非典型周期和气候突变的识别与判定          下载免费PDF全文

秦建国 《水文》2020,40(1):23-28

通过两种新方法分析了无锡站降水年际变化的突变性、周期性等特征,揭示了旱涝演化的自然规律。研究表明,1934、1978、2013年是我国近现代气候突变的临界点,这是旱涝演化的自然选择;无锡站年际降水的观测历史可分成四个特征不同的时段,每个时段节点对应的都是一次气候突变;气候突变会改变年际降水序列的一致性,分段法研究可以大幅度降低模拟难度、提高预测效率。发现并确认了3个气候突变点,实现了超长缺测中断期(13a)旱涝趋势的精确插补,完成了无锡站近百年降雨序列的周期性分析与旱涝趋势预测模拟,研究成果改变了近现代气候历史无法细分的现状。  相似文献   

Experimental Study of a Command Governor Adaptive Depth Controller for an Unmanned Underwater Vehicle     

《Applied Ocean Research》2019

Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs) are increasingly being used in advanced applications that require them to operate in tandem with human divers and around underwater infrastructure and other vehicles. These applications require precise control of the UUVs which is challenging due to the non-linear and time varying nature of the hydrodynamic forces, presence of external disturbances, uncertainties and unexpected changes that can occur within the UUV’s operating environment. Adaptive control has been identified as a promising solution to achieve desired control within such dynamic environments. Nevertheless, adaptive control in its basic form, such as Model Reference Adaptive Control (MRAC) has a trade-off between the adaptation rate and transient performance. Even though, higher adaptation rates produce better performance they can lead to instabilities and actuator fatigue due to high frequency oscillations in the control signal. Command Governor Adaptive Control (CGAC) is a possible solution to achieve better transient performance at low adaptation rates. In this study CGAC has been experimentally validated for depth control of a UUV, which is a unique challenge due to the unavailability of full state measurement and a greater thrust requirement. These in turn leads to additional noise from state estimation, time-delays from input noise filters, higher energy expenditure and susceptibility to saturation. Experimental results show that CGAC is more robust against noise and time-delays and has lower energy expenditure and thruster saturation. In addition, CGAC offers better tracking, disturbance rejection and tolerance to partial thruster failure compared to the MRAC.  相似文献   

Phasing of segmented mirrors: a new algorithm for piston detection     

J.M. Rodríguez-Ramos  J.J. Fuensalida 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,328(1):167-173

The point spread function of a segmented-mirror telescope is severely affected by segment misalignment, which can nullify the performance of adaptive optics systems. The piston and tilt of each segment must be precisely adjusted in relation to the other segments. Furthermore, the direct detection of the alignment error with natural stars would be desirable in order to monitor the errors during astronomical observation.
We have studied the lost information of the piston error caused by the presence of atmospheric turbulence in the measurements of curvature, and present a new algorithm for obtaining the local piston using the curvature sensor. A phase-wrapping effect is shown as responsible for the loss of curvature information and so the piston errors can no longer adequately be mapped; this happens not only in the presence of atmospheric turbulence, but also in its absence.
Good results are obtained using a new iterative method for obtaining the local piston error map. In the presence of atmospheric perturbation, the turbulent phase information obtained from a Shack–Hartmann sensor is introduced in our new iterative method. We propose a hybrid sensor composed of a curvature sensor and a Shack–Hartmann sensor, in order to complete all the information for the phasing. This design takes a short computation time and could be used in real time inside an adaptive optics system, where tilt and piston errors must be corrected.  相似文献   

Optimal Compensation and Implementation for Adaptive Optics Systems     

Douglas P. Looze  Markus Kasper  Stefan Hippler  Orhan Beker  Robert Weiss 《Experimental Astronomy》2003,15(2):67-88

This paper develops a compensation algorithm based on Linear–Quadratic–Gaussian (LQG) control system design whose parameters are determined (in part) by a model of the atmosphere. The model for the atmosphere is based on the open-loop statistics of the atmosphere as observed by the wavefront sensor, and is identified from these using an auto-regressive, moving average (ARMA) model. The (LQG) control design is compared with an existing compensation algorithm for a simulation developed at ESO that represents the operation of MACAO adaptive optics system on the 8.2 m telescopes at Paranal, Chile. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Estimation of anisoplanatism in adaptive optics by generalized SCIDAR profiling     

R. W. Wilson  N. J. Wooder  F. Rigal  J. C. Dainty 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,339(2):491-494

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基于增强型GPS的自适应UKF实时星间相对定位方法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘洋  潘晓刚  王正明  易东云 《测绘学报》2008,37(1):0-113

高精度的星间实时相对定位是卫星编队飞行的一项关键技术。本文以双星编队为例,提出一种基于GPS双频P码、双频载波相位以及星间距离观测信息的自适应UKF、实时相对定位方法。仿真结果表明:相比传统的EKF方法,该算法能有效地提高滤波稳定性及相对定位精度,而且,星间测距信息的引入能大大减少整周模糊度判定所需的历元数。  相似文献   

