Modeling spatially non-stationary land use/cover change in the lower Connecticut River Basin by combining geographically weighted logistic regression and the CA-Markov model   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Hui Wang  Scott R. Stephenson  Shijin Qu 《International journal of geographical information science》2019,33(7):1313-1334

Simulating land use/cover change (LUCC) and determining its transition rules have been a focus of research for several decades. Previous studies used ordinary logistic regression (OLR) to determine transition rules in cellular automata (CA) modeling of LUCC, which often neglected the spatially non-stationary relationships between driving factors and land use/cover categories. We use an integrated geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR) CA-Markov method to simulate LUCC from 2001–2011 over 29 towns in the Connecticut River Basin. Results are compared with those obtained from the OLR-CA-Markov method, and the sensitivity of LUCC simulated by the GWLR-CA-Markov method to the spatial non-stationarity-based suitability map is investigated. Analysis of residuals indicates better goodness of fit in model calibration for geographically weighted regression (GWR) than OLR. Coefficients of driving factors indicate that GWLR outperforms OLR in depicting the local suitability of land use/cover categories. Kappa statistics of the simulated maps indicate high agreement with observed land use/cover for both OLR-CA-Markov and GWLR-CA-Markov methods. Similarity in simulation accuracy between the methods suggests that the sensitivity of simulated LUCC to suitability inputs is low with respect to spatial non-stationarity. Therefore, this study provides critical insight on the role of spatial non-stationarity throughout the process of LUCC simulation.  相似文献   

新疆北部弧-盆转化体系下铁氧化物-铜-金矿床的流体演化特征:来自卤族元素和稀有气体同位素的证据     

梁培  陈华勇  赵联党  Kendrick MARK  江宏君  张维峰  吴超  谢玉玲 《地学前缘》2020,27(3):239-253

东准噶尔北缘和东天山雅满苏带是中国新疆北部地区两个重要的晚古生代铁氧化物-铜-金矿化潜力区,以老山口、乔夏哈拉和黑尖山矿床作为典型矿床代表。研究表明两区域的铁氧化物-铜-金矿床均产出于盆地闭合的弧盆转化体系下,且具有明显的铁、铜-金两阶段矿化。卤族元素和稀有气体同位素作为可靠的流体示踪剂,被应用于探究这一特定构造环境下的铁氧化物-铜-金矿床的流体演化和矿床成因。结果显示老山口、乔夏哈拉和黑尖山矿床的成矿流体具有明显的混合流体端员特征:(1)岩浆流体端员,主要参与黑尖山矿床磁铁矿阶段,I/Cl、Br/Cl和⁴⁰Ar/³⁶Ar比值分别为(16.3~18.0)×10^-6、(1.03~1.06)×10^-3和352~437;(2)海水表源蒸发成因盐卤水端员,主要参与老山口矿床铜-金矿化阶段,I/Cl、Br/Cl和⁴⁰Ar/³⁶Ar比值分别为(77.1~87.7)×10^-6、(1.53~1.80)×10^-3和672~883;(3)蒸发岩溶解或者深度水-岩反应成因的盐卤水/沉积岩地层水端员,主要参与到老山口、乔夏哈拉矿床的磁铁矿阶段以及黑尖山、乔夏哈拉矿床的铜-金矿化阶段,综合I/Cl、Br/Cl和⁴⁰Ar/³⁶Ar比值分别为(477~26 301)×10^-6、(0.39~1.28)×10^-3和288~510。明显的多阶段矿化和铜-金矿化阶段以非岩浆富Ca高盐度卤水为主的特征与世界范围内的IOCG型矿床极为相似,表明新疆北部的铁氧化物-铜-金矿床应为IOCG型矿床。  相似文献   

下扬子地区“三气一油”钻探发现及成藏地质条件——以皖南港地1井钻探发现为例   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

