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B. Offerle C. S. B. Grimmond K. Fortuniak K. Kłysik T. R. Oke 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2006,84(1-3):103-115
Summary Energy fluxes have been measured over an area near the centre of the city of Łódź, Poland, since November 2000. The site was
selected because the building style (surface cover and morphology) is typical of European cities, yet distinct from the majority
of cities where energy balance observations have been studied thus far. The multi-year dataset permits consideration of temporal
changes in energy balance partitioning over a wide range of seasonal and synoptic conditions and of the role of heat storage
and anthropogenic fluxes in the energy balance. Partitioning of net radiation into the turbulent fluxes is consistent in the
two years, with the largest differences occurring due to differing precipitation. The monthly ensemble diurnal cycles of the
turbulent fluxes over the two years are similar. The largest differences occur during the July–September period, and are attributable
to greater net radiation and lower rainfall in 2002. The latent heat flux accounts for approximately 40% of the turbulent
heat transfer on an annual basis. The average daily daytime Bowen ratio and its variability are slightly reduced during the
summer (growing) season. Anthropogenic heat is a significant input to the urban energy balance in the winter. The fluxes observed
in this study are consistent with results from other urban sites. 相似文献
2.
Summary Data from two automatic stations in Łódź (one urban and one rural) for the period 1997–2002 are analyzed to reveal urban–rural
contrasts of such parameters as air temperature, relative humidity, water vapour pressure and wind speed. Under favourable
weather conditions the highest temperature differences between the urban and rural station exceeds 8 °C. Relative humidity
is lower in the town, sometimes by more than 40%. Water vapour pressure differences can be either positive (up to 5 hPa) or
negative (up to −4 hPa). Wind speed at the urban station is on average lower by about 34% in night and 39% during daytime.
Regression analysis shows that for rural winds lower than 1.13 m s−1 urban winds can be stronger than rural speeds. Attention has also been paid to singularities in the course of the analyzed
parameters over 24 hour periods. It is shown that the typical course of the urban heat island intensity under favourable conditions
is similar in all season. Four stages of this course have been distinguished. Wind speed differences also seem to change in
a typical way. Case studies show that humidity contrasts, unlike temperature, can evolve in different ways under fine weather
conditions. Types of relative humidity evolution are proposed. 相似文献
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Krzysztof Fortuniak Włodzimierz Pawlak Mariusz Siedlecki 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2013,146(2):257-276
Atmospheric measurements over 5 years (2005–2010) at two sites in ?ód?, central Poland have been analyzed to develop a better understanding of turbulence in urban areas. Fast response wind velocity, temperature, humidity and CO2 concentration were measured using sonic anemometers and gas analyzers, placed on narrow masts at 37 and 42 m above the ground. The measurements were used to calculate standard deviations of each parameter, and were then normalized according to local Monin–Obukhov similarity theory and plotted as a function of stability parameter ζ = z′/L. Results for the wind components show typical scaling with a power law with exponent ±1/3 in the free convection limit, and that approaches a constant value close to neutral stratification. For stable conditions, the constant value in the neutral limit remains the same for stability parameters lower than 0.1–0.2, then increases. The normalized standard deviation of temperature fits the ?1/3 law in the free convection limit, approaching a constant value within a stable limit. However, it exhibits hyperbolic characteristics for close to neutral stratification. The normalized standard deviations for humidity and CO2 concentration exhibit scaling similar to the wind components in the unstable regime and remain constant in the stable domain. The results for the wind components and for temperature are in the range of various functions found in other studies. The absolute values for humidity and CO2 concentration seem to be slightly higher, but only single examples of such investigations can be found in the literature. 相似文献
4.
Fortuniak Krzysztof Przybylak Rajmund Araźny Andrzej Pawlak Włodzimierz Wyszyński Przemysław 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2017,130(3-4):959-970
Maize is grown by millions of smallholder farmers in South Asia (SA) under diverse environments. The crop is grown in different seasons in a year with varying exposure to weather extremes, including high temperatures at critical growth stages which are expected to increase with climate change. This study assesses the impact of current and future heat stress on maize and the benefit of heat-tolerant varieties in SA. Annual mean maximum temperatures may increase by 1.4–1.8 °C in 2030 and 2.1–2.6 °C in 2050, with large monthly, seasonal, and spatial variations across SA. The extent of heat stressed areas in SA could increase by up to 12 % in 2030 and 21 % in 2050 relative to the baseline. The impact of heat stress and the benefit from heat-tolerant varieties vary with the level of temperature increase and planting season. At a regional scale, climate change would reduce rainfed maize yield by an average of 3.3–6.4 % in 2030 and 5.2–12.2 % in 2050 and irrigated yield by 3–8 % in 2030 and 5–14 % in 2050 if current varieties were grown under the future climate. Under projected climate, heat-tolerant varieties could minimize yield loss (relative to current maize varieties) by up to 36 and 93 % in 2030 and 33 and 86 % in 2050 under rainfed and irrigated conditions, respectively. Heat-tolerant maize varieties, therefore, have the potential to shield maize farmers from severe yield loss due to heat stress and help them adapt to climate change impacts. 相似文献
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K. Fortuniak 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2008,91(1-4):245-258
Summary The paper focuses on the absorption of shortwave radiation in an urban street canyon. To test the effective albedo of the
canyon an analytic solution of the multiple reflection problem is applied. The infinitesimally long canyon is divided into
slices and a matrix of view factors for the slices is defined. Incoming shortwave radiation includes direct and diffuse parts
and shadowing effects are included in the analysis. The model is validated against Aida’s (1982) scale model data and measurements
in a real canyon. The results demonstrate a rapid decrease of the effective albedo as the canyon aspect ratio (its height
to width, H/W) are increased. It is also shown that diurnal changes of the effective albedo can be very complex depending on the particular
combination of H/W ratio, surface reflectivity and canyon orientation.
