Power of the Mann–Whitney test for detecting a shift in median or mean of hydro-meteorological data     

S. Yue  C. Y. Wang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2002,16(4):307-323

 The non-parametric Mann–Whitney (MW) statistic test has been popularly used to assess the significance of a shift in median or mean of hydro-meteorological time series. It has been considered that the test is more suitable for non-normally distributed data and it may be not sensitive to the distribution type of sample data. However, no evidence has been provided to demonstrate these. This study investigates the power of the test in various circumstances by means of Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation results demonstrate that the power of the test is very sensitive to various properties of sample data. The power depends on the pre-assigned significance level, magnitude of a shift, sample size, and its occurrence position within a time series; and it is also strongly affected by the variation, skewness, and distribution type of a time series. The bigger the magnitude of a shift, the more powerful the test is; the larger the sample size, the more powerful the test is; and the bigger the variation within a time series, the less power the test has. The test has the highest power if a shift occurs at the midpoint of a time series. For the samples with different distribution types, the power of the test is dramatically different. The test has the highest power for time series with the extreme value type III (EV3) distribution while it indicates the lowest power for time series with the lognormal distribution.  相似文献   

云南松根系对土壤牵引效应测试系统的设计与实现   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

刘跃明  张云伟  周跃 《山地学报》2002,20(4):476-479

目前在野外对云南松根系与土壤的机械效庆的研究，由于测试研究受多种因数的影响，开展研究困难较大，研究精度也受到一定程度的影响，这对较深入的描述根系与土壤相互作用的机械效应带来一定的困难。本文基于这一实际，设计了能在室内和野外进行实时测试分析的测试系统，并配套了支持PCMCIA插槽的DAQP－12型模数转换（A／D）卡，以及直流电供电的QT－300型调理装置。结合所配套的硬件，利用Visual C在Windows95/98平台编写了软件，经过实际试验测试，系统各项性能能够满足云南松根系对土壤的机械效应研究的测试分析要求。  相似文献   

Parameter identification for lined tunnels in a viscoplastic medium   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

B. Lecampion  A. Constantinescu  D. Nguyen Minh 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2002,26(12):1191-1211

This paper is dedicated to the identification of constitutive parameters of elasto‐viscoplastic constitutive law from measurements performed on deep underground cavities (typically tunnels). This inverse problem is solved by the minimization of a cost functional of least‐squares type. The exact gradient is computed by the direct differentiation method and the descent is done using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm. The method is presented for lined or unlined structures and is applied for an elastoviscoplastic constitutive law of the Perzyna class. Several identification problems are presented in one and two dimensions for different tunnel geometries. The used measurements have been obtained by a preliminary numerical simulation and perturbed with a white noise. The identified responses match the measurements. We also discuss the usage of the sensitivity analysis of the system, provided by the direct differentiation method, for the optimization of in situ monitoring. The sensitivity distribution in space and time assess the location of the measurements points as well as the time of observation needed for reliable identification. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Sensitivity Analysis of a Feedforward Neural Network for Considering Genetic Mechanisms of Kuroko Deposits     

Matsuda  Setsuro  Koike  Katsuaki 《Natural Resources Research》2003,12(4):291-301

Exploration for volcanogenic massive sulfide deposits of the kuroko-type is underway in many places. Clarifying the spatial patterns of the metals in kuroko deposits will be useful for understanding their genetic mechanisms and for future exploration of such types of deposits. This study represents a spatial distribution analysis on the contents of principal metals of kuroko deposits: Cu, Pb, and Zn, in the Hokuroku district, northern Japan, by a feedforward neural network and 1917 sample data at 143 drillhole sites. The network, which consists of three layers, was trained by the principle of SLANS in which the numbers of neurons in the middle layer and training data are changed to improve estimation accuracy. Using the weight coefficients connecting adjacent neurons, sensitivity analysis of the neural network was carried out to identify factors influencing spatial distributions of the three metals. The coordinates depth (z) direction, Bouguer gravity, and specific lithology such as dacite were determined to be influencing factors. The high frequency of the z coordinate signifies that the metal contents differ to a large extent by depth. The sensitivity vector was defined using sensitivity coefficients for x, y, and z coordinates of an estimation point. We determined that the directions of large vectors were different inside and outside of the Hanawa-Ohdate area. This characteristic is considered to originate from the differences in the permeability of fractures that became the paths for rising ore solutions, and the depths that the solutions mixed with sea water.  相似文献   

