青海省最高、最低气温不对称性变化的诊断分析   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：6  

汪青春  王志俊  邵玉红 《气象》1998,24(4):41-45

利用青海省１３个站逐月最高、最低气温资料,分析了月、季、年平均最高、最低气温的变化。结果表明最高、最低气温存在明显不对称变化趋势,尤其是３、４月存在明显的反向变化趋势。同时分析了西宁城市效应对最高、最低气温的影响。  相似文献   

At‐a‐station hydraulic geometry relations, 1: theoretical development     

Vijay P. Singh  L. Zhang 《水文研究》2008,22(2):189-215

This paper, the first of two, hypothesizes that: (1) the temporal variation of stream power of a river channel at a given station with varying discharge is accomplished by the temporal variation in channel form (flow depth and channel width) and hydraulic variables, including energy slope, flow velocity and friction; (2) the change in stream power is distributed among the changes in flow depth, channel width, flow velocity, slope, and friction, depending on the boundary conditions that the channels has to satisfy. The second hypothesis is a result of the principle of maximum entropy and the theory of minimum energy dissipation or its simplified minimum stream power. These two hypotheses lead to families of at‐a‐station hydraulic geometry relations. The conditions under which these families of relations can occur in the field are discussed. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A Linked Physical and Biological Framework to Assess Biogeochemical Dynamics in a Shallow Estuarine Ecosystem     

C. P. Buzzelli  R. L. Wetzel  M. B. Meyers 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1999,49(6):829

The littoral zone of Chesapeake Bay contains a mosaic of shallow vegetated and nonvegetated habitats with biotic components that are sensitive to changes in biological and physical driving factors. Static and dynamic modelling frameworks provide an integrative way to study complex hydrodynamic and biogeochemical processes in linked estuarine habitats. In this study we describe a spatial simulation model developed and calibrated relative to a specific littoral zone, estuarine ecosystem. The model consisted of four distinct habitats that contained phytoplankton, sediment microalgae, Zostera marina (eelgrass), and Spartina alterniflora. There was tidal exchange of phytoplankton, particulate and dissolved organic carbon and dissolved inorganic nitrogen between the littoral zone ecosystem and the offshore channel. Physical exchange and biogeochemical transformations within the habitats determined water column concentrations in each habitat. Predicted subtidal water column concentrations and Z. marina and S. alterniflora biomass were within the variability of validation data and the predicted annual rates of net primary production were similar to measured rates. Phytoplankton accounted for 17%, sediment microalgae 46%, the Z. marina community 24% and S. alterniflora 13% of the annual littoral zone primary production. The linked habitat model provided insights into producer, habitat and ecosystem carbon and nitrogen properties that might not have been evident with stand-alone models. Although it was an intra-ecosystem sink for particulate carbon, the seagrass habitat was a DOC source and responsible for over 30% of the littoral zone carbon and nitrogen primary production. The model predicted that the Goodwin Islands littoral zone was a sink of channel derived POC, but a source of DOC to the surrounding estuary. The framework created in this study of estuarine ecosystem dynamics is applicable to many different aquatic systems over a range of spatial and temporal scales.  相似文献   

Stormflow dynamics and loads of Escherichia coli in a large mixed land use catchment     

Lucy A. McKergow  Robert J. Davies‐Colley 《水文研究》2010,24(3):276-289

Storm events are major transporters of faecal microbial contaminants, but few studies have reported storm loads or concentration dynamics in relation to discharge or other pollutants, notably fine sediment. Episodically, high loads of faecal contamination during storm flows impact downstream uses of water bodies, particularly contact recreation and shellfish harvesting. We examined the storm dynamics of Escherichia coli, turbidity and discharge in the mixed land use Motueka catchment (2047 km²; 60% forest and 19% pasture) to gain insights into E. coli sources and transport. We also explored different approaches for calculating E. coli loads. Discharge and field turbidity were recorded continuously, and E. coli concentrations were sampled during events, over a 13‐month period near the mouth of the Motueka River. E. coli loads were estimated by interpolation, averaging estimators and by using linear regression with smearing correction of the log‐transformed variables: discharge, turbidity, and both turbidity and discharge. The annual E. coli load was dominated (～98%) by export during events. Comparison of monthly monitoring with the intensive storm monitoring campaign suggests that simple stratification of the sampling into storm and baseflow would greatly improve export estimates. E. coli peak concentrations always preceded discharge and turbidity peaks (which had similar timing). Turbidity can be a useful surrogate for faecal microbes in smaller catchments, but in the Motueka turbidity was no better for predicting E. coli concentration than discharge. Runoff from grazed pasture and direct deposition from livestock are probably the ultimate E. coli sources in the Motueka catchment. However, in‐channel stores seem to dominate E. coli dynamics during events and account for the typical feature of bacterial concentrations peaking ahead of discharge and turbidity. This study demonstrates the importance of storm events to faecal microbial loads and shows that E. coli concentration dynamics may contrast with those of turbidity. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Assessment of intermediate fine sediment storage in a braided river reach (southern French Prealps)     

