Extreme events as drivers of early human behaviour in Africa? The case for variability,not catastrophic drought     

David S. G. Thomas  Sallie L. Burrough  Adrian G. Parker 《第四纪科学杂志》2012,27(1):7-12

Extreme Late Quaternary climatic events, sometimes of considerable continental extent, are being proposed as major contributors to ancestral human behaviour, particularly migration, in Africa. Most recently, a catastrophic drought in the Afro‐Asian monsoon region has been proposed for 16 000–17 000 years ago, driven by global impacts of the Heinrich event 1 (H1), with potentially significant consequences for Palaeolithic cultures. We provide a new analysis of the assertion and find, on examination of a wide set of palaeoenvironmental records, that the scale and extent of the proposed drought is not supported. While some parts of the African tropics, close to the equator, do appear dry at this time, data for the tropics as a whole suggest markedly variable terrestrial conditions, with some environmental systems experiencing very positive hydrological excursions during H1. We contend that in the quest for evidence of climate drivers of ancestral human behaviour, the variability associated with spatially and temporally complex climatic conditions is a significant factor in itself. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The influence of dam and lakes on the Yangtze River streamflow: long‐range correlation and complexity analyses     

Qiang Zhang  Yu Zhou  Vijay P. Singh  Xiaohong Chen 《水文研究》2012,26(3):436-444

Employing long‐range correlation, complexity features and clustering, this study investigated the influence of dam and lake‐river systems on the Yangtze River flow. The impact of the Gezhouba Dam and the lake systems on streamflow was evaluated by analysing daily streamflow records at the Cuntan, the Yichang and the Datong station. Results indicated no evident influence of the Gezhouba Dam on streamflow changes. Distinct differences in scaling behaviour, long‐range correlation and clustering of streamflow at the Datong station when compared with those at the Cuntan and Yichang stations undoubtedly showed the influence of water storage and the buffering effect of the lake systems between the Datong station and other two hydrological stations on streamflow in the lower Yangtze River basin. Decreased regularity, enhanced long‐range correlation and increased clustering of streamflow in the lower Yangtze River basin due to the effect of water storage of the lake systems were corroborated. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

In situ yield behaviour of a coal pillar     

David A. Newman 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》1989,7(2):163-170

Summary An indication of the complete stress-strain behaviour of coal was obtained through instrumenting a headgate yield pillar and monitoring the changes in vertical and horizontal pillar stress, pillar strain, and roof-floor convergence as a function of time and distance from the moving longwall face. A semiautomated monitoring program was conducted over a 5 month period as the longwall face advanced toward and eventually passed the instrumented pillar. The development of a confined core and yield zone within the pillar was confirmed by the vertical and horizontal stress changes. Thein situ pre-failure (208 to 661 MPa) and post-failure moduli (55 to 208 MPa) of the coal were determined from the change in pillar stress versus pillar strain. Thein situ moduli are an order of magnitude lower than the 3450 MPa, commonly assumed for coal.  相似文献   

A note on some early radiosonde temperature observations in the Antarctic lower stratosphere     

H. R. Phillpot 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1989,130(2-3):171-180

The behaviour of the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere has attracted considerable interest, and been compared with the Northern Hemisphere, since the International Geophysical Year (1957–58) when the sudden (explosive or accelerated) springtime warming phenomenon in the Antarctic was first observed. Over the years studies of upper air temperature and wind observations have been made, principally through the spring months when the polar vortex breakdown occurs, utilising both ground-based (rawinsonde, rocket) and more recently, satellite-derived data. Although the radiosonde-derived temperature data are limited both by the number of reporting stations, and the practical difficulty of securing observations much above the 100 hPa level, useful records exist from 1956 or 1957. These have shown that in the 1959 southern spring, the lower stratosphere was relatively colder, and the warming rate through the season was essentially more regular, with little evidence of the marked but short-lived temperature fluctuations usually found. Similar, but not quite such wide-spread conditions occurred again in the 1961 spring. In another study, 30 hPa temperature fields over the Antarctic continent, which could be drawn for the 1967 spring, showed the complexity of the polar vortex breakdown. These features are recalled because extension of the 100 hPa springtime temperature series for the Australian Antarctic station at Casey (66.3°S, 110.5°E) shows that in 1985 and part of 1986, the temperature behaviour there was similar to, but not quite so extreme as that which occurred at Mirny (66.5°S, 93.0°E) in 1959.  相似文献   

