黄河干流头道拐河段凌汛期小流量过程变化及其影响因素研究     

全栋  李超  路新川  史小红  杨朝霞 《冰川冻土》2020,42(2):620-628

黄河干流内蒙古段河道冬季流凌封河期， 河道水量除一部分转化为冰量外， 很大一部分转化为槽蓄水量而贮存在河道中， 导致下游头道拐河段出现小流量过程， 上游河道流量转化为槽蓄水量和贮存的冰量越大， 小流量持续时间越长， 开河期发生凌汛洪水风险越高。通过对1998 - 2016年头道拐站凌讯期流量变化过程分析， 重新界定了小流量上限阈值为330 m³·s^-1， 并且以此值为标准进行小流量过程研究， 分别采用R/S极差分析法、 Fourier变换分析法对近年来小流量过程变化特征进行分析； 结合非线性概率Logit模型和Probit模型对小流量过程的影响因素进行讨论。结果表明： 小流量持续天数变化呈现缩短趋势； 同时， 小流量过程与上游相对来水之间变化关系显著且过程同步， 而滞后于河道槽蓄水量变化过程； 通过Logit模型和Probit模型分析各影响因素变化时相应小流量持续时间变化的响应概率大小， 明确河道冰流量是小流量过程第一影响因素， 气温条件是小流量过程的决定因素， 首封位置和相对来水量是小流量过程重要影响因素。  相似文献   

洪水影响预报和风险预警理念与业务实践   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

刘志雨 《水文》2020,40(1):1-6

我国是世界上洪涝灾害频繁而严重的国家之一,洪水预报预警是防汛减灾工作中重要的非工程措施和洪水防御工作的耳目和参谋。从水文行业的视角,回顾了近年来我国洪水预报预警技术与业务进展,分析了当前洪水预报预警工作面临的新形势和新要求,对比国内外同类行业发展查找了存在的差距,阐述了洪水影响预报和风险预警的定义和理念,从顶层对基于影响预报和风险预警的新一代洪水预报预警系统("国家洪水预报预警系统")总体框架进行了研究和设计,一些关键技术成果在大范围洪水早期预警业务实践中得到了探索应用,取得了较好的效果。  相似文献   

苏州西山震裂锥:太湖冲击坑又一新证据          下载免费PDF全文

王鹤年  钱汉东  陈旸  周丽娅 《高校地质学报》2019,25(1):58

震裂锥已被公认为陨石冲击地球表面遗留的标志。研究及统计资料表明，震裂锥与陨石冲击形成的中、大型冲击坑 有关。太湖西山震裂锥呈圆锥形，锥体表面有自锥顶向下辐射的锥纹，锥纹具有分叉的特征，这些特征与震裂锥的国际公 认的定义和标准相符。此外，西山震裂锥还具有其特有的其他特征：碎裂岩化显著；气化-熔融现象发育；锥体表面具网 状构造及波纹状、蜂窝状等多种气印。岩相学研究显示，震裂锥及含锥岩石中冲击变质现象明显，微页理（PDFs）、微裂 隙（PFs） 以及靶岩熔融现象发育。以上这些冲击变质的标志，可证明西山震裂锥是冲击成因，而非地表水风化淋溶石灰岩 的喀斯特或风蚀成因的凤稜石。西山震裂锥的发现、太湖湖底冲击击变角砾岩“太湖石”的确定，为太湖冲击坑的研究增 添了新的诊断性证据；加上早期研究确定的、冲击回落至太湖湖底淤泥层中的冲击溅射物，这些众多证据为确定“太湖冲 击坑”或“太湖冲击事件”展示了美好前景。但是，要确定太湖冲击坑的具体位置、大小及构造模式等，尚需更多的深入 研究。  相似文献   

The effects of floods on the temperature of riparian groundwater          下载免费PDF全文

Jeffery A. Watson  M. Bayani Cardenas  Stephen B. Ferencz  Peter S.K. Knappett  Bethany T. Neilson 《水文研究》2018,32(9):1267-1281

