基于EMD方法的地心运动时间序列分析     

乔灵娜  赵春梅  马天明 《测绘通报》2019,(2):6-11

针对时间序列混有的高频信息会影响地心运动规律分析的问题，采用网平移法对IGS提供的GNSS周解进行解算，得到2007-2017年地心运动时间序列，对其进行分解重构，剔除高频项，并利用重构时序对地心运动规律作进一步分析探讨。结果表明：本文解算的地心运动在T_x、T_y和T_z方向的精度均为毫米级。EMD方法重构的时序保留了原序列的基本信息，且抑制了高频项的影响，提高了周期贡献率，3个方向的贡献率分别提高了12.3%、16.7%及6.3%。通过分析重构后的时序发现，周年项振幅为各周期对应振幅的最大值，分别为2.32、1.89和2.07 mm；T_y和T_z方向长期变化趋势较T_x更为明显，分别为0.13和-0.27 mm/a；半年项较小，且在T_x和T_y方向上具有时变性。此外，还发现了一些其他较小的年际变化。  相似文献   

On the criteria for the initiation of motion in tidal inlets,deterministic and stochastic approaches     

Morteza Kolahdoozan  Hanifeh Imanian  Roger A. Falconer 《Coastal Engineering》2011

Details are given herein of the refinement and application of a three-dimensional layer integrated numerical model to predict morphological changes in tidal basins. The solution of governing differential equations, which consist of the conservation of mass and momentum for the hydrodynamics, the transport equation for the suspended sediment fluxes and the sediment mass conservation equation for the bed level changes are carried out by the use of Alternating Direction Implicit (ADI) Finite Difference Method (FDM). The model includes different criteria for the initiation of motion namely Shields (1936, Application of Similarity Principles and Turbulence Research to Bed load Movement, Hydrodynamics Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pub. No. 167), Kolahdoozan (1999, Numerical Modelling of Geomorphological Processes in Estuarine Waters, PhD Thesis, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK, 288) and Zanke (2003, On the Influence of Turbulence on the Initiation of Sediment Motion, International Journal of Sediment Research, 18(1), 17–31), to compare different aspects of flow conditions. As the flow is highly turbulent with the random nature of its components, many researchers have tried to express sediment transport processes by using stochastic approaches. In the current study both deterministic and stochastic methods are included in the numerical model to evaluate their accuracy and efficiency. To validate the numerical model results, laboratory measurements are used, with these being obtained from an earlier experimental program undertaken by the authors. Results of a short term bed level changes in a laboratory model harbor are included for the model verification purposes. Comparisons are undertaken using different criteria for the initiation of motion, with the results highlighting that the unsteadiness in the flow parameters included in the numerical model has a major effect on the bed level changes inside the harbor, in compare with the turbulence structure of the flow. The model is then applied to a real case study of the Humber Estuary, located in the UK, with comparisons being undertaken for different criteria for the initiation of motion, using both deterministic and stochastic approaches for the long term bed level predictions.  相似文献   

清末耕地空间分布格局重建方法比较   总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2  

姜蓝齐  张丽娟  臧淑英  张学珍 《地理学报》2015,(4)

揭示历史时期土地利用/覆盖变化是认识人类活动对气候和环境影响的基础。本文在耕地面积、人口数量、土地利用及森林分布等多源数据基础上,分别以近代耕地空间分布格局和历史时期耕地潜在分布区为边界条件,通过构建耕地垦殖倾向指数模型分配耕地面积,在1 km×1 km象元尺度上重建了清末(1908年)松嫩平原耕地空间格局,并对重建结果进行分析比较。结果表明:1两种方法重建的耕地空间分布范围格局基本一致,耕地空间定位吻合率约为68%。清末(1908年)耕地集中分布在松嫩平原东部和南部地区;2以历史时期耕地潜在分布为边界条件的重建结果,较以近代耕地空间分布格局为限制范围的重建结果更准确,更符合历史事实。  相似文献   

全球风险和脆弱性评估方法及其尺度转换的局限性   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

方一平  秦大河  丁永建 《干旱区地理》2009,32(3)

