基于小波变换与神经网络的石羊河流域夏季地温预测模型研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

贾东于  李开明  聂晓英  袁春霞  李清峰  高福元 《冰川冻土》2020,42(2):412-422

地温变化在气候反馈效应中起着重要作用， 理解地温及其与影响因素之间的时空关系对预测全球温度变化至关重要。利用1998 - 2017年石羊河流域的逐日常规气象观测资料， 采用小波分析结合BP（Back Propagation）神经网络构建了石羊河流域夏季地温预报模型， 结果表明： 日平均地温预测效果在不同站点均为最佳， 其中预测值和观测值的相关系数均大于0.87， 3 ℃以内的预测概率均大于84%。其中， 民勤地区地温预测效果最好， 预测值和观测值的相关系数达到0.91， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到86%。日最高地温的预测值与观测值的相关系数高于0.8， 但误差平方和、 标准差较大。永昌地区日最高地温的模拟效果最好， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到83%。日最低地温的预测与观测值的平均相关系数高于0.66， 3 ℃以内的预报概率高于83%， 但预测值略低。其中， 武威地区日最低地温的预测效果最好， 预测值与观测值的相关系数为0.72， 3 ℃以内的预测概率达到94%。研究成果可为有效弥补干旱、 半干旱区地温观测资料缺失和探讨其与局地气候的关系提供一些参考。  相似文献   

基于GPS和水准数据的微粒群算法联合反演祁连山北缘断裂三维滑动速率     

刘杰 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(9):906-909

将微粒群算法与位错理论模型相结合，采用中国地壳运动观测网络提供的青藏高原地区2001~2004年GPS测量数据和2000~2006年水准测量数据，通过常规定权和附有相对权比的方法对祁连山北缘断裂的三维滑动速率进行联合反演，并与蚁群算法反演结果进行对比。结果表明，微粒群算法收敛速度快、稳定性高，结合经典位错理论模型，是一种可以有效求解断层三维滑动速率反演问题的优化算法，在大地测量反演领域极具应用潜力。  相似文献   

喀喇昆仑断裂北段晚第四纪活动特征及其构造意义     

赵一霖  刘健  姜科庆  祝明伟 《地球学报》2019,40(4):601-613

右旋走滑的喀喇昆仑断裂(KK F)作为青藏高原的西部边界, 在印度板块与欧亚板块碰撞引起的陆内变形过程中扮演了重要的角色。近年来KK F北段全新世以来的活动特征存在争议。通过遥感解译和野外观测, 在喀喇昆仑断裂(KK F)的北段——新疆卡拉苏地区, 对KK F及其两条分支断裂的几何学、运动学进行了研究, 获得了现今发育的冰水扇被右旋错断和冰水扇上分布羽列式T张破裂等指示KK F右旋走滑的证据。采集了KK F控制的浅冰水湖相沉积中贝壳的AMS 14C样品, 获得年龄分别为(5.20±0.03) ka、(5.61±0.03) ka 和(9.95±0.04) ka。表明KK F北段晚全新世以来仍在活动, 其右旋走滑速率约为3.7 mm/a, 累计垂向滑移速率约为1.7 mm/a。据前人在KK F中部的研究成果, 推测KK F北段在卡拉苏地区由南东往北西右旋走滑速率有增大的趋势。  相似文献   

The Control of the Spatial and Temporal Differential Evolution of Boundary Faults on Faulted Basins     

Yuhu Liu  Chunhui Cao  Ruilei Li  Jianfeng Zhu  Wen Xu  Lan Huang  Ying Luan 《地球科学进展》2020,35(1):79-87

