A review of assessment methods for cellular automata models of land-use change and urban growth     

Xiaohua Tong 《International journal of geographical information science》2020,34(5):866-898

ABSTRACT

Cellular automata (CA) models are in growing use for land-use change simulation and future scenario prediction. It is necessary to conduct model assessment that reports the quality of simulation results and how well the models reproduce reliable spatial patterns. Here, we review 347 CA articles published during 1999–2018 identified by a Scholar Google search using ‘cellular automata’, ‘land’ and ‘urban’ as keywords. Our review demonstrates that, during the past two decades, 89% of the publications include model assessment related to dataset, procedure and result using more than ten different methods. Among all methods, cell-by-cell comparison and landscape analysis were most frequently applied in the CA model assessment; specifically, overall accuracy and standard Kappa coefficient respectively rank first and second among all metrics. The end-state assessment is often criticized by modelers because it cannot adequately reflect the modeling ability of CA models. We provide five suggestions to the method selection, aiming to offer a background framework for future method choices as well as urging to focus on the assessment of input data and error propagation, procedure, quantitative and spatial change, and the impact of driving factors.  相似文献   

Micromechanical model of weakly‐cemented sediments     

R. Holtzman 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2012,36(7):944-958

Experiments indicate that the bulk stiffness of weakly‐cemented granular materials increases significantly with the applied load, a nonlinearity which is not captured by most micromechanical models. Here, we study the deformation of weakly‐cemented materials through grain‐scale simulations. We show that the frequently‐made assumption of linear‐elastic cement and intergranular contact area which varies according to a Hertzian‐type model cannot explain the observed nonlinearity of the bulk response. We introduce the micromechanical effect of mechanisms such as closure and opening of microcracks, granular cement and material heterogeneity through an effective contact stiffness which depends on the local deformation. We find that an exponential dependence between the effective stiffness and the local deformation, with a high exponent value, provides bulk stiffness which is in good agreement with experimental data. The inability of models with weaker intergranular stiffness‐deformation dependence to reproduce the experimental data demonstrates the highly‐nonlinear nature of the intergranular deformation. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for grain‐scale mechanisms in modeling granular materials, and provide a plausible explanation for the nonlinear behavior of weakly‐cemented sediments. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Analytical approach for circular-jointed shield tunnel lining based on the state space method     

Jinchang Wang  Weiming Huang  Riqing Xu  Zhongxuan Yang  Rongqiao Xu 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2020,44(5):575-595

This paper presents a new analytical solution to the circular segmental tunnel lining subjected to overburden and surrounding earth pressures. The governing equations are derived by adopting the curved Euler beam theory and the principle of minimum potential energy. Based on the state space method, the displacements and the relevant energy-conjugated internal forces are treated as the fundamental unknown state vector and can be obtained by solving the state function. The inter-segment joints on the lining are modeled by a set of linear springs, including shear, compression, and rotation. The presented method allows for the arbitrary distribution of the segmented joints and loads along the circumferential direction. The most striking advantages of the proposed method include the rigid body displacement treatment, lining-displacement-dependent soil reaction, and internal force direction dependency of the joint stiffness. Using this method, the displacements and internal forces of the entire lining can be obtained conveniently and simultaneously under the arbitrary loading and joint distribution conditions. The verification of the analytical solutions is provided by several examples.  相似文献   

Study of wave attenuation across parallel fractures using propagator matrix method     

J. B. Zhu  J. Zhao  J. G. Cai 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2012,36(10):1264-1279

Stress wave attenuation across fractured rock masses is a great concern of underground structure safety. This paper presents an analytical study on wave attenuation across parallel fractures at arbitrary incidence angles, where multiple reflections occurring between fractures are taken into account. Combined with displacement discontinuous model, plane wave analysis and propagator matrix method are applied to develop relations between the first layer and the nth layer with respect to potential amplitudes or displacements and stresses in matrix form. With initial and boundary conditions for different scenarios, potential amplitudes in any layer or displacements and stresses at any point can be obtained by solving corresponding matrixes. After parametric studies, it is found that parameters including incidence angle, normalized fracture stiffness, number of fractures, and fracture spacing have obvious effects on wave attenuation across parallel fractures. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Influence of crack distribution of rocks on P‐wave velocity anisotropy – a laboratory and field scale study‡     

Jan Vilhelm  Vladimír Rudajev  Roman Živor  Tomáš Lokajíček  Zdeněk Pros 《Geophysical Prospecting》2010,58(6):1099-1110

