基于小波变换与神经网络的石羊河流域夏季地温预测模型研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

贾东于  李开明  聂晓英  袁春霞  李清峰  高福元 《冰川冻土》2020,42(2):412-422

地温变化在气候反馈效应中起着重要作用， 理解地温及其与影响因素之间的时空关系对预测全球温度变化至关重要。利用1998 - 2017年石羊河流域的逐日常规气象观测资料， 采用小波分析结合BP（Back Propagation）神经网络构建了石羊河流域夏季地温预报模型， 结果表明： 日平均地温预测效果在不同站点均为最佳， 其中预测值和观测值的相关系数均大于0.87， 3 ℃以内的预测概率均大于84%。其中， 民勤地区地温预测效果最好， 预测值和观测值的相关系数达到0.91， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到86%。日最高地温的预测值与观测值的相关系数高于0.8， 但误差平方和、 标准差较大。永昌地区日最高地温的模拟效果最好， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到83%。日最低地温的预测与观测值的平均相关系数高于0.66， 3 ℃以内的预报概率高于83%， 但预测值略低。其中， 武威地区日最低地温的预测效果最好， 预测值与观测值的相关系数为0.72， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到94%。研究成果可为有效弥补干旱、 半干旱区地温观测资料缺失和探讨其与局地气候的关系提供一些参考。  相似文献   

Validation of Land Surface Temperature Derived from 37-GHz AMSR-E over Northern China          下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG An-Zhi  JIA Gen-Suo  WANG He-Song  ZHAO Tian-Bao 《大气和海洋科学快报》2011,4(5):257-263

A validation study of land surface temperature (LST) obtained from the Ka band (37 GHz) vertically polarized brightness temperature over northern China is presented.The remotely sensed LST derived jointly by the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (VUA-NASA) from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) were compared to the daily in-situ top soil temperature/infrared surface temperature observations from eleven/three Enhanced Coordinated Observation stations in arid and semi-arid regions of northern China.The VUA-NASA LST from the descending path exhibited a stronger correspondence to the in-situ infrared surface temperature than soil temperature observations,whereas correlations (R 2) of the latter ranged from 0.41 to 0.86.Meanwhile,the ascending overpass LST was generally warmer than the in-situ soil temperature observations at all stations,and the correlation (R 2) was between 0.07 and 0.72.Furthermore,the correlation of the descending path was generally greater than that of the ascending path at the same station.The descending path VUA-NASA LST was sensitive to precipitation and presented good agreement with ground temperature dynamics.The analyses demonstrated that the descending overpass LST was reliable to reflect reasonable patterns of temperature dynamics for land surface temperature in the region.  相似文献   

基于ASTER数据的城市热环境遥感监测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈健  杨旭媛 《国土资源遥感》2011,(3):100-105

以ASTER数据为数据源,采用同一颗卫星上的MODIS数据得到大气透过率;利用可见光和近红外波段对下垫面类型进行分类和利用JPL(Jet Propulsion Lab)提供的光谱库计算地表比辐射率,进而采用劈窗算法进行地表温度(Land Surface Temperature,LST)的反演。在此基础上,利用反演的LST、分类结果和归一化差值植被指数(NDVI),对沧州地区的城市热环境进行了定量分析,研究结果可为进一步深入探讨城市热岛的发生发展规律以及城市热环境的模拟调控、优化布局提供一定的科学依据。  相似文献   

利用MODIS/LST产品分析基准气候站环境代表性   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王圆圆  李贵才  张艳 《应用气象学报》2011,22(2)

