China''''s First Exploration of Chukchi Sea and Its Adjacent Waters in the ArcticA Study on Lead Geochemistry of Atmospheric Aerosol     

朱赖民  陈立奇 《中国地球化学学报》2003,(1)

1ＩｎｔｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎＷｉｔｈｔｈｅｒａｐｉｄｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｈｕｍａｎｓｏｃｉｅｔｙ ,ｉｎｄｕｓｔｒｉａｌｉｚａｔｉｏｎｈａｓｂｅｅｎｓｐｅｅｄｅｄｕｐ .Ａｓａｒｅｓｕｌｔ,ｍｅｔａｌｍｉｎｉｎｇａｎｄｍｅｔａｌｌｕｒｇｙ ,ｃｏａｌａｎｄｇａｓｏｌｉｎｅｃｏｍｂｕｓｔｉｏｎａｎｄｃｈｅｍｉｃａｌｓｐｒｏｄｕｃｔｉｏｎｈａｖｅｇｉｖｅｎｏｆｆａｌｏｔｏｆＰｂ ｃｏｎｔａｉｎｉｎｇｉｎｄｕｓｔｒｉａｌｐｏｌｌｕｔａｎｔｓｗｈｉｃｈｈａｖｅｄｏｎｅｇｒｅａｔｈａｒｍｔｏｔｈｅｅｃｏｌｏｇ…  相似文献   

现代水文与空间数据采集技术     

牛玉国 《水文》2003,23(5):13-15,19

从基本定义、研究对象、研究领域、研究手段、研究方法、研究目的以及数据采集、服务等多个不同层面，对传统水文(学)和现代水文(学)进行了比较，分析了二者的特征和区别，论述了从传统水文向现代水文转变是现代水利的必然要求，而空间数据采集技术是实现这一转变极其重要的途径和手段。  相似文献   

全球气候变化及其影响   总被引：20，自引：2，他引：20       下载免费PDF全文

雷·Wen  查尔斯·A·Lin 《水科学进展》2003,14(5):667-674

全球气候变化及其对社会与自然系统产生的影响已日益受到全世界各国政府与广大民众的关注。与天气和气候有关的灾害给人类生命财产造成的损失日益增大,社会与生态系统似乎变得日趋脆弱。人们关心刚刚过去的20世纪的天气与气候发生了什么变化,更希望了解未来的21世纪,人类居住的地球会出现什么样的气候情景。根据一些国家和地区的观测记录、研究成果以及科学家们对气候变化的评估与预测展望,对全球气候变化问题进行概括。首先阐明20世纪地区性气候变化的事实;并根据政府间气候变化委员会(IPCC)科学技术报告中关于20世纪全球气候变化进行的总结性评估以及对21世纪全球气候变化的预测,作为阐述过去与未来全球气候变化的主要依据。同时,还介绍了一些科学家对IPCC关于全球气候变化的结论所持的不同观点或质疑。还就气候变化对社会与自然系统可能产生的影响略作论述。  相似文献   

中国东北样带NDVI的季节变化及其与气候因子的关系   总被引：20，自引：0，他引：20  

唐海萍  陈玉福 《第四纪研究》2003,23(3):318-325

NDVI是研究大尺度生态学问题一个非常有用的指数,它可以为估价全球植被动态模型提供足够的信息.中国东北样带是全球变化研究中首选样带之一,本文分析了分辨率为1km×1km的NDVI年内季节变化的两个特征值:年均NDVI(NDVI-I)和NDVI年内极差(NDVI-MM)在样带内5种不同植被类型间的变化及其与年平均气温和降水量之间的相关关系.结果表明,NDVI具有明显的季节变化格局,NDVI-I和NDVI-MM由东到西均呈下降趋势,NDVI-I与降水量具有显著的线性回归关系,降水量能够解释NDVI-I和NDVI-MM空间变异的绝大部分.这一结果说明NDVI反映了植被沿环境梯度的时空变化格局,可用于监测样带植被对气候变化的响应.  相似文献   

