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61.
Wildfire effects on soil‐physical and ‐hydraulic properties as a function of burn severity are poorly characterized, especially several years after wildfire. A stratified random sampling approach was used in 2015 to sample seven sites representing a spectrum of remotely sensed burn severity in the area impacted by the 2011 Las Conchas Fire in New Mexico, USA. Replicate samples from each site were analysed in the laboratory. Linear and linear indicator regression were used to assess thresholds in soil‐physical and ‐hydraulic properties and functional relations with remotely sensed burn severity. Significant thresholds were present for initial soil‐water content (θi) at 0–6 cm depth between the change in the Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) equal to 618–802, for bulk density (ρb) at 3–6 cm between dNBR equal to 416–533, for gravel fraction at 0–1 cm between dNBR equal to 416–533, for fines (the silt + clay fraction) at 0–1 cm for dNBR equal to 416–533, and for fines at 3–6 cm for dNBR equal to 293–416. Significant linear relations with dNBR were present between ρb at 0–1 cm, loss on ignition (LOI) at 0–1 cm, gravel fraction at 0–1 cm, and the large organic fraction at 1–3 cm. No thresholds or effects on soil‐hydraulic properties of field‐saturated hydraulic conductivity or sorptivity were observed. These results suggest that ρb and LOI at 0–1 cm have residual direct impacts from the wildfire heat impulse. The θi threshold is most likely from delayed groundcover/vegetation recovery that increases evaporation at the highest burn severity sites. Gravel and silt + clay thresholds at 0–1 cm at the transition to high burn severity suggest surface gravel lag development from hydraulic erosion. Thresholds in ρb from 3 to 6 cm and in silt + clay fraction from 3 to 6 cm appear to be the result of soil variability between sites rather than wildfire impacts. This work suggests that gravel‐rich soils may have increased resilience to sustained surface runoff generation and erosion following wildfire, with implications for assessments of postwildfire hydrologic and erosion recovery potential.  相似文献   
62.
淮河上游地区干旱评价分析   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
利用淮河上游6个雨量站1964~2000年日降雨资料和邻近气象站气象资料,分别计算各站逐月Palmer干旱指标和雨量距平指标,并对计算结果进行对比分析.结果表明:淮河上游地区旱涝程度具有较强的持续性,夏季干旱多发,不过干旱等级多集中在轻微干旱和中等干旱;秋冬季节则是严重干旱多发的季节;极端干旱多发于春季;相比降雨量较大的淮南地区,淮北地区更为干旱.  相似文献   
63.
新疆气候的干湿变化及其趋势预估   总被引:20,自引:3,他引:17  
利用新疆气象局提供的90个气象台站的连续观测记录, 计算了1961~2003年新疆地区年平均和季节平均自适应Palmer干旱指数的气候态及其变化趋势, 表明新疆地区气候就平均态而言整体上属于正常的气候条件, 研究时段内年平均和季节平均气候以湿润化趋势为主要变化特征, 定性的分析显示地表气温的持续上升倾向于引起干旱化, 而降水的增加则有利于气候的湿润化趋势。在SRES A2温室气体和气溶胶排放情景下, 21世纪90年代新疆地区地表气温的升高会导致干旱化的发生, 而降水的增加则有利于湿润化, 在二者的联合作用下, 新疆地区的干湿状况可能将发生一定程度的变化。  相似文献   
64.
Burn severity is an important parameter in post-fire management. It incorporates both the direct fire impact (vegetation depletion) and ecosystem responses (vegetation regeneration). From a remote sensing perspective, burn severity is traditionally estimated using Landsat's differenced normalized burn ratio (dNBR). In this case study of the large 2007 Peloponnese (Greece) wildfires, Landsat dNBR estimates correlated reasonably well with Geo composite burn index (GeoCBI) field data of severity (R2 = 0.56). The usage of Landsat imagery is, however, restricted by cloud cover and image-to-image normalization constraints. Therefore a multi-temporal burn severity approach based on coarse spatial, high temporal resolution moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) imagery is presented in this study. The multi-temporal dNBR (dNBRMT) is defined as the 1-year integrated difference between burned pixels and their unique control pixels. These control pixels were selected based on time series similarity and spatial context and reflect how burned pixels would have behaved in the case no fire had occurred. Linear regression between downsampled Landsat dNBR and dNBRMT estimates resulted in a moderate-high coefficient of determination R2 = 0.54. dNBRMT estimates are indicative for the change in vegetation productivity due to the fire. This change is considerably higher for forests than for more sparsely vegetated areas like shrub lands. Although Landsat dNBR is superior for spatial detail, MODIS-derived dNBRMT estimates present a valuable alternative for burn severity mapping at continental to global scale without image availability constraints. This is beneficial to compare trends in burn severity across regions and time. Moreover, thanks to MODIS's repeated temporal sampling, the dNBRMT accounts for both first- and second-order fire effects.  相似文献   
65.
Traditional methods of recording fire burned areas and fire severity involve expensive and time-consuming field surveys. Available remote sensing technologies may allow us to develop standardized burn-severity maps for evaluating fire effects and addressing post fire management activities. This paper focuses on multiscale characterization of fire severity using multisensor satellite data. To this aim, both MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) and ASTER (Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer) data have been processed using geo-statistic analyses to capture pattern features of burned areas.Even if in last decades different authors tried to integrate geo-statistics and remote sensing image processing, methods used since now are only variograms, semivariograms and kriging. In this paper, we propose an approach based on the use of spatial indicators of global and local autocorrelation. Spatial autocorrelation statistics, such as Moran's I and Getis–Ord Local Gi index, were used to measure and analyze dependency degree among spectral features of burned areas. This approach enables the characterization of pattern features of a burned area and improves the estimation of fire severity.  相似文献   
66.
