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91.
Abstract

The actual evapotranspiration and runoff trends of five major basins in China from 1956 to 2000 are investigated by combining the Budyko hypothesis and a stochastic soil moisture model. Based on the equations of Choudhury and Porporato, the actual evapotranspiration trends and the runoff trends are attributed to changes in precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, rainfall depth and water storage capacity which depends on the soil water holding capacity and the root depth. It was found that the rainfall depth increased significantly in China during the past 50 years, especially in southern basins. Contributions from changes in the water storage capacity were significant in basins where land surface characteristics have changed substantially due to human activities. It was also observed that the actual evapotranspiration trends are more sensitive to precipitation trends in water-limited basins, but more sensitive to potential evapotranspiration trends in energy-limited basins.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor A. Porporato  相似文献   
92.
根据广义相对论,在天体引力作用下,天体周边的空间是曲折的。空间因天体的引力而发生曲折,地球在引力的作用下也与人类之前所认识的有所不同。本文提出一种新的假设一引力作用下的平衡质量运动理论,试图从思维的角度重新思考和探索地球的运动规律。主要讨论三个问题:地球上质量的分布;地球的运动;地球自转的速度。由地球上海陆质量的分布引出假设一引力作用下的平衡质量运动理论,其次,利用该假设对地球火山、地震和自转进行分析与推导。  相似文献   
93.
本研究以南亚热带优势树种黄果厚壳桂(Cryptocarya concinna)为研究对象,采用控制实验与样地调查相结合的方法,验证密度制约对群落物种多样性维持的影响。通过在黄果厚壳桂母树周围建立24个成对的1 m×1 m幼苗样方,定期进行幼苗群落调查并做土壤杀菌,分析杀菌处理对黄果厚壳桂幼苗存活率及其幼苗物种丰富度的影响。并通过样地调查进行不同龄级相对多度与群落均匀度的相关分析。结果表明,杀菌处理可显著降低幼苗群落物种丰富度。黄果厚壳桂幼树密度随着离母树距离的增加而增加,其种群占整个群落的相对多度随着树龄呈递减趋势,黄果厚壳桂种群优势地位的减少将直接导致群落均匀度的增加,从而避免单优种群的发生,促进多物种共存。。  相似文献   
94.
刘红岩  李俊峰 《岩土力学》2016,37(Z1):95-100
作为岩体组成部分的非贯通节理对岩体力学特性有着重要影响,然而几乎目前所有的岩体损伤变量计算方法都仅考虑节理几何参数对岩体力学特性的影响。对含单组非贯通节理的岩体力学特性进行研究,提出一个能够同时考虑节理几何及强度参数对岩体力学特性影响的新的岩体损伤变量计算方法。首先,采用弹性余能等效假设代替Lemaitre应变等效假设研究由节理引起的岩体各向异性损伤,并基于断裂力学中单个节理引起的附加应变能增量与损伤力学应变能释放量相关联的观点,推导出由单条节理引起的损伤变量计算公式。其次,根据断裂力学理论获得了单轴压缩下单条节理尖端应力强度因子(SIF)KⅠ、KⅡ的计算公式。最后,通过考虑节理间的相互作用给出了单组单排或多排节理尖端应力强度因子KⅠ、KⅡ的计算公式,得到了单组节理引起的岩体损伤变量计算公式,并与已有试验结果的对比分析证明了该公式的合理性。  相似文献   
95.
郝冬雪  陈榕  许成顺  刘春城 《岩土力学》2013,34(10):2781-2789
柱孔扩张理论广泛用于旁压试验机制分析、沉桩挤土效应等岩土工程问题中。基于经典的Vesic孔扩张理论,采用能够考虑中主应力效应的广义SMP屈服准则,并结合有限应变理论对均质土体中柱孔扩张问题进行分析,根据应力路径假设提出确定塑性区平均体应变的解析步骤。通过大量变参数计算给出具有不同刚度指标 、泊松比 和内摩擦角 的土中柱孔扩张极限状态下的塑性区平均体应变、孔扩张半径比和孔扩张系数。分析结果表明, 、 、 越大,塑性区平均体应变越小,塑性区半径比越大,孔扩张系数越大;随着 增加, 的变化对孔扩张系数的影响更显著。同时,将结果与基于Mohr-Coulomb准则的孔扩张解答进行比较,探讨不同土性参数时中主应力效应对孔扩张系数的影响。文中分析方法及给出的考虑中主应力效应的柱孔扩张系数表可为原位试验分析及桩侧摩阻力估算提供参考。  相似文献   
96.
