渗透率变异系数的几种计算方法——以麻黄山西区块宁东油田2、3井区为例     

朱小影  周红  余训兵 《海洋地质译丛》2009,(2):23-27

渗透率变异系数VK反映样品偏离整体平均值的程度,是评价储层宏观非均质性的最重要参数。介绍了三种渗透率变异系数的计算方法：统计学方法、Dykstra H方法和洛伦兹曲线法,并用三种方法分别计算了宁东油田2、3井区的延8和延9层的渗透率变异系数,比较了三种方法的优缺点和适用范围。实践应用表明,洛伦兹曲线法比较适合本地区的研究,因为它所求出的VK值在0和1之间,具有较强的可比性,能很明确的反应各层位非均质性的程度,而且适合任何分布类型的油藏;统计学方法计算的渗透率变异系数在0~∞之间,用这种方法计算的VK很难建立起该油藏非均质程度的概念;Dykstra H方法适用范围很小,仅适应于渗透率接近于呈对数正态分布的油藏,对本区不太适合。  相似文献   

Delineation of hydrologically similar units in a watershed based on fuzzy classification of soil hydraulic properties     

Priyabrata Santra  Bhabani Sankar Das  Debashish Chakravarty 《水文研究》2011,25(1):64-79

Evaluation of flow and transport processes in a watershed‐scale requires that the watershed be divided into homogenous spatial units referred to as hydrologically similar units (HSUs). Although a few discretization schemes are already in use, a universally acceptable method of obtaining HSUs is yet to emerge. In this study, we developed a fuzzy inference system (FIS) to classify the saturated hydraulic conductivity (K_s) and two water‐retention parameters α and n into fuzzy logic‐based soil hydrologic classes (FSHCs). Analysis of these classes showed that soil properties within an FSHC have less variability and those between two FSHCs have large variability. This result suggested that soils belonging to a specific FSHC may be more similar than those across different FSHCs and may be grouped together to represent an HSU. Soils within a specific hydrologic class were aggregated to delineate HSUs within the watershed. For the Dengei Pahad micro‐watershed (DPW), this approach showed five distinct regions representing a discretized zone having similar soil hydraulic properties. Application of this approach on a larger international database of soil hydraulic properties revealed that the developed hydrologic classes are quite comparable across different databases. The delineated HSUs based on these FSHCs were also better than the soil series map of the watershed in maintaining the soil heterogeneity of the watershed. Moreover, this new discretization scheme using the SWAT modelling environment showed better performance than the soil series‐based discretization approach. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Searching for Light Curve Evidence of Meteoroid Structure and Fragmentation     

A. J. Faloon  J. D. Thaler  and R. L. Hawkes 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2004,95(1-4):289-295

We used light curve analysis to search for evidence of the dustball meteoroid model. Leonid, Taurid, Alpha Monocerotid and sporadic meteors from November 2003 were observed and analyzed using uniform methodology. Meteors from these four sources were examined for evidence of fragmentation by examining light curve shape and searching for light curve irregularities. Differences in meteoroid structure should be reflected by differences in meteor light curves. The resulting meteor light curve F-parameter values showed no statistically significant differences between the meteors from the various cometary showers or the sporadic meteors. The F-parameter values also suggest that the meteoroids from these sources do not follow a single body ablation model, which suggests that all four sources produce meteoroids with a dustball structure.  相似文献   

Updating of snow depletion curve with remote sensing data     

Sjur A. Kolberg  Lars Gottschalk 《水文研究》2006,20(11):2363-2380

A method for using remotely sensed snow cover information in updating a hydrological model is developed, based on Bayes' theorem. A snow cover mass balance model structure adapted to such use of satellite data is specified, using a parametric snow depletion curve in each spatial unit to describe the subunit variability in snow storage. The snow depletion curve relates the accumulated melt depth to snow‐covered area, accumulated snowmelt runoff volume, and remaining snow water equivalent. The parametric formulation enables updating of the complete snow depletion curve, including mass balance, by satellite data on snow coverage. Each spatial unit (i.e. grid cell) in the model maintains a specific depletion curve state that is updated independently. The uncertainty associated with the variables involved is formulated in terms of a joint distribution, from which the joint expectancy (mean value) represents the model state. The Bayesian updating modifies the prior (pre‐update) joint distribution into a posterior, and the posterior joint expectancy replaces the prior as the current model state. Three updating experiments are run in a 2400 km² mountainous region in Jotunheimen, central Norway (61°N, 9°E) using two Landsat 7 ETM+ images separately and together. At 1 km grid scale in this alpine terrain, three parameters are needed in the snow depletion curve. Despite the small amount of measured information compared with the dimensionality of the updated parameter vector, updating reduces uncertainty substantially for some state variables and parameters. Parameter adjustments resulting from using each image separately differ, but are positively correlated. For all variables, uncertainty reduction is larger with two images used in conjunction than with any single image. Where the observation is in strong conflict with the prior estimate, increased uncertainty may occur, indicating that prior uncertainty may have been underestimated. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

SWAT模型对高精度土壤信息的敏感性研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李润奎  朱阿兴 《地球信息科学学报》2007,9(3):72-78,90

