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101.
黑河出山径流过程与气象要素多尺度交叉小波分析 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
运用交叉小波对黑河上游野牛沟气象站1959-2010年和祁连气象站1957-2010年年降水(AP)与年均气温(AAT)、北极涛动指数(AOI)和莺落峡站(1944-2010年)的年均径流量(AAR)进行了多尺度分析。结果表明:AOI存在3~5 a尺度的显著周期,AAT存在3 a尺度的显著周期,AP存在3 a和4~6 a尺度的显著周期,AAR存在3 a、2.5~4 a和5 a比较显著的周期;黑河上游径流的增加主要是受"暖湿"气候影响;AAR与AOI、AAT呈现出3 a的负相关和3~4 a的近似负相关共振周期,AAR与AP存在2~7 a的显著性的共振周期,降水对径流的影响很大,为径流的主要补给来源;受AOI的影响,AAR在1987年发生3 a周期的"丰-枯"转换,受AAT的影响,AAR在1974年和1996年发生3 a周期的"丰-枯"转换,受AP的影响,AAR在1986年发生3 a周期的"丰-枯"转换。降水和气温是影响径流变化的主导因素。 相似文献
102.
利用前60阶GRACE重力卫星时变重力场资料和"去相关"、高斯滤波方法解算了中国区域内72个月(2005年1月-2010年12月)的地表负荷形变。为验证GRACE解算结果的可靠性,将解算结果与区域内27个GPS台站实际观测的形变量数据进行对比分析,精度验证表明:1)利用GRACE反演地表负荷形变量是可行的,52%的GPS台站与GRACE估计的相关系数r30%,55%的GRACE解算结果RMSE6mm;2)在中国区域内南部地区的形变反演效果优于北部地区,这可能是由于降水充沛的南部区域的水储量变化比北部大。 相似文献
103.
一、工程概况
济南市天成新居廉租房工程项目地处济南市天桥区天成路东侧,北侧紧邻胶济铁路,东侧为多层居民住房,南侧为天茂路。 相似文献
104.
Verifying Fossil-Fuel Carbon Dioxide Emissions Forecasted by an Artificial Neural Network with the GEOS-Chem Model 下载免费PDF全文
In this study, the authors developed an en- semble of Elman neural networks to forecast the spatial and temporal distribution of fossil-fuel emissions (ff) in 2009. The authors built and trained 29 Elman neural net- works based on the monthly average grid emission data (1979-2008) from different geographical regions. A three-dimensional global chemical transport model, God- dard Earth Observing System (GEOS)-Chem, was applied to verify the effectiveness of the networks. The results showed that the networks captured the annual increasing trend and interannual variation of ff well. The difference between the simulations with the original and predicted ff ranged from -1 ppmv to 1 ppmv globally. Meanwhile, the authors evaluated the observed and simulated north-south gradient of the atmospheric CO2 concentrations near the surface. The two simulated gradients appeared to have a similar changing pattern to the observations, with a slightly higher background CO2 concentration, - 1 ppmv. The results indicate that the Elman neural network is a useful tool for better understanding the spatial and tem- poral distribution of the atmospheric C02 concentration and ft. 相似文献
105.
一个两时间层分裂显格式海洋环流模式(MASNUM)及其检验 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
HAN Lei 《海洋学报(英文版)》2014,33(11):11-35
A two-time-level, three-dimensional numerical ocean circulation model(named MASNUM) was established with a two-level, single-step Eulerian forward-backward time-differencing scheme. A mathematical model of large-scale oceanic motions was based on the terrain-following coordinated, Boussinesq, Reynolds-averaged primitive equations of ocean dynamics. A simple but very practical Eulerian forward-backward method was adopted to replace the most preferred leapfrog scheme as the time-differencing method for both barotropic and baroclinic modes. The forward-backward method is of second-order of accuracy, computationally efficient by requiring only one function evaluation per time step, and free of the computational mode inherent in the three-level schemes. This method is superior to the leapfrog scheme in that the maximum time step of stability is twice as large as that of the leapfrog scheme in staggered meshes thus the computational efficiency could be doubled. A spatial smoothing method was introduced to control the nonlinear instability in the numerical integration. An ideal numerical experiment simulating the propagation of the equatorial Rossby soliton was performed to test the amplitude and phase error of this new model. The performance of this circulation model was further verified with a regional(northwest Pacific) and a quasi-global(global ocean simulation with the Arctic Ocean excluded) simulation experiments. These two numerical experiments show fairly good agreement with the observations. The maximum time step of stability in these two experiments were also investigated and compared between this model and that model which adopts the leapfrog scheme. 相似文献
106.
