A Nonlinear Model of Surf Beat     

Nicholas Dodd 《中国海洋工程》1995,(2)

A nonlinear short-wave-averaged (surf beat) model is presented. The model is based on that of Roelvink (1993), but the numerical techniques used in the solution are based on the so-called weighted-averaged flux (WAF) method (eg Watson et al., 1992), with time-operator splitting used for the treatment of some of the source terms. This method allows a small number of computational points to be used, and is particularly efficient in modelling breaking long waves. The short-wave (or primary-wave) energy equation is solved using a more traditional Lax-Wendroff technique. Results of validation indicate that the model performs satisfactorily in most respects.  相似文献   

Influence of Mesoscale Eddies on Variations of the Kuroshio Path South of Japan     

Naoto Ebuchi  Kimio Hanawa 《Journal of Oceanography》2003,59(1):25-36

The influences of mesoscale eddies on variations of the Kuroshio path south of Japan have been investigated using time series of the Kuroshio axis location and altimeter-derived sea surface height maps for a period of seven years from 1993 to 1999, when the Kuroshio followed its non-large meander path. It was found that both the cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies may interact with the Kuroshio and trigger short-term meanders of the Kuroshio path, although not all eddies that approached or collided with the Kuroshio formed meanders. An anticyclonic eddy that revolves clockwise in a region south of Shikoku and Cape Shionomisaki with a period of about 5–6 months was found to propagate westward along about 30°N and collide with the Kuroshio in the east of Kyushu or south of Shikoku. This collision sometimes triggers meanders which propagate over the whole region south of Japan. The eddy was advected downstream, generating a meander on the downstream side to the east of Cape Shionomisaki. After the eddy passed Cape Shionomisaki, it detached from the Kuroshio and started to move westward again. Sometimes the eddy merges with other anticyclonic eddies traveling from the east. Coalescence of cyclonic eddies, which are also generated in the Kuroshio Extension region and propagate westward in the Kuroshio recirculation region south of Japan, into the Kuroshio in the east of Kyushu, also triggers meanders which mainly propagate only in a region west of Cape Shionomisaki. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

秋季巴伦支海海温异常对冬季我国渤海冰情的可能影响     

周群  魏立新  黄焕卿 《海洋学报》2016,38(3):40-48

本文利用美国NCEP/NCAR逐月的再分析资料、HadISST海温、中国160台站气温和反映渤海冰情轻重的渤海冰情等级资料,研究了前秋巴伦支海海温异常对后期渤海冰情和东亚冬季风的影响,并对相关的物理过程进行分析。结果表明,前秋巴伦支海关键区海温与该区域海冰密集度呈显著的负相关,且具有较好的持续性,通过调节随后冬季向大气释放的热通量,引起后期环流变化。偏高(偏低)年冬季亚洲纬向环流偏弱(偏强),东亚大槽加深(减弱),东亚冬季风加强(减弱),我国东北、华北及西北地区地区显著偏冷(偏暖),这与冬季渤海海冰异常的强度和范围都偏大(小)及与之相联系的环流异常相一致。进一步的分析揭示了联系上游关键区海温变化与后期东亚地区气候异常的重要途径,前秋巴伦支海海温偏高会导致200 hPa高度场形成一个自西向东的波列形式,在东亚局地Hadley环流异常的作用下,加强了我国北方地区地表的北风异常。因此,前秋巴伦支海海温异常可以作为冬季渤海冰情的预报因子。  相似文献   

赤道西太平洋末次盛冰期以来的浮游有孔虫氧碳稳定同位素记录   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

蒋来宾  翦知湣  成鑫荣 《海洋地质与第四纪地质》2004,24(2):67-71

对西太平洋暖池核心区MD01—2386柱状样最上部5m进行了高分辨率的浮游有孔虫Globigerinoides ruber和Pulleniatina obliquiloculata的氧、碳稳定同位素分析,结合AMS^14C测年,研究表明其属于末次盛冰期-全新世的沉积。赤道西太平洋海区末次盛冰期以来δ^18O值显著降低,但有几次回返事件。表层浮游有孔虫G．ruber比次表层温跃层属种P．obliquiloculata对于环境变化的响应要快,但后者变化的幅度较大。这两个种的氧、碳同位素差值反映出温跃层深度自末次盛冰期以来逐渐加深,并存在周期性的回返事件,说明西太平洋暖池晚第四纪冰期旋回存在气候不稳定性。  相似文献   

土体约束对海底管道整体屈曲的影响机理研究     

李成凤  刘润  彭碧瑶  王秀妍 《海洋科学》2018,42(2):56-63

高温高压下海底管道的整体屈曲稳定性分析是管道设计的重要组成部分,而选取多长的管道进行分析对其整体屈曲稳定性结果影响显著。依据临界管长将管道分为"长管"与"短管",基于动力显式分析方法,揭示了长管与短管在发生整体屈曲过程中,屈曲幅值与波长、管壁轴向压力、轴向应变及轴向位移的变化规律;研究了土体约束力影响管道临界长度的规律性,分析了土体约束力系数对长管与短管整体屈曲变形的影响。研究发现,土体约束力对短管的整体屈曲行为影响显著,短管的整体屈曲幅值随土体约束力系数的增大呈现先增大后减小的趋势。该项研究对区分不同长度管道的整体屈曲类型进而采取有效防控措施具有重要参考价值。  相似文献   

Dissolved organic nitrogen dynamics in the North Sea: A time series analysis (1995–2005)     

