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CLIMATE CHANGE: LONG-TERM TRENDS AND SHORT-TERM
OSCILLATIONS 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Identifying the Northern Hemisphere (NH) temperature reconstruction and instrumental data for
the past 1000 years shows that climate change in the last millennium includes long-term trends and various
oscillations. Two long-term trends and the quasi-70-year oscillation were detected in the global temperature
series for the last 140 years and the NH millennium series. One important feature was emphasized that
temperature decreases slowly but it increases rapidly based on the analysis of different series. Benefits can be
obtained of climate change from understanding various long-term trends and oscillations. Millennial temperature
proxies from the natural climate system and time series of nonlinear model system are used in understanding the
natural climate change and recognizing potential benefits by using the method of wavelet transform analysis. The
results from numerical modeling show that major oscillations contained in numerical solutions on the
interdecadal timescale are consistent with that of natural proxies. It seems that these oscillations in the climate
change are not directly linked with the solar radiation as an external forcing. This investigation may conclude
that the climate variability at the interdecadal timescale strongly depends on the internal nonlinear effects in the climate system. 相似文献
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近20年全球冬、夏季海平面气压场和500 hPa高度场年代际变化特征分析 总被引：19，自引：14，他引：19
利用1958－1997年全球海平面气压场和500hPa高度场的月平均资料分析了70年代中后期年代际突变前后16a平均的冬、夏海平面气压场和500hPa高度场的变化特征。结果表明，发生在70年代中后期的年代际气候突变是全球性的；突变后与突变前相比，冬季海平面气压场上的阿留申低压增强并发生了东移，与之对应的冬季500hPa高度场上的东亚大槽减弱，同时也发生了明显的系统性东移；冬季，蒙古高压北部减弱，南部稍有增强；夏季，印度低压和东亚的季风低压均减弱；而副热带高压系统普遍增强。 相似文献
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设计了一个热带赤道β-平面的两层海洋模式,在准长波近似下,应用最大截断模分析赤道波的基本形态,指出无论是正压模或斜压模Kelvin波、Rossby波及基本流所对应的“地形Rossby波”是最基本的波系,在基本流的一定切变条件下,它们之间可以耦合出一类不稳定波。在浅混合层近似和“快波近似”下,正压模和斜压模是可以分离的,因此可以分别分析它们的色散特征,由于它们的特征量不同,在同样波长(扰动的纬向尺度)下,扰动的增长率也不同,通过分析得出在一定参数下,斜压模扰动增长率为正压模的2倍。近似分析表明,混合层中流场的增长要快于温跃层,但温跃层的温度增长要比混合层明显。 相似文献
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