The purpose of this paper is the comparison of P‐wave velocity and velocity anisotropy, measured at different scales under laboratory and field conditions. A shallow seismic refraction survey with shot/receiver spacing of up to 10 m was carried out on a flat outcrop of lhertzolite in the southern part of the Balmuccia massif. Oriented rock samples were also obtained from the locality. The particular advantage of the laboratory method used is the possibility of measuring velocity in any direction under controlled conditions. Laboratory tests were made on spherical peridotite samples, 50 mm in diameter, by ultrasonic velocity measurements in 132 directions (meridian and parallel networks) under confining stress ranging from atmospheric to 400 MPa. The mean P‐wave velocity of the field and laboratory data differed by between 20–30%. In addition, P‐wave velocity anisotropy of 25% was detected in the field data. Whereas the anisotropy in the laboratory samples in the same orientation as the field surveys was less than 2%. This observed scaling factor is related to the different sampling sizes and the difference in frequencies of applied elastic waves. With an ultrasonic wavelength of 10 mm, laboratory samples represent a continuum. The field velocities and velocity anisotropy reflect the presence of cracks, which the laboratory rock samples do not contain. Three sub‐vertical fracture sets with differing strikes were observed in the field outcrop. Estimates of fracture stiffness from the velocity anisotropy data are consistent with other published values. These results highlight the difficulty of using laboratory velocity estimates to interpret field data.  相似文献   

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唐利民  朱建军 《大地测量与地球动力学》2010,30(1):95-98

???????Landweber???????x ^?? _k+1=x ^?? _k-f??(x ^?? _k) ^*(f(x ^?? _k)-y ^??) ???з??????????????????????????????????????????????????1/????? |(B??(x _k)B(x _k))|???????????μ???????????????С?????????Landweber???????, x ^?? _k+1=x ^?? _k-??(B??(x ^?? _k)B(x ^?? _k)) ^*B??(x ^?? _k)(f(x ^?? _k)-y ^??) ??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????ó?????[WTBZ]Landweber??????????????????????????????????????????С????????????  相似文献   

三门峡地区黄土状粉质黏土非饱和性质试验研究     

黄志全  陈宇  宋日英  宋丽娟 《岩土力学》2010,31(6):1759-1762

以三门峡地区黄土状粉质黏土为研究对象,通过控制重塑土样的干密度及含水率制备不同状态下的试样,在改进的三轴仪上采用不排水试验法,分别对试样进行非饱和土三轴试验。试验结果表明,黄土状粉质黏土的基质吸力变化规律与土的基本状态有着密切关系,尤其是在相同含水率、相同围压、不同干密度的状态下基质吸力会随着饱和度的增加,出现先增后减的变化规律。通过单元土体中土颗粒组成的结构体参数,分析了这种变化规律。  相似文献   

考虑基质收缩效应的煤层气应力场-渗流场耦合作用分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

周军平  鲜学福  姜永东  李晓红  姜德义 《岩土力学》2010,31(7):2317-2323

在煤层气的初级生产过程中,为了获取较高的生产率,需要降低储层压力,储层压力下降对于煤层气的渗透率具有两个相反的效应：（1）储层压力下降,有效应力增加,煤层裂隙压缩闭合,渗透率降低;（2）煤层气解吸,煤基质收缩,煤层气流动路径张开,渗透率升高。Shi和Durucan、Palmer-Mansoori以及Gray等都建立了包含了基质收缩效应以及有效应力的影响的渗透率模型,其模型都基于以下两个关键假设：煤岩体处于单轴应变状态以及竖向应力恒定。为了检验上述两个假设的合理性,建立了一个考虑基质收缩效应以及渗流场-应力场耦合作用下的煤层气流动模型,对煤层气初级生产过程中渗透率的变化进行了耦合分析。分析结果表明：单轴应变的假设具有合理性,而竖向应力是随指向生产井的应变梯度的变化而变化的,其对于渗透率的变化具有重要影响,因此,竖向应力恒定的假设可能导致渗透率预测出现误差;上述渗透率模型都可能低估煤层气初级生产过程中渗透率的变化。  相似文献   

三维横观各向同性成层地基的传递矩阵解   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

艾智勇  成怡冲 《岩土力学》2010,31(Z2):25-30

通过解耦变换推导出三维直角坐标系下横观各向同性地基的非耦合状态方程;利用双重Fourier变换以及Cayley-Hamilton定理得到了单层地基的传递矩阵;结合边界条件和层间连续条件进而得其传递矩阵解。编制了相应程序并进行了数值计算与分析,结果表明：数值结果与已有文献结果十分吻合,地基的横观各向同性性质与成层性质对受荷地基中竖向位移和应力的影响较为显著。  相似文献   

T形截面短肢剪力墙刚度及延性研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李青宁  李晓蕾  雷伟宁 《地震工程与工程振动》2010,30(1)

基于T形截面的六片短肢剪力墙,两片普通剪力墙在低周反复水平荷载作用下的试验,描述了短肢剪力墙的破坏现象。通过对滞回曲线及骨架曲线的分析,找出短肢剪力墙试件从开始开裂直至破坏过程中刚度退化系数随试件位移变化的规律,并利用最小二乘法模拟了此曲线,给出了模拟公式。确定了试件的位移延性,比较了各试件间的差异。此外,通过与两片普通剪力墙试验结果的对比,发现当短肢剪力墙的高厚比从规范规定的8变化到普通剪力墙的9时性能差异并不明显。  相似文献