T. Van Engeland  K. Soetaert  A. Knuijt  R.W.P.M. Laane  J.J. Middelburg 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2010

Dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) dynamics in the North Sea was explored by means of long-term time series of nitrogen parameters from the Dutch national monitoring program. Generally, the data quality was good with little missing data points. Different imputation methods were used to verify the robustness of the patterns against these missing data. No long-term trends in DON concentrations were found over the sampling period (1995–2005). Inter-annual variability in the different time series showed both common and station-specific behavior. The stations could be divided into two regions, based on absolute concentrations and the dominant times scales of variability. Average DON concentrations were 11 μmol l⁻¹ in the coastal region and 5 μmol l⁻¹ in the open sea. Organic fractions of total dissolved nitrogen (TDN) averaged 38 and 71% in the coastal zone and open sea, respectively, but increased over time due to decreasing dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) concentrations. In both regions intra-annual variability dominated over inter-annual variability, but DON variation in the open sea was markedly shifted towards shorter time scales relative to coastal stations. In the coastal zone a consistent seasonal DON cycle existed with high values in spring–summer and low values in autumn–winter. In the open sea seasonality was weak. A marked shift in the seasonality was found at the Dogger Bank, with DON accumulation towards summer and low values in winter prior to 1999, and accumulation in spring and decline throughout summer after 1999. This study clearly shows that DON is a dynamic actor in the North Sea and should be monitored systematically to enable us to understand fully the functioning of this ecosystem.  相似文献   

60年距离测量的演变   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘基余 《海洋测绘》2010,30(2):74-78

新中国成立60年来,距离测量方法所发生的巨大变化是,20世纪50年代末期,光速测距仪和微波测距仪的推广应用,开创了"量距不用尺"的新时代;20世纪60年代中期,测地型激光测距仪的快速发展,将光波测距推向了高精度远测程的新境界;几乎与此同时,卫星激光测距和甚长基线射电干涉测量技术的测地实用化,使得测地工作者能够测量远达数千千米的站间距离;20世纪80年代初期,GPS卫星测量技术的问世,使得测地工作者步入了快速高效"量距不见站"的新天地。距离测量的这种演变,也是测绘科学技术进步的一大缩影。  相似文献   

EWT-Elman组合模型短期电离层TEC预报     

鲁铁定  黄佳伟  贺小星  吕开云 《大地测量与地球动力学》2021,41(7):666-671

针对电离层总电子含量(TEC)非线性、高噪声的特点,建立基于经验小波变换(EWT)和Elman神经网络的短期电离层组合预报模型。运用该模型对不同地磁环境的电离层TEC时间序列进行建模预报,结果表明,EWT-Elman组合模型可反映电离层TEC的变化特征,地磁平静期预测平均相对精度为93%,均方根误差为1.04 TECu;地磁扰动期预测平均相对精度为92.4%,均方根误差为2.18 TECu。单一Elman模型、EMD-Elman组合模型以及EWT-BP组合模型在地磁平静期平均相对精度最高为90.7%,均方根误差最小为1.33 TECu;地磁扰动期平均相对精度最高为90.7%,均方根误差最小为2.57 TECu。对比其他模型,本文方法预测效果最优。  相似文献   

利用背景噪声研究滇西北波速异常与M≥5.0地震关系     

杨建文  叶泵  高琼  陈佳  王军 《大地测量与地球动力学》2022,42(2):165-171

提出基于背景噪声波速测量的综合预测指标法,将测震资料更好地应用于震情跟踪和地震短临预报。利用滇西北5个台站2012-01~2020-11宽频带连续波形资料,基于背景噪声互相关及傅立叶变换等方法,提取10个台站对当天经验格林函数与参考经验格林函数的直达瑞利波走时偏移时间序列,设定±1.5倍标准差作为异常阈值,并以其间发生的6次M≥5.0地震为样本,采用R值评分法对每个台站对的映震能力进行效能检验,最后基于自适应加权综合预测方法提取适合于滇西北地区的地震短临异常识别指标（综合指标）。结果表明,利用该综合指标对滇西北2012年以来发生的6次M≥5.0地震进行90 d短临预报,异常指标共出现8次,其中准确预报地震5次,漏报1次,虚报4次,预报效能评分R为0.692,R₀为0.475。该综合指标的地震对应率为62.50%,概括率为83.33%。  相似文献   

基于LSTM的海洋表面短期风速预测研究     

李亚蒙  孙宝楠  丁军航  官晟 《海洋科学》2022,46(11):55-66

为实现对海面风速精确的短期预测,提出了一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM,longshort-termmemory)神经网络的短期风速预测模型,选取OceanSITES数据库中单个浮标站点采集的风速历史数据作为模型输入,经过训练设置最佳参数等步骤,实现了以LSTM方法,对该站点所在海区海面风速在各季节性代表月份海面风速的24 h短期预测。同时通过不同预测时长的实验以及与BP(back propagation)神经网络神经网络和径向基函数神经网络(radialbasisfunctionneuralnetwork,RBF)的预测效果对比实验,证明了LSTM预测方法相比上述两种神经网络预测方法,在海表面风速预测应用中的优越性。最后通过多个海域对应的站点风速数据预测实验,证明了LSTM神经网络模型的普遍适用性,由相关系数和预测误差的分析可知该方法具备应对急剧变化数据的预测稳定性,可以作为海洋表面风速短期预测的一种可靠方法。  相似文献