焉耆盆地侏罗系低渗透储层敏感性评价   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：3  

李永林  杨道庆  田纳新  杨春红  马玉春  李峰 《矿物岩石》2003,23(1):77-80

焉耆盆地侏罗系具近物源沉积特点，储层成分成熟度和结构成熟度均较低，粘土矿物含量高，物性较差，属低渗透储层。“五敏”实验结果表明，储层均表现为强水敏特征，物性相对较好的储层还表现出强盐敏和中等偏弱速敏、碱敏等敏感性特征，盐酸对储层具有一定程度的改善，并进一步探讨钻探施工过程中油层保护的措施及应用效果。  相似文献   

一种求气井二项式方程系数的新方法     

杨彦军  杨宇  张文喜 《矿物岩石》2003,23(2):108-110

针对开发早期气田缺乏产能试井资料的实际情况，由于无法用传统的压力降法计算产能方程，故而基于最优化算法，提出了一种利用稳定生产数据和井控储量求取气井产能方程系数的新方法。在只知道稳定生产数据情况下便可进行计算分析。该方法在气田进行了实际应用，并和实际资料以及传统试凑法计算的结果进行了比较，表明方法的计算结果较为可靠。  相似文献   

扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的研究和实践   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

陈国民  李隽毅  汤智青 《上海国土资源》2003,(1):20-24

通过对扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的研究和实践，提出了在上海地区采用扁铲侧胀试验判别液化的公式，扁铲侧胀试验判别液化与标准贯入和静力触探试验判别液化的方法对比，具有相对较好的结果，是一种有前途的液化判别方法。  相似文献   

采用环境同位素方法研究北江大堤石角段基岩渗漏通道   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

陈建生  董海洲  陈亮 《水科学进展》2003,14(1):57-61

论述了采用环境同位素与人工示踪的方法探测北江大堤石角段频发"管涌"的原因,通过对洪水期间不同区域层位的稳定同位素δD(‰)与δ18O(‰)的分析确定了地面涌水的来源,结合孔中的人工示踪方法,最终确定出北江大堤石角段的"管涌"来自基岩断裂强渗漏通道,为下一步的加固工程提供了重要的科学依据。  相似文献   

静力触探中土层界面效应试验研究   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：2  

陈维家  汪火旺 《水文地质工程地质》2003,30(2):25-27

根据成层土模型试验结果,对静力触探中土层面效应进行试验研究和机理分析,取得了成层土界面效应的规律性,为利用静力触探划分土层提供了理论和实践依据。  相似文献   

地热回灌的发展现状   总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15  

刘久荣 《水文地质工程地质》2003,30(3):100-104

地热回灌是一种避免地热废水直接排放引起的热污染和化学污染的措施,并对维持热储压力,保证地热田的开采技术条件具有重要的作用。目前回灌已经成为世界范围内数十个重要的地热田生产运行中的一项日常工作,在美国、新西兰、冰岛、意大利、法国、日本、罗马尼亚、丹麦、菲律宾和萨尔瓦多等十多个国家得到了广泛的应用。在国内,北京、天津的地热回灌也已经有了良好的开端。回灌是地热田管理中最为复杂的一项技术,为了避免因回灌而引起热储冷却,需要进行回灌试验和示踪试验,并在回灌过程进行全面的监测工作。  相似文献