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本文以拉格朗日观点分析北极涛动(Arctic Oscillation,AO),也被称为北半球环状模(Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode,NAM)的指数异常事件中北极近地面冷气团的活动路径,直接地表现出了异常事件中冷气团运动的优势路径,从而反映出AO/NAM对地面气温的直接调控作用.在正AO/NAM指数异常事件中,极区近地面冷气团活动轨迹以纬向环流为主,表现为环绕北半球中高纬地区的冷气团活动轨迹特征明显.而在负AO/NAM指数异常事件中,极区冷气团以反气旋式轨迹流出极区后,流入中纬度海洋上的低气压区,这种由极区向中纬度地区流动的经向运动轨迹特点显著.并且在指数下降的中后期出现两种强烈影响欧亚大陆的运动轨迹.正负事件中冷气团运动轨迹很好地解释了传统公认的AO/NAM对北半球不同地区冬季气温的影响.特别是对中国冬季气温的影响上,正AO/NAM指数异常事件中的中低层冷气团活动有利于南支槽加深,进而为南方地区冰冻雨雪天气提供了有利条件;而负事件中的极地近地面冷气团可直接影响东北地区,形成寒潮降温天气. 相似文献
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This paper demonstrates that an annular mode can be constructed from the combination of the
North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific/North American (PNA) patterns. The quasi-annularity,
meridional dipole and vertical barotropy of the constructed annular mode resemble those of the Atlantic
Oscillation (AO) pattern. It is also a dominant mode in terms of the variance contribution. Moreover, its
temporal correlation with the AO is quite strong. This new annular mode has the advantage over the AO in
that it incorporates a large portion of the PNA and makes the center of action in the Pacific stronger and
more physically relevant than that of the AO. Or, more generally, it may be regarded as a physical mode
unlike the AO. The results of this study also indicate the NAO–PNA perspective contains most of the
information of the AO, whereas the AO perspective only contains about half of the information of the
NAO-PNA. Consequently, the NAO–PNA perspective is regarded by the authors to be more
comprehensive than that of the AO. 相似文献
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24.
基于DMSP/OLS夜间灯光数据的居住区指数模型(HSI)广泛应用于区域尺度城市不透水面扩张监测。但是,在干旱区由于受到裸岩、沙漠、戈壁等低植被覆盖区干扰,HSI算法的精度和适应性受到了一定的影响。为解决这一问题,本文利用植被覆盖度作为调节系数,对灯光数据与植被指数进行动态调整,构建了适用于干旱区的城市植被调节不透水指数(VAISI);然后采用SVR模型,通过机器学习的方法构建了城市不透率参考数据与VAISI之间的非线性关系模型,实现对干旱区区域尺度不透水面覆盖率估算;最后,对模型估算结果进行了精度验证和比较分析。试验结果表明:在干旱区,VAISI解决了由于灯光溢出问题及城市周边裸土等低植被覆盖等因素导致的城市周边裸土像元不透率估算过高问题,一定程度上提高了城市内部不透水面空间分布信息的表达能力,有效克服了非灯光区估算结果高于背景值的现象。平均相关系数R由0.69提升到0.79,RMSE由0.17降至0.14。 相似文献
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