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本文利用GPS观测的1999-2007年汶川震前3期地表变形数据和2008年汶川同震地表变形数据，结合地震位错理论，通过高斯变换和坐标旋转建立断层模型，运用遗传算法，反演了龙门山断裂带断层震前3期和同震滑动参数。结果表明龙门山断层震前3期平均走滑位移为-5.39mm，倾向位移为2.66mm，与同震断层滑移相比较，发现震前断层的滑移趋势与同震断层滑移一致，均为逆冲兼右旋的挤压运动。比较震前3期逆冲方向的滑移量，发现逆冲滑移有加速的现象。并根据震前和同震的断层滑动量估算了汶川地震复发周期。 相似文献
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地震是造成人员死亡最严重的自然灾害之一,震后对人员死亡等灾情的快速评估是地震应急响应和救援的关键。总结经验发现,在地震前进行预评估工作是提高震后灾情快速评估精度和时效性的有效手段。通过对62次发生在我国西南地区的历史震例分析后发现,当地震震级小于4.5级时,基本不会造成人员死亡情况。本研究利用我国云南和四川部分区县的实地调研数据,发现地震人员死亡数与震级存在指数函数关系,由此构建了针对各个区县的地震人员死亡人数指数函数估算模型,并计算了回归系数。基于该模型,获得了5.0～8.0级地震人员死亡数查找表(以0.5级为间隔),用于辅助震后快速评估工作。 相似文献
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Feasibility of pre-earthquake strengthening of buildings based on cost-benefit and life-cycle cost analysis, with the aid of fragility curves 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
There are two fundamental questions this article aims to deal with. First, whether a pre-earthquake strengthening of a large
and heterogeneous building stock (the emphasis here is on building types common in S. Europe), is economically feasible or
not, and second what is the optimal retrofit level for mitigating the seismic risk. To this purpose contemporary decision
making tools, namely cost-benefit and life-cycle cost analyses, are tailored to the needs of the present study, and implemented
with the aid of an ad-hoc developed new software application (COBE06). A method for estimating the reduction in structural
vulnerability due to retrofit is proposed, as well as a methodology to determine the optimum retrofit level using the fragility
curve approach. Finally, the proposed methodology is used in a pilot application that concerns the city of Thessaloniki, and
results are drawn for the feasibility of strengthening the reinforced concrete building stock in this city. 相似文献
4.
本文用隶属函数和模糊聚类分析对泰安台和佘山台地倾斜矢量形变异常序列和当地地震序列进行统计研究,计算分析结果对于在统计范围内判别有无地震发生以及估计将会发生的地震震级大小,得到了预期的结果。 相似文献
5.
通过对中国1980~2004年6月期间5级以上地震的研究,统计中国西部、华南、华北5级以上地震震前是否有系列小地震发生。结果表明:5级以上地震在震前不同时期,距震中近距离范围内有系列的小地震发生;在6级地震前50km范围内有系列3~4级地震发生,概率为44%左右;西部7级地震前会有系列的4~6级地震发生,发生4级地震的概率为44%左右,发生5~6级地震的概率为11%左右。 相似文献
6.
After using the "Time-Frequency Relative Power Spectrum" (T-F RPS) method based on the China Geostationary Meteorological Satellite (FY-2C/FY-2E) infrared remote sensing brightness temperature data processing, we rapidly and accurately extracted and identified pre-earthquake thermal infrared anomalies for the April 16, 2013 MW7.8 of Khash, Iran Earthquake. Spatial evolution of anomalies showed the distribution and process. The anomalies were mainly distributed in the east of Khash,Iran.The characteristics of process and distribution presented X-Type model of NE and near NS strip which relates to the geological structure of this region. The epicenter was located near the intersection region of the X-Type abnormal migration process. Besides, the results of time series of anomalies showed that, the duration was more than 40 days and the maximum amplitude was about 18 times. The earthquake occurred 20 days after the abnormal maximum amplitude which appeared on March 26, 2013. 相似文献
7.
Observations and studies of electromagnetic waves during the approaching of earthquakes 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This article introduces the practical observation results of pre-earthquake electromagnetic radiations at the network of monitoring
stations in Jiangsu region in resent years and discusses the electromagnetic wave precursors during the approaching period
of earthquakes based on the observations of the electromagetic radiation signals before theM
s 6.0 Liyang earthquake of 1979 in Jiangsu province, theM
s 5.9 Heze earthquake of 1983 in Shandong province and theM
s 6.2 South Yellow Sea earthquake of 1984. 相似文献
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台湾海峡7.3级地震及其震后地震趋势研究 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
通过对台海海峡７．３级地震序列研究表明，该地震是一次板内的主－余震型地震，震源机制解确定此次地震是ＮＷ走向断裂的走滑正断层错动；震区地震构造背景和震前的地震活动异常图像与我国东南沿海成一体性，表明属于我国东南涡海地震带的地震活动震前出现多项地震学异常。震兆演化过程存在明显的阶段性，本次地震有一寂的可预测性，根据地震活动分幕结果，认为近期东南沿海的一系列中强震活动属于该带第五活跃幕的地震群体活动并预 相似文献
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