Thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows: Insights from the Pinal Fire,Arizona, USA     

Carissa A. Raymond  Luke A. McGuire  Ann M. Youberg  Dennis M. Staley  Jason W. Kean 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2020,45(6):1349-1360

Wildfire significantly alters the hydrologic properties of a burned area, leading to increases in overland flow, erosion, and the potential for runoff-generated debris flows. The initiation of debris flows in recently burned areas is well characterized by rainfall intensity-duration (ID) thresholds. However, there is currently a paucity of data quantifying the rainfall intensities required to trigger post-wildfire debris flows, which limits our understanding of how and why rainfall ID thresholds vary in different climatic and geologic settings. In this study, we monitored debris-flow activity following the Pinal Fire in central Arizona, which differs from both a climatic and hydrogeomorphic perspective from other regions in the western United States where ID thresholds for post-wildfire debris flows are well established, namely the Transverse Ranges of southern California. Since the peak rainfall intensity within a rainstorm may exceed the rainfall intensity required to trigger a debris flow, the development of robust rainfall ID thresholds requires knowledge of the timing of debris flows within rainstorms. Existing post-wildfire debris-flow studies in Arizona only constrain the peak rainfall intensity within debris-flow-producing storms, which may far exceed the intensity that actually triggered the observed debris flow. In this study, we used pressure transducers within five burned drainage basins to constrain the timing of debris flows within rainstorms. Rainfall ID thresholds derived here from triggering rainfall intensities are, on average, 22 mm h⁻¹ lower than ID thresholds derived under the assumption that the triggering intensity is equal to the maximum rainfall intensity recorded during a rainstorm. We then use a hydrologic model to demonstrate that the magnitude of the 15-min rainfall ID threshold at the Pinal Fire site is associated with the rainfall intensity required to exceed a recently proposed dimensionless discharge threshold for debris-flow initiation. Model results further suggest that previously observed differences in regional ID thresholds between Arizona and the San Gabriel Mountains of southern California may be attributed, in large part, to differences in the hydraulic properties of burned soils. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

锚固站对BDS自主导航精度的影响分析     

龚晓颖  蔡诗响 《测绘通报》2020,(4):68-75

介绍了自主导航的轨道确定及时间同步观测方程。以北斗仿真全星座为对象，通过采用仿真星间及卫星与地面锚固站间观测值，进行了60 d自主导航解算，分别探讨了锚固站数量及锚固站观测连续性对北斗卫星导航系统（BDS）3类卫星自主导航精度的影响。结果表明：锚固站数量及观测连续性对RERR及CERR无影响；加入1个锚固站即可显著改进URE结果精度，继续增加锚固站数量虽然可进一步提高URE精度但其改进效果有限；锚固站观测中断时间越长，其对应自主导航精度越低。因此，在BDS自主导航运行模式下应保持较高的锚固站观测频次以保证自主导航精度；另外，锚固站数量及观测连续性对北斗系统3类卫星自主导航精度的影响无显著差异。  相似文献   

顾及基准站坐标动态特性与稳定性的区域框架构建     

蒋光伟  王斌  王延伟  李康  孙洋洋 《地球物理学进展》2020,(1):8-15

基准站受构造运动与非线性因素的影响,如何构建高精度、现势性强的精细区域框架是位置服务与形变分析的的关键.笔者提出顾及基准站坐标动态特性与稳定性的区域框架构建方法.以我国西部与东部某城市的多年连续运行基准站数据为例进行试算比对,试验结果表明:该方法是可行的,较好地顾及了基准站的坐标特性与非线性影响,考虑了基准站的垂直运动规律,可构建高精度的区域基准,可发现区域基准的微动态变化.  相似文献   

辽宁省数字化形变观测自然干扰分析     

姚菲菲  宫长盛  梁永信 《地震地磁观测与研究》2020,41(4):148-156

对数字形变观测过程中辽宁丹东地震台、营口地震台、抚顺地震台、朝阳地震台DSQ水管仪、SS-Y伸缩仪存在的自然干扰现象进行研究，对其机理和数据形态作了对比分析，为快速、准确地判别自然干扰提供了科学依据。  相似文献   

中国东部层积云发展过程中云微物理特征的演变   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

李思聪  李昀英  孙国荣  宋文婷 《地球物理学报》2019,62(12):4513-4526

基于2007—2010年的CloudSat卫星观测数据,以云层液态水路径为指标将层积云的发展过程划分为五个阶段,对比研究了中国东部降水与非降水层积云发展过程中云微物理特征和云微物理机制的演变,并分析了其海陆差异.研究表明:非降水层积云中,云滴增长主要通过凝结过程完成,但云滴的凝结增长有限,难以形成降水,在非降水层积云发展的旺盛阶段,云层中上部云滴发生较弱的碰并过程.降水层积云中云滴碰并增长活跃,当云层液态水路径小于500 g·m~(-2)时,云滴在从云顶下落至云底的过程中持续碰并,并在云底附近出现云水向雨水的转化;当降水层积云液态水路径超过500 g·m~(-2)时,云滴碰并增长主要发生在云层上部,在云层中部,云液态水含量、液态粒子数浓度和液态粒子有效半径达到最大,云水向雨水的转化最为活跃.层积云微物理特征的海陆差异主要是由海陆上空气溶胶浓度和云中上升气流强度不同导致的.在非降水层积云中下部,陆地丰富的气溶胶为云滴凝结增长提供了充足的云凝结核,因而云微物理量的量值在陆地上空更大,而在云层中上部,云滴凝结增长达到极限,海洋充足的水汽输送使云微物理量的量值在海洋上空更大.当降水层积云液态水路径大于500 g·m~(-2)时,陆地层积云中更强的上升气流使大量云滴在云层中上部累积滞留,云滴碰并增长活跃,云层中上部云微物理量的量值在陆地上空更大.  相似文献   

