四川省城市地震灾害脆弱性综合评价研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李琳  王俊杰 《震灾防御技术》2018,13(4):968-977

城市化进程的不断推进使得城市的地震灾害脆弱性日益加剧，而城市承灾体的脆弱性受复杂因素影响。本文针对评价指标受主观性影响较大的问题，基于人口、工程、经济及社会4个方面，构建了城市震害综合脆弱性评价指标体系；并构建基于实码加速遗传算法优化投影寻踪（RAGA-PP）的城市震害脆弱性评价模型；最后，对四川省21个市、州进行了震害脆弱性评价。结果表明:巴中、南充等地脆弱性较高，成都、攀枝花等地脆弱性较低；经济因素对城市震害脆弱性影响较大；该评价模型能够克服人为主观性，有效可行。  相似文献   

CCSM4模式对东北气温和降水的模拟及预估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张海娜  侯依玲  赵春雨  刘鸣彦  王涛  周晓宇  崔妍  敖雪  易雪 《气象与环境学报》2019,(1):72-78

利用东北地区162个气象观测站逐月气温和降水资料对CCSM4模式的模拟性能进行了评价,并预估了2021—2050年东北地区的气候变化情景。结果表明:CCSM4模式长期历史气候模拟实验模拟的1961—2005年月平均气温、降水量值能较好地再现东北区域年平均气温、降水量的空间分布形态,但气温模拟值比观测偏低,91. 4%站点误差在1. 5℃以内;降水中心比观测略偏北,全区平均偏多35. 18 mm。2021—2050年东北区域年平均气温呈增温趋势,高纬度地区的增温幅度明显大于低纬度地区,与基准年相比,RCP2. 6、RCP4. 5和RCP8. 5情景下全区分别偏高6. 00℃、5. 86℃和6. 42℃。年降水量分布呈东南向西北递减的形态,降水大值中心出现在东南部吉林与辽宁交界处,RCP2. 6、RCP4. 5和RCP8. 5情景下全区分别偏多15. 2%、3. 1%和2. 0%。  相似文献   

基于投影寻踪模型的水质综合评价     

王暄 《地下水》2011,(4):5-6

针对投影寻踪模型中投影指标函数的最优化计算复杂问题,采用加速遗传算法加快寻优速度,解决了投影寻踪过程中最优化问题。实例计算表明,该模型可处理复杂多指标优化问题,是解决复杂水质综合评价的有效途径。  相似文献   

高速铁路精密工程控制测量精度研究     

刘家臣 《测绘与空间地理信息》2011,(6):215-218

高速铁路轨道控制测量采用精密控制测量技术,采用斜轴墨卡托投影可以避免高斯投影投影带可控范围小,坐标转换和分带计算的问题,对于东西走向的线路能很好地控制投影长度变形。文章以长吉高铁控制测量数据,实现斜轴墨卡托投影,经过其投影精度的探讨,确定斜轴墨卡托投影能满足高铁精密控制测量的精度要求。  相似文献   

IPCC AR6报告解读：极端天气气候事件变化     

周波涛  钱进 《气候变化研究进展》2021,17(6):713-718

与IPCC第五次评估报告（AR5）相比,在第六次评估报告（AR6）评估中,观测的极端天气气候事件变化证据,特别是归因于人为影响的证据加强。人类活动造成的气候变化已影响到全球每个区域的许多极端天气气候事件。随着未来全球变暖进一步加剧,预估极端热事件、强降水、农业生态干旱的强度和频次以及强台风（飓风）比例等将增加,越罕见的极端天气气候事件,其发生频率的增长百分比越大。这些结论再次凸显了应对气候变化和极端天气气候事件的必要性和紧迫性。  相似文献   

BCC-CSM2-MR模式对北极海冰和气候的模拟及预估     

任永建  肖莺  周兵 《气候变化研究进展》2021,17(1):58-69

基于第六次耦合模式比较计划（CMIP6）,使用新一代全球模式BCC-CSM2-MR的历史试验和未来共享社会经济路径（SSPs）数据,依据Hadley中心的海表面温度和海冰密集度数据及NCEP/NCAR I再分析资料,评估了BCC-CSM2-MR模式对北极海冰及北极气候的模拟能力,并对未来变化进行了预估。结果表明：BCC-CSM2-MR模式可以较好再现北极海冰密集度、近地层大气平均温度和海表温度的多年平均空间分布特征。但模式对北极局地大气平均温度模拟存在一定偏差,可能在一定程度上导致相应地区海冰的模拟存在差异。21世纪,北极海冰范围持续减少,9月减少趋势显著,3月减少趋势相对较弱。3月北极大部地区表现为一致的增温,仅在北大西洋局部出现一定程度的降温,9月北极大气增温幅度弱于3月。与地表平均温度不同,3月和9月的北极大部地区海表温度均出现增加,且9月海表温度的增幅大于3月,仅拉布拉多海海温出现下降。  相似文献   

