沉积物粒度组分空间预测的神经网络残余kriging方法     

刘付程  杨毅  张林  魏陶荣馨  王宇涵  夏量 《海洋通报》2020,39(3):363-371

针对近海表层沉积物粒度组分空间变异的尺度差异性,提出了基于广义回归神经网络残余kriging的沉积物粒度组分空间预测方法,并以海州湾沉积物粒度数据为基础,分析了其在沉积物粒度组分空间预测和底质类型制图中的应用效果。结果表明,广义回归神经网络残余kriging方法能够获得比普通kriging方法更高的沉积物粒度组分空间预测精度,并且其底质类型的总体空间预测精度达到85%以上,相应的Kappa系数也在0.8以上,显示底质制图的预测类型与样本的实测类型具有较高的一致性。新方法对于开展定量化的沉积物粒度组分空间预测和底质类型制图具有参考价值。  相似文献   

COMPARATIVE STUDY ON THE SEISMIC RETROFIT OF A MID-RISE STEEL BUILDING: STEEL BRACING VS ENERGY DISSIPATION     

ARTURO TENA-COLUNGA  ALEJANDRO VERGARA 《地震工程与结构动力学》1997,26(6):637-655

The paper presents a comparative study of an existing retrofit for a mid-rise steel building using additional stiff steel braced-frames against an alternate retrofit using ADAS (Added Damping and Stiffness) passive energy dissipation devices. The subject building, located near Alameda Park in downtown Mexico City, is a ten-storey office building that was built in the 1950s. The structure was damaged during the 1985 Michoacán Earthquake because of resonant response with the site. The building was later retrofitted using additional braced frames according to the seismic provisions of Mexico's 1987 Federal District Code. The retrofit scheme was planned to take the structure away from resonant responses and to inhibit structural damage. A proposed upgrade using ADAS energy dissipation devices was studied to compare energy dissipation against traditional stiffening using steel braces as retrofit options for mid-rise buildings in Mexico City's lake-bed zone. Different sets of analyses were carried out to compare both alternatives: (a) three-dimensional elastic analyses; (b) limit analyses and; (c) nonlinear dynamic analyses for postulated site ground motions for a M_s=8.1 earthquake. Initial costs of the retrofit schemes were also studied. The comparative studies suggest that a retrofit using ADAS devices would have a better dynamic performance than the one using steel braces. However, the steel bracing retrofit provides more strength and its initial cost of retrofit is less than that of the ADAS retrofit. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

南极格罗夫山陨石岩石学特征Ⅰ:非平衡L3型普通球粒陨石   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

缪秉魁  林杨挺  欧阳自远  周新华 《极地研究》2002,14(4):276-287

我国第16次南极科学考察队在格罗夫山区域的蓝冰表面回收到28块陨石,其中有6块属于非平衡型(即3型)普通球粒陨石。它们保存了原始的岩石矿物学特征,包括非常清晰的球粒结构、基质未重结晶和不透明、橄榄石和低钙辉石颗粒具有明显的成分环带和极不均一的化学组成等。Fe-Ni合金含量、含Fe总量和橄榄石成分综合分析表明这6块陨石全部属于低铁群(L)。因为非平衡普通球粒陨石橄榄石成分变化的PMD(Fa)值与岩石类型亚型有良好的相关性,因此,根据橄榄石Fa的PMD标准这6块陨石被划分为如下亚型:GRV 99019为3.6型,GRV99020、GRV 99021和GRV 99026为3.5型,GRV 99001为3.4型,GRV 99022为3.0—3.4型。  相似文献   

基于指示和普通克里金的不连续地层厚度估计方法     

李晓军  张振远 《岩土力学》2014,35(10):2881-2887

因为克里金插值方法考虑了样本的空间统计特征而被广泛应用于地层建模。但对于地层尖灭、缺失等不连续地层情况,常用的克里金方法（如普通克里金方法）通常给出较为平滑的地层厚度估计结果,在地层分布边缘的局部范围内与实际情况相差较大。针对不连续地层,提出一种采用指示克里金和普通克里金相结合的地层厚度估计方法。该方法首先采用指示克里金方法估计地层分布范围,然后采用普通克里金方法估计分布范围内的地层厚度,并根据估计标准差来评价地层厚度的不确定性。将提出的方法应用于上海长江隧道的地层建模,通过交叉验证,证明了该方法在地层分布边缘的局部范围内能明显改善地厚度估计结果,标准差降低了15%～18%,得到了比普通克里金和线性插值方法更接近真实情况的地层厚度估计值。  相似文献   

某污染场地土壤苯并(a)芘含量的三维估值及不确定性分析   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

陶欢  廖晓勇  阎秀兰  赵丹  马栋  李鹏 《地理研究》2014,33(10):1857-1865

污染场地修复前的准确评估是开展场地修复行动的基础和前提。建立了一套评估污染场地中污染土方量的三维插值方法,采用该方法模拟了某污染场地土壤苯并(a)芘(BaP)含量的空间分布并分析其不确定性。结果表明：场地地下环境中BaP含量数据服从对数正态分布,土壤中污染严重区域分别位于研究区的西南部和北部。通过普通克里格插值得到的BaP浓度超过0.4 mg·kg^-1的污染羽体积为14134 m³,对应的累积概率为0.585。依据给定变差范围值计算,得出现有收集数据对整个场地的描述程度为65%。基于该三维插值方法能准确地反映场地污染物空间分布特征,其不确定性分析可为补充采样布点及精准评估提供参考。  相似文献   

