变形分析的Bayes估计与检验     

寇新建 《大地测量与地球动力学》1994,(3)

由于观测条件的变化，观测值方差将产生随机波动。本文根据Ｂａｙｅｓ估计理论，推导了线性模型待估参数的分布函数及观测值方差估计公式，并将其用于位移检验。计算结果表明，在同样的置信度下，本方法更符合实际。文中还对参数估值的统计性质进行了讨论。  相似文献   

The Statistical Analysis of Migration of Strong Earthquakes-Taking the North China Region as an Example     

Qin Chengzhi 《中国地震研究》2004,18(2):178-187

The migration of strong earthquakes is an important research topic because the migration phenomena reflect partly the seismic mechanism and involve the prediction of tendency of seismic activity. Research on migration of strong earthquakes has mostly focused on finding the phenomena. Some attempts on getting regularity were comparatively subjective. This paper suggests that there should be indices of migration in earthquake dataset and the indexes should have statistical meaning if there is regularity in the migration of strong earthquakes. In this study, three derivative attributes of migration, i.e., migration orientation, migration distance and migration time interval, were statistically analyzed. Results in the North China region show that the migration of strong earthquakes has statistical meaning. There is a dominant migration orientation (W by S to E by N), a dominant distance (≤100km and on the confines of 300～700km), and a dominant time interval (≤1a and on the confines of 3～4a). The results also show that the migration will differ slightly with different magnitude range or earthquake activity phase.  相似文献   

APPLICATION OF GEOGRAPHICAL PARAMETER DATABASE TO ESTABLISHMENT OF UNIT POPULATION DATABASE   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

DONG Chun  ZHAO Rong  LIU Ji-ping  WANG Gui-xin  WU Xi-zhi 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(1):34-38

Now GIS is turning into a good tool in handling geographical, economical, and population data, so we can obtain more and more information from these data. On the other hand, in some cases, for a calamity, such as hurricane, earthquake, flood, drought etc., or a decision-making, such as setting up a broadcasting transmitter, building a chemical plant etc., we have to evaluate the total population in the region influenced by a calamity or a project. In this paper, a method is put forward to evaluate the population in such special region. Through exploring the correlation of geographical parameters and the distribution of people in the same region by means of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, unit population database (1km× 1km) is established. In this way, estimating the number of people in a special region is capable by adding up the population in every grid involved in this region boundary. The geographical parameters are obtained from topographic database and DEM database on the scale of  相似文献   

Point source detection using the Spherical Mexican Hat Wavelet on simulated all-sky Planck maps     

P. Vielva  E. Martínez-González  J. E. Gallegos  L. Toffolatti  J. L. Sanz 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,344(1):89-104

  相似文献   

Theory of stability, and regulation and control of ecological system in oasis   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Pan Xiaoling  Chao Jiping 《Global and Planetary Change》2003,37(3-4):287

Starting with analysis on the evolving course of oasis and the characteristics and evolution of transitional zone between oasis and desert, in consideration of ecological elements including plant stomata resistance, area covered by vegetation, and physical elements including albedo of vegetation and bare soil, atmosphere temperature, and humidity, under the condition of the balance among net radiation flux, latent heat flux, and sensible heat flux, the following are calculated: temperatures of vegetation and bare soil in different conditions, as well as the evapotranspiration rate of ecosystem. Analysis on evapotranspiration rate indicates that it depends on both the climate of environment and the physiological and ecological conditions of plants. On certain conditions, the evapotranspiration rate of transitional zone between oasis and desert (i.e. area covered by vegetation less than 20%), in some parameter domains, appears in bifurcation or multiequilibrium state. Meanwhile, in such area, ecosystem is extremely unstable. Any minor change to the balance will cause either increase or reduction of area covered by vegetation in ecosystem, on the basis of discussion on the emergency of these phenomena. This paper is attempting to propose an effective way of destruction and rebuilt ecosystem in transitional zone. The way is to control the evaporation of plant through selecting anti-drought country plant with big stomata resistance, and modify the roughness of the underlying surface in ecosystem by establishing rational interspace structure of plant community, so as to put the degenerative ecosystem into the natural succession track. This primary theory is being verified through observation and analysis on historical data.  相似文献   

Light-curve classification in massive variability surveys – I. Microlensing     

Vasily Belokurov  N. Wyn Evans  Yann Le Du 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,341(4):1373-1384

  相似文献   

CORRESPONDENCE ANALYSIS ON IMAGES OF JIANGXI PROVINCE AS A TOURIST DESTINATION   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

MAO Duan-qian ZHANG Jie BAO Hao-sheng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2005,15(3):275-280

1IN T R O D U C T IO NAn image isa setofbelief,s ideasand impressionsthatapersonholdsaboutan object(KOTLER,1991).Similar-lydefinitionistheimage of a destinationas thesum ofbelief,sideasand impressionsthatpeoplehave ofa placeor destination(CROMPTON,1979;KO…  相似文献   

沉积物粒度分析在厦门市第四纪环境研究和地层划分对比中的应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

张璞  陈建强  田明中  朱金芳  黄宗林  江春亮 《地球科学与环境学报》2005,27(1):88-94

采用MS2000型激光粒度分析仪进行测试，利用计算机粒度分析软件对数据进行整理和计算，绘制出样品的频率曲线、概率累积曲线以及粒度众数位值曲线等图件并进行沉积环境分析。厦门地区第四纪环境演化经历了中更新世同安组(含泥中粗砂、含泥细中砂、砂为主)海积一冲积一更新统上部龙海组(含泥粗中砂、含泥细中砂、含泥粗砂、粗砂、细中砂、含细砾中粗砂、中细砂等)冲积一洪冲积一更新世上部东山组(砂、砂砾、含泥中粗砂、粗砂、泥质中细砂、细砂、中粗砂等)冲洪积及部分海积(粉砂、细粉砂、含碳质泥、粘土、淤泥质粘土、粉砂质粘土等)一全新世长乐组(粉砂，淤泥质粘土、粉砂质粘土、碳质粘土、含砂淤泥质粘土，粉砂质亚粘土、粉细砂亚粘土等)海湾沉积。在解释环境变化的同时，说明粒度变化曲线在一定程度上可以作为地层划分的依据之一，并以此对研究区地层进行了详细划分。  相似文献   

Applications of seismic travel-time tomography     

R. Phillip Bording  Adam Gersztenkorn  Larry R. Lines  John A. Scales  Sven Treitel 《Geophysical Journal International》1987,90(2):285-303

  相似文献   

Numerical simulations of weak lensing measurements     

David J. Bacon  Alexandre Refregier  Douglas Clowe  Richard S. Ellis 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,325(3):1065-1074

  相似文献