Reliability of mooring lines and piles for a permanently manned vessel in a tropical cyclone environment     

《Applied Ocean Research》2019

The factors of safety for stationkeeping systems in current standards (ISO, API) are not derived or validated using reliability analyses. As the oil and gas exploration and production is breaking new boundaries, deploying new floating systems and moving into regions with harsher environments, it is of paramount importance to understand what level of reliability these new marine structures are achieving. This paper presents a reliability analysis of the mooring system of a Floating LNG (FLNG) vessel permanently moored and permanently manned offshore North West Australia in a tropical cyclone environment. The reliability analysis addresses both the mooring chain and the pile foundation. The analysis accounts for the long term characteristics of the environment, including the short term variability, in response to a given sea state and the variability and uncertainty in strength of the mooring chain and the pile. The stationkeeping system was analysed using detailed time domain simulations, capturing system non-linearities and low frequency oscillations as well as wave frequency responses and, thereby, reducing modelling uncertainties to a minimum.It is found that for the conditions modelled, neither the chain nor the pile meet a target reliability of 10⁻⁴/annum using the factors of safety commonly used in design following current ISO and API standards. New factors of safety are proposed to achieve this target reliability. For the pile design, one complicating factor is that current design standards do not explicitly define the exceedance probability that should be associated with the characteristic value of the undrained shear strength to be used in the design. It is demonstrated that the required factor of safety is crucially dependent on the definition of this characteristic value and on the level and the type of uncertainty in the soil strength profile. A recommendation is made regarding the definition of this characteristic value and the associated factor of safety. Furthermore, it is found that designing the mooring system to an environmental condition with a return period of 10,000 yr (as an Abnormal Limit State event), and setting the factor of safety to unity, meets the target reliability of 10⁻⁴/annum for the pile, if the characteristic undrained shear strength is a lower bound, defined in this paper by the 10th percentile value. For the chain however, this target reliability is not achieved.  相似文献   

面向城市导游的无缝服务研究     

史永  龙毅  许越  郑星雨 《地理信息世界》2015,(1):1-5

智能导游服务已从传统的单一景区导游发展为城市多景区导游,因此包含了景区间导游和景区内导游两大部分;表现为更加注重面向散客服务、兼容多移动智能终端以应用程序(App)的方式运行。由于景区间导游和景区内导游往往自成系统,在游客进出景区的过程中存在着两种系统的切换,且主要采用手动方式完成,尚没有实现城市多景区导游过程的无缝衔接。为了应对这个挑战,本文设计了一个面向城市多景区的无缝导游服务模式,分析了其架构以及工作机制;并着重讨论了城市无缝导游服务的关键技术,如系统间无缝切换的条件,包含判断游客进入、离开景区等;以及导游服务过程无缝衔接的机制,包含导游动态数据结构的设计,游客游览需求、导游过程状态在多导游系统间的传递等。最后通过实例验证了该方法的有效性,作为新的导游服务模式,同时为动态集成已有的导游App提供了解决方法。  相似文献   

基于随机二元指标的边坡稳定性分析     

刘小强  周世良  尚明芳  李怡 《地震工程学报》2011,33(Z1)

考虑岩土体抗剪强度参数的变异性,综合极限平衡法和可靠性理论构建了安全系数概率密度分布函数模型。结合实际工程特点,以安全系数大于临界值为标准构建有效区,将有效区安全系数均值与对应可靠度相乘,得到以安全系数和可靠度为随机二元指标的有效安全系数。以有效安全系数为定量指标,将边坡宏观特征现象与定量分析相联系,构建意义更为明确的边坡稳定性分析及评价方法。通过工程实例对比了有效安全系数与传统评价指标之间的差异。所得结论可为工程建设提供参考和借鉴。  相似文献   

DRASTIC模型在地下水水源地安全性评价中的应用     

张中祥  张海林  罗斐 《山东国土资源》2011,27(8)

地下水水源地是当今社会经济发展和生活的主要水源,水源地安全性评价具有十分重要的意义。DRASTIC法是国际上关于水源地脆弱性评价较为成功的一种方法,它较全面地考虑了与水源地脆弱性有关的各种因素,但鉴于水源地水文地质条件复杂程度、研究精度不一,评价结果往往与实际不符,对水源地安全性评价因子的选取和赋予的内涵上应因地而异。该文依托山东省主要城市饮用水安全保证调查评价项目,在DRASTIC法研究的基础上,将评价因子赋予新的内涵,使之更加符合山东省水源地的实际,并对城市地下饮用水水源地安全性作出评价。  相似文献   

基于组合楔形体原理的采动坡体稳定性研究     

史文兵  黄润秋  赵建军 《工程地质学报》2014,22(6):1168-1175

地下采煤通常会引起地表严重开裂,甚至发生滑坡、崩塌等地质灾害,采动坡体的稳定性研究一直是工程实际关心的问题。本文以贵州省都匀市煤洞坡采动坡体为例,在斜坡破坏机制分析基础上,采用组合楔形块体原理构建了采动坡体稳定性系数计算方程,并从实验、经验类比、采空率等方面对采动坡体的强度指标进行了综合取值,计算了采动坡体在天然、饱水及裂隙水作用下的安全系数。结果表明:煤洞坡山体是处于稳定状态的,这与坡体上的裂缝位移监测成果是相符的。但在长时间降雨或暴雨情况下,煤洞坡山体稳定性就会逐渐变差,甚至发生滑动; 坡体稳定性安全系数随内摩擦角的降低而降低,随裂隙水充水高度的增加而降低; 一旦后缘块体挤压前缘块体时,就会存在一个安全系数急剧降低的阀值。从裂缝水柱高度与降雨渗入裂缝的雨水量关系出发,建立了裂缝水柱高与降雨量之间关系式。经计算当降雨量(短时间内)超过192mm,斜坡就会失稳。  相似文献   