近年来,国际上采用一系列指标,从全球的、区域的视角测度风险和脆弱性的工作不断增多.从全球尺度看,风险和脆弱性评估方法主要包括:UNDP的灾害风险指数、哥伦比亚大学的热点项目,以及哥伦比亚国家大学环境研究所开发的美洲项目;从区域尺度看,以GTZ和印度尼西亚社区合作伙伴共同开发的基于社区的风险指数最为典型.通过国际主要文献的综述,介绍了几种主要评估方法的目标、框架、测算指标和基本要求,分析了这些评估方法在应用中的局限性,指出了不同方法在空间尺度降次、升级转换过程中的不足和难点.  相似文献   

Contested carbon: Carbon forestry as a speculatively virtual,falteringly material and disputed territorial assemblage     

《Geoforum》2017

Assemblage approaches are increasingly being used to understand new socio-natural formations arising in relation to the multiple crises of capitalism, climate change and environmental degradation. The valuation of nature is key to these new formations, which the creation of new ‘valued entities’, through calculative practices, that can be accounted for, costed and circulated in monetised and financialised forms in order to ostensibly ‘fix’ certain environmental outcomes in relation to contemporary global crisis. This paper uses an assemblage approach in relation to the global’ transnational project of carbon forestry offsetting and REDD+ in a particular place, Uganda, arguing that it has utility in this respect. While Uganda has been named by Lang and Byakola (2005) as a ‘funny place to store carbon’ due to its contested land politics and history of violence its weak governance context paradoxically re-enforces the imperative for intervention. The paper argues that carbon forestry assemblages are inherently ephemeral and fundamentally contested in three ways: exhibiting a speculative virtuality, faltering materiality and disputed territoriality. Such analysis has the ability to go beyond technical and managerial, or solely pollical economic critiques of carbon forestry, to point at openings for alternatives.  相似文献   

Problematising justice definitions in public food security debates: Towards global and participative food justices     

《Geoforum》2017

In the current environment of austerity, social justice concerns are increasingly permeating the food security agenda. However, there is a need to clarify what it means to create socially just food systems conceptually and practically. To address this gap, this paper proposes an analytical framework to embed a more complex conceptualisation of justice in food security debates that also serves as a bridging device across competing narratives. This framework is mobilised to analyse the framing process of the UK media, which plays a key role in developing narratives that provide audiences with schemas for interpreting events. Results show the emergence of eleven frames which highlight different solutions to deliver food security. The application of the justice analytical framework evidences the contingent relationship between food security and justice claims and discusses how these food security frames address differently what counts as a matter of justice (including economic, socio-cultural and political dimensions) and who counts as a subject of justice, tackling issues around delimitation of scales and sites of justice. The analysis reveals polarised positions between whether the sites subject to justice should be individuals or structures and uncovers how political and global elements of justice are largely by-passed in food security debates. These conceptualisations of justice and associated policy recommendations neglect the potential for people to participate fully in the conditions and decisions that give rise to particular distributions of goods and bads in the first place; limiting the construction of shared responsibilities to deliver global and participative food justices.  相似文献   

双线平行盾构隧道施工引起的三维土体变形研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

魏纲  庞思远 《岩土力学》2014,35(9):2562-2568

基于双线水平平行盾构施工中土体损失引起的土体变形二维解析解,建立土体变形三维解析解。取不同的纵向位置作为变量,建立土体损失率沿纵向的变化方程;考虑先行隧道施工对后行隧道的影响,分别计算两条盾构隧道施工引起的土体变形,叠加得到双线平行盾构施工引起的土体总变形。其方法能够计算土体深层沉降和水平位移,较精确地反映土体三维变形。算例分析结果表明：预测值与实测值较为吻合;土体沉降随着离开挖面距离的增加而不断增大,最终在x = -40 m左右时趋于稳定;随着先行隧道与后行隧道开挖距离的接近,最大土体总沉降量逐渐增大;土体沉降会随着深度z的增大而略微增加,但沉降槽宽度将略微减小;随着两条隧道轴线水平距离L的增大,最大土体沉降逐渐减小,沉降曲线形状慢慢由V型转变成W型,不再符合正态分布规律。  相似文献   