O. Navratil  C. Legout  D. Gateuille  M. Esteves  F. Liebault 《水文研究》2010,24(10):1318-1332

This paper presents a field investigation on river channel storage of fine sediments in an unglaciated braided river, the Bès River, located in a mountainous region in the southern French Prealps. Braided rivers transport a very large quantity of bedload and suspended sediment load because they are generally located in the vicinity of highly erosive hillslopes. Consequently, these rivers play an important role because they supply and control the sediment load of the entire downstream fluvial network. Field measurements and aerial photograph analyses were considered together to evaluate the variability of fine sediment quantity stored in a 2·5‐km‐long river reach. This study found very large quantities of fine sediment stored in this reach: 1100 t per unit depth (1 dm). Given that this reach accounts for 17% of the braided channel surface area of the river basin, the quantities of fine sediment stored in the river network were found to be approximately 80% of the mean annual suspended sediment yields (SSYs) (66 200 t year^?1), comparable to the SSYs at the flood event scale: from 1000 t to 12 000 t depending on the flood event magnitude. These results could explain the clockwise hysteretic relationships between suspended sediment concentrations and discharges for 80% of floods. This pattern is associated with the rapid availability of the fine sediments stored in the river channel. This study shows the need to focus on not only the mechanisms of fine sediment production from hillslope erosion but also the spatiotemporal dynamics of fine sediment transfer in braided rivers. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

在Zebiak-Cane模式中观测MJO强迫对ENSO可预报性的影响, 第1部分:对最大预报误差的影响     

PENG Yuehu  SONG Junqiang  XIANG Jie  SUN Chengzhi 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(5):39-45

With the observational wind data and the Zebiak-Cane model, the impact of Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) as external forcing on El Ni(n)o–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability is studied. The obs...  相似文献   

Application of a Delay-difference model for the stock assessment of southern Atlantic albacore (Thunnus alalunga)     

Zhang  Kui  Liu  Qun  Kalhoro  Muhsan Ali 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2015,14(3):557-563

Delay-difference models are intermediate between simple surplus-production models and complicated age-structured models. Such intermediate models are more efficient and require less data than age-structured models. In this study, a delay-difference model was applied to fit catch and catch per unit effort(CPUE) data(1975–2011) of the southern Atlantic albacore(Thunnus alalunga) stock. The proposed delay-difference model captures annual fluctuations in predicted CPUE data better than Fox model. In a Monte Carlo simulation, white noises(CVs) were superimposed on the observed CPUE data at four levels. Relative estimate error was then calculated to compare the estimated results with the true values of parameters α and β in Ricker stock-recruitment model and the catchability coefficient q. α is more sensitive to CV than β and q. We also calculated an 80% percentile confidence interval of the maximum sustainable yield(MSY, 21756 t to 23408 t; median 22490 t) with the delay-difference model. The yield of the southern Atlantic albacore stock in 2011 was 24122 t, and the estimated ratios of catch against MSY for the past seven years were approximately 1.0. We suggest that care should be taken to protect the albacore fishery in the southern Atlantic Ocean. The proposed delay-difference model provides a good fit to the data of southern Atlantic albacore stock and may be a useful choice for the assessment of regional albacore stock.  相似文献   

基于高分二号卫星数据的农作物分类方法研究     

曹伟男  王文高  王欣  于亚娇  刘善军 《测绘与空间地理信息》2021,44(4):158-161

针对目前高分二号卫星数据(GF-2)有较高的空间分辨率而在农业领域应用较少和农作物分类普遍存在"同谱异物"和"同物异谱"的现象,以辽宁省沈阳市苏家屯区以西的新开河村周边为试验基地,利用最佳波段组合指数法(OIF)对所选取的高分二号(GF-2)卫星数据的纹理特征和植被指数以及波段信息进行筛选,选取最佳的波段组合,以增加分类信息、减少数据冗余。最后,针对筛选后的数据,使用最大似然法进行分类,得到农作物的分类结果。结果表明,利用该方法对农作物进行分类,分类精度得到了一定程度的提高,为目前大规模农作物种植面积的精确、迅速统计提供了一套可行的方案。  相似文献   

Diel patterns of mysid drift (Crustacea: Mysidacea) in the Taieri River estuary,New Zealand     

Darin L. Sutherland  Gerard P. Closs 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2013,47(1):197-200

Drifting mysids were sampled to determine diel activity, and whether mysid numbers vary with respect to inflowing and outflowing tides. Samples of drifting mysids were collected at the mouth of the Taieri River, New Zealand, over one 24‐h cycle using five replicate conical drift nets in January 1999. One‐night and 1‐day ebb and flood tide were each sampled. Four species of mysid Tenagomysis macropsis, T. novae‐zealandiae, T. robusta, and an apparently undescribed species of Gastrosaccus sp., were collected over the sampling period. One species, T. robusta, has not previously been collected from estuarine or riverine systems. The undescribed Gastrosaccus sp. was the most abundant of the four species. All four species were more abundant at night, with T. robusta and Gastrosaccus sp. being considerably more abundant in the drift on outflowing tides. In contrast, roughly equal numbers of T. macropsis and T. novae‐zealandiae were observed drifting in and out of the estuary at night.  相似文献   

武汉市盛夏高温气候特征和成因及预报   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

贺懿华  谌伟  李才媛  王丽  顾永刚 《气象科技》2007,35(6):809-813

利用1950～2005年盛夏(7～8月)逐日武汉市最高温度、2002年和2003年6～8月T213格点风和垂直速度资料,分析了武汉盛夏高温的气候特征,研究了高温过程及西太平洋副热带高压活动特点。分析结果表明:20世纪50年代末至60年代初、60年代中期、70年代后期、90年代和2000～2005年为高温日数偏多的5个阶段。80年代高温日数偏少。对较大的时间尺度而言,强的高温集中在50年代后期至60年代以及90年代后期至2005年。强高温过程集中在7月下旬至8月上旬。西太平洋副热带高压持续稳定控制长江中下游,是造成高温及强高温过程的主要环流系统。选用ECMWF和T213温度和纬向风场预报产品,应用灰色预测方法建立了武汉市盛夏日最高温度预报模型,该模型试用于2003年和2006年盛夏高温预报,检验结果表明该模型提供的高温定量预报有一定的参考价值。  相似文献