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COMCOT数值模式的介绍和应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
介绍了一个成熟的海啸数值模式-COMCOT模式.COMCOT模式是一个能够模拟海啸产生、传播和增水全过程的基于浅水波方程的有限差分模型.模型采用多层网格嵌套,根据海啸在不同区域的传播特点和要求,分别选用不同的分辨率和计算设置,从而兼顾了模式的精度和计算效率.利用此模式模拟了2006年12月26日台湾南部7.2级地震产生海啸波的传播情况,结果与两个潮位站的海啸波监测数据相吻合. 相似文献
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海底地震引发的海啸灾害,对沿海国家和地区的影响是相关领域的研究热点。研究采用COMCOT海啸数值模拟模型,对可能发生在马尼拉海沟一次地震活动（Mw=9.0级）所引起的海啸过程进行了数值模拟,并研究了该海啸传播到海南岛和北部湾的过程及其特点,分析海啸波对这一地区可能造成的影响。研究发现,传播到北部湾地区的海啸波具有明显的非线性特征,海啸发生后2 h 10 min左右到达海南岛东海岸,首轮波高达2.1 m;随着湾内水深逐渐变浅,受制于海底摩阻,及海南岛的阻隔与缓冲作用,海啸到达广西壮族自治区南部沿海地区的时间,被推迟到距地震发生8 h后,海啸波高减小到0.4 m,海啸波能量大为衰减。研究结果表明,马尼拉海沟地震引发海啸,对海南岛东南部沿海影响较大,有成灾的可能性;而对广西壮族自治区南部沿海及北部湾地区的影响较弱,一般不会造成大的灾害。 相似文献
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浙江沿海潜在区域地震海啸风险分析 总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1
采用COMCOT海啸模型建立三重网格模型模拟了2011年3月11日日本东北部9.0级地震引发的海啸发生、发展以及在我国东南沿海传播过程。震源附近浮标站以及浙江沿海的潮位站实测资料验证结果显示,大部分监测站首波到达时间和海啸波的计算值相差在15%以内,表明模型可较好的模拟海啸在计算域内的传播过程。研究表明日本南海海槽、冲绳海槽以及琉球海沟南部是影响浙江沿海主要的区域潜在震源,通过情景计算分别模拟3个潜在震源9.1级、8.0级和8.7级地震引发的海啸对浙江沿海的海啸风险,计算结果表明,海啸波产生后可在3~8h内传至浙江省沿岸,海啸波达1~3m,最大可达4m,此时浙江沿岸面临Ⅲ~Ⅳ级海啸风险,达到淹没至严重淹没等级。 相似文献
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深圳海域潮汐海啸波耦合数值研究 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
以COMCOT海啸模式和TPXO7.1全球潮汐模式为基础,采用三层嵌套网格,建立了南海海啸与潮汐耦合计算模型,分析深圳海域海啸和潮汐相互作用。潮汐计算结果与实测数据吻合较好,高、低潮位平均误差小于15 cm,20 cm;在潮汐验证的基础上,以马尼拉海沟潜在地震海啸源为案例,进行8.0,9.0级地震海啸与潮汐耦合情景模拟计算,计算结果表明,9级地震海啸在深圳海域外海波高为140~150 cm,如先行波为正波发生在高潮时将产生异常高潮位,负波发生在低潮时将产生异常低潮位,线性叠加计算结果偏大,在25.0 cm之内,到达时间差异小于6 min。 相似文献
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Shandong province is located on the east coast of China and has a coastline of about 3100 km. There are only a few tsunami events recorded in the history of Shandong Province, but the tsunami hazard assessment is still necessary as the rapid economic development and increasing population of this area. The objective of this study was to evaluate the potential danger posed by tsunamis for Shandong Province. The numerical simulation method was adopted to assess the tsunami hazard for coastal areas of Shandong Province. The Cornell multi-grid coupled tsunami numerical model (COMCOT) was used and its efficacy was verified by comparison with three historical tsunami events. The simulated maximum tsunami wave height agreed well with the observational data. Based on previous studies and statistical analyses, multiple earthquake scenarios in eight seismic zones were designed, the magnitudes of which were set as the potential maximum values. Then, the tsunamis they induced were simulated using the COMCOT model to investigate their impact on the coastal areas of Shandong Province. The numerical results showed that the maximum tsunami wave height, which was caused by the earthquake scenario located in the sea area of the Mariana Islands, could reach up to 1.39 m off the eastern coast of Weihai city. The tsunamis from the seismic zones of the Bohai Sea, Okinawa Trough, and Manila Trench could also reach heights of >1 m in some areas, meaning that earthquakes in these zones should not be ignored. The inundation hazard was distributed primarily in some northern coastal areas near Yantai and southeastern coastal areas of Shandong Peninsula. When considering both the magnitude and arrival time of tsunamis, it is suggested that greater attention be paid to earthquakes that occur in the Bohai Sea. In conclusion, the tsunami hazard facing the coastal area of Shandong Province is not very serious; however, disasters could occur if such events coincided with spring tides or other extreme oceanic conditions. The results of this study will be useful for the design of coastal engineering projects and the establishment of a tsunami warning system for Shandong Province. 相似文献
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CAO Yonggang LIU Changjian LIU Tongmu FENG Yanqing LIU Yuqiang LIAO Shizhi CHEN Yizhan 《中国地震研究》2019,33(1):97-111
The coupling numerical model between astronomical tide and tsunamis was built based on the data of the COMCOT model, which was verified by the Japan "3·11" tsunami. The tsunami source of the Manila seismic tsunami was designed and computed to analyze the risk of tsunami which will happen in the Guangdong coast. According to the results, the maximum quantity of water increasing and the time of the tsunami arriving at the Guangdong seacoast were calculated. The coupling simulation between astronomical tide and tsunamis has significant meaning for evaluating the risk and early-warning of tsunamis in the Guangdong coastal area. 相似文献
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利用Okada模型计算2018-01-23 09:31（UTC）阿拉斯加湾7.9级地震引发的海啸的初始场信息,利用COMCOT模型模拟海啸传播。比较海啸首波振幅和到达时间模拟值与实测值显示,振幅差异在4 cm以内,时间差异在4 min以内。模拟结果与观测资料吻合,揭示阿拉斯加地震引发的海啸强度弱,同时反映海啸初始场参数的选择合理有效,海啸模拟计算结果真实可靠。 相似文献
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在COMCOT海啸数学模型中加入潮汐边界条件,建立了东中国海天文潮与海啸耦合数学模型。在琉球海沟内侧设计震级为7.6级的海底地震,根据地震板块的错动方向不同,设计正波先行与负波先行两种海啸波,通过调整海啸波发生时间,使海啸波波峰遭遇温州湾天文高潮位。将天文潮与海啸耦合模型计算结果与线性叠加计算结果进行比较,结果表明:无论正波先行还是负波先行,天文潮与海啸耦合计算相比线性叠加的结果,海啸波的到达时间均有所提前;而从海啸波波高来看,线性叠加的计算结果则比耦合计算结果偏高。 相似文献