基于贝叶斯框架的各向异性页岩储层岩石物理反演技术   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

刘财  符伟  郭智奇  刘喜武  刘宇巍 《地球物理学报》2018,61(6):2589-2600

页岩岩石物理建模旨在建立页岩矿物组分、微观结构、流体填充与岩石弹性参数的关系.对四川盆地龙马溪组页岩进行岩石物理建模研究，针对页岩黏土含量高、层间微裂缝发育等特点，利用Backus平均理论描述页岩黏土矿物弹性参数，利用Chapman理论计算与水平微裂缝有关的VTI各向异性，并利用Bond变换考虑地层倾角的影响.提出以黏土矿物纵、横波速度和孔隙纵横比为拟合参数进行岩石物理反演的方法，并引入贝叶斯框架减小反演的多解性.由已知的黏土矿物纵、横波速度和孔隙纵横比作为先验信息，并以测井纵、横波速度作为约束条件建立反演的目标函数，同时利用粒子群算法进行最优化搜索.计算结果表明，基于先验约束和粒子群算法的反演方法能够较准确地反演黏土矿物的弹性参数、孔隙形态参数以及裂缝密度等参数.计算得到的黏土纵、横波速度较高，并且在一定范围内变化，这可能与龙马溪组页岩的黏土矿物组分中具有较高弹性模量的伊利石含量较高有关，同时也与黏土定向排列等微观物性特征有关.反演得到的裂缝密度与纵波各向异性参数ε呈明显的正相关，而与横波各向异性参数γ相关性较小.另外，页岩各向异性参数与黏土垂向的纵横波速度有较强的相关性.  相似文献   

黄河现行清水沟流路汊河运用方案探讨   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

王开荣  凡姚申  韩沙沙  杜小康 《海洋科学》2020,44(10):91-100

对黄河河口现行清水沟流路范围内不同汊河的形成、演化及其特征进行了梳理总结，围绕汊河不同运用方案的影响效应进行了论证分析。研究表明：现行清水沟流路范围内的汊河运用方案不适用于多汊河轮流行河模式、同时行河与轮流行河联合模式和同时行河模式，而采用单一汊河轮流行河模式可以充分发挥海洋输沙动力，保证河口海域向外海的较大输沙量，对延长清水沟流路使用年限更有利，更为科学和经济合理。在现行清8汊河达到改道标准后，应优先使用老河道汊河，该方案不仅有利于未来海岸线的均衡发展，而且更有利于延长清水沟流路的使用年限。  相似文献   

Non-point source pollution estimation in the Pingqiao River Basin,China, using a spatial hydrograph-separation approach     

Han Xue  Kaoru Takara  Bin He  Guangwei Huang  Weili Duan 《水文科学杂志》2019,64(8):962-973

For efficient and targeted management, this study demonstrates a recently developed non-point source (NPS) pollution model for a year-long estimation in the Pingqiao River Basin (22.3 km²) in China. This simple but physically reasonable model estimates NPS export in terms of land use by reflecting spatial hydrological features and source runoff measurements under different land-use types. The NPS export was separately analysed by a distributed hydrological model, a spatial hydrograph-separation technique, and an empirical water quality sub-model. Simulation results suggest that 57 890 kg of total nitrogen (TN) and 1148 kg of total phosphorus (TP) were delivered. The results, validated with observed stream concentrations, show relative errors of 23.3% for TN and 47.4% for TP. Countermeasures for urban areas (5.3% of total area) were prioritized because of the high contribution rate to TN (14.1%) and TP (26.2%) which is caused by the high degree of runoff (8.5%) and pollution source.  相似文献   

Hydrological impact of a reservoir network in the upper Gan River Basin,China     

Ningpeng Dong  Zhongbo Yu  Chuanguo Yang  Mingxiang Yang  Wenzhuo Wang 《水文研究》2019,33(12):1709-1723

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Numerical modeling of lock-exchange gravity/turbidity currents by a high-order upwinding combined compact difference scheme     

Liang Zhao  Ching-Hao Yu  Zhiguo He 《国际泥沙研究》2019,34(3):240-250

This study presents two-dimensional direct numerical simulations for sediment-laden current with higher density propagating forward through a lighter ambient water. The incompressible NavierStokes equations including the buoyancy force for the density difference between the light and heavy fluids are solved by a finite difference scheme based on a structured mesh. The concentration transport equations are used to explore such rich transport phenomena as gravity and turbidity currents. Within the framework of an Upwinding Combined Compact finite Difference (UCCD) scheme, rigorous determination of weighting coefficients underlies the modified equation analysis and the minimization of the numerical modified wavenumber. This sixth-order UCCD scheme is implemented in a four-point grid stencil to approximate advection and diffusion terms in the concentration transport equations and the first-order derivative terms in the Navier-Stokes equations, which can greatly enhance convective stability and increase dispersive accuracy at the same time. The initial discontinuous concentration field is smoothed by solving a newly proposed Heaviside function to prevent numerical instabilities and unreasonable concentration values. A two-step projection method is then applied to obtain the velocity field. The numerical algorithm shows a satisfying ability to capture the generation, development, and dissipation of the Kelvin-Helmholz instabilities and turbulent billows at the interface between the current and the ambient fluid. The simulation results also are compared with the data in published literatures and good agreements are found to prove that the present numerical model can well reproduce the propagation, particle deposition, and mixing processes of lock-exchange gravity and turbidity currents.  相似文献   

