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991.
Long-Term Trend and Abrupt Change for Major Climate Variables in the Upper Yellow River Basin 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
On the basis of the mean air temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration, and pan evaporation from 23 meteorological stations in the upper Yellow River Basin from 1960 to 2001, the feasibility of using hypothesis test techniques to detect the long-term trend for major climate variables has been investigated. Parametric tests are limited by the assumptions such as the normality and constant variance of the error terms. Nonparametric tests have not these additional assumptions and are better adapted to the trend test for hydro-meteorological time series. The possible trends of annual and monthly climatic time series are detected by using a non-parametric method and the abrupt changes have been examined in terms of 5-yr moving averaged seasonal and annual series by using moving T-test (MTT) method, Yamamoto method, and Mann-Kendall method. The results show that the annual mean temperature has increased by 0.8℃in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years. The warmest center was located in the northern part of the basin. The nonlinear tendency for annual precipitation was negative during the same period. The declining center for annual precipitation was located in the eastern part and the center of the basin. The variation of annual precipitation in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years exhibited an increasing tendency from 1972 to 1989 and a decreasing tendency from 1990 to 2001. The nonlinear tendencies for annual sunshine duration and pan evaporation were also negative. They have decreased by 125.6 h and 161.3 mm during the past 42 years, respectively. The test for abrupt changes by using MTT method shows that an abrupt wanning occurred in the late 1980s. An abrupt change of the annual mean precipitation occurred in the middle 1980s and an abrupt change of the mean sunshine duration took place in the early 1980s. For the annual mean pan evaporation, two abrupt changes took place in the 1980s and the early 1990s. The test results of the Yamamoto method show that the abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1980s, and two acute abrupt changes were tested for the spring pan evaporation in 1981 and for the annual mean temperature in 1985. According to the Mann-Kendall method, the abrupt changes of the temperature mainly occurred in the 1990s, the pan evaporation abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1960s, and the abrupt changes of the sunshine duration primarily took place in the 1980s. Although the results obtained by using three methods are different, it is undoubted that jumps have indeed occurred in the last four decades. 相似文献
992.
Effect of Atmospheric Haze on the Deterioration of Visibility over the Pearl River Delta 总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14
WU Dui BI Xueyan DENG Xuejiao LI Fei TAN Haobo LIAO Guolian HUANG Jian 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2007,21(2):215-223
The studies on the effect of atmospheric aerosol on climate and environment are hot issues in the current circle of international science and technology. In recent years the pollution of aerosol is getting worse and worse over the Pearl River Delta. The clouds of aerosol occur all year round, with heavy pollution area located at the western side at the mouth of Pearl River. The haze weather mainly occurs from October to April next year, resulting in visibility deterioration. From the beginning of 1980s, visibility dramatically deteriorated, obviously increasing haze weather, in which there are three big fluctuations, showing the periods of pollutions of dust, sulphate and dust, fine particle from photochemical process and sulphate and dust accompanying with the development of economy respectively. The long-term tendency of visibility caused by fog and light fog does not show a tendency due to human activities or economic development, which mainly shows the interannual and interdecadal variation of climate. The deterioration of visibility has close relation to the fine particles over Pearl River Delta, with half of PM10 overpass the limited value set by national second graded standard (150μg m-3), meanwhile, all values of PM2.5 overpass the day-mean limited value of American national standard (65μg m-3), especially from October to January next year, monthly mean values of PM2.5 almost reach two times of standard value, indicating the fine particle concentration is very high. The ratio of PM2.5 to PM10 is also very high, reaching 58%-77%, higher especially in dry season than in rainy season. Thus it is the fine particle pollution in aerosol pollution over the Pearl River Delta. Compared with the data of 15 years ago, the ratio of fine particle to aerosol has obviously increased. 相似文献
993.
近年来长江中下游来沙量持续减少,河道面临长距离、长历时的冲淤调整,河道蓄泄关系发生变化,对防洪造成影响。在长江中下游河道冲淤及其蓄泄能力变化预测成果的基础上,对比计算了现状和未来河道蓄泄能力条件下,遇1954年洪水,长江上游水库防洪调度和中下游地区超额洪量的变化情况。结果表明,未来随着长江中下游河道进一步冲刷,河道槽蓄容积增加,相同防洪控制水位下的河道安全泄量增大,三峡水库在进行防洪调度时可下泄流量增大,总拦蓄洪量减小,长江中下游地区总超额洪量减小,但超额洪量在地区分布上存在从上游向下游转移的情况。 相似文献
994.
995.
黄河中游地区农村经济发展战略研究 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
黄河中游地区是我国自然条件较差、生态环境脆弱、农村经济基础较薄弱的地区之一,本文对该地区农村经济发展的区位、资源等优势条件和生态环境、科技文化等限制因素进行了分析,对农村经济发展的现状和潜力进行了评价和分析,探讨了今后本区农村经济发展的方向与途径等问题。 相似文献
996.
0.8MaB.P.以来西藏雅鲁藏布江中游地区沙地演化和气候变化 总被引:9,自引:5,他引:4
根据地表沉积相特征及其对气候变化的反映,着重讨论了西藏雅鲁藏布江中游沙地形成时代、演化过程和气候变化。沙地早在中更新世中期的0.8MaB.P.就已出现,经历了强烈发展、缓慢发展槿相对稳定和缩小与固定的多次迭覆更替,并呈不断扩大趋势。与此同时,气候也经历了冷干和暖湿的多次变化,并表现出不断向干冷化方向发展的趋势。 相似文献
997.
998.
999.
大芦家地区渐新统东二1亚段三角洲前缘砂体微相及储集性研究 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
通过岩芯、录井、测井资料的综合分析,发现大芦家地区渐新统东二段主要由三角洲前缘亚相组成,砂体的成因类型主要包括三角洲前缘亚相的河口坝、水下分流河道、水下天然堤和决口扇、席状砂、远砂坝。它们不仅具有各自独特的沉积特征和测井相特征,而且其空间储集物性的分布也各不相同。此外,它们还具有较强的层内非均质性,层间非均质性和平面非均质性却较弱。 相似文献
1000.
湖平面升降对浅水三角洲前缘砂体形态的影响 总被引:7,自引:4,他引:3
三角洲平原上的分流河道通过填积和湖面的频繁波动向湖泊中心方向长距离推进,在浅水三角洲前缘的浅水区发育很有特色的水下分流河道,且在湖面频繁波动过程中,河流、波浪和沿岸流的冲刷作用对沉积物分布起到再改造作用,导致了以水下分流河道砂体为主的三角洲前缘砂体不同程度的席状化。随着气候变得潮湿,湖面相对稳定,季节性、周期性湖面波动的频率、幅度减小,水动力对三角洲前缘砂体的改造和席状化强度减弱。 相似文献