季节指数及其在季节性监测资料分析和预报中的应用     

王琪洁  邹峥嵘彭悦 《四川测绘》2004,27(4):156-158,173

基于灰色模型的诸多优点，作者选用GM(1，1)模型分析和预报形变监测序列。然而直接应用GM(1，1)灰色模型分析和预报具有季节性的监测序列时往往精度不高。因此，作者提出运用基于季节指数的“去季节波动”法与GM(1，1)混合建模，对监测资料进行分析与预报。基于均方差和平均绝对误差两个精度准则，作者对此方法与周期函数拟合模型进行了比较。结果表明，此方法提高了具有季节性波动监测序列的预报精度，且建模方法简便、快捷。  相似文献   

西风带研究动态          下载免费PDF全文

韩照宇  郝智文  韩芳  韩普  岳江  张占良 《山西气象》2005,(2):13-14,17

本文较为详细地介绍了影响我国气候的重要因子——西风带的一些国内外最新研究动态,这些研究动态和研究成果将对山西省的气候研究起到积极作用。  相似文献   

陕西省信用联社市县级计算机网络防雷工程设计分析          下载免费PDF全文

郭宏武  曹继军  杨增军 《山西气象》2005,(3):30-33

“山西省卫星农网”依托其省、市、县三级专门服务于农业的信息交流平台,能够及时地让农户了解国家和地方的农业政策及办事程序等,成为农户和政府间的信息桥梁,为广大农村提供准确的各类气象信息,有效地指导了农业生产,大大地减小了天气灾害损失。山西卫星农网作为山西省规模较大的农业专业网站,其影响和作用正逐步地发挥出来。  相似文献   

Mineralogy and geochemistry of a Late Permian coal in the Dafang Coalfield, Guizhou, China: influence from siliceous and iron-rich calcic hydrothermal fluids   总被引：16，自引：2，他引：16  

Shifeng Dai  Chen-Lin Chou  Mei Yue  Kunli Luo  Deyi Ren   《International Journal of Coal Geology》2005,61(3-4):241-258

This paper describes the influence of siliceous and iron-rich calcic low-temperature hydrothermal fluids (LTHF) on the mineralogy and geochemistry of the Late Permian No. 11 Coal (anthracitic, R_r=2.85%) in the Dafang Coalfield in northwestern Guizhou Province, China. The No. 11 Coal has high contents of vein ankerite (10.2 vol.%) and vein quartz (11.4 vol.%), with formation temperatures of 85 and 180 °C, respectively, indicating that vein ankerite and vein quartz were derived from low-temperature calcic and siliceous hydrothermal fluids in two epigenetic episodes. The vein quartz appears to have formed earlier than vein ankerite did, and at least three distinct stages of ankerite formation with different Ca/Sr and Fe/Mn ratios were observed.The two types of mineral veins are sources of different suites of major and trace metals. Scanning electron microscope and sequential extraction studies show that, in addition to Fe, Mg, and Ca, vein ankerite is the dominant source of Mn, Cu, Ni, Pb, and Zn in the coal, and the contents of these five elements are as high as 0.09% and 74.0, 33.6, 185, and 289 μg/g, respectively. In contrast, vein quartz is the main carrier mineral for platinum-group elements (PGEs) Pd, Pt, and Ir in the coal, and the contents of Pd, Pt, and Ir are 1.57, 0.15, and 0.007 μg/g, respectively. Sequential extraction showed a high PGE content in the silicate fraction, up to 10.4 μg/g Pd, 1.23 μg/g Pt, and 0.05 μg/g Ir, respectively. It is concluded that the formation of ankerite and quartz and the anomalous enrichment of trace elements in the No. 11 Coal in the Dafang Coalfield, Guizhou, result from the influx of calcic and siliceous low-temperature hydrothermal fluids.  相似文献   

射电望远镜远场区域强干扰源规避方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

李欢  刘奇  王娜  蔡明辉  王玥  朱春花  苏晓明 《天文学报》2021,62(6):61

随着频率使用率的提高, 射电天文台址地面或空间存在强电磁干扰致使望远镜接收机系统处于非线性状态. 为减少强电磁干扰的影响、提高天文观测效率, 提出了一种基于望远镜远场区域的强干扰源规避方法. 首先, 通过仿真分析确定的射电望远镜远场方向图, 结合望远镜与干扰源之间的位置关系, 分析了强电磁干扰到达射电望远镜焦点处的功率响应, 并依据接收机第2阶中频放大器性能参数, 确定射电望远镜处于非饱和状态的规避角度计算方法. 其次, 采用该方法计算分析了民航飞机对射电望远镜的影响, 若民航飞机上有主动发射的干扰源, 且不经过反射等传播现象, 当射电望远镜主波束轴偏开一定方向后, 可有效降低对射电望远镜的干扰强度.  相似文献   

The influence of coupled physical swelling and chemical reactions on deformable geomaterials     

Yue Ma  Xiao‐Hui Chen  Lee J. Hosking  Hai‐Sui Yu  Hywel R. Thomas  Simon Norris 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2021,45(1):64-82