该文基于2001-2007年地表温度遥感反演产品(MOD11A2),以基准气候站对其周围不同大小窗口内地表温度距平序列的解释方差作为度量,评估了我国142个基准气候站的环境代表性,并将代表性与土地覆盖和高程状况进行相关研究.结果显示:以解释方差大于0.75作为区分是否具有代表性的阈值,约41%的站点代表性较好,代表区域范围可超过51×51 km2,多分布于北方地区;约21%的站点代表性较差,代表区域范围不足7×7 km2,多分布于南方地区;其他代表区域范围居中的站点在南、北方均有分布;站点周围的土地覆盖多样性和地形起伏度与站点代表性存在负相关,且相关性随窗口的增大而加强.文中还评估了基准气候站对所属气候区的代表性,发现在气候特征复杂的西南地区和新疆部分地区,站点对气候区的代表性较差.  相似文献   

利用MODIS/LST产品分析基准气候站环境代表性   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王圆圆  李贵才  张艳 《应用气象学报》2011,22(2):214-220

该文基于2001—2007年地表温度遥感反演产品 (MOD11A2),以基准气候站对其周围不同大小窗口内地表温度距平序列的解释方差作为度量,评估了我国142个基准气候站的环境代表性,并将代表性与土地覆盖和高程状况进行相关研究。结果显示:以解释方差大于0.75作为区分是否具有代表性的阈值,约41%的站点代表性较好,代表区域范围可超过51×51 km2,多分布于北方地区;约21%的站点代表性较差,代表区域范围不足7×7 km2,多分布于南方地区;其他代表区域范围居中的站点在南、北方均有分布;站点周围的土地覆盖多样性和地形起伏度与站点代表性存在负相关,且相关性随窗口的增大而加强。文中还评估了基准气候站对所属气候区的代表性,发现在气候特征复杂的西南地区和新疆部分地区,站点对气候区的代表性较差。  相似文献   

Recent trends on glacier area retreat over the group of Nevados Caullaraju-Pastoruri (Cordillera Blanca,Peru) using Landsat imagery     

《Journal of South American Earth Sciences》2015

The Cordillera Blanca, located in the central zone of the Andes Mountains in Peru, has shown a retreat in its glaciers. This paper presents a trend analysis of the glacier area over the groups of Nevados Caullaraju-Pastoruri from 1975 to 2010 using Landsat-5 Thematic Mapper (TM) imagery. In the case of the Nevados Pastoruri/Tuco, the study period was extended back to 1957 by using an aerial photograph taken that year. The extent of clean glacier ice was estimated using Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI) thresholds. Moreover, the estimation of debris-covered glacier ice was retrieved by means of a decision tree classification method using NDSI, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST). Area estimations derived from Landsat imagery were compared to the glacier ground-truth data in 1975 and 2010. Results show a statistically significant (p < 0.05) decreasing trend over the whole study area. Total glacier area decreased at a rate of 4.5 km² per decade from 1975 to 2010, with a total loss of 22.5 km² (58%). Lower decreasing rates were found for the period 1987–2010: 3.5 km² per decade with a total loss of 7.7 km² (32.5%). In the case of the Nevados Pastoruri/Tuco, decreasing rates of clean ice extent were constant for the periods 1957–2010, 1975–2010 and 1987–2010, with values close to 1.4 km² per decade and a total loss between 1957 and 2010 estimated at about 5 km² (54%). This work shows an evident area decrease in the Caullaraju-Pastoruri tropical glaciers, which needs to be included in a future hydrological scenario of local adaptability and water management.  相似文献   

Analysis of Spatio-temporal Land Surface Temperature and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index Changes in the Andassa Watershed,Blue Nile Basin,Ethiopia     

Melkamu Meseret Alemu 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2019,10(1):77-85

Analysis of the nexus between vegetation dynamics and climatic parameters like surface temperature is essential in environmental and ecological studies and for monitoring of the natural resources. This study explored the spatio-temporal distribution of land surface temperature (LST) and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the relationship between them in the Andassa watershed from 1986 to 2016 periods using Landsat data. Monthly average air temperature data of three meteorological sites were used for validating the results. The findings of the study showed that the LST of the Andassa watershed has increased during the study periods. Overall, average LST has been rising with an increasing rate of 0.081°C per year. Other results of this study also showed that there has been a dynamic change in vegetation cover of the watershed in all seasons. There was also a negative correlation between LST and NDVI in all the studied years. From this study we can understand that there has been degradation of vegetation and intensification of LST from 1986 to 2016.  相似文献   