基于高分辨率模拟数据RCP4.5情景下的华中区域气候变化预估     

王苗  刘敏  任永建 《气象与环境学报》2021,37(3):65-72

基于RegCM4.4高分辨率区域气候模式数据和华中区域1986—2005年逐日气象观测资料,在对模式模拟性能检验的基础上,对中国华中区域未来不同时期、1.5℃和2℃温升阈值下气候变化进行预估。结果表明：模拟结果能较准确反映出区域气温、降水年内变化特征及空间分布特征;与观测值相比,气温模拟值偏低、降水模拟值偏大;与1986—2005年相比,未来RCP4.5温室气体排放情景下2020—2098年中国华中区域气温增幅为2.1℃,且以0.3℃/10 a的趋势增加,降水量无明显变化趋势;远期（2080—2098年）气温将上升2.88℃,降水将增加7.58%,均高于近期（2020—2035年）和中期（2046—2065年）;1.5℃温升情景下华中区域气温上升1.22℃,降水增加1.93%;2℃温升情景下,华中区域气温上升1.36℃,降水增加3.57%。  相似文献   

A new efficient 3D non-hydrostatic free-surface flow model for simulating water wave motions     

Doo Yong Choi  Chin H. Wu   《Ocean Engineering》2006,33(5-6):587-609

A new three-dimensional, non-hydrostatic free surface flow model is presented. For simulating water wave motions over uneven bottoms, the model employs an explicit project method on a Cartesian the staggered gird system to solve the complete three-dimensional Navier–Stokes equations. A bi-conjugated gradient method with a pre-conditioning procedure is used to solve the resulting matrix system. The model is capable of resolving non-hydrostatic pressure by incorporating the integral method of the top-layer pressure treatment, and predicting wave propagation and interaction over irregular bottom by including a partial bottom-cell treatment. Four examples of surface wave propagation are used to demonstrate the capability of the model. Using a small of vertical layers (e.g. 2–3 layers), it is shown that the model could effectively and accurately resolve wave shoaling, non-linearity, dispersion, fission, refraction, and diffraction phenomena.  相似文献   

Super-resolution enhancement of UAV images based on fractional calculus and POCS     

Junfeng Lei  Shangyue Zhang  Li Luo  He Wang 《地球空间信息科学学报》2018,21(1):56-66

Abstract

A super-resolution enhancement algorithm was proposed based on the combination of fractional calculus and Projection onto Convex Sets (POCS) for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) images. The representative problems of UAV images including motion blur, fisheye effect distortion, overexposed, and so on can be improved by the proposed algorithm. The fractional calculus operator is used to enhance the high-resolution and low-resolution reference frames for POCS. The affine transformation parameters between low-resolution images and reference frame are calculated by Scale Invariant Feature Transform (SIFT) for matching. The point spread function of POCS is simulated by a fractional integral filter instead of Gaussian filter for more clarity of texture and detail. The objective indices and subjective effect are compared between the proposed and other methods. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method outperforms other algorithms in most cases, especially in the structure and detail clarity of the reconstructed images.  相似文献   

The development and analysis of quasi-linear map projections     

Jonathan Charles Iliffe 《制图学和地理信息科学》2018,45(3):270-283

Map projections are an essential component of coordinate systems used in applications such as surveying, topographic mapping, and engineering, and care needs to be taken to select ones that minimize distortion for each case. This article explores the selection process for near-linear features on the surface of the Earth and derives limits for the extent of a project that can be projected within specified distortion tolerances. It is then demonstrated that a multifaceted set of projections of the Earth may be used to extend this concept to the mapping of features such as highways and railways that are quasi-linear but do not exactly follow a standard geometrical line (a great circle or a small circle) on the surface of the Earth. A continuous, conformal coordinate system may be derived in such situations, extending to indefinite length and applicable over a swath of several kilometers width, but it cannot be extended to cover situations with extensive variations in height. Instead, the Snake Projection is analyzed, and it is shown that this can be used to develop continuous (non-zonal) projected coordinate systems for major engineering projects extending for hundreds of kilometers and having extensive height ranges. Examples are shown of the application to railway projects.  相似文献