Seismic demand models for probabilistic risk analysis of near fault vertical ground motion effects on ordinary highway bridges     

Zeynep Gulerce  Emrah Erduran  Sashi K. Kunnath  Norman A. Abrahamson 《地震工程与结构动力学》2012,41(2):159-175

The influence of vertical ground motions on the seismic response of highway bridges is not very well understood. Recent studies suggest that vertical ground motions can substantially increase force and moment demands on bridge columns and girders and cannot be overlooked in seismic design of bridge structures. For an evaluation of vertical ground motion effects on the response of single‐bent two‐span highway bridges, a systematic study combining the critical engineering demand parameters (EDPs) and ground motion intensity measures (IMs) is required. Results of a parametric study examining a range of highway bridge configurations subjected to selected sets of horizontal and vertical ground motions are used to determine the structural parameters that are significantly amplified by the vertical excitations. The amplification in these parameters is modeled using simple equations that are functions of horizontal and vertical spectral accelerations at the corresponding horizontal and vertical fundamental periods of the bridge. This paper describes the derivation of seismic demand models developed for typical highway overcrossings by incorporating critical EDPs and combined effects of horizontal and vertical ground motion IMs depending on the type of the parameter and the period of the structure. These models may be used individually as risk‐based design tools to determine the probability of exceeding the critical levels of EDP for pre‐determined levels of ground shaking or may be included explicitly in probabilistic seismic risk assessments. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

珠江口西部海域表层沉积物重金属元素多尺度空间变化特征     

赵建如  初凤友  金路  杨克红  葛倩 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2015,45(6):1772-1780

笔者应用因子克里格分析方法,研究了珠江口西部海域388个表层沉积物中7种重金属元素Cd, Ni,Cu,Zn,Pb,Cr和As的空间结构特征,识别并分离了重金属元素不同尺度的空间主成分及其分布特征,探讨了不同空间尺度重金属的物源及控制因素。结果显示,研究区7种重金属元素在空间上存在块金尺度、局部尺度(变程为60 km的球状结构)和区域尺度(变程为160 km的球状结构)3种尺度的空间变化。以迭代算法模拟了研究区重金属元素线性协同区域化模型。根据不同尺度上区域化因子的主成分得分分布特征可知:局部尺度上,F₁因子(Zn,Cr,Ni,Cu)和F₂因子(As)的高值区表现为"牛眼"状局部特征,并分布在陆地沿海的河口或者港湾区,指示了可能受人为污染成分影响的重金属区域。其中,雷州半岛东部沿海是最可能的重金属污染区,其空间分布主要受控于局部的地形、海流等因素。F₂因子不同于F₁的空间分布,主要在于As不同于Zn,Cr,Ni,Cu等的地球化学行为。区域尺度上,F₁(Zn,Cr,Ni)和F₂(As)因子主要反映了不同陆源母岩物质的影响。Zn,Cr,Ni等主要源于华南大陆陆源母岩物质,而As主要受到海南岛陆源母岩物质的控制。F₁和F₂因子得分高值区整体上表现为NNE向自陆地向较深海域延伸的"片状"分布特征,推测其主要受到海平面变化及NNE向区域性海洋环流的控制。  相似文献   

Optimal design of rain gauge network in the Middle Yarra River catchment,Australia   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

Sajal Kumar Adhikary  Abdullah Gokhan Yilmaz  Nitin Muttil 《水文研究》2015,29(11):2582-2599

Rainfall data are a fundamental input for effective planning, designing and operating of water resources projects. A well‐designed rain gauge network is capable of providing accurate estimates of necessary areal average and/or point rainfall estimates at any desired ungauged location in a catchment. Increasing network density with additional rain gauge stations has been the main underlying criterion in the past to reduce error and uncertainty in rainfall estimates. However, installing and operation of additional stations in a network involves large cost and manpower. Hence, the objective of this study is to design an optimal rain gauge network in the Middle Yarra River catchment in Victoria, Australia. The optimal positioning of additional stations as well as optimally relocating of existing redundant stations using the kriging‐based geostatistical approach was undertaken in this study. Reduction of kriging error was considered as an indicator for optimal spatial positioning of the stations. Daily rainfall records of 1997 (an El Niño year) and 2010 (a La Niña year) were used for the analysis. Ordinary kriging was applied for rainfall data interpolation to estimate the kriging error for the network. The results indicate that significant reduction in the kriging error can be achieved by the optimal spatial positioning of the additional as well as redundant stations. Thus, the obtained optimal rain gauge network is expected to be appropriate for providing high quality rainfall estimates over the catchment. The concept proposed in this study for optimal rain gauge network design through combined use of additional and redundant stations together is equally applicable to any other catchment. © 2014 The Authors. Hydrological Processes published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.  相似文献   

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李振海  汪海洪 《大地测量与地球动力学》2010,30(1):140-144

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刘晓刚  吴晓平  王宝军  庞振兴 《大地测量与地球动力学》2010,30(6):60-65

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