生物标志化合物与相关的全球变化   总被引：20，自引：9，他引：20  

谢树成  梁斌  郭建秋  易轶  R.P.Evershed  D.Maddy  F.M.Chambers 《第四纪研究》2003,23(5):521-528

在各种地质体中广泛分布的生物标志化合物在全球变化研究中有着广泛应用,特别是在海洋和湖泊沉积物中,研究工作已涉及到古植被、古温度、古降水量、古大气CO₂浓度和古季风等的恢复.文章介绍利用气相色谱仪、气相色谱-质谱联用仪、气相色谱-热转换-同位素比质谱仪分析了一个长40cm泥炭岩芯(约222年)的生物标志化合物的分布及其单体氢同位素.结果显示,不管是生物标志化合物的分布,还是其单体稳定同位素特征都记载了气候(温度)的变化.正构脂肪酸的碳优势指数(CPI值)、正构烷烃C23/C31比值、正构烷烃C23的δD值与温度有很好的对应关系.  相似文献   

天然气水合物体系动态演化研究（I）：地质历史演变     

宋海斌 《地球物理学进展》2003,18(2):188-196

1995年Dickens对55．5Ma前古新世末增温事件进行了研究，提出天然气水合物作为全球环境变化重要因子的假说．认为古新世末增温事件溶解无机碳-2～-3‰的^13δC位移可以用水合物所含甲烷的释放与随后氧化成二氧化碳来解释．此后，地质历史演变中的天然气水合物演化研究蓬勃发展，本文总结古新世末增温事件、新元古代末期雪球事件、第四纪千年尺度事件等最新进展，为天然气水合物动态演化研究提供基础．开展天然气水合物-天然气体系动态演化过程数值模拟与特征分析，可望促进天然气水合物在全球变化与碳循环中作用的深入认识．  相似文献   

Scaling effects on modeled surface energy-balance components using the NOAH-OSU land surface model   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

V. Sridhar  Ronald L. Elliott  Fei Chen 《Journal of Hydrology》2003,280(1-4):105-123

As surface exchange processes are highly non-linear and heterogeneous in space and time, it is important to know the appropriate scale for the reasonable prediction of these exchange processes. For example, the explicit representation of surface variability has been vital in predicting mesoscale weather events such as late-afternoon thunderstorms initiated by latent heat exchanges in mid-latitude regions of the continental United States. This study was undertaken to examine the effects of different spatial scales of input data on modeled fluxes, so as to better understand the resolution needed for accurate modeling. A statistical procedure was followed to select two cells from the Southern Great Plains 1997 hydrology experiment region, each 20 km×20 km, representing the most homogeneous and the most heterogeneous surface conditions (based on soil and vegetation) within the study region. The NOAH-OSU (Oregon State University) Land Surface Model (LSM) was employed to estimate surface energy fluxes. Three scales of study (200 m, 2 and 20 km) were considered in order to investigate the impacts of the aggregation of input data, especially soil and vegetation inputs, on the model output. Model results of net radiation and latent, sensible and ground heat fluxes were compared for the three scales. For the heterogeneous area, the model output at the 20-km resolution showed some differences when compared with the 200-m and 2-km resolutions. This was more pronounced in latent heat (12% decrease), sensible heat (22% increase), and ground heat flux (44% increase) estimation than in net radiation. The scaling effects were much less for the relatively homogeneous land area with 5% increase in sensible heat and 4% decrease in ground heat flux estimation. All of the model outputs for the 2- and 20-km resolutions were in close agreement. The results suggested that, for this study region, soils and vegetation input resolution of about 2 km should be chosen for realistic modeling of surface exchange processes. This resolution was sufficient to capture the effects of sub-grid scale heterogeneity, while avoiding the data and computational difficulties associated with higher spatial resolutions.  相似文献   

Testing a model for predicting the timing and location of shallow landslide initiation in soil‐mantled landscapes     

