Evaluation of Inference Adequacy in Cumulative Logistic Regression Models: An Empirical Validation of ISWRidge Relationships     

Cheng-Wu CHEN  Hsien-Chueh Peter YANG  Chen-Yuan CHEN  Alex Kung-Hsiung CHANG  Tsung-Hao CHEN   《中国海洋工程》2008,22(1):43-56

Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p 〈0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to cheek the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height （X1 ） and potential energy （X2 ） significantly impact （p 〈 0. 0001 ） the amplitude-based refleeted rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all 〉 0.05 （0.2839, 0.3438, respectively）. That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height （ X1 ） and potential energy （X2） can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model. Investigation of 6 predictive powers （ R2, Max-rescaled R^2, Sorners＇ D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively） indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.  相似文献   

Variations mechanism in entropy of wave height field and its relation with thermodynamic entropy     

郭佩芳侯一筠  钱成春周良民 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2006,24(1):65-68

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大地构造和海陆起源的内波假说（Ⅰ）──关于板块学说的若干问题及其思考     

池顺良  锤荣融  杨洪之  骆鸣津 《大地测量与地球动力学》1996,(1)

随着资料的积累，不断发现与板块假说相矛盾的事实：地震层析没有发现地幔对流的证据，却发现大陆克拉通具有４００ｋｍ深的“壳根”；海洋地质调查发现了一系列否定板块假说的重要证据，尤其是大西洋中多处发现古岩石，使海底扩张模型受到严重挑战；跨越扩张脊的一系列测量结果实际上否定了扩张假说。此外，作为学说重要支柱的地磁资料的可靠性受到怀疑，板块消减过程中洋底沉积层堆积被否定，大陆碰撞模式与陆上地质资料的不符，动力机制不明，板块模式不适于解释复杂的大陆地质而难以登陆等事实，已令板块构造理论陷入了深刻的危机之中。根据煤和蒸发岩的地史分布等资料，说明一个海陆相对固定的大地构造模型更符合实际。通过对大地构造假说发展史的分析和研究，并借鉴天文学中太阳系的发现史，认为新假说的建立必须从确凿的地质现象，而非多解性的资料和推断出发。由此提出大地构造和海陆起源的内波假说。  相似文献   

A COMBINED REFRACTION-DIFFRACTION-DISSIPATION MODEL OF WAVE PROPAGATION   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

楼菁 《中国海洋湖沼学报》1994,12(4):361-371

A numerical model based on the mild-slope equation of water wave propagation over complicated bathymetry,taking into account the combined effects of refraction,diffraction and dissipation due to wavebreaking is presented.Wave breaking is simulated by modifying the wave height probability density func-tion and the wave energy dissipation mechanism is parameterized according to that of the hydraulic jumpformulation.Solutions of the wave height,phase function,and the wave direction at every grid point areobtained by finite difference approximation of the governing equations,using Gauss-Seidel Iterative Method(GSIM)row by row.Its computational convenience allows it to be applied to large coast regions tostudy the wave transformation problem.Several case studies have been made and the results compare verywell with the experiment data and other model solutions.The capability and utility of the model forreal coast areas are illustrated by application to a shallow bay of northeast Australia.  相似文献   

Processing and Inversion of Long-Period Surface-Wave Data Collected In the Iberian Peninsula   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

J. Badal  V. Corchete  G. Payo  J. A. Canas  L. Pujades  F. J. Serón 《Geophysical Journal International》1990,100(2):193-202

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Propagation of elastic waves in a cylindrical bore in a liquidsaturated porous solid     

M. D. Sharma  M. L. Gogna 《Geophysical Journal International》1990,103(1):47-54

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Quasi-shear wave coupling in weakly anisotropic 3-D media   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

R.T. Coates  C. H. Chapman 《Geophysical Journal International》1990,103(2):301-320

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近岸海浪、风暴潮及海啸灾害远程实时监测系统的现场试验及应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王盛安  龙小敏  黎满球  姚远  潘文亮 《热带海洋学报》2009,28(1)

利用自主研发的近岸海浪、风暴潮及海啸灾害远程实时监测系统,在广东省阳江市闸坡附近海域进行了远程实时监测试验.文章介绍了监测系统的组成,对2007年9月1日-10月3日的观测记录进行了分析,计算出台风增水、波高和波周期,采用低通滤波方法获得重力外波.实验结果表明,研发的近岸海浪、风暴潮及海啸灾害远程实时监测系统可供实际推广应用.  相似文献   

Distribution of the nonlinear random ocean wave period     

侯一筠  李明杰  宋贵霆  司广成  齐鹏  胡珀 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2009,27(4):919-923

Because of the intrinsic difficulty in determining distributions for wave periods, previous studies on wave period distribution models have not taken nonlinearity into account and have not performed well in terms of describing and statistically analyzing the probability density distribution of ocean waves. In this study, a statistical model of random waves is developed using Stokes wave theory of water wave dynamics. In addition, a new nonlinear probability distribution function for the wave period is presented with the parameters of spectral density width and nonlinear wave steepness, which is more reasonable as a physical mechanism. The magnitude of wave steepness determines the intensity of the nonlinear effect, while the spectral width only changes the energy distribution. The wave steepness is found to be an important parameter in terms of not only dynamics but also statistics. The value of wave steepness reflects the degree that the wave period distribution skews from the Cauchy distribution, and it also describes the variation in the distribution function, which resembles that of the wave surface elevation distribution and wave height distribution. We found that the distribution curves skew leftward and upward as the wave steepness increases. The wave period observations for the SZFII-1 buoy, made off the coast of Weihai (37°27.6′ N, 122°15.1′ E), China, are used to verify the new distribution. The coefficient of the correlation between the new distribution and the buoy data at different spectral widths (ν=0.3−0.5) is within the range of 0.968 6 to 0.991 7. In addition, the Longuet-Higgins (1975) and Sun (1988) distributions and the new distribution presented in this work are compared. The validations and comparisons indicate that the new nonlinear probability density distribution fits the buoy measurements better than the Longuet-Higgins and Sun distributions do. We believe that adoption of the new wave period distribution would improve traditional statistical wave theory.  相似文献   

方向分布对三维聚焦波浪波面特性影响研究     

李金宣  柳淑学  孙一艳  HONG Keyyong 《海洋工程》2008,26(2):26-33

波浪聚焦被认为是产生极限波浪的重要机理之一,近年来受到普遍重视。通过高阶谱方法,引入造波边界建立数值计算模型,模拟聚焦波浪在不同方向分布时的产生和聚焦过程,研究波浪的方向分布对聚焦波浪的波面、波峰最大值、聚焦点的偏移、波面参数及频谱的影响。研究结果表明波浪方向分布越窄,波浪的非线性影响越强、波面越陡,波峰值、聚焦点的偏移和波面特征参数都越大;同时方向分布对波浪聚焦前后的能量具有很大的影响。  相似文献