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101.
102.
Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) has been shown to play an important role in climatic diagnosis
and long-term prediction and research. With the OLR data 1974 ~ 1997 as observed by satellites, the
characteristics are computed. The results are used to depict the location and intensity of the subtropical high in
the study of the relationship between the annual frequency of tropical cyclones affecting the Fujian province and
ITCZ / subtropical high. It is shown that in years of fewer (more) tropical cyclones, the ITCZ is southward
(northward) located with weaker (stronger) intensity, and the subtropical high is southward (northward). As
shown in the relationship between the anomalous years of tropical cyclones and characteristics of preceding
OLR fields, the OLR anomalies are just oppositely distributed in the Pacific Ocean for years of more (fewer)
tropical cyclones. In other words, the years of fewer (more) tropical cyclones are associated with positive
anomalies of OLR in the tropical west Pacific but negative (positive) anomalies in the equatorial central and
eastern Pacific. It is hoped that our study be setting foundation for short-term climatological prediction of tropical cyclones. 相似文献
103.
通过奇异值分解方法研究了热带太平洋对流活动(OLR)和海温SST的相互关系。结果表明,两场间具有高度的相关性。赤道中、东太平洋和赤道西太平洋上存在类似偶极子型的两个符号相反的显著相关区。ENSO期间,两区对流活动变化趋势相反,由两者之差建立对流涛动指数COI(Convective activities oscillation index)。并以1997/1998年暖事件和1998/2000年冷事件为例分析了COI在ENSO监测中的作用。分析表明,COI能够较好地反映海气相互作用信息,同其他指数相比,具有一定的优越性,是一个较为完善的ENSO监测指标。 相似文献
104.
S. R. Kalsi 《Journal of Earth System Science》2003,112(2):239-253
We document the flow features, which are associated with the important synoptic systems that affected the Bay of Bengal (BoB)
and its neighbourhood and controlled the convective activity there during BOBMEX. The monsoon during July and August, 1999
was subdued. It was slightly more active in the initial phase of BOBMEX that commenced on 15th July 1999 and continued up
to first week of August 1999 but weakened during the second half of August. The convection was accordingly affected, reducing
the rainfall over India. There were several active and weak spells of convection over the Bay of Bengal that manifested in
five low pressure systems, of which two became depressions. 相似文献
105.
该文利用1979~1991年卫星观测的OLR逐候资料,分析青藏高原OLR场的季节变化特征。结果表明:青藏高原OLR场具有显著的季节变化特点,在冬、夏两季高原OLR场表现为“缓变”态,在春、秋两过渡季节表现为“急变”态。同时发现,在春季高原西南部出现持续强的OLR候际正变化区,表明高原加热场在春季的持续加强。各年高原OLR场的季节变化有很大差异,在高原夏季来得早且季节过渡快的年份,相应印度地区的季风雨偏多;在高原夏季来得晚或正常时,印度地区的季风雨偏少或正常。 相似文献
106.
利用OLR资料,对近十多年(1990~2000年)的南海热带气旋的发生、发展与OLR之间的关系进行了分析研究。研究结果表明:南海热带低压能否发展加强成热带风暴与南海区及其附近OLR值的变化有较好的对应关系;OLR低值中心存在于辐合带中热带低压易发展;在双台风状态下,两个低值中心的强弱情况和距离决定热带低压能否发展。通过定义一个南海热带低压的发展指数IOD(Index of Development)来定量描述OLR等值线的梯度变化和南海热带低压发展的关系;当南海热带低压的发展指数IOD≥9时,热带低压易发展成为热带风暴 相似文献
107.
该文利用美国NOAA卫星1991年(及1980和1985年)雨季候平均OLR资料及常规天气观测资料,对1991年江淮洪涝梅雨的OLR场特征进行分析。分析了1991梅雨期的OLR及其距平场以及季内变化(ISV)的经、纬向传播特征;揭示了ITCZ与副热带高压的变化与梅雨的关系以及青藏高原OLR的异常与梅雨的关系;指出西太平洋ITCZ的提前出现以及青藏高原冬季OLR的正距平(积雪少)是1991年洪涝梅雨提前发生的先兆。最后分析了1991年梅雨活跃期与中断期的OLR分布特征,并与印度季风雨相比较,发现两者开始日期 相似文献
108.
利用OLR资料以及广东降水资料,分析了广东各季降水与OLR场的关系,探讨了热带低频振荡对广东后汛期降水的影响。主要结论是:来自北方的天气系统影响是广东前汛期降水的基本条件,而后汛期降水则以来自东南方向的热带系统为主。另外,就整个后汛期平均而言,西太平洋低频振荡中心位置偏北(南)时,该年后汛期降水偏多(少);若就短期气候而言,则低频振荡处于不同位相,相应副热带高压、ITCZ等也发生周期性的变化,从而影响广东降水的低频振荡,因此西太平洋低频振荡所处的位相对广东降水影响很大。 相似文献
109.
110.
Tracy L. DeLiberty 《The Professional geographer》2000,52(2):258-271
This study constructs a regional scale climatology of tropical convection and precipitation from more than 15 years of monthly outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and precipitation data on 2.5°× 2.5° latitude‐longitude grid to examine the spatial and temporal patterns and variability of convection and precipitation in the Amazon Basin. A linear regression analysis also detects if any trends exist in the two datasets. The region of study extends from 15°N to 25°S and 30° to 80°W that encompass the Amazon Basin and surrounding fringe areas for the period from January 1979 through December 1995 for the OLR data and up to 1996 for the precipitation dataset. The basin‐average mean monthly and seasonal climatology serve as a ‘baseline’ reference for comparison with the full time series of basin‐average monthly OLR and precipitation to illustrate the interannual variability and identify anomalous periods of wet and dry conditions. A linear trend analysis of OLR data found small negative values across the Amazon Basin indicating a slight increase in convective activity over the period of study. The analysis of the precipitation time series, however, shows no coincidental increase in precipitation as would be expected with an increase in convective activity. Portions of Rondônia and Mato Grosso, areas that have undergone extensive deforestation, illustrate no trend in precipitation as suggested by GCM simulation results. The only area featuring any large change in precipitation occurs in a small area in the northwestern region of South America where a large positive trend in precipitation exists. 相似文献