Relationship Between the Western Pacific Subtropical High and the Subtropical East Asian Diabatic Heating During South China Heavy Rains in June 2005          下载免费PDF全文

WANG Lijuan  GAO Hui  GUAN Zhaoyong  HE Jinhai 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2011,25(2):203-210

Based on the daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the position variation of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) in June 2005 and its relation to the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asia are analyzed using the complete vertical vorticity equation. The results show that the position variation of the WPSH is indeed associated with the diabatic heating in the subtropical East Asian areas. In comparison with June climatology, stronger heating on the north side of the WPSH and relatively weak ITCZ (intertropical convergence zone) convection on the south side of the WPSH occurred in June 2005. Along with the northward movement of the WPSH, the convective latent heating extended northward from the south side of the WPSH. The heating to the west of the WPSH was generally greater than that inside the WPSH, and each significant enhancement of the heating field corresponded to a subsequent westward extension of the WPSH. In the mid troposphere, the vertical variation of heating on the north of the WPSH was greater than the climatology, which is unfavorable for the northward movement of the WPSH. On the other hand, the vertical variation of heating south of the WPSH was largely smaller than the climatology, which is favorable for the anomalous increase of anticyclonic vorticity, leading to the southward retreat of the WPSH. Before the westward extension of the WPSH in late June 2005, the vertical variation of heating rates to (in) the west (east) of the WPSH was largely higher (lower) than the climatology, which is in favor of the increase of anticyclonic (cyclonic) vorticity to (in) the west (east) of the WPSH, inducing the subsequent westward extension of the WPSH. Similar features appeared in the lower troposphere. In a word, the heating on the north-south, east-west of the WPSH worked together, resulting in the WPSH extending more southward and westward in June 2005, which is favorable to the maintenance of the rainbelt in South China.  相似文献   

2011年江西汛期降水低频分量的延伸期预报试验     

《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2018,12(1):71-75

利用2011年2-8月逐日降水量序列及东亚地区850hPa经向风场资料建立多变量时滞回归(multivariable lagged regression, MLR)模型,对5-7月江西降水10-30d和50-70d低频分量分别进行延伸期逐日预报实验。结果表明：2011年江西降水存在显著的10-30d和50-70d的振荡周期。降水50-70d低频分量延伸期预报技巧明显优于10-30d低频分量延伸期预报技巧,平均预报技巧高达0.86。降水50-70d低频分量延伸期预报可准确预报降水低频位相的正负转换,能为江西延伸期强降水过程发生的时段预测提供预报信号。  相似文献   

1998年夏季500hPa行星尺度环流系统对长江流域“二度梅”的影响   总被引：3，自引：4，他引：3  

朱伟军  孙照渤  倪东鸿  贾天山 《南京气象学院学报》2001,24(1):1-7

利用NCEP／NCAR1998年5－8月逐日500hPa高度场再分析资料及中国国家气象中心整编的同时段全国160站降水资料，就1998年夏季500hPa行星尺度环流系统对长江流域“二度梅”的影响进行了深入研究。结果发现，鄂霍次克海附近阻塞高压加强（减弱）和副热带西太平洋高压西部强度减弱（加强）的反位相变化是造成长江中下游和东北大部分地区的降水增加（减少）的重要原因。  相似文献   

我国南方初夏汛期和东亚夏季风环流   总被引：12，自引：5，他引：12  

黄士松  汤明敏 《热带气象学报》1995,11(3):203-213

主要根据低层夏季风热力学性质与流场演变特点深入讨论我国南方初夏汛期包括华南前汛期和长江中下游梅雨期同夏季风活动的联系，分析了东亚夏季风环流建立过程的阶段性和类型，指出汛期的开始与结束同夏季风前沿位置变动一致。我国夏季风从开始到发展鼎盛时期低纬大气环流的演变过程各年不完全相同，主要可归纳为４类，每类包括４个或３个不同阶段，从而可认识到东亚夏季风体系结构的非单一性，它可有４种结构模型，即仅是东南季风Ｐ的单气流型、强东南季风Ｐ与弱西南季风Ａ的双气流型、强东南季风Ｐ和弱西南季风Ｍ的双气流型、强东南季风Ｐ和强（或弱）西南季风Ｍ以及弱西南季风Ａ的３气流型。  相似文献   

Dry spells assessment with reference to the maize crop in the Luvuvhu River catchment of South Africa     

