Characteristics of metals in atmosphere over the western Taiwan Strait Ⅱ. Sources and fluxes     

Chen Liqi  Wang Zhihong  Yang Xulin  Yu Qun 《海洋学报(英文版)》1999,18(4):543-554

I~IOWDuceetal.(1980)calculatedthattheair-seaexchangeprocesscouldsupply80%--90%ofthediforedironinputtothephotcrzoneoftheSargassoAsfromairand16%--76%tothecentralNorthPacific.CuisessentialtotheTnarineorganisms,butexcessiveCuistoxictOtheOrganisms.CdandPh...  相似文献   

红河断裂带闭锁程度与滑动亏损分布的GNSS反演     

朱绪林  徐克科  侯争  刘吉鹏  赵付领  姚未正  邵振华 《大地测量与地球动力学》2021,41(3):296-300

使用1999~2007年及2009~2013年2期GPS速度场，利用TDEFNODE负位错-块体模型反演红河断裂带的闭锁程度和滑动亏损速率。结果表明，红河断裂带以右旋走滑为主，兼有部分拉张和挤压，2008年以前红河断裂平均走滑速率为3.8±2.5 mm/a，平均倾滑速率为1.2±2.5 mm/a，北段和中段表现为拉张，南段则为挤压。红河断裂带北段和中段0~15 km的闭锁系数在0.8~0.99之间，滑动亏损速率为4.5 mm/a，易于应变能的快速积累；南段0~10 km的闭锁系数在0.8~0.95之间，滑动亏损速率为4 mm/a。2008年以后，中段闭锁程度和滑动亏损速率有所减小，南段闭锁程度与亏损速率有所增大。  相似文献   

MapReduce在气象数据传输时效统计中的应用     

赵文芳  刘旭林  桑雪竹  王鳞春 《南京气象学院学报》2018,10(2):238-243

气象数据的传输时效保障已成为探测和信息部门的重要工作之一,快速统计各类数据到报率和及时率成为一项迫切需求.基于MapReduce编程模型设计了各类数据到报率和及时率的算法,在Hadoop平台上利用该算法实现了各类数据的逐日到报率和及时率的统计,选择文本方式和Sequence File方式作为MapReduce计算模型的输入数据源进行对比试验.试验结果表明,Sequence File作为数据源能更好地提升MapReduce并行运算的性能.  相似文献   

GRAPES区域集合预报尺度混合初始扰动构造的新方案   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

马旭林  计燕霞  周勃旸  时洋  李琳琳  郭欢 《大气科学学报》2018,41(2):248-257

集合预报初始扰动能否准确反映预报误差的结构特征是决定区域集合预报质量的关键因素之一。本文针对GRAPES区域数值预报模式,发展设计了一种基于资料同化思想的混合尺度初始扰动构造新方案。该方案以全球大尺度信息为背景场,区域模式预报作为观测资料,借助GRAPES三维变分同化系统,将高质量的全球大尺度信息与区域模式预报中质量较高的中小尺度信息有效融合,构造混合尺度区域集合预报初始扰动,并通过个例试验和批量试验,比较分析了新方案和原区域集合预报的性能。试验结果表明,基于资料同化构造的初始扰动能够有效融合全球大尺度信息和中小尺度天气系统的信息,其降水概率预报更具参考价值。总体上看,区域集合预报混合初始扰动新方案能够较好地改进区域集合预报质量,尤其是对高度场和温度场效果更为显著,但对风场的集合预报性能影响略小。  相似文献   

基于气象要素的黄河宁夏段流凌密度预报模型     

张德卫  马旭林  张学艺  林霖  薛筝筝 《气象科技》2017,45(6):1095-1098

历史上,黄河宁夏段曾多次发生漫滩甚至决堤淹田等重大气象衍生次生灾害,带来严重损失,且大多发生在封河或开河过程中,流凌密度是判断开、封河的重要指标。本研究利用黄河宁夏段2008—2015年气象水文资料,对流凌密度与其前3~7天的气象要素进行多元线性回归和单要素曲线模拟,结果表明:利用气象要素资料开展流凌密度定量化预报可行,模型拟合度较高,可实现基于数值天气预报的黄河凌汛流凌密度预报业务。  相似文献   

气象观测数据等值线自动绘制系统   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：5  

刘旭林  赵文芳 《气象》2009,35(4):102-107

基于气象观测数据的自动等值线系统采用IDL作为开发工具,通过对自动气象站数据的处理和分析,自动生成等值线图(包括温度,降水等值线图,风矢量图等)并发布到WEB页面,提供动画播放功能和图像查询功能.该系统不仅为天气预报提供必要的决策支持,也是监视天气变化的有效工具.系统在北京第29届奥运会气象服务中得到了广泛使用,是气象预报人员进行个例分析和预报服务的重要支撑平台.  相似文献   