人地系统适应性研究进展：概念、理论框架与方法   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

尹莎  杨新军  陈佳 《地理科学进展》2021,40(2):330-342

适应性研究旨在通过主体对外部环境变化的调整,以削减其负面影响并改善适应能力,是实现人地系统可持续发展的重要途径。鉴于目前对适应性理论体系缺乏统一认识和系统梳理,论文通过对国内外人地系统适应性研究文献总结,从概念内涵、理论框架和方法对适应性研究进展进行了总结,并提出了适应性研究的科学范式。研究发现：① 学术界对适应性概念的理解并未达成科学共识,阻碍了通用的适应性研究理论体系的构建。② 现有适应性分析框架多是基于全球变化领域理论框架基础的延伸和修订。③ 适应性研究缺乏具有代表性的方法,以借用脆弱性、恢复力评估方法和指标体系为主。因此,统一的适应性概念和理论体系的构建亟需加强,而国外既有积累的理论经验并不通用,中国化的适应性分析框架、方法是未来的重要研究方向。同时,应强化人类社会和自然环境“综合”的人地系统适应性研究,注重多尺度结合的适应性动态分析。  相似文献   

基于相关分析和自适应遗传算法的盐渍化建模变量和参数优选   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

徐红涛  陈春波  郑宏伟  罗格平  杨辽  王伟胜  吴世新 《地球信息科学学报》2020,22(7):1497-1509

机器学习结合遥感等其他数据反演土壤盐分含量（Soil Salt Content, SSC）较少关注对模型精度影响较大的建模特征变量和模型参数的优选。本文基于自适应遗传算法（Adaptive Genetic Algorithm, AGA）同步优选建模特征变量和模型参数的支持向量回归（Support Vector Regression, SVR）算法反演三工河流域2016年SSC,并分析其在不同土地利用类型的分布特征。建模特征变量和模型参数的同步优选及实验设计如下：首先基于Landsat 8 OLI和SRTM高程数据提取7类共40个盐渍化相关因子,经相关分析初步筛选出候选特征变量,分别代入AGA、遗传算法（Genetic Algorithm, GA）和格网搜索算法（Grid Search, GS）同步优选SVR的建模特征变量和模型参数,并建立盐渍化监测模型（AGA-SVR、GA-SVR、GS-SVR）。结果表明：① AGA-SVR精度最优,GA-SVR次之,GS-SVR最差,相较于GS-SVR,AGA-SVR的R²/RMSE提高了44.65%;② 三工河流域非、轻度、中度、重度盐渍地和盐土的面积占比分别为42.83%、11.02%、15.88%、9.22%、21.05%;③ 草地和未利用地主要以非盐渍地和盐土为主,耕地和林地中非盐渍地分布比例均为最大;不同土地利用类型的SSC均值和标准差均呈现未利用地>草地>耕地>林地的规律。本研究的建模特征变量和模型参数的优选方法可在一定程度上提高盐渍化监测的精度。关键词：盐渍化;遗传算法;机器学习;特征优选;参数优化;土壤盐分含量;土地利用;相关分析  相似文献   

Bayesian Spatial Modelling of Gamma Ray Count Data     

Daniela Leonte  David J. Nott 《Mathematical Geology》2006,38(2):135-154

Gamma ray logging is a method routinely employed by geophysicists and environmental engineers in site geology evaluations. Modelling of gamma ray data from individual boreholes assists in the local identification of major lithological changes; modelling these data from a network of boreholes assists with lithological mapping and spatial stratigraphic correlation. In this paper we employ Bayesian spatial partition models to analyse gamma ray data spatially. In particular, a spatial partition is defined via a Voronoi tessellation and the mean intensity is assumed constant in each cell of the partition. The number of vertices generating the tessellation as well as the locations of vertices are assumed unknown, and uncertainty about these quantities is described via a hierarchical prior distribution. We describe the advantages of the spatial partition modelling approach in the context of smoothing gamma ray count data and describe an implementation that may be extended to the fitting of a more general model than a constant mean within each cell of the partition. As an illustration of the methodology we consider a data set collected from a network of eight boreholes, which is part of a geophysical study to assist in mapping the lithology of a site. Gamma ray logs are linked with geological information from cores and the spatial analysis of log data assists with predicting the lithology at unsampled locations.  相似文献   

基于预测的边缘检测方法   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

王晖  卢健 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2005,30(1):23-26

提出了一种基于预测的、有一定自适应性的边缘检测方法。介绍了其原理和算法实现过程。通过计算两个相邻像素的灰度值的均值、均方差和梯度来预测下一个像素的灰度值，比较预测值和真实值来判断下一个像素是否是边界点。通过与现有同类算法的比较，证明了该算法的优越性。  相似文献