The boundary faults of faulted basins generally have segmental growth characteristics. Quantitative analysis of fault growth processes and combined models is of great significance for basin formation and evolution and hydrocarbon accumulation. Taking the Fulongquan fault depression in the southern part of the Songliao Basin as an example, using the 3D seismic data and using the fault-displacement length analysis method, the segmental growth and evolution process of the boundary fault is systematically studied, and the control effect of the spatial and temporal differential evolution of boundary faults on faulted basins is analyzed. The study shows that the segmental growth control of the boundary fault of Fulongquan fault depression forms a series of semi-mantle shoals; the sedimentary center of the Shahezi-Yingcheng fault is controlled to migrate from south to north; The slanting and thrusting activities control the height of the anticline trap; the transformation of the boundary fault property controls the evolution of the basin's tectonic pattern from the tandem semi-mantle to the faulted anticline.  相似文献   

基于CUDA的地震相干体并行算法   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张全 《地质与勘探》2020,56(1):147-153

相干体技术在地震勘探资料解释方面得到了广泛的应用,由于相干体技术处理的对象是三维地震数据体,所以算法运算时间较长。为了缩短解释周期,本文充分发挥GPU并行计算优势,对C3相干体算法进行并行化分析。从硬盘读取数据到GPU上计算相干值并写入硬盘的整个过程进行分析,剔除了冗余数据的读取,完成了C3相干体算法的并行化设计与实现。最后分别对串行算法与并行算法进行性能测试,结果表明本文设计的并行算法在保证精度的前提下达到了16倍左右的加速比,对加快地震资料解释具有重要意义。  相似文献   

郯庐断裂带苏鲁界地应力积累特征及地震危险性研究     

邱君  吴满路  范桃园  张重远  王连山 《地质学报》2019,93(12):3249-3258

郯庐断裂带是中国东部重要的地质构造带和地震活动带,苏、鲁交界部位的地震活动性和强震危险性一直引人瞩目,1668年发生过郯城8.5级大地震。为了解郯庐断裂带苏鲁界现今地应力环境与地震发展趋势,应用水压致裂法在该区开展了一个钻孔的原地应力测量工作,同时参考前人利用钻孔崩落法与声发射法获取的中国大陆科学钻探(CCSD)主孔301～5047m深度范围内的地应力数据,揭示了研究区地应力状态。利用库伦破裂准则、Byerlee定律以及断层摩擦参数μ_m分析研究该地区的地应力积累水平,评估断层发生滑动的可能性。结果表明:水压致裂法测点在75.74～191.04m深度范围内最小水平主应力的量值为3.68～13.15MPa,最大水平主应力的量值为4.02～19.40MPa。CCSD主孔在1269～5047m深度范围内最小水平主应力的量值为25.3～122.0MPa,最大水平主应力的量值为41.4～166.4MPa;分析地应力结构,发现自地表至660m的范围内,σ_Hσ_hσ_v,为逆断层地应力状态,660m以下表现为σ_Hσ_vσ_h,为走滑断层地应力状态。综合分析断层摩擦参数μ_m,郯庐断裂带苏鲁交界处尚未达到断层失稳的临界地应力状态。  相似文献   

Normal fault growth influenced by basement fabrics: The importance of preferential nucleation from pre‐existing structures     

Luca Collanega  Katherine Siuda  Christopher A.‐L. Jackson  Rebecca E. Bell  Alexander J. Coleman  Antje Lenhart  Craig Magee  Anna Breda 《Basin Research》2019,31(4):659-687