石刚  徐振宇  郑红军  殷启春  滕龙  周道容  方朝刚  邵威  王佳龙  黄正清 《地质通报》2019,38(9):1564-1570

下扬子地区经历了多期构造运动,地质条件复杂,对油气保存条件产生了重要影响。页岩油气具有自生自储的特性,与常规油气相比,对保存条件的要求较低,在下扬子地区具备形成页岩油气藏的潜力。通过港地1井钻探,在下扬子地区二叠系大隆组和龙潭组获得了页岩油、页岩气、煤层气和致密砂岩气"三气一油"的发现,与常规油气"上气下油"不同,港地1井油气呈现"上油下气"式非常规油气储集方式。大隆组富有机质页岩厚度约70m,地层倾角10°～20°,现场解吸获取的页岩气样品甲烷含量达80%,有机质丰度为1.9%～2.3%,平均值约2.0%,有机质成熟度(Ro)为1%～1.25%,平均值约1.2%,具备生成页岩油气的良好基础。基于港地1井的钻探发现,认为下扬子地区构造运动影响弱、盆地规模小、保存条件好的"小而整"的坳陷或盆地具备形成页岩油气藏的地质条件。  相似文献   

Seismic responses of postyield hardening single–degree-of-freedom systems incorporating high-strength elastic material     

Hanlin Qiang  Peng Feng  Zhe Qu 《地震工程与结构动力学》2019,48(6):611-633

It is widely accepted that ductility design improves the seismic capacity of structures worldwide. Nevertheless, inelastic deformation allows serious damage to occur in structures. Previous studies have shown that a certain level of postyield stiffness may reduce both the peak displacement and residual deformation of a structure. In recent years, several high-strength elastic materials, such as fiber-reinforced polymer (FRP) and high-strength steel bars, have been developed. Application of these materials can easily provide a structure with a much higher and more stable postyield stiffness. Many materials, members, and structures that incorporate both high-strength elastic materials and conventional materials show significant postyield hardening (PYH) behaviors. The significant postyield stiffness of PYH structures can help effectively reduce both peak and residual deformations, providing a choice when designing resilient structures. However, the findings of previous studies of structures with elastic-perfectly plastic (EPP) behavior or small postyield stiffness may not be accurate for PYH structures. The postyield stiffness of a structure must be considered an important primary structural parameter, in addition to initial stiffness, yielding strength, and ductility. In this paper, extensive time history and statistical analyses are carried out for PYH single–degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems. The mean values and coefficients of variation of the peak displacement and residual deformation are obtained and discussed. A new R-μ_p-T-α relationship and damage index for PYH structures are proposed. A theoretical model for the calculation of residual deformation is also established. These models provide a basis for developing the appropriate seismic design and performance evaluation procedures for PYH structures.  相似文献   

黄河三角洲湿地资源地质环境评价与保护对策研究          下载免费PDF全文

王强  张红军  张太平  王薇  刘洋  赵慧  王奎峰  张瑞华 《山东国土资源》2018,34(5)

黄河三角洲是中国唯一一块保存最完整、最典型、最年轻的湿地生态系统,由于其地理位置优越、自然资源丰富等特点,在国际上备受关注。该文在已有资料分析、现场地质调查、遥感数据分析的基础上,构建了黄河三角洲湿地资源地质环境评价指标体系,采用定量与定性相结合的方法,将黄河三角洲湿地地质环境质量分为5个等级(优、良、一般、较差和差),研究结果表明,该地区19个县(市、区)中湿地地质环境资源质量为良的有8个,质量一般的为11个,总体处于健康-疾病的临界状态。并基于以上研究成果,针对性地提出了黄河三角洲湿地资源保护对策。  相似文献   

P波斜入射角对沉管隧道地震响应的影响     

陆耀波  崔杰  渠建新  袁杰 《震灾防御技术》2018,13(3):562-570

为了研究P波斜入射对沉管隧道地震响应的影响，以港珠澳大桥沉管隧道为工程背景，考虑上覆海水与海床、沉管隧道之间耦合作用，采用粘弹性边界和等效力的地震荷载输入方式，利用ADINA软件建立三维有限元模型进行地震响应分析。分析入射角为0°、20°、40°、50°、60°时P波对沉管隧道环向应力峰值（正应力峰值、剪应力峰值）和位移峰值的影响，结果表明:入射角为40°时，沉管隧道应力峰值最大；入射角为0°—40°时，隧道的应力峰值逐渐增大，入射角为40°—60°时，隧道的应力峰值逐渐减小；隧道截面4个转角处及隔墙与顶板、底板的连接处为隧道剪应力峰值最大处；隧道截面左侧剪应力峰值远大于右侧；隧道顶板正应力峰值最大，顶板的正应力峰值大约为底板的2倍；隧道截面左侧位移峰值远大于隧道截面右侧。  相似文献   

