NCEP-FNL与T213L31同化资料对比分析中的地形差异影响          下载免费PDF全文

李长青  闰之辉  王瀛  郜凌云 《气象》2007,33(1):62-69

分析了2005年5月11日至6月10日的NCEP-FNL与T213L31分析资料在位势高度、温度和风场上的整体差异,揭示了低层差异最小,差异极值主要分布在3个关键区的特征。进一步通过地形高度差异与位势高度差异的相关性分析,认为青藏高原附近的地形高度差异的极值是引起两种资料位势高度差异的主要原因,并计算分析了这种差异对高原周围中低层大气环流的动力和热力影响。结果显示,在NCEP-FNL中的西南涡强度和热源作用较强,中层风速切变较弱。  相似文献   

2006年9—11月T213与ECMWF及日本模式中期预报性能检验     

阳揣环 《气象》2007,33(2):112-117

为了验证T213模式秋季中期预报产品的性能与质量,对2006年9-11月T213模式96小时中期数值预报产品进行了天气学检验,并与ECMWF、日本模式96小时预报性能做了对比分析检验.结果表明,T213、ECMWF、日本模式对亚洲中高纬度地区大尺度环流形势演变和重大调整过程的96小时预报能力均较强,因此对重大灾害性天气的预报有较好的指示意义.三种模式相比,ECMWF模式对西风指数、850hPa温度、南支槽东移的预报较为准确;2006年11月4-6日的过程预报以日本模式最为吻合;T213模式对具体影响系统的强度、位置、影响时间的预报还存在一定误差.  相似文献   

支持向量机与卡尔曼滤波集合的西太平洋副热带高压数值预报误差修正   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘科峰　张韧徐海斌  闵锦忠朱伟军 《气象学报》2007,65(3):450-457

基于T106数值预报产品资料,提出了支持向量机和卡尔曼滤波相结合的方法来进行夏季西太平洋副热带高压数值预报的误差修正与预报优化。首先采用支持向量机方法建立了西太平洋副热带高压面积指数的误差修正模型。基于支持向量机预报优化模型尽管有比较好的拟合精度和预报效果,但与实际副热带高压指数尚有一定的差异。究其原因,除预报对象(副热带高压)本身比较复杂、模型优化因子不够充分以及数值预报误差自身的随机性以外,优化模型的输入、输出基本上是一个静态映射结构,因此前一时刻的预测误差难以得到有效的反馈、调整和修正。为考虑前一时刻预报误差的反馈信息,动态跟踪副高的变化趋势,随后引入卡尔曼滤波方法建立支持向量机-卡尔曼滤波模型,对支持向量机模型的输出结果作进一步的调整和优化。试验结果表明,该方法模型的预报优化效果优于T106数值预报产品以及单纯的神经网络修正模型和卡尔曼滤波修正模型的优化效果,能够较为客观、有效地修正西太平洋副热带高压指数的数值预报误差,改进和优化西太平洋副热带高压的数值预报效果。该方法为副热带高压等复杂天气系统和要素场预报提供了一种新的思路,表现出较好的应用前景。  相似文献   

Reach Out and Touch Someone: AT&T's Global Operations in the 1990s     

Barney Warf 《The Professional geographer》1998,50(2):255-267

The late twentieth century has witnessed the rapid expansion of a global telecommunications infrastructure and flows of information. Few case studies of individual corporations in this industry exist. Following the breakup of its U.S. monopoly in 1984, AT&T, the world's largest telecommunications provider, steadily expanded its international operations. This paper examines the institutional and spatial dynamics that underpin AT&T's global strategies, including transoceanic fiber cables, employment, manufacturing facilities, joint ventures, and operations in every major market area around the world. It ascertains these efforts in light of the emergence of post-Fordist regime theory and argues that corporate-specific case studies continue to remain an important part of economic geography.  相似文献   

四川石棉草科穹状岩浆核杂岩构造特征   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

郭建强  喻安光 《矿物岩石》1998,18(4):90-97

位于扬子陆块西缘的石棉草科穹状变形变质体,据近年来的研究表明,该穹隆体经历了三次变形变质时期：早期为收缩滑脱变形的区域动力变质、中期热隆伸展动热变质和后期岩浆热接触变质。对主期变质划分出黑云母带、石榴石带、红柱石－十字石带和矽线石带,确定为低压相系,利用变质反应、矿物地质温压计及相关的同位素年龄资料,建立了草科穹状变形变质体演化的ｐ－Ｔ－ｔ－Ｄ轨迹。轨迹图呈顺时针形式,具碰撞造山带环境的特点,变形变质过程受变质体前缘西油房韧性剪切带逆冲－推覆作用和后缘碰撞晚期岩浆大规模上侵的双重制约,为深源岩浆热动力变质成因,属穹状岩浆核杂岩构造。  相似文献   

利用T106数值预报产品作江西暴雨动态落区预报   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

曹晓岗 《气象与减灾研究》1998,(1)