Impact of Grazing Exclusion on the Surface Heat Balance in North Tibet     

FENG Yunfei  DI Yingwei  ZHANG Jing  ZHANG Xianzhou  SHI Peili  Niu Ben 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2020,11(3):283-289

The grazing exclusion program used by the Tibetan government to protect the ecological environment has changed the vegetation and impacted the surface heat balance in North Tibet. However, little information is available to describe the in?uences of the current grazing exclusion program on local surface heat balance. This study uses the records of fenced grassland patch locations to identify the impact of grazing exclusion on surface heat balance in North Tibet. The records of fenced grassland patch locations, including the longitude, latitude, and elevation of the vertices of each fenced patch (polygon shapes), were provided by the agriculture and animal husbandry bureaus of the counties where the patches were located. ArcGIS 10.2 was used to create polygon shapes based on patch location records. Based on satellite data and the surface heat balance system determined by the model, values for changes in land surface temperature (LST), albedo and evapotranspiration (ET) induced by grazing exclusion were obtained. All of these can influence surface heat balance and alter the fluctuation of LST in the northern Tibetan Plateau. The LST trends for day and night showed an asymmetric diurnal variation, with a larger magnitude of warming in the day than cooling at night. The maximum decrease in absorbed shortwave of LST (-0.5 - -0.4 ℃ per decade) occurred in the central region, while the minimum decrease (-0.2 - -0.1 ℃ per decade) occurred in the eastern region. The decreased latent heat lead to the LST increased maximum (>1 ℃ per decade) occurred in the central region, The eastern region increased at a rate of 0.2-0.5 ℃ per decade, while the minimum increase (0-0.1 ℃ per decade) occurred in the northwestern region.  相似文献   

AMSR-E卫星亮度温度数据在高原东北部土壤湿度观测和模拟中的应用   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

史小康  文军  王磊  田辉  张堂堂 《高原气象》2010,29(3):545-553

为了改进青藏高原东北部土壤湿度的观测和模拟效果,利用AMSR-E(Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS)亮度温度资料,估算了高原东北部的土壤湿度值;还利用耦合了Noah陆面模型的WRF中尺度模式WRF-Noah,结合牛顿松驰逼近同化法对AMSR-E估算的土壤湿度进行了同化试验。结果表明:与实测及NCEP再分析值土壤湿度相比,估算的高原东北部的土壤湿度值虽小些,但能够体现土壤湿度随降水事件等的影响。使用牛顿松弛逼近法同化后比没有同化或采用直接替代法模拟的土壤湿度的效果要好。在区域尺度上,通过对牛顿松弛逼近法中质量因子的详细控制,采用该同化方法后对沙漠地区土壤湿度的模拟改善最为明显,其次是草地以及灌木丛与草地混合区;在时间尺度上,采用牛顿松弛逼近同化方法后模拟值与实测值的均方根误差得到减少。  相似文献   

Variability of soil moisture and its relationship with surface albedo and soil thermal parameters over the Loess Plateau   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

管晓丹  黄建平  郭铌  闭建荣  王国印 《大气科学进展》2009,26(4):692-700

Data from July 2006 to June 2008 observed at SACOL(Semi-Arid Climate and Environment Observatory of Lanzhou University,35.946°N,104.137°E,elev.1961 m),a semi-arid site in Northwest China,are used to study seasonal variability of soil moisture,along with surface albedo and other soil thermal parameters, such as heat capacity,thermal conductivity and thermal diffusivity,and their relationships to soil moisture content.The results indicate that surface albedo decreases with increases in soil moisture content,s...  相似文献