长江河口最大浑浊带研究   总被引：42，自引：1，他引：42  

沈焕庭  贺松林 《地理学报》1992,47(5):472-479

本文在以前一系列研究的基础上,把长江河口最大浑浊带视作一个系统,对它形成的环境背景、时空变化规律、泥沙来源、絮凝作用对悬沙落淤的影响、浮泥的特性与分布、悬沙的富集机制等进行了较系统的综合分析,并指出了需要深入研究的问题。  相似文献   

Helmert型方差—协方差分量估计的通用公式     

於宗俦 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1991,(2)

本文在概括函数模型和它的通用公式的基础上,导出了一个适用于所有平差方法的方差—协方差分量估计的通用公式,并由此给出方差分量估计的通用公式和简化的通用公式。  相似文献   

大洋玄武质岩石元素间的线性关系及其应用     

万渝生 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》1991,(2)

批式熔融是大洋玄武质岩石形成的主要机制之一。本文建立了批式熔融作用中元素间的线性关系模型,并应用于北秦岭宽坪群变玄武质岩石化学分析资料的研究,对变异图解、相关矩阵、源区成分计算和估计等问题作了讨论。给出了一些具体应用的方法。  相似文献   

Deterministic signals in precipitation in Arkansas,Louisiana, and Mississippi     

Robert G. Currie  Douglas P. O'Brien 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1991,137(3):261-279

Evidence for a signal near 19 years is found in 51 out of 65 rain gauge records in the tri-state region of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi, While another term with period 10 to 11 years is found in 39 instances. These are identified as the 18.6-year luni-solarM _n and solar cycleS _c signals in climate variability. In terms of both amplitude and phase the luni-solar wave trains are highly nonstationary; in particular, the waves commonly change phase by 180°. Examples of theM _n andS _c terms in corn yield for Arkansas and Missouri are presented, and the implications for economic science briefly discussed.  相似文献   

Variations in the strength of recurrent geomagnetic activity in solar cycles 11 to 21     

G. K. Rangarajan 《Journal of Earth System Science》1991,100(1):49-54

From maximum entropy spectral analysis (MESA) of short lengths ofAa indices of geomagnetic activity, the characteristics of the strength of the 27-day and 13.5-day signals for each of the solar cycles 11 to 21 are highlighted. It is shown that the 13.5-day signal is a near permanent feature in geomagnetic activity. The Hale-cycle (22 yr) effect could be seen in the average magnitude of the 27-day signal with greater strengths in the even cycles. No clear annual variation in the strength is noticed, contrary to some earlier known results.  相似文献   

An extreme value analysis of the flow of Burbage Brook     

J. H. Barrett 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1992,6(3):151-165

An extreme value analysis of the flow of Burbage Brook is carried out by modelling peaks over a high threshold. The aims are to illustrate recently developed statistical techniques and to report on interesting features of the flow of the brook over a 58-year period. Peak flows are found to show marked seasonal variation and a downward trend. Then-year return level is estimated for various values ofn, and the reliability of the estimates is assessed.  相似文献   

岭回归分析在融雪径流预报中的应用   总被引：1，自引：3，他引：1  

蓝永超  王新民 《冰川冻土》1992,14(1):19-24,18

  相似文献   

水库诱发地震最大震级的预测   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

常宝琦  梁纪彬 《华南地震》1992,12(1):74-79

水库蓄水诱发地震虽然是水利工程建设伴生的少见现象,但有时会诱发6级以上地震,加之震中距小,震源浅,成为水利工程抗震设防的重要因素。已有震例还证明,水库规模越大,诱震的可能性越大,诱震的最大震级Mmax(以下简写M)也越高。我们曾提出用水库的“综合影响参数E”来表征水库的“规模”,并给出了M～E回归关系式。本文在补充了部分震例资料,并把M和E以及最大库深Hmax(以下简写H)都视为随机量,经模式识别的分类判别后把所用震例分为两组(第一组为M≥4.5的21个震例:第二组为全部37个震例),把变量E取为确定量或取为随机量和把变量E、lnH取为两个随机量与M进行了回归。回归结果:第一组的双随机量(M、E)模型的回归标准差为口σ_M=0.610,变异系数V=0.118,三随机量(M,E,H)σ_M=0.576。V=0.111;第二组的双随机量的σ_M=1.028,V=0.234,三随机量时σ_M=1.032,V=0.235。说明第一组三随机量模型对可能发生M≥4.5级的新建水库的最大诱震震级的预测是可用的。  相似文献   

参数估计的统一模型——广义Gauss-Markov模型     

陶本藻  刘大杰 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1990,(4)

设计矩阵可以是秩亏阵,观测值的协方差阵可以是奇异阵的广义 Gauss-Markov模型(简称广义G-M模型),它是一种形式简单的统一模型。本文从最小二乘估计V~TQ~-V=min 出发,研究广义G-M 模型的参数估计理论和方法。说明了V~TQV~-=min与 Rao及Bjeharmmar等的平差原则一致。并对广义 G-M模型之解及其性质进行了系统讨论。  相似文献   

Inverse methods for subsurface flow: A critical review of stochastic techniques     

T. R. Ginn  J. H. Cushman 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1990,4(1):1-26

The development of stochastic methods for groundwater flow representation has undergone enormous expansion in recent years. The calibration of groundwater models, the inverse problem, has lately received comparable attention especially and almost exclusively from the stochastic perspective. In this review we trace the evolution of the methods to date with a specific view toward identifying the most important issues involved in the usefulness of the approaches. The methods are critiqued regarding practical usefulness, and future directions for requisite study are discussed.  相似文献