Author’s address: Krzysztof Fortuniak, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, University of Łódź, Narutowicza 88, 09-139
Łódź, Poland. 相似文献
6.
Mariusz Zieliński Krzysztof Fortuniak Włodzimierz Pawlak Mariusz Siedlecki 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2017,164(2):281-301
The sensible heat flux (H) is determined using large-aperture scintillometer (LAS) measurements over a city centre for eight different computation scenarios. The scenarios are based on different approaches of the mean rooftop-level \((z_{H})\) estimation for the LAS path. Here, \(z_{H}\) is determined separately for wind directions perpendicular (two zones) and parallel (one zone) to the optical beam to reflect the variation in topography and building height on both sides of the LAS path. Two methods of \(z_{H}\) estimation are analyzed: (1) average building profiles; (2) weighted-average building height within a 250 m radius from points located every 50 m along the optical beam, or the centre of a certain zone (in the case of a wind direction perpendicular to the path). The sensible heat flux is computed separately using the friction velocity determined with the eddy-covariance method and the iterative procedure. The sensitivity of the sensible heat flux and the extent of the scintillometer source area to different computation scenarios are analyzed. Differences reaching up to 7% between heat fluxes computed with different scenarios were found. The mean rooftop-level estimation method has a smaller influence on the sensible heat flux (?4 to 5%) than the area used for the \(z_{H}\) computation (?5 to 7%). For the source-area extent, the discrepancies between respective scenarios reached a similar magnitude. The results demonstrate the value of the approach in which \(z_{H}\) is estimated separately for wind directions parallel and perpendicular to the LAS optical beam. 相似文献
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Changes in the Probability of Heavy Precipitation: Important Indicators of Climatic Change 总被引：40，自引：0，他引：40
Pavel Ya. Groisman Thomas R. Karl David R. Easterling Richard W. Knight Paul F. Jamason Kevin J. Hennessy Ramasamy Suppiah Cher M. Page Joanna Wibig Krzysztof Fortuniak Vyacheslav N. Razuvaev Arthur Douglas Eirik Førland Pan-Mao Zhai 《Climatic change》1999,42(1):243-283
A simple statistical model of daily precipitation based on the gamma distribution is applied to summer (JJA in Northern Hemisphere, DJF in Southern Hemisphere) data from eight countries: Canada, the United States, Mexico, the former Soviet Union, China, Australia, Norway, and Poland. These constitute more than 40% of the global land mass, and more than 80% of the extratropical land area. It is shown that the shape parameter of this distribution remains relatively stable, while the scale parameter is most variable spatially and temporally. This implies that the changes in mean monthly precipitation totals tend to have the most influence on the heavy precipitation rates in these countries. Observations show that in each country under consideration (except China), mean summer precipitation has increased by at least 5% in the past century. In the USA, Norway, and Australia the frequency of summer precipitation events has also increased, but there is little evidence of such increases in any of the countries considered during the past fifty years. A scenario is considered, whereby mean summer precipitation increases by 5% with no change in the number of days with precipitation or the shape parameter. When applied in the statistical model, the probability of daily precipitation exceeding 25.4 mm (1 inch) in northern countries (Canada, Norway, Russia, and Poland) or 50.8 mm (2 inches) in mid-latitude countries (the USA, Mexico, China, and Australia) increases by about 20% (nearly four times the increase in mean). The contribution of heavy rains (above these thresholds) to the total 5% increase of precipitation is disproportionally high (up to 50%), while heavy rain usually constitutes a significantly smaller fraction of the precipitation events and totals in extratropical regions (but up to 40% in the tropics, e.g., in southern Mexico). Scenarios with moderate changes in the number of days with precipitation coupled with changes in the scale parameter were also investigated and found to produce smaller increases in heavy rainfall but still support the above conclusions. These scenarios give changes in heavy rainfall which are comparable to those observed and are consistent with the greenhouse-gas-induced increases in heavy precipitation simulated by some climate models for the next century. In regions with adequate data coverage such as the eastern two-thirds of contiguous United States, Norway, eastern Australia, and the European part of the former USSR, the statistical model helps to explain the disproportionate high changes in heavy precipitation which have been observed. 相似文献
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