《Physics and Chemistry of the Earth》2016

Agricultural productivity in South Africa is negatively affected by drought as a result of frequent periodic dry spells and increasing crop water demands resulting in poor crop development and low yields. Thus, we embarked on this study which aims at investigating dry spell occurrences in relation to growing season of maize in the Luvuvhu River Catchment. Daily rainfall data (1945–2014) from 12 stations which represent the catchment fairly well was utilized in this study. Three consecutive planting dates were staggered based on three consecutive onsets of the rainy season. Dry spells were categorized into three groups: short, medium and long dry spells. The data was then subjected to theoretical distribution fitting using the Anderson–Darling goodness-of-fit test; and probabilities of occurrence were computed using a probabilistic model that best fits the data. Trend analysis was performed on the frequency of dry spells per growing period using the non-parametric Spearman's rank correlation test. Out results indicated high probabilities (≥80%) of short dry spells at all the stations irrespective of the timing of planting. Further analysis revealed that a risk of yield reduction with planting following the first onset of rains was higher than that with planting following the second and third onsets. In order to minimize this risk, farmers can be advised to plant between mid-November to mid-December. Trend analysis indicated no trend for all the various dry spell lengths except for Thohoyandou with a decreasing trend and Sigonde with a weak increasing trend in long dry spells. Such findings can be used to describe drought conditions for improvement of agricultural productivity and food security, in a given area.  相似文献   

EFFECTS OF LOW-LATITUDE MONSOON SURGE ON THE INCREASE IN DOWNPOUR FROM TROPICAL STORM BILIS     

王黎娟  卢珊  管兆勇  何洁琳 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2010,16(2):101-109

By using the dataset of CMA-STI Tropical Cyclone Optimal Tracks, NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and intensive surface observations, a study is performed of the influences of a low-latitude monsoon surge on the longer persistence and increase in torrential rains from the landing tropical storm Bilis. Results suggest that the southwest monsoon was anomalously active after Bilis came ashore. The westerly winds in Bilis’s south side might give rise to the poleward movement of the SW monsoon, thus enlarging the pressure g...  相似文献   

ANALYSIS OF THE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUSTAINED TORRENTIAL RAINS IN JUNES DURING 1958-2000     

丁治英  常越  朱莉  何金海 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2008,14(2):105-108

Day-to-day precipitation data of Junes during the 43 years of 1958-2000 from stations to the south of Yangtze River are used to divide regions and run statistical analysis of sustained torrential rainfall processes. A preliminary analysis is then made based on it and the results show that June is the month in which torrential rains in the southern half of China take place frequently and sustained torrential rains occur at the same time in South China and the area to the south of Yangtze River. In addition, the analysis gives the basic features of sustained torrential rains of June in China and their interannual variability patterns, with the suggestion that the amount of these events increases significantly after the 1990s. Lastly, the sustained torrential rains occurring in Junes of 1994, 1998 and 2005 in the southern half of China are taken as examples in the research on the basic patterns and formation mechanisms of the evolution of double rain-bands during the rain season in South China and the area to the south of Yangtze River. The analysis shows that the large scale environment field in which sustained torrential rains occur is related to the stable sustaining of the South Asia High and upper level jet streams.  相似文献   

Flood simulation in the coastal lowlands of northern Jiangsu, China     

CHEN Xiaoling CHEN Xiaoling  Associate professor  National Laboratory for momation Engi-neering in Surveying  Mapping  Remote Sensing  WTUSM  Luoyu Road  Wuhan  China 《地球空间信息科学学报》1999,2(1):35-41

The coastal lowlands in northern Jiangsu Province, China, is characterized by low relief and low water surface gradient in streams. The flooding stages are commonly lower than the high-tide level and the tidal range is relatively small. All these factors prohibit rapid discharge of floodwater and make the flood regimes here extremely sensitive to the sea level rise. The 1991 Plum Rain was examined, when precipitation was significantly higher than normal. The one-dimensional open-channel non-conservative flow model was used to simulate the stream flow in the channel network of studied area. GIS technology was used to delineate the maximum in undated area by analyzing the DEMs.  相似文献   

江西“98.6”连续暴雨形成的特殊性   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

张延亭  张瑛 《气象》1999,25(6):8-12

１９９８年６月江西特大降水过程的环流特征与历年重大连续暴雨过程不同,５００ｈＰａ形势对连续暴雨的形成并不很有利,但是,强盛的中低层西南急流、稳定的中低层切变、经常存在的地面辐合线为这次降水提供了有利条件。在这样的条件下,降水的热力作用非常突出。  相似文献   

永泰李农业地质背景与李叶片营养诊断   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

夏春金 《福建地质》1998,17(2):85-93

通过对永泰县不同地质背景区李叶片的采集和测试矿质元素含量,分析了各区李叶营养状况。认为,要根据不同李园、不同季节的叶片营养状况,以及各地质背景区土壤矿质元素丰缺和有效态元素含量多少,进行对症施肥,以提高李果产量和品质。  相似文献