The existence and strength of the annual KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) sardine run has long been a conundrum to fishers and scientists alike ― particularly that the sardine Sardinops sagax migrate along the narrow Transkei shelf against the powerful, warm Agulhas Current. However, examination of ship-borne acoustic Doppler current profiler (S–ADCP) data collected during two research surveys in 2005 indicated that northward-flowing coastal countercurrents exist at times between the Agulhas Bank and the KZN Bight, near Port Alfred, East London, Port St Johns and Durban. The countercurrent near Port Alfred extended as far east as the Keiskamma River, within an upwelling zone known to exist there. An ADCP mooring at a depth of 32 m off Port Alfred indicated that the countercurrent typically lasted a few days, but at times remained in the same direction for as long as 10 days. Velocities ranged between 20 and 60 cm s?1 with maximum values of ~80 cm s?1. The S–ADCP data also highlighted the existence of cyclonic flow in the Port St Johns–Waterfall Bluff coastal inset, with a northward coastal current similarly ranging in velocity between 20 and 60 cm s?1. CTD data indicated that this was associated with shelf-edge upwelling, with surface temperatures 2–4 °C cooler than the adjacent core temperature (24–26 °C) of the Agulhas Current. Vertical profiles of the S–ADCP data showed that the countercurrent, about 7 km wide, extends down the slope to at least 600 m, where it appeared to link with the deep Agulhas Undercurrent at 800 m. S–ADCP and sea surface temperature (SST) satellite data confirmed the existence of the semi-permanent, lee-trapped, cyclonic eddy off Durban, associated with a well-defined northward coastal current between Park Rynie and Balito Bay. Analysis of three months (May–July 2005) of satellite SST and ocean colour data showed the shoreward core-boundary of the Agulhas Current (24 °C isotherm) to commonly be close to the coast along the KZN south coast, as well as between the Kei and Mbhashe rivers on the Transkei shelf. The Port St Johns–Waterfall Bluff cyclonic eddy was also frequently visible in these satellite data. Transient cyclonic eddies, which spanned 150–200 km of shelf, appeared to move downstream in the shoreward boundary of the Agulhas Current at a frequency of about once a month. These seemed to be break-away Durban eddies. Data collected by ADCP moorings deployed off Port Edward in 2005 showed that these break-away eddies and the well-known Natal Pulse are associated with temporary northward countercurrents on the shelf, which can last up to six days. It is proposed that these countercurrents off Port Alfred, East London and Port St Johns assist sardine to swim northwards along the Transkei shelf against the Agulhas Current, but that their progress north of Waterfall Bluff is dependent on the arrival of a transient, southward-moving, break-away Durban cyclonic eddy, which apparently sheds every 4–6 weeks, or on the generation of a Natal Pulse. This passage control mechanism has been coined the ‘Waterfall Bluff gateway’ hypothesis. The sardine run survey in June–July 2005 was undertaken in the absence of a cyclonic eddy on the KZN south coast, i.e. when the ‘gate’ was closed.  相似文献   
97.
'Loop closing', that is, the creation of waste recycling linkages between different industries, has been hailed as a means of simultaneously achieving improved economic and environmental performance. As a result of the widespread assumption that traditional market incentives and institutions are not conducive to such an outcome, however, there remains a fair amount of scepticism as to what the capacity of business self-interest to promote this behaviour actually is. This article challenges the dominant negative perspective by discussing by-product development in one of the most market-oriented societies in human history, Victorian England. Building on nineteenth and early twentieth century writings on the topic, as well as a more detailed analysis of the development of valuable by-products from highly problematic iron and coal gas production residuals, a case is made that the search for increased profitability within the context of private property rights often simultaneously promoted economic and environmental progress in the long run, as well as on different geographical scales.  相似文献   
98.
Separating effects of climate change (ΔQc) and human activity (ΔQh) on stream discharge at the watershed scale is needed for developing adaptive measures to climate change. However, information is scarce in existing literature regarding whether such separating is feasible and whether reliable results can be produced. The objectives of this overview were to: (1) compare currently-used methods; (2) assess assumptions and issues of the methods; and (3) present a generic framework that overcomes possible issues. Based on the overview of fifteen recent representative studies, two methods can be used to estimate absolute magnitudes of ΔQc and ΔQh, while another method can be used to distinguish relative magnitudes of ΔQc versus ΔQh only. Because the methods’ fundamental assumptions about baseline versus altered period, water storage change and deep groundwater loss, precipitation-runoff relationship, hysteresis influence of human activity, and record of time series can seldom be satisfied for many watersheds, it is more realistic and practical to distinguish relative effects than to estimate absolute magnitudes of ΔQc and ΔQh. Moreover, a generic framework was presented for gauged watersheds with negligible groundwater loss, aiming to avoid misuse of the methods in practice.  相似文献   
99.
利用损伤力学模型研究地震前兆现象   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5  
在地震等灾变破坏发生之前会出现一定的前兆现象,本文通过损伤力学模型,运用数值计算的方法对此进行了研究.从计算结果可以看到,在灾变破坏发生之前,由损伤所释放的能量(能量释放)和加卸载响应比值Y都发生了异常明显的变化,这表明二者具有相同的物理机制,在一定程度上都能够较为定量地刻画出系统的损伤演化过程.如果把二者相结合则可能对地震等灾变破坏做出更为准确的预测,本文结合实际震例对此也进行了一定的研究.  相似文献   
100.
万天丰 《地球科学》2019,44(5):1526-1536
大地构造学是研究地球物质在时间和空间演化的学问,是构造地质学的一门重要的分支学科,是一门涉及知识面很宽的学问.大地构造学需要朝定型、定向、定时、定位和定量的研究方向前进,需要通过"行万里路,读万卷书",经过长期的知识积淀才可能进行扎实的研究,以便逐渐接近科学的真理.槽台假说是一种过时的认识.板块构造学说起源于海洋地球物理调查,它是一个仍在继续发展中的大地构造学说,强调各个岩石圈板块是以水平运移为主的,但是其动力学机制则至今尚未完全解决,仍在探索之中.  相似文献   
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