Effects of Solid Organic Wastes on Soil Particulate Organic Carbon Structure Under Different Water Conditions     

Xiaojing Qu  Jinggui Wu  Jinghong Zhao  Jianming Li  Juan Hu  Opoku‐Kwanowaa Yaa 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2019,47(8)

  相似文献   

A sequential sparse polynomial chaos expansion using Bayesian regression for geotechnical reliability estimations     

Qiujing Pan  Xingru Qu  Leilei Liu  Daniel Dias 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2020,44(6):874-889

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCEs) have been widely employed to estimate failure probabilities in geotechnical engineering. However, PCEs suffer from two deficiencies: (a) PCE coefficients are solved by the least-square minimization method which easily causes overfitting issues; (b) building a high order PCE is often computationally expensive. In order to overcome the aforementioned drawbacks, the Bayesian regression technique is employed to evaluate PCE coefficients, which not only provides a sparse solution but also avoids overfitting. With the aid of the predictive means and variances given by Bayesian analysis, a learning function is proposed to sequentially select the most informative samples that are critical to build a PCE. This sequential learning scheme can highly enhance the computational efficiency of PCEs. Besides, importance sampling (IS) is incorporated into the sequential learning (SL)-PCEs to deal with geotechnical problems with small failure probabilities. The proposed method of SL-PCE-IS is applied to three illustrative examples, which shows that the improved PCE method is more effective and efficient than the common PCEs method, leading to accurate estimations of small failure probabilities using fewer training samples.  相似文献   

The Structure of Potential Amur Tiger (Panthera tigris altaica) Habitats and Evaluation of Its Prey in Taipingou National Reserve (China) Based on Remote Sensing Data     

Shibing Zhu  Qu  Yi  Liu  Yingzhu  Dobrynin  D. V.  Sukhova  O. V.  Kotlov  I. P.  Sandlersky  R. B.  Yachmennikova  A. A.  Rozhnov  V. V. 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2020,56(9):1107-1126

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - The population of the Amur tiger (Panthera tigris altaica) in the Russian Far East is currently being restored; young individuals are being spread...  相似文献   

渤中凹陷CFD18-2油田高岭石胶结作用及其对储层物性的影响     

陈思芮  曲希玉  王冠民  王清斌  曹英权 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2019,49(5):1235-1246

为探究成岩作用过程中所形成的次生黏土矿物对储层物性的影响，借助偏光显微镜及扫描电镜的镜下分析，并结合储层物性等数据，对渤中凹陷附近沙垒田凸起东南部CFD18-2油田东三段高岭石的特征、类型、成因及其对储层物性的影响进行了研究。研究结果表明：1）研究区高岭石为有机酸溶蚀长石形成的自生高岭石，呈现典型的"手风琴状"及"蠕虫状"，常充填于粒间孔、长石次生溶孔及碳酸盐胶结物溶孔中并形成良好的晶间孔隙。2）研究区主要发育两期高岭石，第一期主要充填于早期碳酸盐胶结物溶孔中，呈微小"蠕虫状"；第二期充填于铁方解石与铁白云石胶结物溶孔中，部分高岭石具碱性溶蚀特征，且第二期高岭石与晚期伊利石共生。3）研究区东三段储层具备一定的渗流能力，使长石溶蚀形成的"副产物"被流体带走；但在破坏性成岩作用下，储层渗流能力会逐渐变差，最终使得"副产物"堆积于孔隙，降低储层物性。4）高岭石及同期硅质胶结物对储层物性的影响是一把"双刃剑"，当高岭石及硅质的体积分数低于6.81%时，长石溶蚀有利于改善储层物性；当高岭石及硅质的体积分数高于6.81%时，则不利于储层物性的改善。  相似文献