Reactivation of pre‐existing intra‐basement structures can influence the evolution of rift basins, yet the detailed kinematic relationship between these structures and overlying rift‐related faults remains poorly understood. Understanding the kinematic as well as geometric relationship between intra‐basement structures and rift‐related fault networks is important, with the extension direction in many rifted provinces typically thought to lie normal to fault strike. We here investigate this problem using a borehole‐constrained, 3D seismic reflection dataset from the Taranaki Basin, offshore New Zealand. Excellent imaging of intra‐basement structures and a relatively weakly deformed, stratigraphically simple sedimentary cover allow us to: (a) identify a range of interaction styles between intra‐basement structures and overlying, Plio‐Pleistocene rift‐related normal faults; and (b) examine the cover fault kinematics associated with each interaction style. Some of the normal faults parallel and are physically connected to intra‐basement reflections, which are interpreted as mylonitic reverse faults formed during Mesozoic subduction and basement terrane accretion. These geometric relationships indicate pre‐existing intra‐basement structures locally controlled the position and attitude of Plio‐Pleistocene rift‐related normal faults. However, through detailed 3D kinematic analysis of selected normal faults, we show that: (a) normal faults only nucleated above intra‐basement structures that experienced late Miocene compressional reactivation, (b) despite playing an important role during subsequent rifting, intra‐basement structures have not been significantly extensionally reactivated, and (c) preferential nucleation and propagation of normal faults within late Miocene reverse faults and folds appears to be the key genetic relationship between contractionally reactivated intra‐basement structures and rift‐related normal faults. Our analysis shows that km‐scale, intra‐basement structures can control the nucleation and development of newly formed, rift‐related normal faults, most likely due to a local perturbation of the regional stress field. Because of this, simply inverting fault strike for causal extension direction may be incorrect, especially in provinces where pre‐existing, intra‐basement structures occur. We also show that a detailed kinematic analysis is key to deciphering the temporal as well as simply the spatial or geometric relationship between structures developed at multiple structural levels.  相似文献   

Dynamic mechanisms controlling the topography of Longmenshan area   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Xie  Yuan  Li  Yongdong  Xiong  Xiong 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2020,63(1):121-131

The Longmenshan fault, which defines the eastern edge of the Tibetan Plateau, is one of the steepest margins of the plateau with a sharp elevation drop of about 4 km over a distance less than 100 km across the Longmenshan fault. The mechanism which is responsible for controlling and maintaining the elevation difference is highly debated. Using multiple observations including seismic velocity model, Moho depth, effective elastic thickness of the lithosphere, we conducted a quantitative study for elucidating the contributions from crust and lithospheric mantle by an integrated analysis of lithospheric isostasy and flexure. It is shown that the topography of the Longmenshan fault is supported by both lithospheric isostasy and flexure statically, and lower crustal channel flow and mantle convection dynamically. Different mechanisms have different weights for contribution to the topography of the Songpan-Ganzi block and the Sichuan Basin. The static and dynamic support contribute roughly the same to the topographic difference of ~4 km between the two sides of the Longmenshan fault. The static topographic difference of ~2 km is mainly resulted from the lithospheric isostasy, while the dynamic one of ~2 km is contributed by the uprising of the accumulated material in the lower crust beneath the Songpan-Ganzi block and the downward drag force caused by the upper mantle convection under the Sichuan Basin. It is thus suggested that the lower crustal flow and upper mantle convection are dynamic forces which should be taken into account in the studies on the dynamics in the Longmenshan and surrounding regions.  相似文献   

综合物探方法在广西柳州隐伏断裂探测中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

吴教兵  高鹏飞  陆俊宏  黎峻良  蒙南忠  潘黎黎 《地质与勘探》2019,55(4):1026-1035

据野外地震地质调查研究，柳州市柳北区存在多条隐伏断裂带，这些断裂带的具体位置尚未确定，这对柳北区的建设发展存在极大隐患。为此，在地质调查的基础上，本文采用高密度电法和地震映像综合方法来探测柳北区隐伏断裂带的具体位置，通过钻探验证和地质调查研究，确定了隐伏断裂带的具体位置，为柳州市柳北区的建设发展提供安全保障。  相似文献   

浅层地震剖面揭示固原市清水河东侧断裂特征     

花鑫升  姬计法  酆少英  杜鹏  宋威  刘增祺 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(8):794-797

为查明清水河东侧断裂的产状、性质及其浅部构造特征，跨断裂开展高分辨率的浅层地震探测，获得高信噪比的浅层地震反射叠加剖面。根据浅层地震剖面结果并结合该区域地质资料，对该断裂的浅部构造特征进行分析和讨论。结果表明，清水河东侧断裂为一条走向近SN、倾向E的逆断层，其浅部为由2~3条断层组成的“Y”字形构造，并错断埋深约10~30 m的第四系沉积层，属第四纪以来的隐伏活动断裂。  相似文献