Development and validation of nonlinear computational models of dispersed structures under strong earthquake excitation          下载免费PDF全文

Armen Derkevorkian  Sami F. Masri  Yozo Fujino  Dionysius M. Siringoringo 《地震工程与结构动力学》2014,43(7):1089-1105

Structural health monitoring of large multispan flexible bridges is particularly important because of their important role in civil infrastructure and transportation systems. In this study, the response of the Yokohama Bay Bridge (YBB), a three‐span cable‐stayed bridge, to the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake is used to perform multi‐input multi‐output system identification studies. The extensive multicomponent measurements are also used to develop and validate data‐driven nonlinear mathematical models that can predict the response of YBB to various earthquake records and can accurately estimate its damping characteristics when the system is driven into the nonlinear response range. A combination of least‐square (parametric) and neural network (nonparametric) approaches is used to develop the mathematical models, along with time‐marching techniques for dynamic response calculations. It is shown that the nonlinear mathematical models perform better than the equivalent linear models, both for response prediction and damping estimation. The importance of having an accurate approach for quantifying the damping due to the variety of nonlinear features in the YBB response is shown. This study demonstrates the significance of constructing robust mathematical models that can capture the correct physics of the underlying system and that can be used for computational purposes to augment experimental studies. Given the lack of suitable data sets for full‐scale structures under extreme loads, the availability of the long‐duration measurements from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and its many strong aftershocks provides an excellent opportunity to perform the analyses presented in this study. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

中国蓄滞洪区洪水管理与可持续发展途径          下载免费PDF全文

宋豫秦  张晓蕾 《水科学进展》2014,25(6):888-896

蓄滞洪区的行蓄洪启用频率和蓄水方式决定着洪水管理与可持续发展途径,影响流域经济社会的可持续发展.根据各大流域蓄滞洪区的设计启用频率,设置了未来35年内蓄滞洪区发展的3种情景:维持现状、部分水库化和部分湿地化,构建了涵盖防洪、社会经济和生态发展等因子的途径选择指标体系,运用数据包络分析法(DEA),识别了不同设计启用频率的蓄滞洪区洪水管理与可持续发展的最优途径.结果表明:① 不同设计启用频率的蓄滞洪区在建成35年内,部分湿地化情景是中国70%蓄滞洪区的最优发展途径.② 设计启用频率50年一遇是蓄滞洪区发展途径选择的边界值;当等于或低于50年一遇时,部分湿地化是其最优途径;当高于50年一遇时,维持其现状是最优途径.  相似文献   

The state of land subsidence and prediction approaches due to groundwater withdrawal in China   总被引：13，自引：6，他引：7  

Ye-Shuang Xu  Shui-Long Shen  Zheng-Yin Cai  Guo-Yun Zhou 《Natural Hazards》2008,45(1):123-135

This article gives a general introduction to land subsidence with the prediction approaches due to withdrawal of groundwater in three subsided/subsiding regions in China: the deltaic plain of Yangtse River (YRDP), North China Plain (NCP), and Fenwei Plain (FP). On YRDP, Shanghai is the typical subsided/subsiding city; on NCP Tianjin is the typical subsided/subsiding city, and on FP Taiyuan is the typical subsided/subsiding city. The subsided area with subsidence over 200 mm on YRDP is about 10,000 km² and the maximum subsided value reached 2.9 m at Shanghai; on NCP the subsided area reached 60,000 km² with the maximum subsidence of 3.9 m at Tianjing; on FP the subsided area is relatively smaller than that on the other two plains and is about 1,135 km² with maximum subsidence of 3.7 m at Taiyuan city. In order to protect the civil and industrial facilities, it is necessary to predict the future development of land subsidence based on present state. Many researchers proposed several approaches to predict the land subsidence due to groundwater withdrawal according to different geological conditions and groundwater withdrawal practice. This article classifies these approaches into five categories: (i) statistical methods; (ii) 1D numerical method; (iii) quasi-3D seepage model; (iv) 3D seepage model; (v) fully coupled 3D model. In China, the former four categories are presently employed in the prediction practice and their merits and demerits are discussed. According to the prediction practice, 3D seepage model is the best method presently.  相似文献