不同空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价模型对比研究          下载免费PDF全文

田丰  张军  冉有华  刘金鹏  周翼 《干旱区地理》2019,42(3):559-569

以山洪灾害风险评价的多准则决策模型、最大熵模型、信息量模型三种常见模型为研究对象，选取河西走廊和张掖市为地理区划（大中）、市域（小）空间尺度研究区，构建山洪灾害风险评价指标体系，分别完成基于三种模型的两种空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价制图，基于甘肃省地质灾害调查与区划报告数据从模型验证、空间自相关、精度对比和尺度效应等角度对比分析三个模型应用于不同空间尺度的适应性，并给出优选模型。结果表明：最大熵模型是河西走廊（地理区划）空间尺度上山洪灾害风险评价的优选模型；多准则决策模型不适用于张掖市（市域）空间尺度评价，且三个模型运行结果均没有河西走廊（地理区划）空间尺度上表现良好；三个模型的尺度效应明显，在地理区划空间尺度上应用较良好，缩小至市域空间尺度上模拟结果误差增大；不同空间尺度上，最大熵模型均优于多准则决策模型和信息量模型，适用于地理区划（大中）、市域（小）空间尺度的山洪灾害风险评价。  相似文献   

页岩储层叠前密度稳定反演方法          下载免费PDF全文

李金磊  尹成  刘晓晶  陈超  王明飞 《地球物理学报》2019,62(5):1861-1871

密度参数是页岩储层评价的重要敏感参数,但通常认为准确获得密度信息难度较大.本文探索提出了一种稳定的基于弹性阻抗的叠前密度反演方法,以提高优质页岩的识别精度.首先,基于不同的参数化弹性阻抗方程开展密度敏感性分析,优选了敏感性最高的Aki-Richards近似弹性阻抗方程作为反演方程.然后,在弹性阻抗方程线性化的基础上,假设反演方程系数矩阵的逆存在,将密度(取对数)表示为多个角度弹性阻抗(取对数)的加权和,通过井旁道弹性阻抗反演结果与测井数据的回归求取加权系数,避免了常规反演方法对大型系数矩阵的求逆计算,从而提高了密度反演的稳定性,同时由于利用测井资料作为匹配目标,密度反演的精度也得到了提高.模型试算和涪陵页岩气田的实际资料应用实践均表明了该方法能够有效地提高密度反演的精度与稳定性.  相似文献   

Analysis and Comparison for Fusion Algorithms of Time Transfer     

WANG Wei-xiong  DONG Shao-wu  WU Wen-jun  GUO Dong  ZHANG Jian 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》2021,45(2):224-235

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Spatial patterns and driving mechanisms of mid‐Holocene hydroclimate in western North America          下载免费PDF全文

Nicholas Wayne Hermann  Jessica Leigh Oster  Daniel Enrique Ibarra 《第四纪科学杂志》2018,33(4):421-434

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Detection of coffee berry necrosis by digital image processing of landsat 8 oli satellite imagery     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2020

Coffee berry necrosis is a fungal disease that, at a high level, significantly affects coffee productivity. With the advent of surface mapping satellites, it was possible to obtain information about the spectral signature of the crop on a time scale pertinent to the monitoring and detection of plant phenological changes. The objective of this paper was to define the best machine learning algorithm that is able to classify the incidence CBN as a function of Landsat 8 OLI images in different atmospheric correction methods. Landsat 8 OLI images were acquired at the dates closest to sampling anthracnose field data at three times corresponding to grain filling period and were submitted to atmospheric corrections by DOS, ATCOR, and 6SV methods. The images classified by the algorithms of machine learning, Random Forest, Multilayer Perceptron and Naive Bayes were tested 30 times in random sampling. Given the overall accuracy of each test, the algorithms were evaluated using the Friedman and Nemenyi tests to identify the statistical difference in the treatments. The obtained results indicated that the overall accuracy and the balanced accuracy index were on an average around 0.55 and 0.45, respectively, for the Naive Bayes and Multilayer Perceptron algorithms in the ATCOR atmospheric correction. According to the Friedman and Nemenyi tests, both algorithms were defined as the best classifiers. These results demonstrate that Landsat 8 OLI images were able to identify an incidence of the coffee berry necrosis by means of machine learning techniques, a fact that cannot be observed by the Pearson correlation.  相似文献   