Coupled thermo‐hydro‐mechanical‐chemical modelling has attracted attention in past decades due to many contemporary geotechnical engineering applications (e.g., waste disposal, carbon capture and storage). However, molecular‐scale interactions within geomaterials (e.g., swelling and dissolution/precipitation) have a significant influence on the mechanical behaviour, yet are rarely incorporated into existing Thermal‐Hydro‐Mechanical‐Chemical (THMC) frameworks. This paper presents a new coupled hydro‐mechanical‐chemical constitutive model to bridge molecular‐scale interactions with macro‐physical deformation by combining the swelling and dissolution/precipitation through an extension of the new mixture‐coupling theory. Entropy analysis of the geomaterial system provides dissipation energy, and Helmholtz free energy gives the relationship between solids and fluids. Numerical simulation is used to compare with the selected recognized models, which demonstrates that the swelling and dissolution/precipitation processes may have a significant influence on the mechanical deformation of the geomaterials.  相似文献   

图们江入海港口开发与建设的国际法依据及分析 ——基于北极东北航道通航的视角          下载免费PDF全文

马丹彤  董跃 《海洋开发与管理》2019,36(3):21-27

北极东北航道作为"一带一路"重点建设海上合作的三条线路之一,通航的基本条件已经具备。图们江入海口是我国距离东北航道最近的地点,建设图们江入海港口对于我国具有重要的经济带动效应和战略意义。文章梳理了图们江入海港口开发的历史渊源与中国、俄罗斯、朝鲜3国先期合作的共识及相关法规基础,从开发与建设的两环节提出了取得图们江入海权与进行入海港口开发及投资建设的国际法依据。依据国际法提出:着眼于未来的发展,开发与建设图们江入海自由港,进一步提出采取谈判或磋商方式加强合作,争取图们江入海口出海权;按照第四代自由港的模式建设图们江自由港,加强与周边港口的互联互通;以图们江入海港口为枢纽,建立图们江港口型自由贸易区等设想与建议。  相似文献   

对流层延迟与可降水量直接转换模型研究     

李黎  宋越  易金花  田莹  周嘉陵 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(5):492-495

采用线性回归和最小二乘法拟合建立无线电探空可降水量（RS-PWV）与GPS对流层延迟（GPS-ZTD）、地面温度及大气压之间的直接转换模型，并将直接转换模型得到的PWV分别与RS-PWV及GPS反演得到的可降水量（GPS-PWV）进行比较。结果表明，RS-PWV与GPS-ZTD之间存在良好的线性关系，相关系数达0.927 6；RS-PWV与4阶拟合温度和大气压呈现较好的相关性，相关系数分别为0.640 1和－0.626 3；基于ZTD的单阶单因子模型PWV与GPS-PWV的相关系数达到0.969 9；基于ZTD、温度及大气压的单阶多因子模型PWV比基于ZTD的单阶单因子模型PWV精度明显提高，RMS从4.3 mm提高到3.3 mm。  相似文献   

Assessing effects of “source-sink” landscape on non-point source pollution based on cell units of a small agricultural catchment     

WANG Jin-liang  CHEN Cheng-long  NI Jiu-pai  XIE De-ti  GUO Xi  LUO Zhi-jun  ZHAO Yue 《山地科学学报》2019,(9)

Ascertaining the relationship between "source-sink" landscape and non-point source(NPS) pollution is crucial for reducing NPS pollution, however, it is not easy to realize this target on cell unit scale. To reveal the relationships between "sourcesink" landscape and NPS pollution based on cell units of a small catchment in the Three Gorges Reservoir Region(TGRR), the runoff and nutrient yields were simulated first by rainfall events on a cell unit scale based on the Annualized AGricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Model(AnnAGNPS). Landscape structure and pattern were quantified with "sourcesink" landscape indicators based on cell units including landscape area indices and locationweighted landscape indices. The results showed that:the study case of small Wangjiagou catchment highlighted a good prediction capability of runoff and nutrient export by the AnnAGNPS model. Throughout the catchment, the spatial distribution trends of four location-weighted landscape indices were similar to the trends of simulated total nitrogen(TN) and total phosphorus(TP), which highlighted the importance of spatial arrangement of "source" and "sink" landscape types in a catchment when estimating pollutant loads. Results by Pearson correlation analysis indicated that the location-weighted landscape index provided a more comprehensive account of multiple factors, and can better reflect NPS-related nutrient loss than other landscape indices applied in single-factor analysis. This study provides new findings for applying the "source-sink" landscape indices based on cell units in small catchments to explain the effect of "source-sink" landscape on nutrient export based on cell unit, and helps improve the understanding of the correlation between "source-sink" landscape and NPS pollution.  相似文献   

差分层析SAR技术研究现状分析     

张月  庞蕾  徐西桂  张天  张瑞菊 《测绘通报》2019,(1):5-12

差分层析SAR是在层析SAR基础上发展起来的一种四维信息反演技术。它不仅实现了对雷达目标的三维分辨能力，同时可以获取目标的形变速率信息，可实现对目标方位-距离-高度-时间四维成像，这对实现城市基础设施动态形变监测、古建筑风险评估、重要工程安全监测等应用具有重要实际意义和价值。本文基于差分层析SAR成像原理，分析了成像处理过程中存在的问题，总结了差分层析SAR成像算法研究现状和特点；最后列举了差分层析SAR技术的主要应用领域，并对其技术发展趋势进行了展望。  相似文献