帕尔默旱度指数方法在全国实时旱情监视中的应用   总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9       下载免费PDF全文
在进一步修正的帕尔默旱度指数月模式的基础上研制了帕尔默旱度指数日模型,同时采用了权重帕尔默旱度指数方法实现了逐日帕尔默旱度指数计算。经过对全国556个气象测站的参数调试,建立了全国范围帕尔默旱度指数实时业务应用系统,一年多的运行表明,帕尔默旱度指数确实能够较好地及时反映实时旱涝情况和变化过程。  相似文献   
67.
扎龙湿地火烧严重度分析及火灾对丹顶鹤生境的影响   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
利用ETM 遥感影像资料,分析了扎龙湿地火烧严重度及火灾对扎龙湿地丹顶鹤(Grus japonensis)生境的影响。采用火灾前、后的ETM 影像数据,计算差异性归一化燃烧率(dNBR)和制作扎龙火烧严重度分布图,用综合燃烧指数(CBI)分析植被死亡率对生境变化的影响程度,并分析两者的相关关系;利用两种燃烧指数与对应的高程、植被类型、坡度、功能分区和丹顶鹤巢位等因子叠加分析作为火烧区的评价指标;再根据火烧严重度分类图定量化分析火灾对丹顶鹤生境和巢址变化的影响。结果表明,CBI与dNBR之间有非线性关系(n=59,R2=0.8724);判定高程在148.3~154.6m和坡度在0°~0.185°之间,且分布有大量芦苇(Phragmites australis)沼泽的核心区低洼地易发生火灾;在火烧强度较高的情况下,迫使丹顶鹤选择次适宜的栖息环境,降低了丹顶鹤对隐蔽条件和食物资源的标准,导致丹顶鹤重新选择巢址的位置,其种群数量迅速减少。研究结果对扎龙湿地动物资源可持续发展具有一定的指导意义。  相似文献   
68.
The main purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between three field-based fire severity indices (Composite Burn Index-CBI, Geometrically structure CBI, weighted CBI) and spectral indices derived from Sentinel 2A and Landsat-8 OLI imagery on a recent large fire in Thasos, Greece. We employed remotely sensed indices previously used from the remote sensing fire community (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Burn Ratio (NBR), differenced NDVI, differenced NBR, relative differenced NBR, Relativized Burn Ratio) and seven Sentinel 2A-specific indices considering the availability of spectral information recorded in the red-edge spectral region. The statistical correlation indicated a slightly stronger relationship between the differenced NBR and the GeoCBI for both Sentinel 2A (r = 0.872) and Landsat-8 OLI (r = 0.845) imagery. Predictive local thresholds of dNBR values showed slightly higher classification accuracy for Sentinel 2A (73.33%) than Landsat-8 OLI (71.11%), suggesting the adequacy of Sentinel 2A for forest fire severity assessment and mapping in Mediterranean pine ecosystems. The evaluation of the classification thresholds calculated in this study over other fires with similar pre-fire conditions could contribute in the operational mapping and reconstruction of the historical patterns of fire severity over the Eastern Mediterranean region.  相似文献   
69.
Abstract

River ice jams can produce extreme flood events with major social, economic and ecological impacts throughout Canada. Ice breakup and jamming processes are briefly reviewed and shown to be governed by the flow hydrograph, the thickness and strength of the winter ice cover, and the stream morphology. These factors are directly or indirectly influenced by weather conditions which implies potential impacts of climate change and variability on the severity of ice-jamming. Relevant work has to date focused on simple measures of climatic effects, such as the timing of freeze-up and breakup, and indicates trends that are consistent with concomitant changes in air temperature. More recently, it has been found that increased incidence of mid-winter breakup events and higher freshet flows in certain parts of Canada could enhance the frequency and severity of ice jams. Possible future trends under climate warming scenarios are discussed and associated impacts identified in a general manner.  相似文献   
70.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3):503-518
Abstract

Two parameters of importance in hydrological droughts viz. the longest duration, LT and the largest severity, ST (in standardized form) over a desired return period, T years, have been analysed for monthly flow sequences of Canadian rivers. An important point in the analysis is that monthly sequences are non-stationary (periodic-stochastic) as against annual flows, which fulfil the conditions of stochastic stationarity. The parameters mean, μ, standard deviation, σ (or coefficient of variation), lag1 serial correlation, ρ, and skewness, γ (which is helpful in identifying the probability distribution function) of annual flow sequences, when used in the analytical relationships, are able to predict expected values of the longest duration, E(LT ) in years and the largest standardized severity, E(ST ). For monthly flow sequences, there are 12 sets of these parameters and thus the issue is how to involve these parameters to derive the estimates of E(LT ) and E(ST ). Moreover, the truncation level (i.e. the monthly mean value) varies from month to month. The analysis in this paper demonstrates that the drought analysis on an annual basis can be extended to monthly droughts simply by standardizing the flows for each month. Thus, the variable truncation levels corresponding to the mean monthly flows were transformed into one unified truncation level equal to zero. The runs of deficits in the standardized sequences are treated as drought episodes and thus the theory of runs forms an essential tool for analysis. Estimates of the above parameters (denoted as μav, σav, ρav, and γav) for use in the analytical relationships were obtained by averaging 12 monthly values for each parameter. The product- and L-moment ratio analyses indicated that the monthly flows in the Canadian rivers fit the gamma probability distribution reasonably well, which resulted in the satisfactory prediction of E(LT ). However, the prediction of E(ST ) tended to be more satisfactory with the assumption of a Markovian normal model and the relationship E(ST ) ≈ E(LT ) was observed to perform better.  相似文献   
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