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51.
本文以我国北黄海的烟威渔场为研究对象,采用优选因子场预报模式,对盐度的时空变化进行预报试验。文中对所采用的统计预报方法,作了简要介绍。对影响本海区盐度变化的显著因子及预报结果作了初步分析。预报试验表明:预报的总体平均绝对误差为0.27‰,预报相对误差在18%左右,预报误差小于0.5‰的站数占总站数的85%,预报趋势与实测资料基本一致。 相似文献
52.
Liu Jiaju Zhang Jingchao Prof. Senior Engineer River Harbour Department Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute Nanjing Senior Engineer River Harbour Department Nanjing Hydralulic Research Institute Nanjing 《中国海洋工程》1992,(2)
- This paper, after briefly reviewing the experimental research on sediment transport on muddy beach since the 1950s, improves and perfects the method for forecasting siltation in navigation channels and harbour basins which was first put forward in China by the authors. In consideration of silty sediment and sand, some factors in forecasting methods have been changed and modified. Consequently, the modified methods can be used either to compute siltation in navigation channels and harbour basins on muddy beach or to compute siltation and scouring in navigation channels and harbour basins on both silty beach and sandy beach. The verification of field data from eleven large, medium and small natural harbours shows a good agreement between the forecasting by the modified method and the natural conditions. Finally, the paper deals with the rational utilization of water area after the construction of the West Dyke in Lianyungang, the maintenance of water depth of the navigation channel at the entrance, siltation distribution, siltation in the navigation channel and harbour basin for ships of 100 thousand tonnnage. Results once again prove that the prospect of constructing Lianyungang Harbour into a deepwater harbour is bright. 相似文献
53.
欧洲为了与美国、日本在IODP中处于同等重要的地位,成立了由ODP成员参加的欧洲大洋钻探科学指导委员会(ESCOD)和JEODI组织,并开展了IODP之前的一系列准备活动。在其中的APLACON会议上,论证了IODP中第三类特定钻探平台的必要性,讨论了该类平台在某些研究范围内的重要作用,包括研究地球历史中的极端气候(北极海区)、重建白垩纪-第三纪的水文地理学、气候的快速变化、沉积盆地形成与过程以及固体地球过程等。 相似文献
54.
The effects of different lateral confinement stress on the fatigue behavior of and cumulative damage to plain concrete are investigated experimentally. Eighty 100 mm x 100 mm x 100 mm specimens of ordinary strength concrete are tested under constant- or variable-amplitude fatigue loading and lateral confinement pressure in two orthogonal directions. A fatigue equation is developed by modifying the classical Aas-Jakobsen S-N equation for taking into account the effect of the confined stress on fatigue strength of plain concrete. The results of variable-amplitude fatigue tests indicate that the linear damage theory proposed by Palmgren and Miner is unreasonable in the biaxial stress state. A nonlinear cumulative damage model that could model the effects of the magnitude and sequence of variable-amplitude fatigue loading and lateral confinement pressure is proposed on the basis of the evolution laws of the residual strains in the longitudinal direction during fatigue tests. The residual fatigue life predic 相似文献
55.
一种基于BP算法学习的小波神经网络 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
为发展 Szu的基于信号表示的小波神经网络 ,提出一种多输入多输出的小波网络模型 ,网络隐层采用框架小波函数、输出层采用 Sigmoid激励函数 ,并选用“熵误差函数”以加速网络的学习速度。奇偶判别和混沌时间序列预测例子的实验结果表明了它具有良好的函数逼近能力和推广能力 ,收敛速度和均方误差均优于相同结构的多层感知器模型。 相似文献
56.
57.
A repeat hydrographic section has been maintained over two decades along the 180° meridian across the subarctic-subtropical
transition region. The section is naturally divided into at least three distinct zones. In the Subarctic Zone north of 46°N,
the permanent halocline dominates the density stratification, supporting a subsurface temperature minimum (STM). The Subarctic
Frontal Zone (SFZ) between 42°–46°N is the region where the subarctic halocline outcrops. To the south is the Subtropical
Zone, where the permanent thermocline dominates the density stratification, containing a pycnostad of North Pacific Central
Mode Water (CMW). The STM water colder than 4°C in the Subarctic Zone is originated in the winter mixed layer of the Bering
Sea. The temporal variation of its core temperature lags 12–16 months behind the variations of both the winter sea surface
temperature (SST) and the summer STM temperature in the Bering Sea, suggesting that the thermal anomalies imposed on the STM
water by wintertime air-sea interaction in the Bering Sea spread over the western subarctic gyre, reaching the 180° meridian
within a year or so. The CMW in this section originates in the winter mixed layer near the northern edge of the Subtropical
Zone between 160°E and 180°. The CMW properties changed abruptly from 1988 to 1989; its temperature and salinity increased
and its potential density decreased. It is argued that these changes were caused by the climate regime shift in 1988/1989
characterized by weakening of the Aleutian Low and the westerlies and increase in the SST in the subarctic-subtropical transition
region.
This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
58.
在连云港近岸海域计算潮流场基础上建立拉格朗日余流模型,并对连云港市两大堤建成前后的拉格朗日余流变化进行了分析,且选择有代表性的排污口进行了数值跟踪。 相似文献
59.
以松辽盆地地质资料为基础,介绍了应力场和张裂缝预测的计算方法。通过了各种岩性的张破裂概率隶属函数,预测松辽盆地酉部张裂缝区的分布。据此,为今后的油气勘探提出了几点认识和建议。 相似文献
60.
本文从动力学定律出发,推导了一个线性的、具有下垫面温度耦合的大气环流的统计—动力模式,并用该模式对500hPa高度场及1000hPa温度场作1~30天的平均预报试验。模式的预报结果大大优于惯性预报,但耦合与不耦合的结果差别不大。 相似文献