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1.
Watershed water quality models are increasingly used in management. However, simulations by such complex models often involve significant uncertainty, especially those for non-conventional pollutants which are often poorly monitored. This study first proposed an integrated framework for watershed water quality modeling. Within this framework, Probabilistic Collocation Method (PCM) was then applied to a WARMF model of diazinon pollution to assess the modeling uncertainty. Based on PCM, a global sensitivity analysis method named PCM-VD (VD stands for variance decomposition) was also developed, which quantifies variance contribution of all uncertain parameters. The study results validated the applicability of PCM and PCM-VD to the WARMF model. The PCM-based approach is much more efficient, regarding computational time, than conventional Monte Carlo methods. It has also been demonstrated that analysis using the PCM-based approach could provide insights into data collection, model structure improvement and management practices. It was concluded that the PCM-based approach could play an important role in watershed water quality modeling, as an alternative to conventional Monte Carlo methods to account for parametric uncertainty and uncertainty propagation. 相似文献
2.
????????С????????????????????ж???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????顣?????????????????С??????????????????????3.6??10????-5??ms????-2??????????????С???????????????????????????????????????????????????4.6??10????-5??ms????-2??????????????????????????????????????С?????????????????????????????п???????Ч????? 相似文献
3.
S. A. Gil-Zepeda J. C. Montalvo-Arrieta R. Vai F. J. Snchez-Sesma 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2003,23(1):77-86
A hybrid indirect boundary element – discrete wavenumber method is presented and applied to model the ground motion on stratified alluvial valleys under incident plane SH waves from an elastic half-space. The method is based on the single-layer integral representation for diffracted waves. Refracted waves in the horizontally stratified region can be expressed as a linear superposition of solutions for a set of discrete wavenumbers. These solutions are obtained in terms of the Thomson–Haskell propagators formalism. Boundary conditions of continuity of displacements and tractions along the common boundary between the half-space and the stratified region lead to a system of equations for the sources strengths and the coefficients of the plane wave expansion. Although the regions share the boundary, the discretization schemes are different for both sides: for the exterior region, it is based on the numerical and analytical integration of exact Green's functions for displacements and tractions whereas for the layered part, a collocation approach is used. In order to validate this approach results are compared for well-known cases studied in the literature. A homogeneous trapezoidal valley and a parabolic stratified valley were studied and excellent agreement with previous computations was found. An example is given for a stratified inclusion model of an alluvial deposit with an irregular interface with the half-space. Results are displayed in both frequency and time domains. These results show the significant influence of lateral heterogeneity and the emergence of locally generated surface waves in the seismic response of alluvial valleys. 相似文献
4.
5.
The multiresolution character of collocation 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
C. Kotsakis 《Journal of Geodesy》2000,74(3-4):275-290
An interesting theoretical connection between the statistical (non-stochastic) collocation principle and the multiresolution/wavelet
framework of signal approximation is presented. The rapid developments in multiresolution analysis theory over the past few
years have provided very useful (theoretical and practical) tools for approximation and spectral studies of irregularly varying
signals, thus opening new possibilities for `non-stationary' gravity field modeling. It is demonstrated that the classic multiresolution
formalism according to Mallat's pioneering work lies at the very core of some of the general approximation principles traditionally
used in physical geodesy problems. In particular, it is shown that the use of a spatio-statistical (non-probabilistic) minimum
mean-square-error criterion for optimal linear estimation of deterministic signals, in conjunction with regularly gridded
data, always gives rise to a generalized multiresolution analysis in the Hilbert space L
2(R), under some mild constraints on the spatial covariance function and the power spectrum of the unknown field under consideration.
Using the theory and the actual approximation algorithms associated with statistical collocation, a new constructive framework
for building generalized multiresolution analyses in L
2(R) is presented, without the need for the usual dyadic restriction that exists in classic wavelet theory. The multiresolution and `non-stationary' aspects of the statistical collocation approximation
procedure are also discussed, and finally some conclusions and recommendations for future work are given.
Received: 26 January 1999 / Accepted: 16 August 1999 相似文献
6.
