Long-Term Trend and Abrupt Change for Major Climate Variables in the Upper Yellow River Basin   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

ZHAO Fangfang  XU Zongxue  HUANG Junxiong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2007,21(2):204-214

On the basis of the mean air temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration, and pan evaporation from 23 meteorological stations in the upper Yellow River Basin from 1960 to 2001, the feasibility of using hypothesis test techniques to detect the long-term trend for major climate variables has been investigated. Parametric tests are limited by the assumptions such as the normality and constant variance of the error terms. Nonparametric tests have not these additional assumptions and are better adapted to the trend test for hydro-meteorological time series. The possible trends of annual and monthly climatic time series are detected by using a non-parametric method and the abrupt changes have been examined in terms of 5-yr moving averaged seasonal and annual series by using moving T-test (MTT) method, Yamamoto method, and Mann-Kendall method. The results show that the annual mean temperature has increased by 0.8℃in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years. The warmest center was located in the northern part of the basin. The nonlinear tendency for annual precipitation was negative during the same period. The declining center for annual precipitation was located in the eastern part and the center of the basin. The variation of annual precipitation in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years exhibited an increasing tendency from 1972 to 1989 and a decreasing tendency from 1990 to 2001. The nonlinear tendencies for annual sunshine duration and pan evaporation were also negative. They have decreased by 125.6 h and 161.3 mm during the past 42 years, respectively. The test for abrupt changes by using MTT method shows that an abrupt wanning occurred in the late 1980s. An abrupt change of the annual mean precipitation occurred in the middle 1980s and an abrupt change of the mean sunshine duration took place in the early 1980s. For the annual mean pan evaporation, two abrupt changes took place in the 1980s and the early 1990s. The test results of the Yamamoto method show that the abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1980s, and two acute abrupt changes were tested for the spring pan evaporation in 1981 and for the annual mean temperature in 1985. According to the Mann-Kendall method, the abrupt changes of the temperature mainly occurred in the 1990s, the pan evaporation abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1960s, and the abrupt changes of the sunshine duration primarily took place in the 1980s. Although the results obtained by using three methods are different, it is undoubted that jumps have indeed occurred in the last four decades.  相似文献   

河南省黄河中游水土流失区林业重点治理工程可行性研究   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

光增云  唐卫平  马群智 《地域研究与开发》1998,(Z1)

从项目建设的必要性和紧迫性、建设内容、效益分析等方面论证了项目的可行性。项目规划营造林３８．９万ｈｍ２,总投资１２．７７亿元。经测算,项目实施后,生态、社会、经济效益分别为４４．１７,１８．９５,１０３．７５亿元,综合效益达１６６．８７亿元,而且使项目区的水土流失基本得到控制,生态环境得到根本改善,抗御自然灾害的能力提高  相似文献   

黄河中游地区农村经济发展战略研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

任国柱 《地理科学进展》1998,17(3):83-88

黄河中游地区是我国自然条件较差、生态环境脆弱、农村经济基础较薄弱的地区之一,本文对该地区农村经济发展的区位、资源等优势条件和生态环境、科技文化等限制因素进行了分析,对农村经济发展的现状和潜力进行了评价和分析,探讨了今后本区农村经济发展的方向与途径等问题。  相似文献   

黄河断流产生的环境地质问题与对策   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

徐军祥  康凤新 《中国地质》1998,(2):29-31,33

黄河,中华民族的摇篮。数千年来,以其丰盈的乳汁哺育了一代又一代炎黄子孙。黄河,我们的母亲河。然而,今天黄河又怎样了呢? 1972年黄河开始出现断流,1991年以后,则半年出现断流,并趋逐年严重之势。1997年断流时间提早到2月7日,至11月20日累计断流221天,断流河段占下游总河长的80％以上。昔日“黄河之水天上来”的壮观景象已成为“黄河之水涓涓来,干涸河床牛羊走”。黄河断流给沿河广大地区的工农业发展、经济进步、人民生活的提高和生态环境带来了巨大的负面影响。 本文从环境地质学角度探讨了断流产生的环境地质问题,并提出了解决对策。希望我们的地质学家们出谋划策,为拯救我们的母亲河贡献力量。  相似文献   

黄河断流对三角洲环境的恶性影响   总被引：28，自引：1，他引：27  

叶青超 《地理学报》1998,53(5):385-392,T001

近１０年来黄河频繁断流和河道萎缩并存在的发生和发展,是黄河有史以来出现的一个转折点,总的形势不仅加重了今后三角洲防洪的负担,而且对三角洲生态环境变化产生了重大的负面影响。  相似文献   

黄河故道的环境特征与整体开发   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

张义丰 《地理研究》1998,17(3):289-296

从区域开发的角度,对黄河故道的形成发展与环境的关系进行了分析,提出了开发构想,为黄河故道生态农业的开发提供依据。  相似文献   

资料集锦     

《地理教学》1998,(1):46-48,25

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黄河小浪底,长江三峡水利工程基础施工技术简介     

冯国强  张林霞 《探矿工程译丛》1998,(4):1-4

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论黄河水资源开发利用的目标和黄河断流——兼与部分院士商榷   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

温善章 《水科学进展》1998,9(4):403-407

黄河下游自70年代以来,几乎年年出现断流,并且一年比一年严重.这引起了国内外各界人士的关注,中国科学院、中国工程院部分院士的关注更为强烈.  相似文献   

浅谈河务部门领导如何当好行政首长的“参谋长”     

刘广云  赵应福 《防汛与抗旱》1998,(3):29-30

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