首先将江西测站的降水插值到1°×1°的经纬度网格点上,然后利用1°×1°的T106数值预报产品,对江西网格点上的暴雨送行诊断分析与相关普查,最后建立了江西暴雨动态落区预报模式和动态落区预报流程。  相似文献   

与T63数值预报产品相结合的江苏西南大风的预报方法   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

杜京朝  濮梅娟 《气象科学》1998,18(3):271-277

国家气象中心发送的T63数值预告产品在本台于95年6月份投入业务运行,为尽好、尽快地最大限度地将T63数值产品投入业务使用,以发挥其作用,从而具体体现T63的价值所在、在这方面,我们作了一些探讨与尝试。我们把《江苏大面积西南大风预报工具》与T63数值预告产品进行结合与释用,取得了良好的效果。  相似文献   

The Narryer Gneiss Complex of the Yilgarn Block, Western Australia: a segment of Archaean lower crust uplifted during Proterozoic orogeny     

J. R. MUHLING 《Journal of Metamorphic Geology》1990,8(1):47-64

The Narryer Gneiss Complex of the Yilgarn Block is a key segment of the Western Australian Precambrian Shield. It is a regional granulite facies terrain comprised of predominantly quartzo-feldspathic gneisses derived from granitic intrusions c. 3.6–3.4 Ga old. Granulite facies metamorphism occurred c. 3.3 Ga ago, and conditions of 750–850°C and 7–10 kbar are estimated for the Mukalo Creek Area (MCA) near Errabiddy in the north. The P–T path of the MCA has been derived from metamorphic assemblages in younger rocks that intruded the gneisses during at least three subsequent events, and this path is supported by reaction coronas in the older gneisses. There is no evidence for uplift immediately following peak metamorphism of the MCA, and a period of isobaric cooling is inferred from the pressures recorded in younger rocks. Pressures and temperatures estimated from metadolerites, which intruded the older gneisses during ‘granite–greenstone’tectonism at about 2.6 Ga and during early Proterozoic thrusting show that the Errabiddy area remained in the lower crust, although it was probably reheated during the younger events. Isothermal uplift to upper crustal levels occurred at c. 1.6 Ga ago, and was followed by further deformation and patchy retrogression of high-grade assemblages. The effects of younger deformation, cooling and reheating can be discerned in the older gneisses, but as there has been no pervasive deformation or rehydration, the minerals and microstructures formed during early Archaean granulite facies metamorphism for the most part are retained. The MCA remained in the lower crust for about 1700 Ma following peak metamorphism and some event unrelated to the original metamorphism was required to exhume it. Uplift occurred during development of the Capricorn Orogen, when some 30–35 km were added to the crust beneath the Errabiddy area. The recognition of early Proterozoic thrusting, plus crustal thickening, suggests that the Capricorn Orogen is a belt of regional compression which resulted from convergence of the Yilgarn and Pilbara Cratons.  相似文献   

Chloritoid–glaucophane schist in the north Qilian orogen, NW China: phase equilibria and P–T path from garnet zonation     

C. J. WEI  S. G. SONG 《Journal of Metamorphic Geology》2008,26(3):301-316

Chloritoid–glaucophane‐bearing rocks are widespread in the high‐pressure belt of the north Qilian orogen, NW China. They are interbedded and cofacial with felsic schists originated from greywackes, mafic garnet blueschists and low‐T eclogites. Two representative chloritoid–glaucophane‐bearing assemblages are chloritoid + glaucophane + garnet + talc + quartz (sample Q5‐49) and chloritoid + glaucophane + garnet + phengite + epidote + quartz (sample Q5‐12). Garnet in sample Q5‐49 is coarse‐, medium‐ and fine‐grained and shows two types of zonation patterns. In pattern I, X_grs is constant as X_py rises, and in pattern II X_grs decreases as X_py rises. Phase equilibrium modelling in the NC(K)MnFMASH system with Thermocalc 3.25 indicates that pattern I can be formed during progressive metamorphism in lawsonite‐stable assemblages, while pattern II zonation can be formed with further heating after lawsonite has been consumed. Garnet growth in Q5‐49 is consistent with a continuous progressive metamorphic process from ～14.5 kbar at 470 °C to ～22.5 kbar at 560 °C. Garnet in sample Q5‐12 develops with pattern I zonation, which is consistent with a progressive metamorphic process from ～21 kbar at 540 °C to ～23.5 kbar at 580 °C with lawsonite present in the whole garnet growth. The latter sample shows the highest P–T conditions of the reported chloritoid–glaucophane‐bearing assemblages. Phase equilibrium calculation in the NCKFMASH system with a recent mixing model of amphibole indicates that chloritoid + glaucophane paragenesis does not have a low‐pressure limit of 18–19 kbar as previously suggested, but has a much larger pressure range from 7–8 to 27–30 kbar, with the low‐pressure part being within the stability field of albite.  相似文献   

Two New Species of the GenusTinocladia Kylin(Chordariales, Phaeophyta) from Yellow Sea Coasts of China     

丁兰平  陆保仁  黄冰心  曾呈奎 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2004,22(1)

  相似文献