account for the large tsunami observed in the whole northern Atlantic ocean. A seismic source located below the Gorringe Bank seems the most likely since it is more efficient in reproducing the distribution of high intensities in SW Iberia due to the 1755 earthquake.  相似文献   

Post-drilling destabilization of temperature profile in borehole Yaxcopoil-1, Mexico     

Jan Šafanda  Philipp Heidinger  Helmut Wilhelm  Vladimír Čermák 《Hydrogeology Journal》2007,15(2):423-428

As part of the International Continental Scientific Drilling Program (ICDP), the 1.5-km-deep borehole Yaxcopoil-1, located in the Chixculub meteor impact structure in Mexico, has undergone further study after drilling operations ceased. Temperature logs were repeated ten times at intervals 0.3–0.8, 15, 24 and 34 months after borehole shut-in. The logs bear a distinct signature of transient heat transfer by groundwater flow manifested by a gradual distortion of the linear temperature profile when a cold wave of 0.8–1.6°C amplitude was detected propagating downward from 145 to 312 m at a rate of 4–6 m/month. To understand the nature of this moving anomaly, a 20-day monitoring of the cold wave was carried out at a depth of 307 m that showed further cooling of 0.6°C during the first 16 days of the passage followed by temperature stabilisation. As an explanation of this unusual phenomenon, a theory is proposed, whereby the drilling mud has accumulated within the overlying and cooler highly porous and permeable karstic rocks during the drilling and migrates downward. The observed migration rate suggests a permeability higher than 10^?11 m². This indicates a high vulnerability to contamination of the only freshwater aquifer in the Yucatan region.  相似文献   

On the Bayesian analysis of the earthquake hazard in the North-East Indian peninsula     

Imtiyaz A. Parvez 《Natural Hazards》2007,40(2):397-412

The Bayesian extreme-value distribution of earthquake occurrences has been used to estimate the seismic hazard in 12 seismogenic zones of the North-East Indian peninsula. The Bayesian approach has been used very efficiently to combine the prior information on seismicity obtained from geological data with historical observations in many seismogenic zones of the world. The basic parameters to obtain the prior estimate of seismicity are the seismic moment, slip rate, earthquake recurrence rate and magnitude. These estimates are then updated in terms of Bayes’ theorem and historical evaluations of seismicity associated with each zone. From the Bayesian analysis of extreme earthquake occurrences for North-East Indian peninsula, it is found that for T = 5 years, the probability of occurrences of magnitude (M _w = 5.0–5.5) is greater than 0.9 for all zones. For M _w = 6.0, four zones namely Z1 (Central Himalayas), Z5 (Indo-Burma border), Z7 (Burmese arc) and Z8 (Burma region) exhibit high probabilities. Lower probability is shown by some zones namely␣Z4, Z12, and rest of the zones Z2, Z3, Z6, Z9, Z10 and Z11 show moderate probabilities.  相似文献   

1998年地面加热场的基本特征及其与南海夏季风爆发的可能联系   总被引：16，自引：3，他引：16  

王世玉  钱永甫 《气象学报》2001,59(1):31-40

文中对 1 998年 1月 1日到 8月 31日共 2 4 3d的南海季风试验再分析资料的地面感热场和潜热场进行 EOF分析 ,由感热的第一特征向量场发现 ,中南半岛地区、青藏高原的东北部和印度半岛的大部分是感热通量大值区 ,而海洋上是小值区 ,海陆热力差异十分明显 ,这种海陆感热对比是促使季风爆发的大背景。由感热的时间经度演变图可以看出 ,中南半岛所在经度范围内南北连续的感热分布对南海季风的早爆发具有重要作用。由温度平流项的分布可发现 ,中南半岛的加热作用明显早于青藏高原地区 ,使得中南半岛对南海季风的早期爆发有重要作用 ,而青藏高原对于南海季风的维持具有重要意义。由于印度半岛与中南半岛的海陆分布的差异 ,使得两个地区的温度平流项也有所不同  相似文献   

Two-dimensional geostatistical modeling and prediction of the fracture system in the Albala Granitic Pluton, SW Iberian Massif, Spain     