The transition area between rivers and their adjacent riparian aquifers, which may comprise the hyporheic zone, hosts important biochemical reactions, which control water quality. The rates of these reactions and metabolic processes are temperature dependent. Yet the thermal dynamics of riparian aquifers, especially during flooding and dynamic groundwater flow conditions, has seldom been studied. Thus, we investigated heat transport in riparian aquifers during 3 flood events of different magnitudes at 2 sites along the same river. River and riparian aquifer temperature and water‐level data along the Lower Colorado River in Central Texas, USA, were monitored across 2‐dimensional vertical sections perpendicular to the bank. At the downstream site, preflood temperature penetration distance into the bank suggested that advective heat transport from lateral hyporheic exchange of river water into the riparian aquifer was occurring during relatively steady low‐flow river conditions. Although a small (20‐cm stage increase) dam‐controlled flood pulse had no observable influence on groundwater temperature, larger floods (40‐cm and >3‐m stage increases) caused lateral movement of distinct heat plumes away from the river during flood stage, which then retreated back towards the river after flood recession. These plumes result from advective heat transport caused by flood waters being forced into the riparian aquifer. These flood‐induced temperature responses were controlled by the size of the flood, river water temperature during the flood, and local factors at the study sites, such as topography and local ambient water table configuration. For the intermediate and large floods, the thermal disturbance in the riparian aquifer lasted days after flood waters receded. Large floods therefore have impacts on the temperature regime of riparian aquifers lasting long beyond the flood's timescale. These persistent thermal disturbances may have a significant impact on biochemical reaction rates, nutrient cycling, and ecological niches in the river corridor.  相似文献   

Study of the flood control scheduling scheme for the Three Gorges Reservoir in a catastrophic flood          下载免费PDF全文

Shanghong Zhang  Zhu Jing  Wenda Li  Yujun Yi  Yong Zhao 《水文研究》2018,32(11):1625-1634

The Three Gorges Project is the world's largest water conservancy project. According to the design standards for the 1,000‐year flood, flood diversion areas in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River must be utilized to ensure the safety of the Jingjiang area and the city of Wuhan. However, once these areas are used, the economic and life loss in these areas may be very great. Therefore, it is vital to reduce this loss by developing a scheme that reduces the use of the flood diversion areas through flood regulation by the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), under the premise of ensuring the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. For a 1,000‐year flood on the basis of a highly destructive flood in 1954, this paper evaluates scheduling schemes in which flood diversion areas are or are not used. The schemes are simulated based on 2.5‐m resolution reservoir topography and an optimized model of dynamic capacity flood regulation. The simulation results show the following. (a) In accord with the normal flood‐control regulation discharge, the maximum water level above the dam should be not more than 175 m, which ensures the safety of the dam and reservoir area. However, it is necessary to utilize the flood diversion areas within the Jingjiang area, and flood discharge can reach 2.81 billion m³. (b) In the case of relying on the TGR to impound floodwaters independently rather than using the flood diversion areas, the maximum water level above the dam reaches 177.35 m, which is less than the flood check level of 180.4 m to ensure the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. The average increase of the TGR water level in the Chongqing area is not more than 0.11 m, which indicates no significant effect on the upstream reservoir area. Comparing the various scheduling schemes, when the flood diversion areas are not used, it is believed that the TGR can execute safe flood control for a 1,000‐year flood, thereby greatly reducing flood damage.  相似文献   

阿尔金山东端北部区域生态环境修复模式研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

牛最荣  陈学林  黄维东  王亦农  王毓森  武雪 《冰川冻土》2019,41(2):275-281

阿尔金山荒漠化防治生态功能区是甘肃西部、新疆乃至整个西北地区重要生态屏障，对阿尔金山东端北部区域为代表的西土沟流域生态环境现状和存在主要问题进行分析，提出区域生态环境治理构想和因势治洪-以洪治沙-自然净化-综合利用的区域洪水资源开发利用模式和以“水害”治“沙害”、变害为利的区域生态环境、沙漠治理模式。国内外学者对本区域荒漠化防治、草地生态安全评价有部分研究，但对沙漠区洪水资源开发利用问题研究比较罕见，在沙漠地区洪水资源化利用方面具有很强的代表性，为阿尔金山保护区的规范管理和可持续对策制定提供科学依据，对同类地区生态环境修复提供示范。  相似文献   

Perceptual models of uncertainty for socio-hydrological systems: a flood risk change example     

Ida K. Westerberg  Keith J. Beven  Gemma Coxon  Tobias Krueger 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(Z2):1705-1713