Reply to comments on “Explicit versus implicit front advancing schemes for the simulation of hydraulic fracture growth” (Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech., 2019, 43 (6), 1300–1315)” by Prof. Linkov     

Haseeb Zia  Brice Lecampion 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2020,44(18):2524-2526

We reply to Prof. Linkov comments on our article entitled “Explicit versus implicit front advancing schemes for the simulation of hydraulic fracture growth” (Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech., 2019, 43 (6), 1300–1315). We present additional results indicating that both the implicit and explicit front advancement schemes are robust even in the case of a large stress contrast.  相似文献   

小区域消费级无人机倾斜摄影像控点布设及建模精度研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

桑文刚  李娜  韩峰  赵培华  李玉斌 《测绘通报》2019,(10):93-96

像控点布设是无人机倾斜摄影施测阶段的重要环节，直接决定后期三维实景模型的精度。本文面向校园等小区域环境，利用消费级单镜头多旋翼无人机航摄系统获取影像数据，重点设计了不同像控点布设方案，基于全自动数据处理系统进行空三加密及三维模型的构建，并对模型成果进行精度分析，为实际工作中小区域像控点的布设提供建议和指导。  相似文献   

滇西实验场地震中短临动态跟踪综合预测方案及其实践运用     

杨芬  李孝宾  薛艳 《震灾防御技术》2014,9(S1):590-599

对滇西实验场1992年以来地下流体前兆观测资料进行分析研究，选取应震效果通过R信度检验（对应MS≥5.0级地震）的8条单项前兆指标。综合考虑单项前兆指标虚报率和漏报率对指标信度的影响，对单项前兆指标利用数学模型进行综合处理，减少了虚报和漏报的次数，预测效果明显提高。利用分级预警模式分别建立了中期（T≤6个月）和短临（T≤3个月）预测模型。综合预测方案还提供了地点判定原则和震级估算原则。最终提供地震短临预测三要素。运用本综合预测方案对2011年腾冲5级双震、2013年洱源5级双震和德钦两次5级地震作用了较为成功的短临预测。  相似文献   

An improved diagnostic stratocumulus scheme based on estimated inversion strength and its performance in GAMIL2   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Zhun Guo  TianJun Zhou 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2014,57(11):2637-2649

Based on satellite data and the estimated inversion strength (EIS) derived by Wood et al. (2006), a feasible and uncomplicated stratocumulus scheme is proposed, referred to as EIS scheme. It improves simulation of cloud radiative forcing (CRF) in the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP/LASG version 2 (GAMIL2.0) model. When compared with the original lower troposphere stability (LTS) scheme, the EIS scheme reproduces more reasonable climatology distributions of clouds and CRF. The parameterization partly corrects CRF underestimation at mid and high latitudes and overestimation in the convective region. Such improvements are achieved by neglecting the effect of free-tropospheric stratification changes that follow a cooler moist adiabat at middle and high latitude, thereby improving simulated cloudiness. The EIS scheme also improves simulation of the CRF interannual variability. The positive net CRF and negative stratiform anomaly in the East Asian and western North Pacific monsoon regions (EAWNPMR) are well simulated. The EIS scheme is more sensitive to sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) than the LTS. Therefore, under the effect of a warmer SSTA in the EAWNPMR, the EIS generates a stronger negative stratiform response, which reduces radiative heating in the low and mid troposphere, in turn producing strong subsidence and negative anomalies of both moisture and cloudiness. Consequent decreases in cloud reflection and shading effects ultimately improve simulation of incoming surface shortwave radiative fluxes and CRF. Because of the stronger subsidence, a stronger anomalous anticyclone over the Philippines Sea is simulated by the EIS run, which leads to a better positive precipitation anomaly in eastern China during ENSO winter.  相似文献   

复杂地形条件下城市热岛及局地环流特征的数值模拟   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

孙永  王咏薇  高阳华  王恪非  何泽能  杜钦  陈志军 《大气科学学报》2019,42(2):280-292

应用基于多层城市冠层方案BEP(Building Environment Parameterization)增加室内空调系统影响的建筑物能量模式BEM(Building Energy Model)方案的WRF模式,模拟研究重庆热岛的特征、成因以及局地环流对热岛形成的影响。文中共有两个算例,一为重庆真实下垫面算例,称之为URBAN算例,二为将城市下垫面替换为耕地下垫面的对比算例,称之为NOURBAN算例。结果表明:1)WRF方案模拟结果与观测2 m气温的对比吻合较好,误差主要出现在正午温度峰值和凌晨温度谷值处,由城市下垫面特性及城市内建筑分布误差引起。2)BEP+BEM方案较好地模拟出了重庆地区的热岛分布的空间和时间特征。重庆市温度的分布受地形和城市下垫面的双重影响,越靠近城区,温度的分布受城市化影响就越大,在海拔低处,温度就越高。3)城区立体三维表面对辐射的陷阱作用导致城市表面总体反射率小,向上短波辐射小于郊区约20 W/m~2。城市表面以感热排放为主,而郊区则表现为潜热的作用占主导。夜间城市地表储热以及空调废热向大气释放,是城市热岛形成的重要原因。4)模拟区域背景风场主要为东南风,局地环流呈现出越靠近山区风速越大、城市区域风速较小的特性,体现了城市密集的建筑群对低层大气流场的空气动力学效应,以及复杂山谷地形的山谷风环流特性。在市区的西侧和东南侧均有高大山脉阻挡,山脉对城市出流的阻碍作用、气流越山与绕流运动对城市热岛的形成有一定影响。  相似文献