Robust geotechnical design of shield-driven tunnels     

《Computers and Geotechnics》2014

This paper presents a fuzzy set-based robust geotechnical design (RGD) methodology for the design of shield-driven tunnels. Here, uncertain geotechnical parameters required for analysis of tunnel performance (referred to herein as the structure safety and serviceability performance of tunnel cross section) are represented as fuzzy sets. Given fuzzy input parameters, the performance of a shield-driven tunnel will be uncertain, which is expressed in this study as a fuzzy factor of safety, according to the analysis of vertex method. Then, the fuzzy factor of safety for a given design is used to evaluate the failure probability and design robustness, which are, in turn, employed in the proposed RGD framework. Note that a design is considered robust if the performance of the shield-driven tunnel is insensitive to the variation of its uncertain geotechnical parameters. Within the RGD framework, each candidate design in the design space is analyzed for its safety state (in terms of failure probability), design robustness, and cost. The goal of the RGD of a shield-driven tunnel is to bring the safety state to an acceptable level, while maximizing the robustness and cost efficiency simultaneously. To this end, a multi-objective optimization is performed and a Pareto front is obtained, which provides a trade-off that may be used to select the most preferred design. Through an illustrative case, the effectiveness and significance of this new robust design methodology is demonstrated.  相似文献   

Prospects for the GLAS Rayleigh laser beacon on the 4.2-m WHT     

Ren Rutten  Maarten Blanken  Richard McDermid  Thomas Gregory  Paul Jolley  Tim Morris  Richard Myers  Johan Pragt  Ton Schoenmaker  Remko Stuik  Gordon Talbot 《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,49(10-12):632

The scientific exploitation of adaptive optics (AO) with natural guide stars is severely constrained by the limited presence of bright guide stars for wavefront sensing. Use of a laser beam as an alternative means to provide a source for wavefront sensing has the potential of drastically improving the sky coverage for AO. For this reason at the 4.2-m William Herschel Telescope a project was started to develop a Rayleigh laser beacon to work together with the existing NAOMI adaptive optics instrumentation and the OASIS integral field spectrograph. This paper presents the rationale for this development, highlights some of the technical aspects, and gives some expected performance measures.  相似文献   

东秦岭铅锌银金钼多金属成矿带成矿规律及找矿标志   总被引：10，自引：4，他引：6  

朱广彬  刘国范  姚新年  杨振军 《地球科学与环境学报》2005,27(1):44-52

东秦岭位于华北板块与扬子板块之间的拼合带——秦岭造山带东段。该区是一典型的地球化学急变带与地球物理梯度交叉区，壳幔富含Pb，Zn，Au，Ag，W，Mo元素，为一元古宙一古生代裂陷槽，熊耳群、宽坪群、二郎坪群、耀岭河组火山岩系中的火山喷发Cu，Pb，Zn，Ag，Au矿(化)层；秦岭群、官道口群、栾川群、陶湾群滨海、浅海陆缘碎屑碳酸盐建造中强烈的火山喷(气)发活动形成的硅质条带(团块)硅质岩以及含Ag，Pb，Zn，Au矿化层状矽卡岩带，多期次的构造岩浆活动，使区内Pb，Zn，Ag，Au，W，Mo叠加富集体成矿，从而使东秦岭地区Pb，Zn，Ag，Au，W，Mo多金属矿床在区域分布、成矿空间、时间上呈现出一定的规律性和明显的找矿标志。  相似文献   

辽宁阜新排山楼金矿南带找矿方向探讨   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王长青  杨建伟  李月新  刘洪光  张林 《地质与资源》2008,17(1):14-18

排山楼金矿赋存于太古宇建平群片麻岩与元古宇长城系大红峪组砂岩、高于庄组白云岩之间的东西向韧性剪切带中,为大型同韧性剪切带型金矿床.在排山楼金矿南带十家子一带发现,与排山楼金矿赋存于相应层位中的含金韧性剪切带层序倒转,含金韧性剪切带层位由处于高于庄组白云岩层之下变为在白云岩层之上,找矿方向和重点由此发生了根本改变.  相似文献   

中国公路泥石流研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

陈洪凯  唐红梅  叶四桥 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2008,19(1):1-5

公路泥石流是指发育于公路沿线并对公路桥涵、路基路面及相应防护结构具有冲击毁损和淤埋破坏的病害类型。丰富的物源、具有焚风效应的气象条件以及泥石流沟轴线与区域新构造应力场主压应力方向一致等是形成大型泥石流的宏观背景。将泥石流概化为固、液两相流体,运用两相流理论、泥沙运动力学、Bingham流变方程和Bagnold颗粒相互作用试验结果等,初步建立了泥石流固-液分相流速计算方法、基于泥石流在防治结构表面及泥石流沟岸产生的冲击形迹建立的反求泥石流冲击力计算方法以及泥石流磨蚀力计算方法。开发了速流结构、泥石流隧道及翼型墩汇流结构等10余种防治技术,集成了拦-汇-排等多种综合治理模式。据此撰写了《公路泥石流防治工程设计、施工指南》。实施了60余个防治工程。效果显著。研究成果初步构建了公路泥石流理论及技术体系。  相似文献