The value of a physically based model versus an empirical approach in the prediction of ephemeral gully erosion for loess-derived soils   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Jeroen Nachtergaele  J. Poesen  A. Steegen  I. Takken  L. Beuselinck  L. Vandekerckhove  G. Govers 《Geomorphology》2001,40(3-4)

A data set on soil losses and controlling factors for 58 ephemeral gullies has been collected in the Belgian loess belt from March 1997 to March 1999. Of the observed ephemeral gullies, 32 developed at the end of winter or in early spring (winter gullies) and 26 ephemeral gullies developed during summer (summer gullies). The assessed data have been used to test the physically based Ephemeral Gully Erosion Model (EGEM) and to compare its performance with the value of simple topographical and morphological indices in the prediction of ephemeral gully erosion.Analysis shows that EGEM is not capable of predicting ephemeral gully cross-sections well. Although conditions for input parameter assessment were ideal, some parameters such as channel erodibility, critical flow shear stress and local rainfall depth showed great uncertainty. Rather than revealing EGEM's inability of predicting ephemeral gully erosion, this analysis stresses the problematic nature of physically based models, since they often require input parameters that are not available or can hardly be obtained.With respect to the value of simple topographical and morphological indices in predicting ephemeral gully erosion, this study shows that for winter gullies and summer gullies, respectively, over 80% and about 75% of the variation in ephemeral gully volume can be explained when ephemeral gully length is known. Moreover, when previously collected data for ephemeral gullies in two Mediterranean study areas and the data for summer gullies formed in the Belgian loess belt are pooled, it appears that one single length (L)–volume (V) relation exists (V=0.048 L^1.29; R²=0.91). These findings imply that predicting ephemeral gully length is a valuable alternative for the prediction of ephemeral gully volume. A simple procedure to predict ephemeral gully length based on topographical thresholds is presented here. Secondly, the empirical length–volume relation can also be used to convert ephemeral gully length data extracted from aerial photos into ephemeral gully volumes.  相似文献   

线性石蜡基钻井液的试验研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

张琰  任丽荣 《现代地质》2001,15(1):103-107

近期在室内研制成功了新型的第二代合成基钻井液的代表——线性石蜡基钻井液。首先从大量的试验结果中优选出了线性石蜡基钻井液配方 ,在此基础上 ,对线性石蜡基钻井液的性能进行了系统的评价。研究结果表明 ,优选出的线性石蜡基钻井液配方简单。和柴油基钻井液相比 ,线性石蜡基钻井液具有优良的热稳定性、页岩抑制性、润滑性能和储层保护性能 ,可用作深井复杂地层的钻井液  相似文献   

用于县级规划管理的微机系统设计     

舒宁 《测绘信息与工程》1996,(3)

论述了研制适于县级规划管理的微机系统的必要性，主要设计思想和关键技术，介绍了目前研制的成果。  相似文献   

茶叶寒冻害天气指数保险设计     

汪春辉  陈治杰  陈家金  赵伯听 《气象科技》2020,48(1):141-146

以茶叶萌芽至展叶期寒冻害为突破口,利用1987—2016年福建省泉州市安溪县17个自动气象站2—4月的逐日气象数据及安溪各茶树种植区产量数据,确定茶叶寒冻害的天气指数保险气象指标,分析日极端最低气温与茶叶减产率的关系,建立了茶叶寒冻害指数模型。计算安溪不同区域茶叶种植区不同等级寒冻害的发生概率,应用纯保费率方法厘定了保险费率,并根据福建省政策性农业保险的实际情况,制定茶叶不同区域种植区寒冻害指数保险触发条件、赔付标准,设计了安溪县茶叶寒冻害天气指数保险合同。设计的茶叶寒冻害天气指数保险产品以客观气象数据作为定损依据,可以为茶农提供一种有效的风险转嫁方式,也为保险公司增加新险种提供了技术支撑。  相似文献   

Modelling considerations in probabilistic performance‐based seismic evaluation: case study of the I‐880 viaduct     

Sashi K. Kunnath  Leah Larson  Eduardo Miranda 《地震工程与结构动力学》2006,35(1):57-75

Limitations associated with deterministic methods to quantify demands and develop rational acceptance criteria have led to the emergence of probabilistic procedures in performance‐based seismic engineering. The Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research performance‐based methodology is one such approach. In this paper, the impact of certain modelling decisions made at different stages of the evaluation process on the performance assessment of a typical multi‐bent viaduct is examined. Modelling, in the context of this paper, covers hazard modelling, structural modelling and loss modelling. The specific application considered in this study is a section of an existing viaduct in California: the I‐880 interstate highway. Several simulation models of the viaduct are developed, a series of nonlinear time‐history analyses are carried out to predict demands, measures of damage are evaluated and the probability of closure of the viaduct is estimated using the specified hazard for the site. It is concluded that the methodology offers several advantages over existing deterministic performance‐based procedures. Results of the investigation indicate that the assessment methodology is particularly sensitive to the reliability of decisions made by bridge inspectors following a seismic event, and to the dispersion in the demand estimation, which in turn is influenced by several factors including soil–structure interaction effects and ground motion scaling procedures. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Approximate incremental dynamic analysis using the modal pushover analysis procedure   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Sang Whan Han  Anil K. Chopra 《地震工程与结构动力学》2006,35(15):1853-1873

Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA)—a procedure developed for accurate estimation of seismic demand and capacity of structures—requires non‐linear response history analysis of the structure for an ensemble of ground motions, each scaled to many intensity levels, selected to cover the entire range of structural response—all the way from elastic behaviour to global dynamic instability. Recognizing that IDA of practical structures is computationally extremely demanding, an approximate procedure based on the modal pushover analysis procedure is developed. Presented are the IDA curves and limit state capacities for the SAC‐Los Angeles 3‐, 9‐, and 20‐storey buildings computed by the exact and approximate procedures for an ensemble of 20 ground motions. These results demonstrate that the MPA‐based approximate procedure reduces the computational effort by a factor of 30 (for the 9‐storey building), at the same time providing results to a useful degree of accuracy over the entire range of responses—all the way from elastic behaviour to global dynamic instability—provided a proper hysteretic model is selected for modal SDF systems. The accuracy of the approximate procedure does not deteriorate for 9‐ and 20‐storey buildings, although their dynamics is more complex, involving several ‘modes’ of vibration. For all three buildings, the accuracy of the MPA‐based approximate procedure is also satisfactory for estimating the structural capacities for the limit states of immediate occupancy, collapse prevention, and global dynamic instability. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

论网格与网格地理信息系统     

王家耀  祝玉华  吴明光 《测绘学院学报》2006,(1)

文中论述和分析了网格、空间信息网格和地图上的格网等概念。在分析目前WebGIS的主要关键技术及实际功能和效果的基础上,从软件和数据两个方面分析了目前WebGIS存在的问题及其原因。针对目前WebGIS对于网格技术的不适应性,提出了关于基于多智能代理的网格地理信息系统的思考,论述了代理、移动代理和智能代理及其优势,给出了系统的体系结构,并对系统客户端、服务器及其智能代理技术进行了说明,研究了系统中移动代理的设计、迁移机制、巡回路线规划和通信机制等。最后给出了初步的结论和讨论意见。  相似文献   

水基钻井液在陕北石油钻井中的应用     

肖玉如 《中国煤田地质》2006,18(6):58-61

针对陕北地层特征的差异性,在分析、研究陕北靖边、甘泉、安塞、延长油区等地区100多口直井和定向丛式井的基础上,总结出一套适应该地层特征的低固相(固相含量≤8%)及无固相水基钻井液配方:在施工直井时,配制低固相水基钻井液;在施工定向丛式井时,配制无固相水基钻井液。在陕北石油钻井施工中,根据地层差异性配制的水基钻井液,解决了因地层原因引起的缩径、粘钻、坍塌和掉块等常见的钻进难题,避免了起下钻拉活塞现象和粘钻、卡钻、埋钻事故,提高了平均机械钻速和钻月效率。  相似文献   

陕西省地质灾害-气象预报预警系统研制及应用   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

李芳  娄月红  程晓露 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2006,17(2):115-118

为了提高地质灾害-气象预报预警工作的自动化程度和产品的质量,文章从计算机系统制作的角度探讨了地质灾害-气象预报预警的方法,论述了陕西省地质灾害-气象预报预警系统的运行环境、软件功能、空间数据库、模型方法等内容,并介绍了陕西省汛期地质灾害-气象预报预警的应用实例。  相似文献   

PHYSICAL PROCESS BASED SOIL EROSION MODEL IN A SMALL WATERSHED IN THE HILLY LOESS REGION     

CAI Qiangguo 《国际泥沙研究》1998,(2)

ＰＨＹＳＩＣＡＬＰＲＯＣＥＳＳＢＡＳＥＤＳＯＩＬＥＲＯＳＩＯＮＭＯＤＥＬＩＮＡＳＭＡＬＬＷＡＴＥＲＳＨＥＤＩＮＴＨＥＨＩＬＬＹＬＯＥＳＳＲＥＧＩＯＮ１ＣＡＩＱｉａｎｇｇｕｏ２ＡＢＳＴＲＡＣＴＡｐｈｙｓｉｃａｌｐｒｏｃｅｓｂａｓｅｄｐｅｒｓｔｏｒｍ...  相似文献