The regional dynamical model of the atmospheric ozonosphere   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Wang Weiguo  Xie Yingqi  Qiu Jinhuan  Liu Qing 《大气科学进展》1998,15(1):74-82

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A fuzzy dynamic flood routing model for natural channels     

R. Gopakumar  P. P. Mujumdar 《水文研究》2009,23(12):1753-1767

A fuzzy dynamic flood routing model (FDFRM) for natural channels is presented, wherein the flood wave can be approximated to a monoclinal wave. This study is based on modification of an earlier published work by the same authors, where the nature of the wave was of gravity type. Momentum equation of the dynamic wave model is replaced by a fuzzy rule based model, while retaining the continuity equation in its complete form. Hence, the FDFRM gets rid of the assumptions associated with the momentum equation. Also, it overcomes the necessity of calculating friction slope (S_f) in flood routing and hence the associated uncertainties are eliminated. The fuzzy rule based model is developed on an equation for wave velocity, which is obtained in terms of discontinuities in the gradient of flow parameters. The channel reach is divided into a number of approximately uniform sub‐reaches. Training set required for development of the fuzzy rule based model for each sub‐reach is obtained from discharge‐area relationship at its mean section. For highly heterogeneous sub‐reaches, optimized fuzzy rule based models are obtained by means of a neuro‐fuzzy algorithm. For demonstration, the FDFRM is applied to flood routing problems in a fictitious channel with single uniform reach, in a fictitious channel with two uniform sub‐reaches and also in a natural channel with a number of approximately uniform sub‐reaches. It is observed that in cases of the fictitious channels, the FDFRM outputs match well with those of an implicit numerical model (INM), which solves the dynamic wave equations using an implicit numerical scheme. For the natural channel, the FDFRM outputs are comparable to those of the HEC‐RAS model. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Accelerating the convergence of coupled geomechanical‐reservoir simulations     

L. Jeannin  M. Mainguy  R. Masson  S. Vidal‐Gilbert 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2007,31(10):1163-1181

The pressure variations during the production of petroleum reservoir induce stress changes in and around the reservoir. Such changes of the stress state can induce marked deformation of geological structures for stress sensitive reservoirs as chalk or unconsolidated sand reservoirs. The compaction of those reservoirs during depletion affects the pressure field and so the reservoir productivity. Therefore, the evaluation of the geomechanical effects requires to solve in a coupling way the geomechanical problem and the reservoir multiphase fluid flow problem. In this paper, we formulate the coupled geomechanical‐reservoir problem as a non‐linear fixed point problem and improve the resolution of the coupling problem by comparing in terms of robustness and convergence different algorithms. We study two accelerated algorithms which are much more robust and faster than the conventional staggered algorithm and we conclude that they should be used for the iterative resolution of coupled reservoir‐geomechanical problem. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Identifying substandard vessels through Port State Control inspections: A new methodology for Concentrated Inspection Campaigns     

《Marine Policy》2015

Substandard vessels that fail to comply with international maritime regulations are the target of Port State Control inspections. Despite their significant costs, many inspections do not lead to any detentions and, in a significant number of cases, no deficiencies are detected. In this paper, quantile regressions for count data are used to estimate the likelihood of having a high number of deficiencies of a specific type. The purpose is to complement existing practices focusing on detention with the objective to improve the selection process. Similar factors influence the likelihood of having a vessel detained and that of having a vessel recording a high number of deficiencies. However, quantile regressions applied to the number of deficiencies help improving the identification of factors influencing the likelihood of finding some specific types of deficiencies, which is the focus of Concentrated Inspection Campaigns. The paper concludes that the selection process for such campaigns should be improved using this new methodology.  相似文献   

