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为定量化研究影响中国东部近海逆温层产生和发展过程的主要因素,基于Princeton Ocean Model(POM),通过进行河流和暖流的增减试验,对逆温层的季节变化及其影响因素进行了分析。模拟结果显示,受海表失热影响,逆温层主要出现在9月至翌年3月份,山东半岛北部及东部近海、闽浙沿海为三个主要逆温层发生区域,其中山东半岛北部近海逆温层范围和强度最大。当无河流输入时,整个研究海域无逆温层出现,而河流加倍或减半对逆温层的影响主要体现在长江口邻近海域,出现概率分别增高22%和降低15%。当暖流加倍或减半时,长江口邻近海域逆温层出现概率大幅增高23%和降低69%,山东半岛东部近海次之,分别增高34%和降低25%。当关闭暖流时,长江口外海逆温层消失,山东半岛东部近海逆温层出现概率降低约70%,且变浅76%。以上表明,河流淡水是中国东部近海逆温层形成的必要条件,在保持必要河流淡水输入条件下,暖流的变化对中国东部近海逆温层形成的影响比河流变化大,其中对长江口外海影响最大,山东半岛东部近海次之。暖流流量的增减可引起100 m以浅陆架区的海表面高度异常,影响跨40 m等深线海水交换和温盐锋面的形成,造成逆温层大范围的转移和变化。 相似文献
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Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis is used in this study to generate main eigenvector fields of historical temperature
for the China Seas (here referring to Chinese marine territories) and adjacent waters from 1930 to 2002 (510 143 profiles).
A good temperature profile is reconstructed based on several subsurface in situ temperature observations and the thermocline was estimated using the model. The results show that: 1) For the study area,
the former four principal components can explain 95% of the overall variance, and the vertical distribution of temperature
is most stable using the in situ temperature observations near the surface. 2) The model verifications based on the observed CTD data from the East China
Sea (ECS), South China Sea (SCS) and the areas around Taiwan Island show that the reconstructed profiles have high correlation
with the observed ones with the confidence level >95%, especially to describe the characteristics of the thermocline well.
The average errors between the reconstructed and observed profiles in these three areas are 0.69°C, 0.52°C and 1.18°C respectively.
It also shows the model RMS error is less than or close to the climatological error. The statistical model can be used to
well estimate the temperature profile vertical structure. 3) Comparing the thermocline characteristics between the reconstructed
and observed profiles, the results in the ECS show that the average absolute errors are 1.5m, 1.4 m and 0.17°C/m, and the
average relative errors are 24.7%, 8.9% and 22.6% for the upper, lower thermocline boundaries and the gradient, respectively.
Although the relative errors are obvious, the absolute error is small. In the SCS, the average absolute errors are 4.1 m,
27.7 m and 0.007°C/m, and the average relative errors are 16.1%, 16.8% and 9.5% for the upper, lower thermocline boundaries
and the gradient, respectively. The average relative errors are all <20%. Although the average absolute error of the lower
thermocline boundary is considerable, but contrast to the spatial scale of average depth of the lower thermocline boundary
(165 m), the average relative error is small (16.8%). Therefore the model can be used to well estimate the thermocline.
Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences (No.KZCX-3W-222; KZCX2-YW-Q11-02) and National
Basic Research Program of China (No.2007CB411802; 2006CB403601) 相似文献
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烟墩角海域二测站周日水温及潮流变化特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为加深对山东半岛东部养殖区的海流、海温变化特征,及其与该地区生态特征分布之间关系的认识,应用短期资料的潮流准调和分析方法,计算了烟墩角海域两个测站的O1,K1,M2,S2,M4,MS46个主要分潮的北、东分量潮流调和常数,并给出了各测站在各层的潮流椭圆要素。结果表明:该海区水温呈现层化结构,在1天内呈现两个波动,与N-S向潮流变化关系密切。海区除湾内表层外属日潮性质外,潮流属于正规半日潮流性质,半日分潮流的北分量大于东分量,呈现典型往复流特征,最大流流向多为南北向。分析结果也反映出表层、中层的浅水分潮在观测海流中所占的份额高于底层的浅水分潮。 相似文献
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中国近海温跃层判定方法的研究 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
根据东海以及南海东北部多组资料，探讨了拟阶梯函数法和垂向梯度法在浅海区（水深〈200m）、陆架坡折海域（水深在200m左右）和深水开阔海区（水深〉200m）的应用情况，分析了温跃层在陆架坡折海域的水平衔接问题。对比分析表明：在浅海区，两种方法结果比较一致，特别对某些垂直温度梯度较弱的曲线，拟阶梯函数法和实际水文廓线符合更好。陆架坡折海域，垂向梯度法对于温度梯度相对较弱的跃层刻画不好，而拟阶梯函数法可以对较弱温跃层进行判定，与实际垂直水文结构一致。深水开阔区域，垂向梯度法所得温跃层特征量与实际符合较好，而拟阶梯函数法获得的温跃层强度偏大。因此，对本研究海域来说，当水深≤200m时，采用拟阶梯函数法，当水深〉200m时采用垂向梯度法，最小判定标准统一采用0．05℃／m，可以有效避免陆架坡折海域的水平不连续问题，与实际水文廓线符合较好。 相似文献
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基于马普耦合模式,结合现场水文观测资料,估算了东海冬季跨陆架环流的流量及其向深海大洋的碳输送量.由于黄东海冬季的跨陆架环流强度远大于其他季节,且进入黑潮次表层,因此,黄东海跨陆架埋碳过程主要发生在冬季.分析结果表明,黄东海存在明显的跨陆架输运,其中跨越台湾岛至济州岛一线陆架边缘向外海的年平均水体输送量为3.92Sv(1Sv=10~6m~3s~(-1)),净输送量为向外海0.82Sv,与台湾海峡和济州海峡流量之差相当.冬季,跨陆架向外海的溶解无机碳(DIC)、溶解有机碳(DOC)和颗粒有机碳(POC)的净输运量分别为98、12和0.1百万吨.在全球温室气体减排(RCP4.5)和持续增加(RCP8.5)背景下,该跨陆架输运有不断增强的趋势,其中冬季跨越台湾岛至济州岛一线陆架边缘向外海的流量从2006～2099年分别增加了0.54和0.65Sv,增幅分别达15.3%和19.6%.受其影响,冬季跨陆架向外海的DIC、DOC和POC的输运量增加幅度在15.4～25.2%.本文首次评估了全球变暖背景下的东海冬季跨陆架碳输运量,揭示了跨陆架输运在中国近海碳循环中的重要作用. 相似文献
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