During the last decade, a number of models have been developed to consider the conflict in dynamic reservoir operation. Most of these models are discrete dynamic models which are developed based on game theory. In this study, a continuous model of dynamic game and its corresponding solutions are developed for reservoir operation. Two solution methods are used to solve the model of continuous dynamic game, namely the Ricatti equations and collocation methods. The Ricatti equations method is a closed form solution, requiring less computational efforts compared with discrete models. The collocation solution method applies Newton's method or a quasi-Newton method to find the problem solution. These approaches are able to generate operating policies for dynamic reservoir operation. The Zayandeh-Rud river basin in central Iran is used as a case study and the results are compared with alternative water allocation models. The results show that the proposed solution methods are quite capable of providing appropriate reservoir operating policies, while requiring rather short computational times due to continuous formulation of state and decision variables. Reliability indices are used to compare the overall performance of the proposed models. Based on the results from this study, the collocation method leads to improved values of the reliability indices for total reservoir system and utility satisfaction of water users, compared to the Ricatti equations method. This is attributed to the flexible structure of the collocation model. When compared to alternative water allocation models, lower values of reliability indices are achieved by the collocation method. 相似文献
7.
Based on GPS data from 1991- 2004 and the least-squares collocation method,we analyze the crustal deformation in the Chinese mainland. The results show that the first-order crustal deformation is unchanged in different periods in the Chinese mainland,which reflects the background of regional tectonic activity. The strain rate is much higher in Western China,especially in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and Sichuan-Yunnan area. The variations in different periods are related with seismicity of strong earthquakes during the same time. The GPS data after 2004 shows the post-seismic deformation of the 2001 Kunlun Mountains M S8. 1 earthquake. 相似文献
8.
The European Space Agency’s Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) Level 2 soil moisture and the new L3 product from the Barcelona Expert Center (BEC) were validated from January 2010 to June 2014 using two in situ networks in Spain. The first network is the Soil Moisture Measurement Stations Network of the University of Salamanca (REMEDHUS), which has been extensively used for validating remotely sensed observations of soil moisture. REMEDHUS can be considered a small-scale network that covers a 1300 km2 region. The second network is a large-scale network that covers the main part of the Duero Basin (65,000 km2). At an existing meteorological network in the Castilla y Leon region (Inforiego), soil moisture probes were installed in 2012 to provide data until 2014. Comparisons of the temporal series using different strategies (total average, land use, and soil type) as well as using the collocated data at each location were performed. Additionally, spatial correlations on each date were computed for specific days. Finally, an improved version of the Triple Collocation (TC) method, i.e., the Extended Triple Collocation (ETC), was used to compare satellite and in situ soil moisture estimates with outputs of the Soil Water Balance Model Green-Ampt (SWBM-GA). The results of this work showed that SMOS estimates were consistent with in situ measurements in the time series comparisons, with Pearson correlation coefficients (R) and an Agreement Index (AI) higher than 0.8 for the total average and the land-use averages and higher than 0.85 for the soil-texture averages. The results obtained at the Inforiego network showed slightly better results than REMEDHUS, which may be related to the larger scale of the former network. Moreover, the best results were obtained when all networks were jointly considered. In contrast, the spatial matching produced worse results for all the cases studied.These results showed that the recent reprocessing of the L2 products (v5.51) improved the accuracy of soil moisture retrievals such that they are now suitable for developing new L3 products, such as the presented in this work. Additionally, the validation based on comparisons between dense/sparse networks and satellite retrievals at a coarse resolution showed that temporal patterns in the soil moisture are better reproduced than spatial patterns. 相似文献
9.
In collocation applications, the prior covariance matrices or weight matrices between the signals and the observations should
be consistent to their uncertainties; otherwise, the solution of collocation will be distorted. To balance the covariance
matrices of the signals and the observations, a new adaptive collocation estimator is thus derived in which the corresponding
adaptive factor is constructed by the ratio of the variance components of the signals and the observations. A maximum likelihood
estimator of the variance components is thus derived based on the collocation functional model and stochastic model. A simplified
Helmert type estimator of the variance components for the collocation is also introduced and compared to the derived maximum
likelihood type estimator. Reasonable and consistent covariance matrices of the signals and the observations are arrived through
the adjustment of the adaptive factor. The new adaptive collocation with related adaptive factor constructed by the derived
variance components is applied in a transformation between the geodetic height derived by GPS and orthometric height. It is
shown that the adaptive collocation is not only simple in calculation but also effective in balancing the contribution of
observations and the signals in the collocation model. 相似文献
10.
Collocation-PECE�㷨�ڵ����Ǿ��ܶ����е�Ӧ�� 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
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