区域矿产定量评价的矿床综合信息评价模型   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

肖克炎  程松林  娄德波  孙莉 《地质通报》2010,29(10):1430-1444

控制矿床生成的地质要素和识别矿床存在的勘查信息对区域矿产预测评价是至关重要的。矿床综合信息评价模型要从传统的矿床模型出发,将其总结和转化为区域预测评价的控矿关键预测要素,研究识别矿床存在的物、化、遥勘查信息,开展矿床品位-吨位统计特征研究,形成预测评价的要素集,进行矿产预测。  相似文献   

基于长度贝叶斯生物量估算法的北部湾带鱼资源评估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张曼  王雪辉  王淼娣  杜飞雁  孙典荣  王亮根  王跃中  许柳雄  邱永松 《海洋学报》2022,44(1):11-21

带鱼是南海西北部北部湾主要经济鱼类种群之一,估算其种群参数和评估其资源状况对北部湾渔业资源管理具有重要意义.本文利用2006-2016年北部湾带鱼(Trichiurus haumela)的生物学数据,通过长度贝叶斯生物量估算法(Length-based Bayesian Biomass Estimation Metho...  相似文献   

广州地区人为热释放的日变化和年际变化估算     

占俊杰  丹利 《气候与环境研究》2014,19(6):726-734

基于《广州市统计年鉴》2001~2012年数据估算了广州2000~2011年人为热释放的日变化以及年际变化,计算中考虑了人类新陈代谢、工业、交通以及生活排放人为热。计算结果显示:4种排放源中工业12年平均达到了55%,交通达到36%,其次依次为生活排放和新陈代谢排放。总的人为热在这12年时间里大致呈现上升的趋势,从2000年的2.7×1017 J增加到2011年的4.4×1017 J,但在2006年后有小幅的下降,这主要是由于工业释放是人为热释放的主要部分,在2006年后工业能源效率有所提高以致能源消耗排放率下降造成的。日变化在10:00(北京时间,下同)和14:00达到最大,并且12年间随时间的推移日变化呈现出下降的趋势,主要是由于城市化进程的速度远远快于能源消耗、人口和车辆保有量增加的速度。对比WRF模式中城市模块中的人为热释放的日变化系数,这些原始系数在广州使用的误差主要与广州地区和西方国家的生产生活作息时间有关。  相似文献   

热带深对流云对CO、NO、NOx和O3的垂直输送作用   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

银燕  曲平  金莲姬 《大气科学》2010,34(5):925-936

利用2005年11月至2006年2月ACTIVE (Aerosol and Chemical Transport in tropIcal conVEction) 外场试验期间在澳大利亚北部达尔文地区取得的CO、O3、NO和NOx飞机探测资料, 并结合HYSPLIT后向轨迹模式结果, 分析这几种气体成分在对流卷云砧内外的分布情况, 并探讨热带深对流云对于污染气体的垂直输送作用。分析结果显示, 在孤立对流云卷云砧中, 云砧内部O3、NO、NOx浓度均大于云外; 而CO则不同, 只有在近地面浓度高时才如此, 在近地面浓度较小时, 卷云砧内部的浓度反而小于云外。进一步分析造成这两类气体分布差异的原因, 发现CO主要借助深对流云将对流层下层以及对流云周围环境中的CO夹卷并动力垂直输送到对流云顶部卷云砧中, 而对于O3、NO和NOx来说, 除了上述作用以外, 还可能与对流云内部其他物理机制(如闪电), 造成新的O3、NO和NOx有关, 这些新生气体随着风暴内部强烈的上升气流被最终输送进云砧中。  相似文献   

基于克里格回归分析和机器学习算法的日本福岛县土地价格估算与制图的比较分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