Developments of the Three-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation System for the Nonhydrostatic GRAPES          下载免费PDF全文

MA Xulin  ZHUANG Zhaorong  XUE Jishan  LU Weisong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2009,23(6):725-737

Based on the original GRAPES (Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System) 3DVAR (p3DAR), which is defined on isobaric surface, a new three-dimensional variational data assimilation system (m3DVAR) is constructed and used exclusively with the nonhydrostatic GRAPES model in order to reduce the errors caused by spatial interpolation and variable transformation, and to improve the quality of the initial value for operational weather forecasts. Analytical variables of the m3DVAR are fully consistent with predictands of the GRADES model in terms of spatial staggering and physical definition. A different vertical coordinate and the nonhydrostatic condition are taken into account, and a new scheme for solving the dynamical constraint equations is designed for the m3DVAR. To deal with the difficulties in solving the nonlinear balance equation at σ levels, dynamical balance constraints between mass and wind fields are reformulated, and an effective mathematical scheme is implemented under the terrain-following coordinate. Meanwhile, new observation operators are developed for routine observational data, and the background error covariance is also obtained. Currently, the m3DVAR system can assimilate all routine observational data. Multi-variable idealized experiments with single point observations are performed to validate the m3DVAR system. The results show that the system can describe correctly the multi-variable analysis and the relationship of the physical constraints. The difference of innovation and the analysis residual for ∏ also show that the analysis error of the m3DVAR is smaller than that of the p3DVAR. The Ts scores of precipitation forecasts in August 2006 indicate that the m3DVAR system provides reduced errors in the model initial value than the p3DVAR system. Therefore, the m3DVAR system can improve the analysis quality and initial value for numerical weather predictions.  相似文献   

Study on ETKF-Based Initial Perturbation Scheme for GRAPES Global Ensemble Prediction          下载免费PDF全文

MA Xulin  XUE Jishan  LU Weisong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2009,23(5):562-574

Initial perturbation scheme is one of the important problems for ensemble prediction. In this paper, ensemble initial perturbation scheme for Global/Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System (GRAPES) global ensemble prediction is developed in terms of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) method.A new GRAPES global ensemble prediction system (GEPS) is also constructed. The spherical simplex 14-member ensemble prediction experiments, using the simulated observation network and error characteristics of simulated observations and innovation-based in ation, are carried out for about two months. The structure characters and perturbation amplitudes of the ETKF initial perturbations and the perturbation growth characters are analyzed, and their qualities and abilities for the ensemble initial perturbations are given. The preliminary experimental results indicate that the ETKF-based GRAPES ensemble initial perturbations could identify main normal structures of analysis error variance and reflect the perturbation amplitudes.The initial perturbations and the spread are reasonable. The initial perturbation variance, which is approximately equal to the forecast error variance, is found to respond to changes in the observational spatial variations with simulated observational network density. The perturbations generated through the simplex method are also shown to exhibit a very high degree of consistency between initial analysis and short-range forecast perturbations. The appropriate growth and spread of ensemble perturbations can be maintained up to 96-h lead time. The statistical results for 52-day ensemble forecasts show that the forecast scores ofensemble average for the Northern Hemisphere are higher than that of the control forecast. Provided that using more ensemble members, a real-time observational network and a more appropriate inflation factor,better effects of the ETKF-based initial scheme should be shown.  相似文献   

数字摄像能见度仪器系统控制电路的设计     

王京丽刘旭林  高五峰高峰 吴蕾李伟  刘国宏 《气象科技》2006,34(5):633-637

数字摄像能见度仪器系统(DPVS)是完全仿照人工目测能见度的方法测量能见度的,比传统的透射式、散射式能见度仪更具客观性。为了说明DPVS在硬件方面的工作原理,从该仪器系统的控制电路原理、电路详细构成、元器件的选配、电路设计思路以及系统在实际运行中出现的一些问题和解决方法等方面做了详细介绍。同时还对控制电路中应用的单片机的部分软件做了简要介绍。  相似文献   

Investigations on distributions and fluxes of sea-air CO_2 of the expedition areas in the Arctic Ocean   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

王伟强  陈立奇  杨绪林  黄宣宝 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2003,46(6):569-579

揋reenhouse effect?causing global warming has been an important issue of studying climate change. In the latest 100 years, the earth surface temperature has been increased by about 0.4℃—0.8℃[1,2]. And this has been becoming a hotspot of the world[3,4]  相似文献