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G.&#;K. PLATTNER F. JOOS T. F. STOCKER O. MARCHAL 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》2001,53(5):564-592
Global warming simulations are performed with a coupled climate model of reduced complexity to investigate global warming–marine carbon cycle feedbacks. The model is forced by emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse agents from scenarios recently developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and by CO2 stabilization profiles. The uptake of atmospheric CO2 by the ocean is reduced between 7 to 10% by year 2100 compared to simulations without global warming. The reduction is of similar size in the Southern Ocean and in low‐latitude regions (32.5°S‐32.5°N) until 2100, whereas low‐latitude regions dominate on longer time scales. In the North Atlantic the CO2 uptake is enhanced, unless the Atlantic thermohaline circulation completely collapses. At high latitudes, biologically mediated changes enhance ocean CO2 uptake, whereas in low‐latitude regions the situation is reversed. Different implementations of the marine biosphere yield a range of 5 to 16% for the total reduction in oceanic CO2 uptake until year 2100. Modeled oceanic O2 inventories are significantly reduced in global warming simulations. This suggests that the terrestrial carbon sink deduced from atmospheric O2 /N2 observations is potentially overestimated if the oceanic loss of O2 to the atmosphere is not considered. 相似文献
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K. M. STRASSMANN F. JOOS G. FISCHER 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》2008,60(4):583-603
The impact of land use on the global carbon cycle and climate is assessed. The Bern carbon cycle-climate model was used with land use maps from HYDE3.0 for 1700 to 2000 A.D. and from post-SRES scenarios for this century. Cropland and pasture expansion each cause about half of the simulated net carbon emissions of 188 Gt C over the industrial period and 1.1 Gt C yr−1 in the 1990s, implying a residual terrestrial sink of 113 Gt C and of 1.8 Gt C yr−1 , respectively. Direct CO2 emissions due to land conversion as simulated in book-keeping models dominate carbon fluxes due to land use in the past. They are, however, mitigated by 25% through the feedback of increased atmospheric CO2 stimulating uptake. CO2 stimulated sinks are largely lost when natural lands are converted. Past land use change has eliminated potential future carbon sinks equivalent to emissions of 80–150 Gt C over this century. They represent a commitment of past land use change, which accounts for 70% of the future land use flux in the scenarios considered. Pre-industrial land use emissions are estimated to 45 Gt C at most, implying a maximum change in Holocene atmospheric CO2 of 3 ppm. This is not compatible with the hypothesis that early anthropogenic CO2 emissions prevented a new glacial period. 相似文献
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DAVID W. KICKLIGHTER MICHELE BRUNO SILKE DÖNGES GERD ESSER MARTIN HEIMANN JOHN HELFRICH FRANK IFT FORTUNAT JOOS JÖRG KADUK GUNDOLF H. KOHLMAIER A. DAVID McGUIRE JERRY M. MELILLO ROBERT MEYER BERRIEN MOORE III REAS NADLER I. COLIN PRENTICE WALTER SAUF ANNETTE L. SCHLOSS STEPHEN SITCH UWE WITTENBERG GUDRUN WÜRTH 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》1999,51(2):343-366
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An efficient and accurate representation of complex oceanic and biospheric models of anthropogenic carbon uptake 总被引：6，自引：2，他引：6
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