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101.
柴北缘的大地构造演化及其地质事件群 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
柴达木盆地北缘及邻区包括六个二级构造单元:中南祁连地块(宗务隆天山期裂陷槽)、欧龙布鲁克微陆块、柴北缘祁连期结合带、柴达木地块、东昆仑晚天山-印支期结合带(东昆北岩浆弧)和西秦岭结合带。其中柴北缘及邻区的大地构造演化,经历了前寒武纪基底成生与演化、祁连期洋-陆转化、天山-印支期板内变形和中新生代陆相盆地演化-高原隆升等四个阶段。本文在论述各个演化阶段的沉积事件、岩浆活动、变质作用、构造形迹和成矿作用等地质事件群的基础上,对柴北缘的变质基底、全球大地构造对比和显生宙花岗岩等重大基础地质问题进行了讨论。 相似文献
102.
铁岭市近45年气候变化特征分析 总被引:23,自引:1,他引:23
利用线性倾向率、滑动平均等方法,对铁岭市1960--2004年间4个气象观测站的月平均气温、降水量、平均最高气温、平均最低气温以及初终霜、无霜期、积温、透雨等资料进行分析,结果发现铁岭市近45年气候变化特点为温度呈上升、降水略减少的趋势,特别是近15年,气温增暖幅度加大,降水春夏两季减少明显;但各季增温幅度差异较大,对气候变暖贡献最大的是冬季,平均最低气温升温幅度明显高于平均最高气温,气温日较差变小;初霜拖后、终霜提前及无霜期延长,积温明显增多,透雨偏晚频率增大,极端气候事件出现的几率增大。 相似文献
103.
By using data of serially numbered typhoons in northwestern Pacific and NOAA OLR data and
NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data of wind field, based on the statistics and study of the relationship between the
calendar years with more (or fewer) summer typhoons and ENSO events, we compared the composites of OLR
eigenvectors and tropical summer wind fields during El Nino and La Nina events with more or fewer than
normal summer typhoons, respectively. The results show that, in summer, without remarkable systematic
anomalies of Mascarene High and Australia High in South Hemisphere, the anomaly of Walker circulation will
dominate and follow the rule of ENSO impacts to atmospheric circulation and typhoon frequency. Otherwise,
when systematic anomalies of Australia High appear during the El Nino events, circulation anomalies in the
South Hemisphere will dominate, and many more typhoons will occur. In 1999, which is a special year of La
Nina events, northward and eastward monsoon was induced by the stronger Mascarene High, and fewer
typhoons arose. The typhoon source are regions where weak vertical wind shear, warm pool in western Pacific
and the area with monsoon troughs are overlapping with each other. Finally, this paper analyzes and compares
the source locations and ranges of more (fewer) typhoons in the events of El Nino and La Nina, respectively. 相似文献
104.
The coastal zones are facing the prospect of changing storm surge statistics due to anthropogenic climate change. In the present study, we examine these prospects for the North Sea based on numerical modelling. The main tool is the barotropic tide-surge model TRIMGEO (Tidal Residual and Intertidal Mudflat Model) to derive storm surge climate and extremes from atmospheric conditions. The analysis is carried out by using an ensemble of four 30-year atmospheric regional simulations under present-day and possible future-enhanced greenhouse gas conditions. The atmospheric regional simulations were prepared within the EU project PRUDENCE (Prediction of Regional scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining EuropeaN Climate change risks and Effects). The research strategy of PRUDENCE is to compare simulations of different regional models driven by the same global control and climate change simulations. These global conditions, representative for 1961–1990 and 2071–2100 were prepared by the Hadley Center based on the IPCC A2 SRES scenario. The results suggest that under future climatic conditions, storm surge extremes may increase along the North Sea coast towards the end of this century. Based on a comparison between the results of the different ensemble members as well as on the variability estimated from a high-resolution storm surge reconstruction of the recent decades it is found that this increase is significantly different from zero at the 95% confidence level for most of the North Sea coast. An exception represents the East coast of the UK which is not affected by this increase of storm surge extremes. 相似文献
105.
Seismic Moment Tensor Resolution on a Local Scale: Simulated Rockburst and Mine-induced Seismic Events in the Kopanang Gold Mine, South Africa 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Seismic records contain information about the effect of the source as well as the effect of wave propagation through the rock
mass. The effect of wave propagation is usually not well known as only simplified models of geological structures are available.
Therefore, the information about the source retrieved by inverting seismograms may include errors due to incomplete knowledge
of the rock mass along the propagation path, which in turn cause a distortion in the calculated moment tensor (MT). The distortion
of the MT on a local scale was observed by inverting records of a simulated rockburst conducted at the Kopanang gold mine
in South Africa. A dominant isotropic component of the explosive characteristics was found from the inversion. The deviatoric
components retrieved from the blast are spurious. A test of their stability indicated that they are not significant, assuming
an uncertainty above 5% for velocities and 10% for attenuation within the homogeneous model available for the mine. Thus,
the retrieval of the MT from records of local networks in mines using a homogeneous model of the rock mass seems to be feasible.
