陀螺经纬仪时间观测数据函数模型的研究     

李清泉 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1990,(3)

本文运用最小二乘谱分析的原理,对陀螺经纬仪时间观测数据进行分析,提出了一种较以前采用的函数模型更为简便、实用的函数模型,并利用实测数据分析了测时定向方法的精度。  相似文献   

用时间序列模拟和预报天山乌鲁木齐河源1号冰川年径流总量     

宋强  陈靖 《冰川冻土》1990,(2)

本文把1958—1984年天山乌鲁木齐河源1号冰川的融水径流总量的时间序列X(t),分解为趋势项L(t)、周期项P(t)、平稳项S(t)、随机项ε(t),使该时间序列表示为X(t)=L(t)+P(t)+S(t)+ε(t)。采用非线性回归提取L(t),用谱分析和Fourier级数提取P(t),余差用自回归方程建模,用上述项的叠加作出预报,按相关指数公式计算R=0.90,效果良好。  相似文献   

A univariate model for long-term streamflow forecasting   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

P. F. Krstanovic  V. P. Singh 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1991,5(3):173-188

This paper, the first in a series of two, employs the principle of maximum entropy (POME) via maximum entropy spectral analysis (MESA) to develop a univariate model for long-term streamflow forecasting. Three cases of streamflow forecasting are investigated: forward forecasting, backward forecasting (or reconstruction) and intermittent forecasting (or filling in missing records). Application of the model is discussed in the second paper.  相似文献   

A SEARCH TECHNIQUE FOR CHOOSING OPTIMUM PARAMETERS IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION     

Liu Jin  Yan Hong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1991,5(5):598-607

The steepest descent(or ascent)search is employed for finding optimum diffusion coefficients in T42L9Gmodel,with a view to improving the model's computational stability or prediction accuracy.The method of thesteepest descent search is first described,in which the golden section search is chosen as the fundamental one-dimensional search used in the multi-dimentional steepest descent search,and then the optimization of the dif-fusion coefficients is described.  相似文献   

Characteristics　and　analysis　of　the　geomagnetic　variations　in　regions　around　the　Qiongzhou　Strait     

范国华  姚同起  顾左文  朱克佳  陈伯舫  冯戬云 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,(2)

Ｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓ　ａｎｄ　ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ　ｏｆ　ｔｈｅ　ｇｅｏｍａｇｎｅｔｉｃ　ｖａｒｉａｔｉｏｎｓ　ｉｎ　ｒｅｇｉｏｎｓ　ａｒｏｕｎｄ　ｔｈｅ　Ｑｉｏｎｇｚｈｏｕ　Ｓｔｒａｉｔ（范国华）（姚同起）（顾左文）（朱克佳）（陈伯舫）（冯戬...  相似文献   

参考大气在中期天气预报和气候模拟中的应用     

陈嘉滨  舒静君 《大气科学》1994,18(6):660-673

本文概述了根据应用参考大气概念提出的参考大气谱模式计算格式（或称静力扣除法）在国内外一些气象机构的中期天气预报、后处理和四维同化、以及气候模拟中的应用。计算表明，这种参考大气谱模式计算格式，能有效的减少截谱误差，明显地改进中期天气预报和气候模拟。  相似文献   

A review of methods used to determine the fractal dimension of linear features   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

Brian Klinkenberg 《Mathematical Geology》1994,26(1):23-46

An in-depth review of the more commonly applied methods used in the determination of the fractal dimension of one-dimensional curves is presented. Many often conflicting opinions about the different methods have been collected and are contrasted with each other. In addition, several little known but potentially useful techniques are also reviewed. General recommendations which should be considered whenever applying any method are made.  相似文献   

Exploratory spectral analysis of hydrological times series     

A. Ian McLeod  K. W. Hipel 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1995,9(3):171-205

Current methods of estimation of the univariate spectral density are reviewed and some improvements are made. It is suggested that spectral analysis may perhaps be best thought of as another exploratory data analysis (EDA) tool which complements, rather than competes with, the popular ARMA model building approach. A new diagnostic check for ARMA model adequacy based on the nonparametric spectral density is introduced. Additionally, two new algorithms for fast computation of the autoregressive spectral density function are presented. For improving interpretation of results, a new style of plotting the spectral density function is suggested. Exploratory spectral analyses of a number of hydrological time series are performed and some interesting periodicities are suggested for further investigation. The application of spectral analysis to determine the possible existence of long memory in natural time series is discussed with respect to long riverflow, treering and mud varve series. Moreover, a comparison of the estimated spectral densities suggests the ARMA models fitted previously to these datasets adequately describe the low frequency component. Finally, the software and data used in this paper are available by anonymous ftp from fisher.stats.uwo.ca.  相似文献   

ANALYSIS OF SPHERICAL FUNCTION SPECTRAL STRUCTURE OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 500 HPA MONTHLY MEAN HEIGHT^*          下载免费PDF全文

Wang Panxing  Wu Hongbao 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1995,9(2):237-248

Study is undertaken of spherical function spectral structures of long-term mean and anomaly patterns of the Northern Hemisphere 500 hPa monthly mean geopotential height together with the seasonal and interannual variations investigated.Results show that they are marked by low dimensions and low orders,and the mean and anomaly fields can be described in terms of 20 and 50 spherical function components,respectively.  相似文献   

区域航空γ能谱场地球化学解释及预测方法的探讨     

孙念义 《铀矿地质》1987,(5)

本文以“铀矿区域评价准则”为依据,试用因子分析主成分比值法,铀对钍(钾)的区域相对场法和铀成矿有利指数法,对我国YW-10和YW-10B两个测区的区域航空γ能谱场进行了地球化学解释及预测方法的研究,与已知矿区660测区从宏观上做了对比分析,并研究了γ能谱参数在走向长270km,宽50—70km空间上的分布变化规律。研究结果表明,这些方法对了解成岩时原始铀的分布及后期铀的地球化学活动规律,估计成岩、成矿阶段铀源岩可能提供的生铀量,识别铀成矿有利地区是有用的。  相似文献