基于稀疏AR模型的潮流信号建模与预报   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

卢小鹏  叶庆卫  吕翠兰 《海洋学研究》2015,33(2):14-18

潮流信号处理与预报在很多方面具有非常重要的意义和价值。本文引入信号稀疏表示理论,构建一种稀疏AR模型,寻找各潮流数据间的历史关联性,并进行预报分析。首先由实测潮流信号进行常规AR建模,获得一组过完备稀疏基;其次随机从该过完备稀疏基抽取部分建立欠定方程组,利用稀疏优化算法获得最稀疏的AR系数;多次重复上一步,获得稀疏AR系数的平均以增强稀疏AR模型的稳定性;最后利用这些稀疏AR系数来重构或预测潮流信号。文章针对实测潮流信号,特别是存在多峰值有回流现象的潮流信号,进行了稀疏AR建模与预测的多次实验。实验结果与传统的潮流信号调和预报方法相对比,发现基于稀疏AR模型的潮流预报对于潮流存在多变的现象时,具有明显优越性,从回报结果来看,稀疏AR模型的潮流预报均方差明显小于传统潮流调和分析预报方法。  相似文献   

基于模拟脚本的气象自动绘图系统   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨波  朱文剑  唐文苑 《气象科技》2015,43(4):627-633

气象自动绘图系统（MEPAS）是一款紧贴我国业务数据环境,以MICAPS和GRIB1/GRIB2数据为主要输入源来实现自动化绘图的业务系统。MEPAS集成了多种物理量和对流参数的计算算法,在中尺度分析方面独具特色。MEPAS主要通过编写XML配置文件来模拟脚本,以命令行的方式运行,它学习简单,使用方便,运行稳定,出图高效,可用于业务系统的建设,也可用于气象科研,具有较高的应用推广价值。MEPAS通过模拟脚本实现自动绘图的技术可以被MICPAS借鉴或吸收,以填补MICAPS脚本交互的技术空白。  相似文献   

卡尔曼滤波器在卫星遥感影像大地校正中的应用     

梁泽环 《遥感学报》1990,(4)

在卫星遥感图像的预处理中,通过系统校正可以基本上消除影像内部的变形误差。然而,整幅影像的大地定位误差仍然是很大的,甚至几百米至1公里的数量级。本文介绍利用少量的地面控制点,采用递归算法而不是批处理算法,大大地提高大地定位精度。在单幅影像处理中,可以重新对卫星的轨道参数与姿态参数进行估值,从而提高影像的大地定位精度。在一条轨道上连续的多幅影像中,可以预报下一幅影像的大地位置,从而对那些不具有地面控制点的影像的大地校正中,实现外推计算。文中介绍并推导了卡尔曼滤波器方程中的转移矩阵和测量矩阵的系数,并推荐用数值回归的办法求得其数值解。文中最后介绍模拟试验及算法计算结果,并讨论其优缺点。  相似文献   

监测技术在深基坑开挖工程中的应用          下载免费PDF全文

王道远  刘刚 《江苏地质》2010,34(1):67-72

在深基坑的设计施工过程中,由于地质条件、荷载条件、材料性质、施工条件和外界其他条件的复杂影响,以及基于当前土压力计算理论和边坡计算模型的局限性,很难单纯从理论上预测工程中可能遇到的问题。所以在基坑的开挖施工中,对支护结构、基坑邻近建筑物、地下管线以及周围土体等在理论分析指导下有计划地监测,以此监测数据为依据,对基坑支护进行动态设计,是十分必要的。  相似文献   

楚雄小水井—西西郎金矿带成矿空间     

吴文辉  何忠福  蔡培全 《云南地质》2010,29(3):257-261

西西郎-小水井金矿带控矿因素为断裂和地层,岩浆期后热液、变质水及地下热卤水通过渗滤富集作用形成的微粒浸染型金矿床。该区是有理想的成矿空间。  相似文献   

腾冲-梁河地区锡铜铅锌稀有多金属成矿模式     

杨春海  何志魁  苏兰  邢永辉 《云南地质》2010,29(2):111-116

腾冲-梁河地区Sn、Cu、Pb、Zn等元素成矿规律明显,找矿标志清楚。由东往西划分为四个次级成矿带,各具有不同矿产组合或典型矿床。根据成矿地质条件、矿产分布特征、控矿因素和找矿标志等,归纳5种成矿模式。初步建立该区矿床找矿模型,为今后矿产预测奠定基础。  相似文献