However, the homogeneous model of the rock mass can only be applied to close stations, within a few kilometers of the source.
The seismic records from distant stations were too complex to be modelled by a homogeneous rock mass. Records of six mine-induced
seismic events recorded at the Kopanang gold mine were also inverted. A vertical linear dipole along the pressure (P) axis
was found for three of the events, suggesting a pillar burst. The mechanism of two events contains an isotropic implosion
together with a nearly vertical dip-slip, and seems to indicate a combination of a cavity collapse with a down dip-slip along
a nearly vertical fault. One event corresponds to a dipole along the tensional (T) axis. However, it is vertical, thus its
association with tensile faulting of the hangingwall is uncertain. 相似文献
106.
S. Gambino 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2006,50(4):663-674
During 1991–93 at Mount Etna, long-period (LP) events occurring in swarms characterized the evolution of the eruption. The
presence of multiplets i.e. groups of events with similar waveform signatures, has been recognized within this activity.
Traditional techniques for locating LP events do not allow obtaining reliable hypocenters, which have only succeeded in placing
earthquakes in a roughly 1 km2 area slightly east of the Mt. Etna Northeast Crater.
Hypocenters have been relocated in two steps: the absolute location has been improved using Thurber’s code and a complex 3D
velocity model; a highly precise relative location has been applied on multiplets to define the source geometry.
3D locations and high precision analysis suggest that during the 1991–93 eruption the resonator producing LP events was a
part of the uppermost Northeast Crater conduit, measuring 210 meters in height and 45–50 meters in diameter. 相似文献
107.
Mistreatment of the economic impacts of extreme events in the Stern Review Report on the Economics of Climate Change 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change has focused debate on the costs and benefits of alternative courses of action on climate change. This refocusing has helped to move debate away from science of the climate system and on to issues of policy. However, a careful examination of the Stern Review's treatment of the economics of extreme events in developed countries, such as floods and tropical cyclones, shows that the report is selective in its presentation of relevant impact studies and repeats a common error in impacts studies by confusing sensitivity analyses with projections of future impacts. The Stern Review's treatment of extreme events is misleading because it overestimates the future costs of extreme weather events in developed countries by an order of magnitude. Because the Stern Report extends these findings globally, the overestimate propagates through the report's estimate of future global losses. When extreme events are viewed more comprehensively the resulting perspective can be used to expand the scope of choice available to decision makers seeking to grapple with future disasters in the context of climate change. In particular, a more comprehensive analysis underscores the importance of adaptation in any comprehensive portfolio of responses to climate change. 相似文献
108.
不同类型沉积物磁化率的比较研究和初步解释 总被引:11,自引:1,他引:11
沉积物的磁化率分析以被广泛应用在第四纪古气候研究中,不同类型沉积物磁化率的解释可能存在明显的差异.本文选择了黄土、冲积物、湖积物、风沙堆积和南方红土等五种不同类型的沉积物,进行了磁化率的测试,粒度和孢粉分析,试图通过对沉积物磁化率和相关古环境指标的研究,对不同类型沉积物的磁化率予以对比并进行初步解释.研究结果表明,黄土和湖泊沉积中磁化率的变化主要受气候变化的影响,是指示古气候的重要指标;河流沉积物和风沙沉积物的磁化率主要受粒度的影响;影响南方红土磁化率的因素十分复杂,其磁化率的解释比较困难有待进一步的研究.这一研究表明,鉴于不同沉积物磁化率的影响因素存在明显的不同,因此在运用磁化率进行古环境解释时须持慎重态度. 相似文献
109.
21世纪初极端天气气候事件研究进展 总被引:22,自引:0,他引:22
由于极端天气气候事件的严重影响,越来越多的研究开始关注其变化情况。从观测分析到模拟研究,几乎都发现极端气温、降水事件发生了显著变化,而且在全球变暖的大背景下,未来有些极端事件可能会发生频数更高或强度更强。当然,研究结论也存在一定程度的不确定性,从模式模拟来看,目前模拟结果仍存在不确定性,不同模式的结果间常常存在较大的差异;而从观测分析来看,研究主要局限于20世纪后半叶,如果对更长时间作分析,结论或许会有所不同。文章从最基本的极端天气气候事件的定义出发,结合观测事实和模拟研究两个主要方面来介绍近几年来极端事件研究取得的主要进展,最后简单地总结了这些进展,并提出了进一步研究的思路。
相似文献
110.