ABSTRACT

Characterizing, understanding and better estimating uncertainties are key concerns for drawing robust conclusions when analyzing changing socio-hydrological systems. Here we suggest developing a perceptual model of uncertainty that is complementary to the perceptual model of the socio-hydrological system and we provide an example application to flood risk change analysis. Such a perceptual model aims to make all relevant uncertainty sources – and different perceptions thereof – explicit in a structured way. It is a first step to assessing uncertainty in system outcomes that can help to prioritize research efforts and to structure dialogue and communication about uncertainty in interdisciplinary work.  相似文献   

Event-based classification for global study of river flood generating processes     

Lina Stein  Francesca Pianosi  Ross Woods 《水文研究》2020,34(7):1514-1529

Better understanding of which processes generate floods in a catchment can improve flood frequency analysis and potentially climate change impacts assessment. However, current flood classification methods are either not transferable across locations or do not provide event-based information. We therefore developed a location-independent, event-based flood classification methodology that is applicable in different climates and returns a classification of all flood events, including extreme ones. We use precipitation time series and very simply modelled soil moisture and snowmelt as inputs for a decision tree. A total of 113,635 events in 4155 catchments worldwide were classified into one of five hydro-climatological flood generating processes: short rain, long rain, excess rainfall, snowmelt and a combination of rain and snow. The new classification was tested for its robustness and evaluated with available information; these two tests are often lacking in current flood classification approaches. According to the evaluation, the classification is mostly successful and indicates excess rainfall as the most common dominant process. However, the dominant process is not very informative in most catchments, as there is a high at-site variability in flood generating processes. This is particularly relevant for the estimation of extreme floods which diverge from their usual flood generation pattern, especially in the United Kingdom, Northern France, Southeastern United States, and India.  相似文献   

太湖梅梁湾藻华暴发消退-周期表层水体溶解性有机质分子特征     

庞佳丽  许燕红  何毓新  史权  何丁  孙永革 《湖泊科学》2020,32(6):1599-1609

人类活动引起的富营养化对太湖的碳循环模式可能产生严重影响，精细描述太湖藻华暴发-消退周期的溶解性有机质分子是了解太湖碳库动态变化的关键.本研究利用傅立叶变换离子回旋共振质谱技术，以太湖北部梅梁湾2017年5月至2018年5月的表层水体为研究对象，解析藻华暴发-消退周期溶解性有机质的来源和分子组成特征，进而理解浮游藻类异常增殖对水体溶解性有机质的影响及其在区域碳循环中的角色.研究结果表明，藻华暴发期浮游藻类生产力显著增加，使得表层水体的溶解性有机质从含量到分子组成均发生剧烈改变.含量上表现为溶解性有机碳浓度升高，分子组成上表现为CHO类化合物和以脂肪族类化合物为代表的活性组分占比增加，特征化合物以相对高饱和度和高含氧的小质量数分子为主.而在藻华消退期，随着藻类有机质贡献的减少和有机质降解过程的持续进行，含量上表现为溶解性有机碳浓度下降，分子组成上表现为CHOS、CHONS类化合物和富羧酸脂环类化合物等惰性分子占比增加，特征化合物以大质量数分子和相对低饱和度和低含氧的小质量数分子为主.研究结果表明，太湖水体的溶解性有机质分子组成在藻华暴发期受藻类有机质输入控制，在消退期受藻类有机质降解的影响.  相似文献   

水体浊度对风速、风向及其时间累积效应的响应——以太湖贡湖湾为例     

赵巧华  陈诗祺  陈纾杨 《湖泊科学》2018,30(6):1587-1598

水体浊度是影响水下光场及营养盐循环的关键要素之一，其变化过程与水生生态环境演变关系密切.基于2015-2016年7个时段于太湖贡湖湾内外的金墅和上山村两站点的水体浊度及东山气象站的逐时风场数据，利用分位统计等方法，探讨了风速、风向及时间累积效应对水体浊度的影响.结果表明：在以风场驱动为主要动力来源的大型浅水湖泊中，春、秋两季水体浊度的变化频率高于夏、冬两季，且春季变率更为突出；冬季风场和水体浊度的变率均较夏季明显.风场（包括风速、风向及其累积时间）是影响水体浊度变化的关键因素.其中风速是主要决定性因子；风向对水体浊度有较明显的影响，其通过对风速效应的修正进而影响水体浊度，该修正作用可用三角函数表征；水体浊度变化同时还受前期风场累积的影响，其前期时间累积效应的有效时段为2~10 h.该研究给出了风速、风向及风场累积效应的耦合对水体浊度的影响模型，有助于弄清风场对水体浊度变化的影响机制.  相似文献