多种风电场风速预报订正方法的适用性研究与集成应用          下载免费PDF全文

徐丽娜  申彦波  冯震  叶虎 《干旱区地理》2022,45(4):1114-1124

以内蒙古中部某风电场为实验风电场,采用随机森林（Random forest,RF）方法、相似误差订正（Analogue correction of errors,ACE）方法以及概率密度匹配方法（Probability density function matching method,PDF）分别对风电场风速预报进行订正及适用性研究。结果表明：3种方法在各季均对中尺度天气预报模式（Weather research and forecasting model, WRF）风速预报具有不同程度的订正效果,RF方法可以有效改善WRF误差较大的问题,但兼具误差过分放大情况,ACE方法和PDF虽然对较大误差的改善能力不及RF方法,但是能够较好地控制误差过分放大问题。此外,3种方法针对小于5 m·s^-1的小风速段,订正效果不理想,随着风速的增加,订正能力逐渐增强。参照预报模型各自的优势,尝试开展多种预报模型的分风速等级集成应用,可以对不同风速等级下的WRF预报起到较好的改善作用。  相似文献   

Analysis on monthly-averaged distribution of sea surface wind and wave over the seas southeast of Asia using ERS-2 scatterometer data     

赵喜喜  侯一筠  李明悝  齐鹏 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2006,24(1):97-102

The wind system over the seas southeast of Asia (SSEA) plays an important role in China's climate variation. In this paper, ERS scatterometer winds covering the period from January 2000 to December 2000 and the area of 2-41 °N, 105- 130°E were analyzed with a distance-weighting interpolation method and the monthly mean distribution of the sea surface wind speed were given. The seasonal characteristics of winds in the SSEA were analyzed. Based on WAVEWATCH Ⅲ model, distribution of significant wave height was calculated.  相似文献   

ESTIMATION OF SOUNDING ABILITY OF A BRILLOUIN LIDAR IN THE EAST CHINA SEA     

吴东宋小全  刘智深 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2001,19(3):193-199

Vertical profiles of sound speed in the sea can be measured by using laser excited Brillouin scattering. In this paper the dependence of the accuracy of sound speed measurement on the accuracy of the Brillouin shift measurement is analyzed. We calculated the maximum detecting depths of sound speed to an accuracy of 1 m/s by lidar with different laser pulse energy, platform altitude, telescope aperture and lidar effective attenuation coefficient. The estimation of sounding ability in the East China Sea is made in some stations. These data can be used in the design of Brillouin Lidar for the China Sea.  相似文献   

Inbank and overbank velocity conditions in an arid zone anastomosing river     

A. David Knighton  Gerald C. Nanson 《水文研究》2002,16(9):1771-1791

Relative to those at sub‐bankfull flow, hydraulic conditions at overbank flow, whether in the channel or on the floodplain, are poorly understood. Here, velocity conditions are analysed over an unusually wide range of flows in the arid zone river of Cooper Creek with its complex system of anastomosing channels and large fluctuations in floodplain width. At‐a‐station hydraulic geometry relationships reveal sharp discontinuities in velocity at the inbank–overbank transition, the nature of the discontinuity varying with the degree of flow confinement and the level of channel–floodplain interaction. However, despite inter‐sectional differences, velocities remain modest throughout the flow range in this low‐gradient river, and the large increases in at‐a‐station discharge are principally accommodated by changes in cross‐sectional area. Velocity distribution plots suggest that within‐channel conditions during overbank flow are characterized by a central band of high velocity which penetrates far toward the bed, helping to maintain already deep cross‐sections. Floodplain resistance along Cooper Creek is concentrated at channel bank tops where vegetation density is highest, and the subsequent flow retardation is transmitted across the surface of the channels over distances as large as 50–70 m. The rough floodplain surface affects flood wave transmission, producing significant decreases in wave speeds downstream. The character of the wave‐speed–discharge relationship also changes longitudinally, from log–linear in the upper reaches to nonlinear where the floodplain broadens appreciably. The nonlinear form is similar in several respects to relationships proposed for more humid rivers, with flood wave speed reaching an intermediate maximum at about four‐fifths bankfull discharge before decreasing to a minimum at approximately Q_2·33. It does not regain the value at the intermediate maximum until the 10 year flood, by which time floodplain depths have become relatively large and broad floodways more active. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Methods and Results of an Optical Search for Extraterrestrial Civilizations     

G. Beskin  N. Borisov  V. Komarova  S. Mitronova  S. Neizvestny  V. Plokhotnichenko  M. Popova 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1997,248(1-2):51-57