全球海潮模型最新进展及在中国沿海精度评估     

范长新 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(5):476-481

介绍TPXO、FES、Chinatide、MIKE Global Tide、Utide等典型海潮模型，总结归纳其同化潮汐数据来源和最新的海洋地形数据，利用我国沿岸长期验潮站以外的26个中短期潮位观测站评估TPXO等海潮模型预报精度。结果表明，全球海潮模型对我国沿海M2分潮的预报精度普遍较低，且主导了几种海潮模型在中国海域的整体预报精度；相比MIKE Global Tide和TPXO7.2,TPXO8、TPXO_Yellow Sea 2010和TPXO_China&Ind模型在我国沿海的预报精度更高。  相似文献   

Effects of wave directionality on extreme response for a long end-anchored floating bridge     

《Applied Ocean Research》2019

Reliable design codes are of great importance when constructing new civil engineering concepts such as floating bridges. Previously only a scarce number of floating bridges have been built in rough wave conditions and only limited knowledge of the extreme environmental conditions and the associated extreme response exists. To form a better design basis an increased understanding of the sensitivity in the structural response towards changes in short-crested sea parameters is needed. Furthermore, acquiring the necessary accuracy in simulated extreme response is often a computationally expensive endeavour and the number of simulations needed is often based on experience. The present study investigates the wave-induced short-term extreme response of a simplified end-anchored floating bridge concept for several wave environments with a return period of 100 years. The study includes convergence of the coefficient of variation for the extreme response for different realization lengths as well as number of realizations. The sensitivity in the structural response towards different main wave directions and spreading exponents is investigated and includes both transverse and vertical displacement response spectra and extreme Von Mises stress in the bridge girder cross-section. The extreme response is based on an accuracy of 2% in the coefficient of variation equivalent to 40 3-h realizations and a low sensitivity in the response is found for natural occurring spreading exponents and for main wave directions within 15° from beam sea.  相似文献   

Soil erosion rates assessed by RUSLE and PESERA for a Chinese Loess Plateau catchment under land-cover changes     

Pengfei Li  Yuzhe Zang  Doudou Ma  Wanqiang Yao  Joseph Holden  Brian Irvine  Guangju Zhao 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2020,45(3):707-722

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高台测震新旧台基记录地震及震相特征差异性对比分析          下载免费PDF全文

吴敏  雷正超  唐丽  毛磊  王志栋  李兴坚 《地震工程学报》2020,42(5):1141-1145,1158

使用相同带宽、同类型地震计BBVS-120观测记录数据，对高台地震台新旧观测山洞的台基环境噪声、地震监测能力及震相记录特征进行对比分析，结果表明，高台测震新山洞的地震监测水平优于旧山洞，部分地区新山洞对于核面反射波的记录更加清晰。  相似文献   

南海北部水合物富集区水道特征对比与成因分析     

付超  于兴河  董亦思  何玉林  梁金强  匡增桂 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(3):103-113

天然气水合物作为现今乃至未来的重要清洁能源之一，其沉积环境和成矿条件的研究一直是国内外地质学家关注的热点问题，我国2007年、2013年及2015年已先后在神狐、和东沙海域多次成功钻获了天然气水合物实物样品。由此南海北部陆坡成为探讨天然气水合物沉积成因与成矿条件的重要试验区。然而，南海北部陆坡区的神狐、东沙及琼东南三个海域均有不同程度的天然气水合物发现，其各自的水深、沉积特征、气源成因及水合物成矿条件各有特点。本文利用地震沉积学原理，结合不同沉积相和沉积演化和古地貌、海平面变化和构造运动等因素，识别出不同类型的地震相。通过对比南海北部陆坡区域的水道系统的MTDs，认为其发育位置、展布和控制因素的不同影响了沉积展布。其中东沙区域位于近物源的上陆坡，神狐区域位于正常的缓陆坡区域，琼东南区域位于远离物源的海底平原区域。并且，水道系统可以分成侵蚀型，侵蚀-加积型和加积型，MTDs也可以分成头部拉张型，中部过渡型和趾部挤压型。  相似文献