107.
利用时序InSAR技术的优势,以新疆WLL水库大坝为研究对象,使用31幅Sentinel-1A影像,采用StaMPS
方法对其进行形变监测,得到大坝及周边区域的形变结果,并从内、外符合精度两个方面进行精度验证。结果表明,
研究区域PS点平均形变速率标准差区间为0.3~3.1mm/a;StaMPS与SBAS形变速率中误差为±5.7mm;与大
坝二等水准监测成果比较,垂直形变速率中误差为±5.0mm,垂直累积形变量中误差为±10.2mm。从而证明
StaMPS方法在大坝形变监测应用中的可行性。 相似文献
108.
LIU Bin LIU Jianzhong ZHANG Guangliang LING Zongcheng ZHANG Jiang HE Zhiping YANG Benyong ZOU Yongliao 《中国地球化学学报》2014,33(1):86-94
In 2013, Chang'E-3 program will develop lunar mineral resources in-situ detection. A Visible and Near-infrared Imaging Spectrometer (VNIS) has been selected as one payload of CE-3 lunar rover to achieve this goal. It is critical and urgent to evaluate VNIS' spectrum data quality and validate quantification methods for mineral composition before its launch. Ground validation experiment of VNIS was carried out to complete the two goals, by simulating CE-3 lunar rover's detection environment on lunar surface in the laboratory. Based on the hyperspectral reflectance data derived, Correlation Analysis and Partial Least Square (CA-PLS) algorithm is applied to predict abundance of four lunar typical minerals (pyroxene, plagioclase, ilmenite and olivine) in their mixture. We firstly selected a set of VNIS' spectral parameters which highly correlated with minerals' abundance by correlation analysis (CA), and then stepwise regression method was used to find out spectral parameters which make the largest contri- butions to the mineral contents. At last, functions were derived to link minerals' abundance and spectral parameters by partial least square (PLS) algorithm. Not considering the effect of maturity, agglutinate and Fe~, we found that there are wonderful correlations between these four minerals and VNIS' spectral parameters, e.g. the abundance of pyroxene correlates positively with the mixture's absorption depth, the value of absorption depth added as the in- creasing of pyroxene's abundance. But the abundance of plagioclase correlates negatively with the spectral parame- ters of band ratio, the value of band ratio would decrease when the abundance of plagioclase increased. Similar to plagioclase, the abundance of ilmenite and olivine has a negative correlation with the mixture's reflectance data, if the abundance of ilmenite or olivine increase, the reflectance values of the mixture will decrease. Through model validation, better estimates of pyroxene, plagioclase and ilmenite's abundances are given. It is concluded that VNIS has the capability to be applied on lunar minerals' identification, and CA-PLS algorithm has the potential to be used on lunar surface's in-situ detection for minerals' abundance prediction. 相似文献
109.
文章首先对GIS中5种常用的空间插值方法原理进行了详细阐述,采用交叉验证法来对比分析不同插值方法的精度。应用反距离权重法、克里金法、自然邻域法、样条函数法、趋势面法5种常用的空间插值方法对兖矿集团济三煤矿1308工作面开采沉陷预计数据进行插值,对比分析了各种插值方法的精度,并对插值的误差影响因素进行了实验分析。结果表明:5种常用的空间插值方法中,克里金插值和样条函数插值精度最高,自然邻域插值和反距离权重插值精度居中,趋势面插值精度最低;对插值结果造成影响的因素与沉陷预计点的数量和密度有关,沉陷预计点的密度越大、数量越多,空间插值结果的精度就越高。研究成果可为矿山开采沉陷预计插值方法的选取提供借鉴。 相似文献
110.