J. Escuder Viruete  R. Carbonell  M. J. Jurado  D. Martí  A. Prez-Estaún 《Journal of Structural Geology》2001,23(12)

We use a fracture index distribution method of geostatistical modelling and prediction to characterize quantitatively the fracture system in two-dimensions (2D) in the Mina Ratones area, located in the Albalá Granitic Pluton (SW Iberian Massif). The fracture index (FI) is a quantitative estimate of the fracture density in discrete domains. To validate the results of geostatistical modeling a detailed structural map of the area was also made on a scale of 1:1000. The resulting grids, expressed as pixel-maps, describe the continuous value of the FI in 2D for the whole Mina Ratones area. Based on the modelled distribution of the FI and their correlation with mapped faults, we distinguish two structural domains in the studied area: elongated bands of fracture zones with high FI values and romboidal blocks located between them with low FI values. The separation between both domains is gradual. Though a threshold value of the FI that separate both structural domains is not clearly defined, the fracture zones generally present FI>1 and the individualized blocks FI<0.50. As a consequence, the obtained grid of the FI permits the quantitative structural classification of the granitic massif in 2D and understanding fault zone architecture in the Mina Ratones area.  相似文献   

穿越雷州半岛时地形对热带气旋特性的影响   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

李曾中  贾秀娥 《应用气象学报》1996,7(3):381-384

通过对1949～1993年共计29个穿越雷州半岛台风及热带风暴特性变化进行的分析，得出:台风及热带风暴强度（Vmax）一般在登陆前6小时开始明显减弱；台风过岛后强度平均下降24%，热带风暴强度平均下降33%。热带风暴8级大风圈范围的缩小亦较台风为大；半岛对台风和热带风暴移向的影响，台风受影响较早；不论对台风或热带风暴，穿岛前、后均未出现路径明显南折现象。  相似文献   

南极菲尔德斯半岛湖泊沉积物的稀土地球化学          下载免费PDF全文

王一先  钱志鑫  郑洪汉 《极地研究》1996,8(2):38-44

本文研究了燕鸥湖、西湖和基太湖湖泊沉积物的稀土地球化学。这些湖泊沉积物的稀土分布模式与菲尔德斯半岛第三纪火山岩非常相似，它们的物质来源是菲尔德斯半岛岛弧火山岩。湖泊沉积相与冰碛层稀土模式的差异，反映了它们经历的化学风化程度不同、粘土含量不同。Ｃｅ异常意味着每个湖泊沉积旋回结束的阶段气候是比较干燥的。湖泊沉积物的稀土含量和分布模式变化小，也意味着在中晚更新世时气候是比较干燥的。  相似文献   

The Coastal Zone Loess of the Liaodong Peninsula, Liaoning Province     

Li Peiying  Cheng Zhenbo  Lu Houyuan  Liu Guohai First Institute of Oceanography  SOA  Qingdao  Shandong Liaoning Teachers University  Dalian  Liaoning Liu Linqun 《《地质学报》英文版》1992,66(3):311-325

This Paper discusses the origin of the Coastal Zone Loess on the Liaodong Peninsula, Liaoning Province.The loess is composed mainly of proximal materials transported by low-altitude air flow and less commonly ofinland distal materials carried by high-altitude air flow. The main provenance is the Liaodong Bay. When thesea level declined during glacial period, the bottoms of the Liaodong Bay and Bohai Sea emerged, wheredesertization occurred. As a result, submarine sediments were transported by strong northwesterly winds to theeastern coastal zone of the peninsula and deposited there. These materials mixed with the windblown dust car-ried by atmospheric circulation from the interior of the continent, forming the loess.  相似文献   

菲尔德斯半岛东南附近海域的两种仔鱼          下载免费PDF全文

陈士群  黄凤鹏  吴宝铃 《极地研究》1992,4(4):47-50

198 7年 1 1月至 1 988年 4月在菲尔德斯半岛东南附近海域采集到的仔鱼体长为 1 3 .1 -1 5 mm,它们都处于早期发育阶段。经鉴定隶属一科 (南极鳕鱼科 Nototheniidae) ,一属 (Notothe-nia)两种 :(N.larseni Lonnb,N.gibberifrons Lonnb)。 N.larseni占 88 ,N.gibberifrons占1 2 %。本文对仔鱼形态作了详细的描述。  相似文献