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991.
A new tropical limited-area numerical model system developed in recent years is described in detail,which includes model formulation, physical processes and data initialization. Results of the application in numerical forecast from 1993 to 1995 are presented. In the forecast of typhoon, the new system shows a distinct improvement over a previous one. 相似文献
992.
993.
A genetic algorithm was used to optimize the parameters of the two-dimensional Storm Surge/Tide Operational Model (STORM) to improve sea level predictions.The genetic algorithm was applied to nine typhoons that affected the Korean Peninsula during 2005-2007.The following model parameters were used:the bottom drag coefficient,the background horizontal diffusivity,Smagorinski’s horizontal viscosity,and the sea level pressure scaling.Generally,the simulation results using the optimized,mean,and median parameter values improved sea level predictions.The four estimated parameters improved the sea level prediction by 76% and 54% in the bias and root mean square error for Typhoon Kalmaegi (0807) in 2008,respectively.One-month simulations of February and August 2008 were also improved using the estimated parameters.This study demonstrates that parameter optimization on STORM can improve sea level prediction. 相似文献
994.
By using the Advanced Regional Eta-coordinate Model (AREM),the basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Rananim are simulated and verified against observations.Five sets of experiments are designed to investigate the effects of the cloud microphysical processes on the model cloud structure and precipitation features.The importance of the ice-phase microphysics,the cooling effect related to microphysical characteristics change,and the influence of terminal velocity of graupel are examined.The results indicate that the cloud microphysical processes impact more on the cloud development and precipitation features of the typhoon than on its intensity and track.Big differences in the distribution pattern and content of hydrometeors,and types and amount of rainfall occur in the five experiments,resulting in different heating and cooling effects.The largest difference of 24-h rain rate reaches 52.5 mm h-1.The results are summarized as follows:1) when the cooling effect due to the evaporation of rain water is excluded,updrafts in the typhoon's inner core are the strongest with the maximum vertical velocity of-19 Pa s-1 and rain water and graupel grow most dominantly with their mixing ratios increased by 1.8 and 2.5 g kg-1,respectively,compared with the control experiment; 2) the melting of snow and graupel affects the growth of rain water mainly in the spiral rainbands,but much less significantly in the eyewall area; 3) the warm cloud microphysical process produces the smallest rainfall area and the largest percentage of convective precipitation (63.19%),while the largest rainfall area and the smallest percentage of convective precipitation (48.85%) are generated when the terminal velocity of graupel is weakened by half. 相似文献
995.
The T-TREC Technique for Retrieving the Winds of Landfalling Typhoons in China 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0 下载免费PDF全文
In this study, an extension of the TREC (Tracking Radar Echo by Correlations) technique, named Tropical Cyclone (TC) circulation
TREC (T-TREC), is developed to retrieve the winds of landfalling typhoons in China. The T-TREC analysis is performed on a
polar grid centered at the TC center, using arc-shaped correlation cells and an arc-shaped search area. The search for the
best correlation match is confined along the cyclonic direction with a limited search distance in the radial direction based
on the cyclonic circulation characteristics of TCs in the Northern Hemisphere. The TC center is determined objectively using
reflectivity data while the Doppler radar radial velocities are incorporated to estimate the search range and create a velocity
correlation matrix as auxiliary constraints. 相似文献
996.
利用美国国家海洋大气总局/美国国家环境预报中心(NOAA/NCEP)发布的最新版WAV-EWATCHⅢ(version3.14)海浪模式对0801号台风"浣熊"进行数值模拟,并在此基础上对台风浪的发展过程和台风影响下的海面有效波高、风浪场及涌浪场的分布特征进行分析。结果表明:海面有效波高的分布和演变受台风系统强度和移动的影响;台风过程中所产生的大浪主要为风浪;涌浪场的分布与风浪场的分布几乎相反,涌浪场基本分布在远离台风中心的外围海域;涌浪场波高比风浪场波高要小。 相似文献
997.
998.
“0814”号强台风发展维持的环境场分析 总被引:4,自引:3,他引:1
应用中国台风网提供的“黑格比”台风定位及强度资料、NCAR/NCEP再分析资料及DISCOVER项目组的卫星遥感数据对0814号强台风“黑格比”的发展、维持阶段进行了诊断分析。结果表明:西北太平洋中部异常偏高的SST为“黑格比”的生成提供了有利的背景条件,浙闽沿海及海南岛沿海异常偏高的SST为“黑格比”的发展和维持提供了有利的环境条件;西太副高断裂为东西两个单体,“黑格比”移经这两个单体之间使其强度迅速增强;南亚高压东侧的强东北气流将高位涡向台风环流输送,使得台风得以增强发展;强劲的西南季风为“黑格比”提供了充足的水汽来源,并向台风环流输送了气旋性相对涡度带,使其得以快速发展并维持强度。 相似文献
999.
1000.