土壤信息是SWAT模型的重要输入数据,通常认为,土壤信息的精度直接影响着模拟结果的准确性。本文以美国Brewery Creek流域(19.5km²)为例,在其他输入不变的情况下,通过比较不同精度土壤数据(美国农业部SSURGO土壤图与SoLIM方法获得的土壤图)的模拟径流,分析SWAT模型对高精度土壤信息的敏感性。应用结果显示,在模型的校正前后,两种土壤数据的径流模拟结果均近似,差别并不显著。这表明在小流域水文模拟中,SWAT模型的径流模拟对高精度土壤信息的敏感性较弱,模拟径流不能很好的体现一定精度基础上土壤信息的差别。本文将此现象主要归因于:SWAT模型所采用的SCS-CN径流计算方法,在计算CN值(Curve Number)时将不同土壤类型综合到四个土壤水文组的做法,概括了土壤信息,模糊了土壤之间的属性差别,损失了土壤精度信息。本研究发现了SCS-CN径流计算方法在利用高精度土壤数据时存在的问题,并进行了分析,为水文模拟中参数的确定和数据的准备提供了参考。  相似文献   

First results of the Central-East-South European Binary Star Study Group (CESEB)     

T. Hegedüs  J. Nuspl  N. Markova  H. Markov  H. Rovithis-Livaniou  I. Vince  J. Vinkó 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2006,304(1-4):51-53

Several eclipsing binary systems have been selected for combined spectral and photometric observations using the Bulgarian NAO 2 m telescope and several smaller telescopes located at various places in the CESE region. Preliminary results, based on a pilot study started in 2001, about radial velocity and light curve variations of the active W UMa system LS Del are presented here.  相似文献   

Photometric study of the binary system NN Del     

J.M. Gómez-Forrellad  F. Sánchez-Bajo  M. Corbera-Subirana  E. GarcÍa-Melendo  J. Vidal-Sainz 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2003,283(2):297-304

We present the results of the differential V light curve analysis of NN Del. We show that NN Del is an EA eclipsing binary system with a period of 99.27 days and a highly eccentric orbit. Photometric solutions obtained using the Russell and the Wilson-Devinney models seem to indicate that both components are very similar in radii and luminosities (assuming a F5 spectral type). Constraints imposed on the V luminosity of the system by the HIPPARCOS data suggest that the components of the system could be subgiants instead of main sequence stars. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

三种方法确定济南夏季日最大边界层高度的对比研究          下载免费PDF全文

王栋成  汤子东  邱粲  曹洁  董旭光 《山东气象》2020,40(2):113-124

基于济南站边界层风廓线雷达（wind profile radar,WPR）观测的大气折射率结构常数（Cn2）,采用偏离度法确定夏季白天边界层高度（HBL）,分别与基于L波段雷达探空资料的干绝热曲线法、基于地面气象观测资料的国标法确定的HBL进行对比。结果表明：1）三种方法确定的25 d日最大HBL的平均值分别为2 500.0 m、2 529.1 m、2 469.9 m,总体一致;25 d同日期比较,偏离度法与后两者的标准偏差（σ）分别为337.1 m、636.7 m;前两方法结果的相关系数（R）较高为0.668,但两者与国标法的R分别为-0.130、-0.064,证实国标法HBL的均值准确度尚可但实时值准确度低。2）偏离度法确定的日最大HBL出现时间,25 d平均和最多均在15时,逐小时HBL07—15时呈缓慢增高态势、15—19时则快速降低;但国标法日最大HBL25 d平均和最多均出现在16时,且HBL在午后13—15时出现坍塌现象,与对流边界层午后峰值规律显著不同。3）前两种方法的HBL与地表温度、气温的相关性均较好,与风速的相关性则较差;而国标法HBL与风速的相关性较好,与地表温度、气温的相关性则较差;偏离度法日最大HBL对最高气温、最高地表温度的平均响应时间分别为1、2 h左右,符合太阳辐射—地表温度—气温—HBL的响应关系和次序,但国标法的日最大HBL未能反映这一响应。4）偏离度法HBL与各污染物的逐小时质量浓度均呈显著负相关,但国标法HBL的相关性较差。5）三种方法综合对比,偏离度法HBL准确度较高,且能给出时空演变;干绝热曲线法HBL准确度较高,但不能给出时空演变;国标法实时HBL准确度低,虽能给出时空演变但午后峰值偏差大。  相似文献   

中国电力行业碳排放达峰及减排潜力分析     

陈怡  田川  曹颖  刘强  郑晓奇 《气候变化研究进展》2020,16(5):632-640

推动电力行业低碳发展是中国有效控制CO₂排放和推动尽早达峰的重要抓手。在分别利用学习曲线工具和自下而上技术核算方式分析风电、光伏两类主要的可再生电力和其他各类电源发展趋势的基础上,综合评估了既有政策和强化政策条件下2035年前中国电力行业能源活动碳排放变化趋势。研究发现,既有政策情景下电力行业碳排放在2030年左右达到峰值,届时非化石能源在发电量中比重为44%,而通过强化推动能源绿色低碳发展的相关政策,2025年前即可达到电力行业碳排放峰值,2030年非化石电力在发电量中比重可以提升至51%,其中可再生电力加速发展将分别贡献2025、2030和2035年当年减排量（相对于既有政策情景）的45%、54%和62%。尽管从保障电力稳定安全供应角度,煤电装机仍有一定增长空间,但考虑到电力行业绿色低碳和可持续发展的长期需求,仍应加强对煤电装机的有效控制,“十四五”期间努力将煤电装机控制在11亿kW左右的水平。  相似文献   

Photometric solution and evolutionary state for the newly discovered W UMa systems GSC-02137-0222 and USNO-A2.0 1200-18678842     

《New Astronomy》2015

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