I summarize fully-sampled observations of the 3 mm emission from CO and HCN in the inner arcminute of NGC 1068. The CO emission is distributed in the form of a molecular bar, coincident with the infrared bar, from which emanate two spiral arms. A relatively weak concentration of CO line emission is found at the nucleus. By contrast, the HCN emission is strongly concentrated at the center, with relatively weak emission in the region of the star-forming arms. The ratio of HCN to CO integrated intensities is about 0.6 over the central r ≉ 175 pc and is the highest ratio measured in the center of any galaxy; the ratio reflects the high thermal pressure (TK ~ 50 K, n[H2] ~ 4 × 106 cm-3) in the few hundred parsecs surrounding the nucleus. The kinematics in the star-forming arms are well described by circular orbits, with ordered noncircular motions of < 30 km s-1 that may be attributed to spiral density wave streaming. Interior to the bar, noncircular motions dominate the gas kinematics. A model of the CO kinematics contrains any Inner Lindblad Resonance to be close to the location of the hundred-parsec scale HCN ‘disk’. At the nucleus, the spatially unresolved CO emission shows a triplet velocity structure characteristic of kinematically independent regions. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

超声波测风仪设计中几个问题的探讨   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

邓昌建  张江林  王保强 《成都信息工程学院学报》2007,22(5):581-583

通过比较Gill仪器的Winsonic 2D测风仪和螺旋浆式风速风向计05103L的实测效果,分析了超声波测风仪测风的特点.进而分析了几种超声波测风的检测机理、系统组成和设计的注意事项;同时探讨了如何解决超声波测风仪目前使用中存在的一些问题(如:全天候使用、环境影响补偿等).最后讨论了超声波的传输特性和大气中的杂质对风速、风向测量的影响.  相似文献   

盾构下穿高铁路基变形规律模型试验研究     

刘勇  周怡晟  索晓明  樊浩博  曹毅泽  杜志田 《岩土力学》2023,(4):941-951

为了探究盾构下穿施工对高铁路基U型槽结构和地层的变形影响规律,以拟建的石家庄市轨道交通4号线下穿京石高速铁路路基为工程背景,基于几何相似比配制了地层和结构模型试验材料,设计了试验监测系统,采用φ1 200 mm小型盾构机进行了盾构隧洞顶距路基管桩底不同距离的2组室内模型试验。结果表明：随着距离盾构隧道拱顶距离的增大,地层沉降减小,盾构施工对地层的影响范围约为2倍洞径,显著影响区为1倍洞径;随着埋深的增大,盾构施工引起结构下方地层的沉降减小,距盾构隧道顶距离分别为0.5倍洞径和1倍洞径时沉降最大差值为10%;U型槽结构与相邻地层间产生脱空,盾尾脱出阶段发生的地层沉降占比大于74%。建议管片拼装完成后采用保水性好且有一定早期强度的注浆填充材料,以控制沉降变形,同时进行地层深孔注浆,及时充填松动地层孔隙,增加地层密实度。  相似文献   

Characteristics and variation law of wind-blown sand delivered to the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River under a changing environment     

Zhichun Yue  Ximin Yuan  Lugan Cao  Fuchang Tian  Chao Han  Hongwu Zhang 《国际泥沙研究》2022,37(2):188-201

Wind-blown sand is one of the key factors affecting the evolution of sediment transport,erosion,and deposition in rivers crossing desert areas.However,the differences and complex variations in the spatial and temporal distribution of the underlying surface conditions are seldom considered in research on the river inflow of wind-blown sand over a long time period.The Yellow River contains a large amount of sediment.The Ningxia-Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River was selected as the research ...  相似文献   

GPS-RTK无验潮测深精度影响因素分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘文勇  郑晖 《测绘科学》2015,(11):7-12

针对目前GPS-RTK联合单波束无验潮测深虽然从理论上消除了潮位模型误差的影响,但未顾及测量船受风浪、海流、潮汐等作用引起的姿态影响、GPS与测深仪信号不同步的影响、测深仪信号延迟和水中声速变化的影响等问题,为了提高海洋测深成果的精度,文章在分析这些影响因素产生机理的基础上,结合当前常用的外业作业设备,仿真模拟了各种测深作业状况,并分别定量计算了各种状况下上述因素引起的定位和测深误差,然后依据分析计算结果,给出了相应的解决办法,可为测深外业作业人员区分误差量级,进而优化作业方案提供参考。  相似文献   

改进的灰色模型在高铁沉降预测中的应用     

明祖涛  刘军  夏力  黄文华 《测绘科学》2015,40(4):137-140

针对目前灰色模型在高速铁路沉降预测中存在的不足之处,该文提出了一种通过改善原始数据序列的光滑度来提高灰色模型预测精度的方法,并结合实例,验证了改进灰色模型在高速铁路沉降预测中的可行性,为今后高速铁路的沉降预测评估提供了更多的参考和借鉴。  相似文献