DERDOURlAhmed  村山佑司 《地理学报(英文版)》2020,30(5):794-822

Finding accurate methods for estimating and mapping land prices at the macro-scale based on publicly accessible and low-cost spatial data is an essential step in producing a meaningful reference for regional planners.This asset would assist them in making economically justified decisions in favor of key investors for development projects and post-disaster recovery efforts.Since 2005,the Ministry of Land,Infrastructure,and Transport of Japan has made land price data open to the public in the form of observations at dispersed locations.Although this data is useful,it does not provide complete information at every site for all market participants.Therefore,estimating and mapping land prices based on sound statistical theories is required.This paper presents a comparative study of spatial prediction of land prices in 2015 in Fukushima prefecture based on geostatistical methods and machine learning algorithms.Land use,elevation,and socioeconomic factors,including population density and distance to railway stations,were used for modeling.Results show the superiority of the random forest algorithm.Overall,land prices are distributed unevenly across the prefecture with the most expensive land located in the western region characterized by flat topography and the availability of well-connected and highly dense economic hotspots.  相似文献   

Homogeneity analysis of Turkish meteorological data set   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Sinan Sahin  H. Kerem Cigizoglu 《水文研究》2010,24(8):981-992

The missing value interpolation and homogeneity analysis were performed on the meteorological data of Turkey. The data set has the observations of six variables: the maximum air temperature, the minimum air temperature, the mean air temperature, the total precipitation, the relative humidity and the local pressure of 232 stations for the period 1974–2002. The missing values on the monthly data set were estimated using two methods: the linear regression (LR) and the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. Because of higher correlations between test and reference series, EM algorithm results were preferred. The homogeneity analysis was performed on the annual data using a relative test and four absolute homogeneity tests were used for the stations where non‐testable series were found due to the low correlation coefficients between the test and the reference series. A comparison was accomplished by the graphics where relative and absolute tests provided different outcomes. Absolute tests failed to detect the inhomogeneities in the precipitation series at the significance level 1%. Interestingly, most of the inhomogeneities detected on the temperature variables existed in the Aegean region of Turkey. It is considered that theseinhomogeneities were mostly caused by non‐natural effects such as relocation. Because of changes at topography at short distance in this region intensify non‐random characteristics of the temperature series when relocation occurs even in small distances. The marine effect, which causes artifical cooling effect due to sea breezes has important impact on temperature series and the orograhpy allows this impact go through the inner parts in this region. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Extinction cross-section of Norwegian spring-spawning herring   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Foote  K. G. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》1999,56(5):606-612

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分析一维砂柱弥散试验数据的相关系数极值法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

郭建青  马健  王洪胜 《水科学进展》2001,12(2):172-176

针对现有分析室内一维砂柱弥散试验数据,确定多孔介质纵向弥散度的方法,在考虑介质对示踪剂的吸附作用的情况下不能应用的问题,对描述一维、稳定渗流与连续定浓度注入示踪剂的砂柱弥散试验的近似解析解进行反函数变换,利用相关系数极值法的原理,建立了在多孔介质与示踪剂间为均衡吸附条件下,可计算多孔介质纵向弥散度与阻滞系数的方法.而且,这种方法在多孔介质的有效孔隙率为已知的情况下,还可计算出多孔介质对示踪剂的吸附系数.  相似文献   

稀土元素示踪法在坡面土壤侵蚀垂直分布研究中的应用   总被引：13，自引：1，他引：13       下载免费PDF全文

刘普灵  武春龙  琚彤军  杨明义 《水科学进展》2001,12(3):331-335

通过野外全坡长侵蚀小区试验,证明了稀土元素示踪法在土壤侵蚀垂直分布研究中的可应用性。结果表明该径流小区产沙强度坡长存在三种变化模式:增长型,增长 递减型和波动型,其形成机理可能与径流过程有关。利用稀土元素在坡面的再分析,初步建立了估算坡面沟蚀率的关系式。  相似文献   

Confidence Intervals of Quantiles in Hydrology Computed by an Analytical Method     

Baâ  Khalidou M.  Díaz-Delgado  Carlos  Caârsteanu  Alin 《Natural Hazards》2001,24(1):1-12

Fitting probability distributions to hydrologic data samples is widely used for quantile estimation purposes. The estimated quantile (X^_T) is related to a return period (T). The confidence interval associated with each of the estimates has been calculated empirically, up until now, supposing that the quantile estimator is normally distributed. In this study, it is shown that the confidence interval follows a normal distribution only in the central part of the distribution. The real confidence limits are computed analytically, by defining and integrating the probability density function of the confidence interval. The results with an important number of hydrologic samples show that the upper confidence limits are significantly underestimated towards the tail of the distribution, when determined using the normality approximation for the quantile estimator.  相似文献