基于噪声谱比法的内蒙古西部地区台站场地响应研究     

张珂  王鑫  王树波  张红才  宋晓燕 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(6):646-651

利用内蒙古西部12个台站的地脉动噪声数据，采用噪声谱比法研究台站的场地响应情况。分析表明，台站场地响应按曲线形态可分为3类，且可能受地形地貌、局部构造和台基状况等条件影响。对比分析噪声谱比法与Moya方法的场地响应结果发现，场地响应曲线形态基本一致，只有极少数台站存在明显差异。结果表明，内蒙古西部区域大部分台站的台基状况总体较好，场地响应曲线较为平坦，无明显频率放大点。  相似文献   

基于AUKF的框架结构离线模型更新混合试验方法     

陈凡  郭玉荣 《地震工程与工程振动》2020,(1):162-170

模型更新混合试验在传统混合试验方法的基础上更新与试验构件具有相同恢复力特性的构件,扩展了混合试验方法的应用范围。本文旨在提高模型更新混合试验的精度,降低试验的成本并简化模型更新混合试验方法的流程。自适应UKF(AUKF)算法在传统UKF的基础上加入方差自适应模块,能够减轻初始参数设定对参数识别结果的影响,本文基于AUKF提出一种模型更新混合试验方法。对以Bouc-Wen为恢复力模型的防屈曲约束支撑(BRB)进行低周反复加载虚拟试验,通过Matlab编制AUKF算法程序进行参数识别,验证了AUKF算法的高效准确性。对一榀8层4跨带BRB的钢框架进行混合试验数值仿真,结果表明离线模型更新试验结果较在线模型更新更接近真实结果,且简化了试验流程。  相似文献   

An evaluation of Guided Regularized Random Forest for classification and regression tasks in remote sensing     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2020

New Earth observation missions and technologies are delivering large amounts of data. Processing this data requires developing and evaluating novel dimensionality reduction approaches to identify the most informative features for classification and regression tasks. Here we present an exhaustive evaluation of Guided Regularized Random Forest (GRRF), a feature selection method based on Random Forest. GRRF does not require fixing a priori the number of features to be selected or setting a threshold of the feature importance. Moreover, the use of regularization ensures that features selected by GRRF are non-redundant and representative. Our experiments based on various kinds of remote sensing images, show that GRRF selected features provides similar results to those obtained when using all the available features. However, the comparison between GRRF and standard random forest features shows substantial differences: in classification, the mean overall accuracy increases by almost 6% and, in regression, the decrease in RMSE almost reaches 2%. These results demonstrate the potential of GRRF for remote sensing image classification and regression. Especially in the context of increasingly large geodatabases that challenge the application of traditional methods.  相似文献   

多层构造油藏纵向细分计算单元对储量参数及结果的影响     

颜冠山  刘宗宾  宋洪亮  韩雪芳  王欣然 《地质与资源》2020,29(4):342-350

为满足油田中后期精细开发及后续调整挖潜的需要，亟需进行更精细的储量研究，其中最重要的一环就是纵向细分计算单元.对于多层构造油藏，纵向细分主要根据油层组内隔夹层分布特征、小层物性特征，细分到以小层或者分布特征和物性相近且纵向上连续分布的小层组合为计算单元.根据纵向细分计算单元前后储量参数选值的理论推导，结合储层的沉积展布特征，认为含油面积范围内无储层尖灭时，仅平面油层厚度差异较大的油藏平均有效厚度变小.含油面积范围内储层尖灭时，正常三角洲沉积储层的油藏各参数一般都变小；而辫状河三角洲沉积储层的油藏一般平均有效厚度变小，平均有效孔隙度和平均含油饱和度变大.这一结论可以有效指导储量评估过程中纵向细分计算单元方案划分，为同类油田的精细储量研究提供技术支撑.  相似文献   

少筋混凝土重力式桥墩抗震研究现状          下载免费PDF全文

鲁锦华  陈兴冲  丁明波  张熙胤 《世界地震工程》2020,(1):125-136

我国铁路桥梁普遍采用少筋混凝土重力式桥墩（配筋率<0.5%），现有普通钢筋混凝土结构的延性抗震理论不适用于该类型桥墩。为了促进我国铁路重力式桥墩抗震理论的发展，详细论述了我国少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的研究现状和存在问题。首先，对少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的破坏特征及破坏机理进行了总结；其次，分析了各参数对少筋混凝土重力式桥墩抗震性能的影响；再次，对目前少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的抗震设计方法进行了汇总与分析；最后，对少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的数值分析模型进行了归纳与分析。通过对现有研究的汇总发现:目前对少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的试验研究主要以拟静力方法为主，还缺少振动台试验研究其动力状态下的破坏机理及抗震性能；少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的破坏机理及其与各影响因素之间的定量关系还不明确；已提出的少筋混凝土重力式桥墩的抗震设计方法存在塑性铰区计算不合理等问题，还需要进一步的完善。为少筋混凝土重力式桥墩抗震研究提供了方向。  相似文献