吉林省中,新生代陆缘弧发展演化阶段及其类型划分     

孙永波 《吉林地质》1995,14(1):57-63

依吉林省中，新生代陆缘弧发展演化特征，将其划分为三个发展演化阶段，即陆缘弧隆断阶段（Ｔ３－Ｋ１）陆缘弧隆拗阶段（Ｋ２－Ｋ２）和陆缘弧裂解阶段（Ｅ－Ｑ）。根据陆缘弧发展演化过程中的性状变化特点，陆缘弧类型可相应地划分在挤压型陆缘弧，盆岭型陆缘弧和裂解型陆缘弧。  相似文献   

新疆黄山杂岩体矿物学特征及其意义   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

钟应先 《矿物岩石》1991,11(1):14-23

黄山杂岩体造岩矿物有橄榄石、斜方辉石、单斜辉石、斜长石、角闪石和黑云母。其中斜方辉石的多色性不是由Fe~(2+)引起,而是由Ti~(4+)引起。单斜辉石结晶后常与岩浆继续发生化学反应,形成一种岩浆岩结构——角闪反应补丁结构。橄榄石中镍含量的亏损程度反映杂岩体曾经历过硫化物熔离作用。单斜辉石Si,Al~Ⅳ,Ti的变化表明杂岩体属于拉斑玄武岩系列。超镁铁岩中K,Ba,Th,Hf等元素反常的地球化学行为是由该岩石中黑云母矿物引起。  相似文献   

短时间尺度周期性热力强迫下流型的低频振荡          下载免费PDF全文

罗哲贤 《大气科学》1991,15(3):97-104

本文在正压涡度方程中引进短时间尺度周期性热力强迫项。在一定的参数范围内,该强迫项可以引起环流指数准两至三周的低频振荡。  相似文献   

The stability and behavior of a frictional system with a two state variable constitutive law     

Michael L. Blanpied  Terry E. Tullis 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1986,124(3):415-444

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Statistical analysis of time-dependent earthquake occurrence and its impact on hazard in the low seismicity region Lower Rhine Embayment   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Licia Faenza  Sebastian Hainzl  Frank Scherbaum  Céline Beauval 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,171(2):797-806

The time-dependence of earthquake occurrence is mostly ignored in standard seismic hazard assessment even though earthquake clustering is well known. In this work, we attempt to quantify the impact of more realistic dynamics on the seismic hazard estimations. We include the time and space dependences between earthquakes into the hazard analysis via Monte Carlo simulations. Our target region is the Lower Rhine Embayment, a low seismicity area in Germany. Including aftershock sequences by using the epidemic type aftershock-sequence (ETAS) model, we find that on average the hypothesis of uncorrelated random earthquake activity underestimates the hazard by 5–10 per cent. Furthermore, we show that aftershock activity of past large earthquakes can locally increase the hazard even centuries later. We also analyse the impact of the so-called long-term behaviour, assuming a quasi-periodic occurrence of main events on a major fault in that region. We found that a significant impact on hazard is only expected for the special case of a very regular recurrence of the main shocks.  相似文献   

How can the epikarst zone influence the karst aquifer hydraulic behaviour?   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Branka Trček 《Environmental Geology》2007,51(5):761-765

The role of an epikarst zone in the karst aquifer hydraulic behaviour was brought into focus in our studies referring to the catchment area of the Hubelj spring (SW Slovenia). This study points out the significance of effects of the fast preferential flow—epiflow, which is the main factor controlling solute/contaminant transport towards the aquifer saturated zone. The so-called epikarstic hypothesis is verified on the basis of the most significant research results that are supported by the most important findings from the literature.  相似文献