M. Casadei  W. E. Dietrich  N. L. Miller 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2003,28(9):925-950

The growing availability of digital topographic data and the increased reliability of precipitation forecasts invite modelling efforts to predict the timing and location of shallow landslides in hilly and mountainous areas in order to reduce risk to an ever‐expanding human population. Here, we exploit a rare data set to develop and test such a model. In a 1·7 km² catchment a near‐annual aerial photographic coverage records just three single storm events over a 45 year period that produced multiple landslides. Such data enable us to test model performance by running the entire rainfall time series and determine whether just those three storms are correctly detected. To do this, we link a dynamic and spatially distributed shallow subsurface runoff model (similar to TOPMODEL) to an in?nite slope model to predict the spatial distribution of shallow landsliding. The spatial distribution of soil depth, a strong control on local landsliding, is predicted from a process‐based model. Because of its common availability, daily rainfall data were used to drive the model. Topographic data were derived from digitized 1 : 24 000 US Geological Survey contour maps. Analysis of the landslides shows that 97 occurred in 1955, 37 in 1982 and ?ve in 1998, although the heaviest rainfall was in 1982. Furthermore, intensity–duration analysis of available daily and hourly rainfall from the closest raingauges does not discriminate those three storms from others that did not generate failures. We explore the question of whether a mechanistic modelling approach is better able to identify landslide‐producing storms. Landslide and soil production parameters were ?xed from studies elsewhere. Four hydrologic parameters characterizing the saturated hydraulic conductivity of the soil and underlying bedrock and its decline with depth were ?rst calibrated on the 1955 landslide record. Success was characterized as the most number of actual landslides predicted with the least amount of total area predicted to be unstable. Because landslide area was consistently overpredicted, a threshold catchment area of predicted slope instability was used to de?ne whether a rainstorm was a signi?cant landslide producer. Many combinations of the four hydrological parameters performed equally well for the 1955 event, but only one combination successfully identi?ed the 1982 storm as the only landslide‐producing storm during the period 1980–86. Application of this parameter combination to the entire 45 year record successfully identi?ed the three events, but also predicted that two other landslide‐producing events should have occurred. This performance is signi?cantly better than the empirical intensity–duration threshold approach, but requires considerable calibration effort. Overprediction of instability, both for storms that produced landslides and for non‐producing storms, appears to arise from at least four causes: (1) coarse rainfall data time scale and inability to document short rainfall bursts and predict pressure wave response; (2) absence of local rainfall data; (3) legacy effect of previous landslides; and (4) inaccurate topographic and soil property data. Greater resolution of spatial and rainfall data, as well as topographic data, coupled with systematic documentation of landslides to create time series to test models, should lead to signi?cant improvements in shallow landslides forecasting. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The design of post‐mining landscapes using geomorphic principles     

G. R. Hancock  R. J. Loch  G. R. Willgoose 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2003,28(10):1097-1110

Nature can provide analogues for post‐mining landscapes in terms of landscape stability and also in terms of the rehabilitated structure ‘blending in’ with the surrounding undisturbed landscape. In soil‐mantled landscapes, hillslopes typically have a characteristic pro?le that has a convex upper hillslope pro?le with a concave pro?le lower down the slope. In this paper hillslope characteristic form is derived using the area–slope relationship from pre‐mining topography at two sites in Western Australia. Using this relationship, concave hillslope pro?les are constructed and compared to linear hillslopes in terms of sediment loss using the SIBERIA erosion model. It is found that concave hillslopes can reduce sediment loss by up to ?ve times that of linear slopes. Concave slopes can therefore provide an alternative method for the construction of post‐mining landscapes. An understanding of landscape geomorphological properties and the use of erosion models can greatly assist in the design of post‐mining landscapes. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

上奥陶统底界全球辅助层型剖面在我国的确立   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3  

陈旭  王志浩 《地层学杂志》2003,27(3):264-265

国际奥陶系分会于 1 995年在美国拉斯维加斯召开的第七届国际奥陶系大会上确立了奥陶系的三统六阶划分方案后 ,笔者等即参加了确立上奥陶统底界的国际工作组。这一工作组由 S.M.Bergstrom和 S.C.Finney为主 ,先后考察了美国亚拉巴马州的 Calera剖面 ,中国的新疆柯坪大湾沟剖面 ,中国甘肃平凉官庄剖面和瑞典 Scania的 Fagelsang剖面 ,经过五年的对比研究 ,于 2 0 0 0年确立了瑞典的Fagelsang剖面为上奥陶统底界的全球层型剖面和点位 ( GSSP) ,中国的新疆大湾沟剖面和美国的亚拉巴马的 Calera剖面为上奥陶统底界的两个全球辅助层型剖面 …  相似文献